Bonds began the day in modestly stronger territory.  While they spend a small amount of the day trading a small distance away from those opening levels, that time and distance was never big enough to cause any concern.  In short, the "consolidation" we'd hoped to confirm by seeing 10yr yields remain under 2.92% this week has officially been confirmed.

If you'd prefer to approach this from a purely empirical standpoint where we forget that the Fed is a big deal next week and that traders aren't all robots, we could simply say that a slightly stronger Retail Sales report was offset by weaker performance in stocks to leave bonds to trade in line with opening levels by the end of the day.  

Whichever reality you choose to live in, the fact remains that next week has a fairly big say in how we close out the year.  In the environment that's prevailed in recent years, the mid-December Fed week is really the last week of the year.  It's the Fed's chance to add fuel to the fires of economic concern, or take the less volatile route and douse the flames.  Neither eventuality likely has much of a bearing on what happens in 2019, but it will definitely have an impact on certain markets (housing, mortgage, for sure) between now and the 2nd week of January.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 4.0
101-01 : -0-01
Treasuries
10 YR
2.8950 : -0.0160
Pricing as of 12/14/18 5:43PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
10:13AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Small Negative Reprice Risk For One or Two Lenders
8:49AM  :  Bonds Give Up Some Gains After Retail Sales

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Ira Selwin  :  "Chart of the loan amounts between floor and ceiling here - https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/SFH/documents/2019betweenfloorceiling.pdf"
Ira Selwin  :  "The FHA national low-cost area mortgage limits, which are set at 65 percent of the national conforming limit of $484,350 for a one-unit property, are, by property unit number, as follows: • One-unit: $314,827 • Two-unit: $403,125 • Three-unit: $487,250 • Four-unit: $605,525"

Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Friday, Dec 14
8:30 Retail Sales (ex-autos) (%) Nov +0.2 0.2 0.7
8:30 Retail Sales (%)* Nov +0.2 0.2 0.8
9:15 Capacity Utilization (%) Nov 78.5 78.6 78.4
9:15 Industrial Production (%) Nov +0.6 0.3 0.1
10:00 Business Inventories (% ) Oct +0.6 0.6 0.3