First, a quick point of order: remember that tonight is "the roll" for Fannie and Freddie 30yr Fixed MBS.  That means March coupons will stop trading and April coupons will take over as the new representative for prices.  Because April coupons have always been trading about a quarter point below March coupons, it will look like prices dropped by about that much heading into tomorrow.

If bond markets were to begin tomorrow perfectly unchanged, the roll means that MBS prices won't be anywhere close to Friday's pre-NFP levels.  That's one of the challenges of strictly following MBS prices when it comes to keeping an eye on movements in rates.  It's also one of the reasons we rely on Treasuries as the better broad indicator of momentum for US rates, and simply stay on guard for potential deviations from the correlation with MBS. 

So unlike MBS, if bonds don't move much overnight, Treasuries WILL actually remain close to Friday's pre-NFP levels.  That said, they didn't cross them today.  In fact, they even seemed to encounter some resistance when they got close.  This makes the 2.12-2.13 area an important short term inflection point to watch.  This is basically where yields hit the wall today (they got as low as 2.11, but bounce most frequently just under 2.13).

2015-3-10 dashboard chart


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-10 : +0-14
FNMA 3.5
104-13 : +0-08
FNMA 4.0
106-18 : +0-00
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6800 : -0.0160
10 YR
2.1210 : -0.0710
30 YR
2.7080 : -0.0880
Pricing as of 3/10/15 5:28PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:46AM  :  Europe Finally Doing What's Needed to 'Save' US Bond Markets

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "A-"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- PRIMARY DEALERS TAKE 40.53 PCT OF U.S. 3-YEAR NOTES SALE, DIRECT 8.04 PCT AND INDIRECT 51.42 PCT"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. 3-YEAR NOTES BID-TO-COVER RATIO 3.33, NON-COMP BIDS $88.02 MLN"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- U.S. SELLS $24 BLN 3-YEAR NOTES AT HIGH YIELD 1.104 PCT, AWARDS 91.74 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH"
Matt Hodges  :  "29 days or less at application, 90 days to close (at least in our house)"
Scott Valins  :  "can someone tell me Fannie guide for paystub expiration? Is it 30 or 60 days from period end? "