Bond markets only managed to hold steady today, and it felt like the worst day of the year.  There are mortgage-specific reasons for that, however, considering that the average rate sheet has now spent 2 days without improving for the first time all year.  And of course, I'll acknowledge that it's much less meaningful to say things like "worst of the year" and/or "all year" when we're not even through the first 2 business weeks yet.

If I wanted to put a more positive spin on this, I would point out that the S&P gained over 30 points today--something that seems like it should have resulted in more bond market weakness than it did.  To be sure, bonds and stocks spent most every minute of the day moving in the same direction.  It's just that when they moved higher, stocks did so at a faster pace.

Tomorrow brings Retail Sales data as the key economic report.  It's fair to wonder if anyone will give a damn considering the absence of damns given for last week's normally important economic data.  Perhaps with the 'earnings recession' being a key theme in equities markets, Retail Sales will be more meaningful than employment data (after all, we already know job creation is solid).  Beyond that, keep in mind that it's the Friday before a 3-day weekend.  Traders will be tuning out early, and volatility could increase as a result.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.5
103-26 : +0-01
Treasuries
10 YR
2.0910 : +0.0250
Pricing as of 1/14/16 5:23PMEST

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  ""C-""
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. 29-YEAR 10-MONTH BOND BID-TO-COVER RATIO 2.29, NON-COMP BIDS $12.74 MLN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. SELLS $13 BLN 29-YEAR 10-MONTH BONDS AT HIGH YIELD 2.905 PCT, AWARDS 62.27 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH"
Matthew Graham  :  "average bid to cover has been around 2.4"
Matthew Graham  :  "30yr yield expectation at 2.887"
Ted Rood  :  "I have gotten two Fannie "value accepted" purchases this year No refis"
Branden Jensen  :  "Does Freddie offer an appraisal waiver still? What about Fannie? Doing a refi of a July 2009 Freddie Mac loan at an appraised value below 60% LTV with 800 credit scores. LP is asking for full appraisal. ANy advice?"