Today went off without a hitch for bond markets.  A rally in European debt overnight (strong German bond auction) helped Treasuries and MBS start the domestic session in positive territory.  The massive reversal in yesterday's month-end "steepening" trades was also clearly evident.  In other words, bonds with longer maturities were in more favor today as the month-end trading positions that favored shorter maturities no longer needed to be defended.

As expected, the biggest mover of the day was the economic data.  Here again, an absence of month/quarter end trading considerations combine with the fact that today's reports provide relevant insight to Friday's jobs report meant that this morning's data stood a good chance to set the tone.  Indeed it did, and in a great way for rates as ADP was much weaker than expected.  Then at 10am, ISM Manufacturing fell to the weakest level since May 2013, further building a case for a general turn in the data.

Bonds rallied in both instances, but 10yr yields hit resistance at 1.852.  That's important and interesting because it's the same level that provided resistance last week.  It's also in the midst of a long term inflection point.  This raises the risk of weakness tomorrow, but clearly suggests a weak NFP would help break through the resistance. 

Lenders passed along the price gains on rate sheets, bringing most to their best levels since early February.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
102-19 : +0-09
FNMA 3.5
105-09 : +0-07
FNMA 4.0
107-03 : +0-05
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5390 : -0.0200
10 YR
1.8590 : -0.0676
30 YR
2.4660 : -0.0740
Pricing as of 4/1/15 5:32PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
2:26PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: More of an FYI Than an Alert, But if You Wanted to Lock Before NFP...
9:06AM  :  Bond Markets Rally on ADP Miss, Pull Back on Lockhart Reminder

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Victor Burek  :  "http://mndne.ws/1I5ntYj"
Victor Burek  :  "Removal of bankruptcy and foreclosure policy: Fannie Mae is removing the requirement that the borrower (on the new loan) meet the standard waiting period and re-establishment of credit criteria in the Selling Guide following a bankruptcy or foreclosure. The requirement that the original loan must have met the bankruptcy and foreclosure policies in effect at the time the loan was originated is also being removed."
Josh Olson  :  "That is what i thought and I have that but UW is telling me 24 months from discharge or 48 from dismissal"
Scott Valins  :  "you'll most likely need bk judge approval if still in BK"
Scott Valins  :  "Josh no restrictions with HARP"
Josh Olson  :  "LP HARP Open Access. Getting LP Accept. Client is 5 yrs into a ch 13 w/ on-time payments. I know fannie & freddie are 2 yrs from discharged but do any of you know if you can get this done w/ a HARP?"
Gus Floropoulos  :  "sounds excessive"
Ross Miller  :  "can someone please explain why a lender who requested a record of account transcript would also need a regular return transcript? The record of account shows the line item filing and the changes."