Learn. Share. Connect. (52,341 Members)  - Join
 

Site Tools

Join Now or Sign In
for Full Access to All Features

Local Professionals
(Change Your Location)

Recent Polls

Do you expect the home buyer tax credit extension to contribute to a noticeable pick up in loan production?

Created By: Adam Quinones
  • Yes, I anticipate an increase in activity (26.1%)
  • Only a modest upturn in production (44.2%)
  • Nope. 2009 demand stole from 2010 demand (29.7%)

Federal Reserve MBS Purchase Program

MBS ALERT: Strong 7yr Auction Leads MBS Prices Higher

Posted
 Email Page (New!)   |     Print   |     Bookmark

Treasury has just finished auctioning $27billion 7 year notes...

This issue priced at 3.329% with 13.17% of the bids accepted at high yield (3.329%). Indirect bidders were once again a huge support taking a much higher than expected 67% of the issuance (72% of what they bid) while dealers were awarded 30% of the auction (17% of what they bid). Note: at the last 7 yr note auction the percent awarded at high yield was 78%. This indicates the possibility of good things to come for fixed income.

The demand for the auction was quite strong with the bid to cover coming in at 2.82 bids for every 1 awarded. This is the strongest bid to cover for a 7 yr proxy since the issuance was reopened in February.

All in all the Treasury successfully raised $85 billion new funds this week. "GREAT SUCCESS"

Following the auction the 10 yr note rallied  to 3.59 (yes that has technical significance..dont forget techs moderating!).....next resistance level is 3.57.

Holding under 3.62 is BULLISH FOR TSYs( for MBS too but in an empty kinda way...remember quarter end is coming and flows will be lighter in MBS world which could create some unexpected volatility)

...and the FN 5.0, although hesistant has made further gains....MBS/TSY yields spreads have however gapped out a few ticks as the rapid fall in benchmark yields outpaced the rally in MBS world.

Some reprices for the better have been reported...LOOK FOR MORE TO FOLLOW AS THE 10 YR RETESTS 3.62 WITH "GREAT SUCCESS"

2s vs. 10s: 247 bps

MBS QUOTES

EVERYTHING IS RALLYING

Data provided by Thomson Reuters
Secondary Marketing Managers and Capital Markets Desks, if you are interested in subscribing to the same fixed income and mortgage market data we use:CLICK HERE.

Comments

Join Now or Login to Post Comments

on
Thanks AQ... Got to love to give news like that!
on
Thanks guys. When is the next auction scheduled after todays?
on
Try 3.56 and falling...will there be big bounce up like yesterday?
on
nice to see some positive momentum!
on
AQ, or anyone please explain that even though all the stars are aligned, why no reprice? Hedging is on thing, but it would seem that we should have a reprice for the better?
on

7/7 we get 3s....7/8 we get 10s....7/9 we 30s. This is great progress for bond market but we must see this bullish trend carry out through the end of the day before celebrating.

on
Provident showing 30 year fixed at 5% for .875%pts
on
Reprices have started, waiting for the major investors to pass along some gains. My best takeouts have not repriced yet. Float until tomorrow? Do we have the momentum to carry these through Friday?
on
LA Dayton....primary/secondary spreads are tight meaning lenders are already pricing competitively relative to the income they earn by selling their supply of loans. Also its month end so for smaller shops much time is spent on rushing deals, ensuring conditions are cleared, preparations for shipping, calculating commissions, and cleaning up the pipeline for a fresh start to the third quarter.
on
Great day...stock market selloff later today? Off their highs.
on
I's like that Edgar, I'm short retail and getting hammered right now...
on
should I call my loan officer? Have you all been seeing drops in the rate sheets since the auction?
on
MetLife has a re-price coming this afternoon...
on
What a relief from the last two days. All we have to worry about now is profit taking on Fridays.
on
any indication what the end of the quarter may bring? are we expecting the rates to continue downward into mid-july?
on
3.54 on 10yr nice if we can just hold this is a nice little rally
on
3.54 on 10yr nice little rally lets hope we can hold.
on
Lenders are starting to loosen up their rate sheets to clear out loans that were originated and approved under prior low rates. WF is doing a approved loan pricing special. If they could only get the loans into the approved status, still lots of unexperienced UW creating unwarranted condtions.
on
Stepping back from ledge !!!!!!!!
on
Just posted a re-price :)
on
4.875% back on all ratesheets (at a cost) but at least it's back!
on
Hi, Nate- which company is this for? 4.875% what is the cost? Thanks!
on
25 banks show this rate on their ratesheets now Ko, depending on your scenario the costs will vary...30-day lock will more than likely run you a couple points
on
so close to 4.5 to hit 100 i can smell it
on
Freedom issued re-price today @ 1:45pm
on
what is the average 30 year fixed rate w/ no points? my lender quoted me 5.50% w/ no points.
on
It depends on ALL the variables Mugen...like loan amount, credit score, location, type of property, home value, etc.
on
$270,000, 80% LTV, FICO 800+, in Los Angeles
on
35 minutes left to lock in today's 10:45am) rate or wait for tomorrow morning's rate... can't decide, can't decide, can't decide...
on
@Mugen...5.5% with no points(or origination) sounds pretty good.
on
just got a re-price and locked several. Gotta love days like this. Great way to end my short week!
on
Steve, I am hoping for 5.25% or lower in the next 2-3 weeks.
on
4.75 with 2 7/8 points....sound good to anyone???
on
I was offered 4.875% with my 2 pt buy down from Wells Fargo. Should I lock it up or wait a little bit? I'm tempeted to wait... I have 25 days till I close
on
Chris, 25 days is a long time away. However, if you are fine with your mothly payment then i say lock and save yourself a headache. No one can argue with 4.875%, but is there anything on top of the 2 point buydown? You may want to check on that.
on
Adam? Was there any significance of 3.54% on the 10 YR TSY? There seemed to be a bounce there and now sits right below.
on
Raymond-Just about 10 minutes to go. Who knew some bath store would send the retail sector up? Anyway I think if we obtain a selloff in the last 5 minutes, even if we end up for the day, I think it would be just another confirmation the market has returned to a sell bias...which is good for rates. Even if we dont get it, still think the market goes down from these levels.
on
AQ- What's up with the red on the 4.0 coupon.. It was just up now down a few ticks. Is that right? Profit takers. I am in line to lock if I get .25 better rate, but not sure if I should hold. I know, fat pigs get slaughtered.
on
@Mugen, again don't get yourself into a situation where you shop yourself out of the market...I had quite a few clients who were waiting for rates to "drop" and now don't have access to the low 4% rates that they had access to a few weeks ago...if you can afford the payment at 5.5% I would lock and be happy that you have a historically low rate.
on
I think its encouraging that mbs are rallying along with equities. Hopefully, when equities continue their correction, mbs can gain further.
on
4.0 Coupon is currently at 97.03. That's reporting wrong.
on
Ok it pigs get fed, hogs get slaughtered....
on
QQ does anyone know what chase is at with 30yr 0 pts?
on
Got the GNMA 4.5 at 100.02...and the Fannie 4.5 at 99.31.... Let's keep the dream alive.........
on
Theres a left and another left OHHH there's a big RIGHT!!!!! 4.5's got 5.0 stumbling to stay on his feet!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! THIS IS IT FOLKS.... IT MIGHT BE IT!!!!! 5.0 IS LOOKING REAL BAD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! CAN HE HOLD ON TO THE BELT!!!!!!!!!!!
on
was told I can lock at 5.25%. What are peoples opinion... Lock or see if it goes any lower. Don't close until the 15th. Generally can you get a lower rate with a 15 day lock, rather then a 30 day lock?
on
Bobby Downey, I'm new to all this. Can you explain your post? What does 4.5 at 100.02 mean?
on
E Shor I am referring to what the current Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae coupons at those rates are trading at. If you look on the top right of the home page you will see the mortgage rates tab. Scroll down on that page and you will see a chart for MBS trading. It updates about every half an hour. As prices get better so do rates. Green is good and red is bad. In order to see lower rates we need the 4.5 to trade at a higher price. You can typically watch the 10 year TSY yield and as it goes so goes mortgage rates. Hope that helps and post any other questions you have.
on
tmj, if thats 0 points its a good rate. id lock if i were you considering we've seen 5.75 in the past 10 days and you've only got 20 to go
on
TMJ99 - in general a 15 day lock compared to a 30 day lock will have no difference. Also, a 5.25% is a GREAT rate. I would say lock now if you can and if your Loan officer says there is no difference in pricing between the 15 day and 30 day then go for the 30 day to give yourself room for error.
on
Mugen, sounds like I can do that at 5.125 with 0 to .25 points. based on a 30 day lock and a high credit score.
on
Mujen, yeah, I think I can beat that. 5.125 .25 points looks like the ticket. Contact me directly and I will get the details and send you a good faith estimate in about 5 minutes. Thanks!
on
Mugen, I just locked 574,000 @ 5.5. no points/w closing cost. Watching the i rate has been interesting, especially these last 10 days. I set a range, when i hits that range, I lock as fast as I could. Like Steve said, as long as you can afford the payment and you're confortable/happy with the rates. My loan is a high amount so the rate is 1/8 higher than conforming. Best wishes to you. AQ and Matt, thanks for all the posting and updating. The info has been very resourceful.
on
I am 20 days from closing, my lender is giving me a rate of 5.75% with no points, 20% down Excellent Credit for Condo (Track home/PUD). 1 point gets me 5.25%. I think it is little high, Earlier lender gave me competitive rates but I made a mistake of not locking because I thought the rates will come down a bit. Now says they thought it was a single family but now after the appraisal they learnt it is a condo so the rate is higher. Is it a good rate? Should I lock? Please give your opinion. Thanks.
on
Raj....condo adjustment is 0.75 to pricing...so lender income is reduced by 0.75 of loan amount which is why your rate is higher. That said..depending on where your lender sells their loans, you could probably get a lower rate but not by much (based on current rates) so it might not be worth it to you to restart the process with another lender. You could however get a quote from someone else to see how much better you can do. BTW at least ask for copy of your appraisal, which they are required to do, to ensure your property is Condo...(readers...is track home considered condo?)
on
good explanation Bobby! If you are new to this check out the "How Are Mortgage Rates Determined???" post in "Post of the Week"