Stocks are moderately higher overnight, led by European averages after much better-than-expected debt auctions in Spain and Hungary.  S&P futures rose as much as 10 points, but have since backed off 3-4.  Bond yields rose as well, but the movement was much more contained with 10yr yields only climbing to 1.93 and are now back down to 1.92.  Fannie 3.5's are in the middle of yesterday's range at 102-29. 

Today is the first morning with some significant economic data.  The much-anticipated December Retail Sales hits at 830am along with weekly Jobless Claims.  The former is expected to have risen 0.3% after a 0.2% rise last month, while claims are seen at 375k versus a previous reading of 372k.  The last major auction of the week hits at 1pm with 30yr bonds.

 



Period

Unit

Actual

Forecast

Prior

Monday, January 09

 

 




15:00

Consumer credit

Nov

$bln

20.37

+7.00b

+7.65b

Tuesday, January 10

 

 




10:00

Wholesale inventories mm

Nov

%

+.01

+0.4%

+1.6%

10:00

Wholesale sales mm

Nov

%

+.06

+0.6%

+0.9%

13:00

3-Yr Note Auction

--

--

--


--

Wednesday, January 11

 

 




07:00

Mortgage market index (No Survey 12/28)

w/e

--

663.1

--

634.6

07:00

Mortgage market: change

w/e

%

4.5

--

-4.1%

07:00

MBA Purchase Index

w/e

--

177.1

--

163.9

07:00

Mortgage refinance index

w/e

--

3560.6

--

3448.3

07:00

Refinancing: change

w/e

%

3.3

--

-2.5%

07:00

MBA Purchase: change

w/e

%

8.1

--

-9.6%

07:00

MBA 30-yr mortgage rate

w/e

%

4.11

--

4.07%

01:00

10-Yr Note Auction

--

--

--

--

--

Thursday, January 12

 

 




08:30

Retail Sales mm

Dec

pct

--

+0.3%

+0.2%

08:30

Retail Sales Ex Autos

Dec

pct

--

+0.3%

+0.2%

08:30

Initial Jobless Claims

w/e

k

--

375k

372k

08:30

Continued jobless claims

w/e

$mln

--

3.59 m

3.595 m

10:00

Business inventories mm

Nov

%

--

+0.4%

+0.8%

13:00

30-Yr Bond Auction

--

--

--


--

14:00

Federal budget, $

Dec

$bln

--

-82.5b

-137.3b

Friday, January 13

 

 




08:30

International Trade

Nov

$bln

--

-45.0

-43.47

08:30

Import Prices

Dec

%

--

-0.1

+0.7

08:30

Export prices mm

Dec

%

--

+0.1

+0.1

09:55

U.Mich sentiment

Jan

--

--

71.5

69.9

09:55

U Mich conditions

Jan

--

--

80.2

79.6

09:55

U.Mich expectation

Jan

--

--

65.0

63.6