Learn. Share. Connect. (52,288 Members)  - Join
 

Site Tools

Join Now or Sign In
for Full Access to All Features

Local Professionals
(Change Your Location)

Recent Polls

Do you expect the home buyer tax credit extension to contribute to a noticeable pick up in loan production?

Created By: Adam Quinones
  • Yes, I anticipate an increase in activity (26.6%)
  • Only a modest upturn in production (44.5%)
  • Nope. 2009 demand stole from 2010 demand (28.9%)

Federal Reserve MBS Purchase Program

MBS OPEN: Rates RALLY After Jobs Data

Posted
 Email Page (New!)   |     Print   |     Bookmark

  • Oct Non-farm Payrolls Worse than Expected at -190,000 vs. consensus -175,000 vs. Sept -219,000 (previously -263,000)
  • Unemployment Rate: 10.2% vs. consensus 9.9% vs. Sept 9.8% (previously 9.8%). Highest unemployment rate since 10.2% in April 1983
  • August Non-farm payrolls revised to -154,000 from -201,000. July unrevised at -304,000
  • Average hourly earnings +0.3% vs. consensus +0.1% vs. Sept +0.1%, to $18.72 vs. Sept $18.67. Year-on-year average hourly earnings +2.4 %
  • Average work week 33.0 hours vs. consensus 33.1 vs. Sept 33.0.
  • Aggregate weekly hours index -0.2 % vs. Sept -0.5 %

Below are the market's reactions to the data. Dont get comfortable yet, the market's initial reaction is not the best indicator of the day ahead. Give this a few minutes to set in...

The 10yr....

The FN 4.5....

The yield curve initially moved steeper as the Fed Funds rate sensitive front end outperformed the long end of the curve...however as the 2yr ran into resistance at 0.84% the curve has calmed.

Stock futures are making new intraday lows...

Data provided by Thomson Reuters
Secondary Marketing Managers and Capital Markets Desks, if you are interested in subscribing to the same fixed income and mortgage market data we use:CLICK HERE.
Filed under:

Comments

Join Now or Login to Post Comments

on
Good Morning Adam. I can tell you were ready to go when they released this one. I'm sorry for all those people who are losing their jobs, but I can't help but be happy for me. We really are in a peculiar world to be happy for bad things.
on
Adam, Tell me when I can exhale and feel comfortable with this???
on
Not yet...the 10yr is now testing 3.50% and the FN 4.5 has fallen back to 101-07.
on
Should have known it would turn out this way. I locked em up last night. Oh well just a little change lost!!
on
This is a joke....if it came out good they would have been running away with it....it comes out bad and its rally time for us but for about 20 minutes because the investors are sick of the safe investments. I wouldnt even be surprised if we finish this day down. Im all for free markets, but when speds like this are running around like a chicken with their head cut off its embarrassing.
on
AQ dont forget the 17.5% U6-unemployment number. Average hourly earnings showing improvement which the fed will probably like-along with the market bulls. Retail sales for xmas will be awesome with 17.5% of the American work force "underemployed". Did they have the term "underemployed" back in the depression? More than 30 million Americans receive food stamps, millions of kids receive food assistance at the schools they attend, over 17% of American's either don't have a job or have a job that does not cover their bills but seriously folks everything is okay. Anyone watch the D Show last night?-some funny stuff.
on
15 minutes in STOCKS Rally and Bonds hit a wall. Good thing the unemployment didn't come in at 9.9%-10.00%....it would be real nasty in MBS land. Early in the day so we shall see.
on
Stocks are on a sugar high. That DOW 10,000 is like crack... these bums keep coming back for more. Can't believe that MBS has shed 15 ticks in 15 mins back down to 100.31