While the week ahead is shorter than normal  thanks to Labor day, it's no less relevant.  In fact, it's probably quite a bit more relevant than anything we had in August for several very good reasons.

None of those reasons have anything to do with the important domestic economic data on tap.  After all, that'd be silly given just how well markets have been able to ignore it in favor of European markets and geopolitical risk.  That said, several of this week's reports can't be ruled out as market movers.  That's especially true--as always--of Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls, but we also get ISM Manufacturing data on Tuesday, and Non-Manufacturing on Thursday and again on Thursday, along ADP Employment (later than normal due to short week).  All of these reports can move markets, and frequently do.

Significantly more important than the US economic data is the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy announcement and press conference with ECB President Draghi.  That's because the prospects for ECB quantitative easing are driving steady, long-term bond market gains above all other factors.  Markets don't widely expect ECB QE to be announced at their meeting this Thursday morning, but traders will listen to Draghi intently for clues as to how it could take shape, when and if it eventually get's underway.

MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
FNMA 3.0
99-16 : +0-00
FNMA 3.5
102-30 : -0-01
FNMA 4.0
105-30 : +0-00
2 YR
0.5040 : +0.0120
10 YR
2.3820 : +0.0370
30 YR
3.1340 : +0.0490
Pricing as of 9/2/14 7:24AMEST

Tomorrow's Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Sep 02
10:00 ISM Manufacturing PMI * Aug 56.8 57.1
10:00 Construction spending (%)* Jul 1.0 -1.8
Wednesday, Sep 03
7:00 Mortgage Market Index w/e 352.0
9:45 ISM-New York index * Aug 644.4
10:00 Factory orders mm (%) Jul 11.0 1.1
Thursday, Sep 04
8:15 ADP National Employment (k)* Aug 220 218
8:30 International trade mm $ (bl)* Jul -42.2 -41.5
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims (k)* w/e 300 298
10:00 ISM N-Mfg PMI * Aug 57.5 58.7
Friday, Sep 05
8:30 Non-farm payrolls (k)* Aug 225 209
8:30 Unemployment rate mm (%)* Aug 6.1 6.2
8:30 Private Payrolls (k)* Aug 208 198