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Federal Reserve MBS Purchase Program

MBS UPDATE: REACTIONS

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Read this post if you haven't already...LINK

1010 Marks...

FN30_____________________________________

FN 4.5 -------->>>> -0-02 to 100-18 from 100-20

FN 5.0 -------->>>> -0-02 to 102-31 from 102-01

FN 5.5 -------->>>> -0-01 to 102-23 from 102-24

FN 6.0 -------->>>> -0-02 to 103-15 from 103-17

Bond yields are clearly reacting to stock market sentiment...

 

Federal Financial Regulatory Agencies Issue Statement in Support of the "Making Home Affordable" Loan Modification Program

The federal bank, thrift, and credit union regulatory agencies encourage all federally regulated financial institutions that service or hold residential mortgage loans to participate in the "Making Home Affordable" loan modification program.  Guidelines for the program were announced today by the Treasury Department.

The Treasury Department previously has indicated that institutions receiving financial assistance in the future under the Financial Stability Plan established under the Troubled Assets Relief Program will be required to implement loan modification programs in accordance with the Treasury Department's guidelines.

The agencies strongly support the program's goal of promoting sustainable loan modifications for at-risk homeowners that appropriately balance the interests of homeowners, servicers, and investors.  The federal bank, thrift, and credit union regulatory agencies worked closely with the Treasury Department in developing the guidelines.

By providing servicers and holders of eligible residential mortgages with incentives to modify loans at risk of foreclosure, the program will promote sustainable alternatives to foreclosures on owner-occupied residential properties. These incentives should help make affordable loan modifications more attractive than foreclosure.  The program also provides incentives for homeowners whose mortgages are modified to remain current on their mortgages after modification.  Taken together, these incentives should help responsible homeowners remain in their homes and avoid foreclosure, thereby easing downward pressures on house prices in many parts of the country and averting the costs to families, communities, and the economy from avoidable foreclosures.

Data provided by Thomson Reuters
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on
I just called my servicing company and they said that they do not have any information just yet and it will take two to three days to take into effect.
on
What does the GNMA pricing look like right now?
on
Aren't we lucky to have a community organizer, Clinton appointees who pushed the CRA, and tax cheats at the helm? I feel safe.... THUD.
on
HOPE AND CHANGE everybody!
on
HOPE (you had your people locked) and CHANGE (your career if your a loan broker)....
on
Today might be a slow day in the MBS market but wait and see this afternoon; there will be a major sell off and it will be followed up with another sell off for Thursday and Friday. We will get a breather next Monday and Tuesday and then it will follow by sell off's.
on
here's what the big lender has posted this AM on the web for their customers: https://www.wellsfargo.com/jump/homeassist
on
Does anyone know if this new "Making Home Affordable" plan includes brokers? In other words, I think we just lost our ability to provide competitive refinance mortgages for our customers.
on
Welcome to the conversation Mike, see the prior postings for PRESS RELEASE.
on
dmoises, I thought I was the only one allowed to be pessimistic! Stop stealing my thunder. Watch out, a few of our "Ostriches" wil be all over you in a minute or two, asking if you can be kicked off the blog for stating your opinion!
on
Looks like Wells Fargo is "PARTICIPATING". Anyone else?
on
Few quick observations about the program: 1. Giving a lender 2k, to forgive 50k...does not make sense. Am I missing something here? 2. Lenders are about to get swamped with calls/applications. What happened last time they experienced this....rates went up. 3. The 3-5 people I talk to a day in CA that owe 600k when the house is worth 400k are SOL. 4. It will help more then the 25 or so people that were helped with the last gov't program....but not up to 9 million. 5. By not taking steps to specifically include brokers, program will take to long to help anyone before the economy gets worse. Anyone else blown away by how much rates worsened this morning? Unreal.
on
Here is something I think we may have missed at the beginning of this and beating up Obama and his peep's for the program. "The federal bank, thrift, and credit union regulatory agencies worked closely with the Treasury Department in developing the guidelines". NMAB - WHERE ARE YOU?.
on
Our rates did not worsen this am. I think this progarm won't do much, just like the rest of them.
on
Well, we made a good run. Take care guys.
on
Just locked an FHA loan for 30 days at 5% at just under .5% cost. $525,000 loan and I was tired of playing the float boat game. With a loan that size, every change in pricing counts. Even if rates get better, you can sleep better at night knowing that you don't have to keep worrying about it on a day to day basis. Make your money and move on to the next deal.
on
I think there is too much overanalyzing the MBS going on in this forum,. If you are looking for guidance on rates more emphasis should be on the stock and bond market right now. Those markets are leading the way. I am grateful for the updates on MBS pricing on this site but pre-pay speeds and and ISNBN and Fed talk is meaningless. Rates are not going down unless the Fed starts buying Treasuries.
on
haha thanks for the morning humor Billy C.!!!
on
Agreed Collin i just locked two at 5% makin .85% which is not what i wanted but will work for me. Better to close than keep waiting.
on
Locked in a 4.875 with buying a point. Good deal or should i have waited? I am closing next thursday and was scared i would increase.
on
So I am trying to think of something that would actually help rates, trying to be a little more positive and a little less Beckish (I dont watch him, just been called this)...how about this: Treasury rates could go down significantly with the collapse of eastern europe and thus MBS rates would follow. As one analyst noted the other day, large investors have to put their money somewhere and if the entire world falls apart (as we fall apart) it is either treasuries, dollars or gold. I hope he is right and I am wrong.
on
...im actually not sure if you are joking or not Bill. Are you serious? If so please go back and read some of the blog posts from the past week. Your point about the stock lever was made repeatedly. As far as your comments about prepay speeds and Fed speak...wouldn't it make sense to listen to the Fed if you believe mortgage rates will only push lower when the Federal Reserve buys the long bond? And as far as prepays go...I cant say I agree that the most important determinant in the MBS price function is "meaningless" at this point.
on
what i cannot get over is why we need to incentivise lenders to make some sort of modification attempt prior ot foreclosing. If a loan can be modified and saved thus preventing foreclosure, what's not to love for both the lender and the client? Surely the banks must realize they'll save much more moeny modifying than by just going to foreclosure. Granted, many modified loans end up foreclosing but at that point, you've not lost any more than you would have (save time and effort) had it just gone to FC. I just don't see why the Fed govt sees the need to give banks more $$ to help people not get foreclosed upon. Banks should be doing that on their own on the basis of sound economics and business practices, shouldn't we?
on
Zach, I would sleep well with your decision to lock. Too much volatility out there! Just my two cents....
on
Bloomberg reference to rates as low as 2%--you think you had fencesitters after WSJ showed 4% target: President Barack Obama has proposed a $275 billion plan intended to help as many as 9 million troubled borrowers refinance or restructure their loans. About $75 billion would be used to rescue homeowners by agreeing to pay lenders for altering troubled mortgages while reducing borrowers interest rates as low as 2 percent.
on
Zach, good decision to lock.
on
I dont think he was joking. LOL I pay money for instant bond quotes, but for commentary this site provides a deeper look into the inner workings of the MBS market those sites just don't provide. Dont change a thing. Big ups Adam!
on
The other part of the housing problem that this plan doesn't address: “We have way too much supply and not enough demand,” Sam Khater, senior economist for First American, said in an interview. “People aren’t going to purchase a home as long as prices keep falling, and someone who is worried about their job isn’t going to purchase a home either.”
on
Adam, I'm not an expert and I value your opinion. Although I agree that MBS pricing is affected by prepay speeds and other factors related to the MBS market, they are are minimal compared to the the effect the bond and stock market have. It seems MBS pricing is being dictated by the stock and bond market, and from what I've been reading, the bond market is on the bubble and we could be headed for a train wreck. My frustration is with the Fed, the announcements they have been making lately have had no impact on rates. According to Bill Gross, (PIMCO) who is one of the authorized agents buying MBS for the FED, if and when the FED starts buying long bonds, that will be a great day for bonds and rates. Other than that, is there any chance rates can come down? I think we are currently in "ISNBN" and if there are any signs of the DOW climbing back or positive news, todays rate might look like a bargain. JMHO. Here is a link to a great site for bond news. http://briefing.com/Investor/Public/MarketSnapshot/BondMarketUpdate.htm
on
I'm not sure what I was expecting.... I must say what they're doing with the issue of refinances being done by existing lenders only seems wrong. It hurts competition unless other lenders (thus brokers) are given an opportunity to sell these same products... i.e., new programs on our rate sheets... otherwise, I suppose we should all get a job at one of the big banks who are being handed all of this business - am I missing something?
on
I think the brokers here are missing the point of this refi/modification deal. These deals arent for people who can currently refi/making on time pmts and all that. These options are only going to be for clients that are facing delinquencies, or cannot refi due to high loan-to-value/balance along with impending delinquencies. I am an LO at a bank, these are clients I would be otherwise unable to help. And frankly, I won't be "handed" this business because it isnt really "business." These are going to be handled by loan modification specialists, not LOs at banks.
on
Again, this is a complete circus. Here we have bad news and the stock market is flying like there has been great news. The bond market is selling off and the activity in the MBS is slow but steadily moving. Complain to your state reps and we as a people need to find a way to stop this chaos. We need to do a March to our Capital's with signs and millions of people. Who here can organize this?
on
President Obama Where Are Our Rates? President Obama Where Are Our Rates? He promised change!
on
I just had my customer whom won't do anything until she sees rates at 4.50 call me to let me know that rates have dropped this morning. Bless her heart! She loves and will continue to wait until that day comes. I am not telling her to wait but this is now affecting millions more who are worthy to refinance at better historical rates.
on
Scott, I would encourage you to read a little more closely the verbiage contained in the act. It is for ALL Frannie customers, refi's must be current on payments, can go to 105% ltv. Only the mods are going to be offered for delinquent or impending delinquent borrowers. How can the govt dictate that one line of business (banks) can write these refi s and not another? How is this NOT going to be offered through all channels? Seems to me that one more product on a rate sheet should be easy enough. I have several clients that I could take care of with this loan scenario and now I will have to refer them to their current servicer? What are we becoming -- The United Socialist States of what used to be America?
on
A reprice for the worse in on the horizon. Who cares right, because everyone is waiting for 4.5 and we are no where near.
on
Steve... Agreed, they dont have to be delinquent to refi,... Thank you for correcting me there. I am reading from what was posted on this blog as far as the details go. However, I think the point of doing these specific refi's back through the servicers is to do them at little or no cost to the client, easing the need for more equity (to cover closing costs) that isn't available to these clients. That cannot happen in the broker world unless you subsidize the costs in the rate, er go no benefit to the borrower in most cases. That's how I am seeing it anyway. Fannie and Freddie need to ease the LLPAs across the board so more people can afford to refi. That would help immensely!
on
Better explanation Bill...that puts your thoughts in a much different light. The bond market definitely faces challenges in the near future. When stock markets escape protectionist strategies, long term bond yields will begin to rise and MBS will fundamentally follow...making the Fed's job a little more difficult (and also eating away at their positive carry)...Fed purchases of the long bond will be beneficial to MBS as it allows the Federal Reserve to continue to buy thinner coupons. Prepays have taken a backseat to specified pool trading and the re-energizing of the roll...this apathetic feeling towards prepay speeds has been a major hindrance on primary mortgage rates and I expect it to continue until there is some concession made by the Administration on the inefficiencies of the GSEs regs and fees
on
Steve, I agree. I have two meetings this week, and I am telling them that I don't know yet, but I am thinking (unless I hear otherwise) that I'll be sending them both back to their current lender - I am so hoping that is not the case.These guys are prime for this, 80-90% LTV, and the are over 6% right now... WE NEED NAMB INVOLVEMENT!! - and right now.... WE WANT THE ABILITY TO SELL THESE LOANS! Even if we get them... what will they come with? PMI over 80%?... Price adjustments or a separate rate catagory ala "jumbo conforming"? - Can I be competitive????? NAMB... help!
on
Scott - SOMEONE has to be paid - whether its a broker, or the guy sitting in the branch - SOMEONE has to underwrite them, appraise them, fund them... all those people have to be paid.... why shouldn't it be MY team through my lender?? Why should B of A and Wells get all that business? It is NOT cheaper, and it will take them WAY WAY LONGER... !
on
https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/ssg/annltrs/pdf/2009/0904.pdf New fannie guidelines
on
I gotcha Steve, and as a former broker I totally get the frustration here. I think they (the banks) are going to streamline most of those that they can, no appraisals, etc maybe treat them as simple modifications. On the broker side everything is a la cart as far as costs go and cannot be absorbed like they can internally at a bank. As it is now, I am seeking bank clients I can streamline internally to save them and me time, costs and headaches. I didn't need the feds to give me an incentive to do that. That's the inherent benefit of banker vs broker, from a loan officer standpoint. And right or wrong, I think there's a perception/belief that in general, the mortgage broker community shouldn't benefit from a problem they had a large hand in causing (among the others that caused the issues we face today). There's obviously efforts being made to basically shut down mortgage bokering based on the bad apples that have ruined it for everyone.
on
also Steve, check this out from the fnma site.... may ease your mind some... http://www.fanniemae.com/newsreleases/2009/4631.jhtml;jsessionid=HGQTGQCBXL2N3J2FECISFGA?p=Media&s=News+Releases
on
jalbin! Yeah!!!!!! An excerpt: ------------------------------------------ DU Refi Plus DU Refi Plus is a refinance of an existing Fannie Mae loan by any lender using Desktop Underwriter ® (DU®) for underwriting; the lender does not have to be the current servicer of the mortgage loan. As previously described in Desktop Underwriter ® (DU®) Version 7.1 April Update Release Notes issued on February 4, 2009, DU Refi Plus leverages DU and provides new functionality to systematically identify existing Fannie Mae loans, and extend underwriting flexibilities and documentation efficiencies to eligible loan casefiles. -------------------------- And Scott.... something about mothers and army boots and molesting collies seems appropriate, but I'll leave that for others.... -we sold the products they gave us to sell according to their guidelines - those that committed fraud, that's another thing - but I thought even the public in general is over blaming mortgage brokers.......
on
Jim I am going to pass up any opportunity to dispute who did what wrong and what was okay to broker since it was there to be brokered... that's just time wasted. I was merely pointing out a clear sentiment out there among consumers/poloticians and the media and what might be driving some of the changes that we've seen in the mortgage markets over the past two years. No need ot take it personally, or to go personal.
on
Scott, not taken personally - taken quite generally and professionally, actually. Simple, if you followed all the guidelines, and didn't cheat, you acted as the middleman they wanted you to be - my conscience is clear. I did 2 option ARMS, both of which had real reasons to use the product, both have been refinanced out long ago. It bothers me that you hold this attitude still, but this is the wrong forum for that discussion, you are right about that. Looks like MI guidelines are going to be good as well per my read, not required if they don't have it now, basically - I have no time to chat anymore - need to get going on this great news!! (unless I'm missing something?)
on
Good luck sir, we'll chat again soon, and glad you're one of the good guys! There's many like you out there. And again, not my opinion that brokers are bad, just general sentiment among many others.