MBS Live: MBS Afternoon Market Summary
Markets were still shaking off some of the extended weekend today as volume was relatively low for MBS.  Treasury volume arrived in bursts centered on the two Fed buybacks.  Occasionally, low volume can create an environment that's more susceptible to volatility.  For a few moments, that looked as if it could be the case today, but bond markets ultimately maintained their composure and were able to coast toward the exits at relatively similar levels to this morning.  This is either coincidental or a testament to the indecision and anticipation ahead of the week's key events on Thursday and Friday in the form of the ECB Announcement and Friday's Employment Situation Report.  
MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
FNMA 3.5
106-01 : -0-01
FNMA 4.0
107-07 : -0-02
FNMA 4.5
108-06 : -0-01
FNMA 5.0
109-08 : +0-01
GNMA 3.5
108-08 : -0-01
GNMA 4.0
109-22 : -0-02
GNMA 4.5
109-24 : -0-01
GNMA 5.0
110-12 : -0-05
FHLMC 3.5
105-27 : -0-01
FHLMC 4.0
106-31 : -0-01
FHLMC 4.5
107-20 : -0-01
FHLMC 5.0
108-10 : -0-05
Pricing as of 4:05 PM EST
Afternoon Reprice Alerts and Updates
Below is a recap of instant Reprice Alerts and updates issued via email and text alert to MBS Live subscribers this afternoon.

1:05PM  :  ALERT ISSUED: MBS Well Off Highs Despite Outperforming Treasuries
We're not in entirely awful shape at the moment, but noticeably worse-off than 10am-1230pm levels. Bond markets started out in challenging territory today, but were able to mostly battle back into the 10am-11am hour. The scheduled Fed buying from 10:15-11:00am as well as weak economic data provided a good opportunity for tactical buying in bond markets.

But after that bid-side interest dried up, we were left with limited motivation to break into new highs (or new lows in 10yr yields). Combine that with lighter volume and a hefty slate of corporate debt issuance (which can create pressure on bond markets due to "rate-lock selling") and a few big sell tickets in futures and all of a sudden, the herd moves in the other direction.

For 10yr yields, that leaves us in the worst shape of the morning, but still holding on to the afternoon pivot points from Friday. MBS are outperforming their Treasury counterparts, but nonetheless have fallen well-off their highs of the day. Fannie 3.0's are down 4 ticks to 103-22 after being as high as 103-28 earlier. In terms of distance from rate-sheet generation time, this isn't necessarily sufficient for negative reprice risk, but if we continue to trend into weaker territory, the trend itself could be disconcerting enough for increased reprice risk. 103-22 and higher likely constitutes safer territory whereas a break of the morning lows at 103-19 would indicate a negative shift in reprice risk.
11:01AM  :  ECB's Weidmann isolated on opposing bond buying - paper
(Reuters) - German Central Bank President Jens Weidmann is completely isolated in the European Central Bank in his opposition to buying government bonds, a Dutch newspaper reported on Tuesday, citing unnamed sources.

Both publicly and behind closed doors, Weidmann has no support for his opposition to ECB President Mario Draghi's plan to help Spain and Italy with new interventions, Dutch daily Het Financieele Dagblad said.
Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of the featured comments from the MBS Live Dashboard's Live Chat feature, utilized by hundreds of industry professionals each day.

Matt Hodges  :  "WF nonserviced DURPs to be locked by 9/24 and purchased by 11/30"
David Z.  :  "We got hit today"
SMTM  :  "some may have significantly worse pricing on any lock 45 days and greater only"
Matthew Graham  :  "last g-fee hike, lenders varied as to how they implemented. By the time BB&T came out with their official statement on the topic, some of us had already suspected other lenders were pricing it in. Other lenders waiting days or weeks before a noticeable effect on rate sheets. "
SMTM  :  "you may see some lenders take it all at once, and others slow play it into their pricing"
SMTM  :  "the new gfee has been announced from fnma last week. starts 45 days from now"
Victor Burek  :  "i'm seeing same to better"
Michael Mitchell  :  "Andy- Mixed bag. My leading lender has significantly better pricing versus Friday"
Andy Pada  :  "is everyone else seeing a 50 - 80 bps difference in pricing?"
Chris Kopec  :  "Just received memo from Flagstar indicating Isaac-affected zip codes to require reinspections. "
Curt Sandfort  :  "seems to me last time we had introduction of g-fees they moved huge in the first few days as well, then corrected."
Adam Quinones  :  "g-fee should get baked in this week as well."
Ken Crute  :  "stm goes in and out "
Curt Sandfort  :  "g fees are not 80 bps, this is ridiculous"
Bill Laffey  :  "they got worse all last week, in spite of MBS improvements. Sounds more like pipeline management, but severe."
Victor Burek  :  "or pipeline control"
Scott Rieke  :  "that sounds like g-fees. Mkt is unchg'd"
Bill Laffey  :  "From Fri to today"
Bill Laffey  :  "Curt, noticed same thing, 80bps worse on 30 and 20 yr "
Scott Rieke  :  "is it the g-fees?"
Curt Sandfort  :  "I have a couple floaters with Suntrust, what the heck happened to their pricing? Used to be solid, now they are absolutely out of the market. ugh."
Jason Wilborn  :  "I think 30 year fixed rates end up firmly in the 2's JH - 2.375-2.625 and we get that for a little while - at some point rates will go up just like they have done in Europe"
Jason Harris  :  "Loaded question....any thoughts/opinions on where we are at this time next year? Do we see new lows between now and then or are you guys expecting elevated rates....just looking for a gut opinion"
Matthew Graham  :  "so ECB bond-buying isn't news and isn't unexpected. What's unknown is what sort of shape it would take before German court ruling next Thursday"
Matthew Graham  :  "Draghi has pretty much said 2 days in a row now that he's gonna do whatever he wants up to 3yr maturities"
Jason Wilborn  :  "ECB and the Fed will have open bond buying programs by end of next week"

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