No love for bond markets...

That's the only possible takeaway after a day where technicals are stacking up in a friendly way, Retail Sales and several other economic reports come in weaker than expected, a 10yr Treasury Refunding Auction absolutely knocks the cover off the ball, yet bond markets STILL manage to end red on the day.

Bonds ended red at home and abroad.  While the "abroad" story continues to be one of the most compelling factors for domestic bond markets, we were also hit again today with heavy corporate issuance.  Recall yesterday that we mentioned the morning rate spike resulted in several large players holding off bringing their deals to market.  10yr yields were 14bps lower this morning, so guess what...

Corporate creditors unloaded with another multi-billion dollar day, led by Qualcomm and ConoccoPhillips (which accounted for $12.5 billion themselves).  As we've been discussing, corporate issuance hurts bond market pricing by increasing supply and by creating some selling demand in Treasuries as a part of the rate-lock process.  Today was no exception.  Between European weakness and an epic supply glut when combined with Treasury issuance, the buying needs were too much for buyers to bear.  So we're moderately weaker despite all other signs pointing toward gains. 

The only saving grace is that we didn't break into new 2015 highs.  The show's not necessarily over yet, but today was discouraging and more than a bit ominous.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-09 : -0-08
FNMA 3.5
103-23 : -0-05
FNMA 4.0
106-12 : -0-03
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5800 : -0.0160
10 YR
2.2850 : +0.0380
30 YR
3.0720 : +0.0620
Pricing as of 5/13/15 4:01PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
2:04PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: If You Haven't Seen a Reprice Yet, You Probably Will
1:12PM  :  Ridiculously Good 10yr Auction; Ridiculously Disappointing Follow-Through
11:32AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Negative Reprice Risk Increasing
10:37AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Unfortunately, There is Already a Modest Amount of Reprice Risk
9:43AM  :  Trying to Defend Gains After Weaker Retail Sales Data

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Victor Burek  :  "bund weakness is holding us back"
Ted Rood  :  "Treasuries caught in a rip tide, can't escape the outward flow."
Bromi Krock  :  "momentum is not in our favor right now"
Victor Burek  :  "hopefully tonight bunds rally back from their late day move higher for apparently no reason"
Matthew Graham  :  "biggest bid to cover since June 2014"
Matthew Graham  :  "biggest indirect bid EVER"
Matthew Graham  :  "biggest beat in yield since Sep 2013"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- PRIMARY DEALERS TAKE 18.94 PCT OF U.S. 10-YEAR NOTES SALE, DIRECT 20.89 PCT AND INDIRECT 60.17 PCT"
Matthew Graham  :  "A++"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - U.S. 10-YEAR NOTES BID-TO-COVER RATIO 2.72, NON-COMP BIDS $46.26 MLN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. SELLS $24 BLN 10-YEAR NOTES AT HIGH YIELD 2.237 PCT, AWARDS 96.52 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH"
Matthew Graham  :  "10yr Auction preview: Yield expectation is currently hovering around 2.253. The average bid-to-cover has been 2.65 and the last few auctions have come in slightly lower than expected. Indirects have taken 53% on average."
Timothy Baron  :  "Hello Team! The last day to sign owner-occupied refinances in order to fund in MAY is MONDAY, MAY 25, 2015… which is Memorial Day Federal holiday. (Funds Friday 05/29) Note: Borrowers can sign on the holiday, but the 25th cannot be counted in the rescission period. "