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From MBS Commentary

MBS MID-DAY: Treasuries Green, MBS Red

The Day Ahead: MBS in Full Melt-Down Mode. What Next?

MBS Annihilated After Fed Confirms The Hype

MBS MID-DAY: THIS IS WHY YOU WANT MBS LIVE!

The Day Ahead: Has All the Hype Been Remotely Justified?

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FHFA Watchdog Sends Milestone Report to Congress

Why Did Mortgage Rates Skyrocket Past 2013 Highs on Wednesday...

House Rejects CFPB Testimony on Qualified Mortgage Rule

Mel Watt Hearings; Current Origination Numbers; Foreclosure Process...

Distressed Sales Fall Under 25 Percent in California

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Mortgage Rates Skyrocket Past 2013 Highs Today; Existing Home Sales; Mortgage Apps

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MBS MID-DAY: Treasuries Green, MBS Red

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May 23 2013, 11:09 AM

It was only a minor beat for the just-released New Home Sales report, but MBS are now down a tick on the day at 101-20. 10yr yields are up a quick 2bps since the report to 2.025 and for lenders that priced at an inopportune time near the highs of the...
The Day Ahead: MBS in Full Melt-Down Mode. What Next?

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by Matthew Graham on May 23 2013, 6:58 AM

The idea of "tapering" the Fed's long term asset purchases isn't as new as the past two weeks might make it seem. It was most visibly introduced in early February when both Bullard and Fisher spoke out in favor of the notion. But a quick count of all...
MBS Annihilated After Fed Confirms The Hype

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May 22 2013, 4:05 PM

10's are on the verge of breaking above previous high yields and MBS are just stepping into new lows for the day as the late-day leakage officially begins. Fannie 3.0s are down nearly a full point at 101-25 and 10's are up 10bps to 2.0333. Additional...
MBS MID-DAY: THIS IS WHY YOU WANT MBS LIVE!

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by Matthew Graham on May 22 2013, 12:41 PM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary If you read this commentary with any sort of frequency, you may have noticed a trend of late, where the mid-day recap has been coming out later than normal. As we've said, this happens when MBS have sold off sufficiently...
The Day Ahead: Has All the Hype Been Remotely Justified?

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by Matthew Graham on May 22 2013, 7:23 AM

Wednesday May 22nd, and we finally get to see what all the fuss is supposedly about . The "fuss" or hype, if you prefer, was theoretically kicked into high gear by a somewhat bungled pre-release ' leak ' of a Hilsenrath story about the Fed 'mapping an...
MBS RECAP: Big Bounce Higher Ahead of Fed

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May 21 2013, 4:09 PM

After Fed's Bullard was out earlier with dovish comments, NY Fed Pres William Dudley has now hit the wires with more of the same, and with some MBS-specifics to boot. Fannie 3.0s are up 13 ticks currently at 103-23 and 10's are down around 3bps...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Rallying. Wait... What?

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by Matthew Graham on May 21 2013, 11:55 AM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Like a jilted lover learning how to trust again, MBS were tentative at first, and Treasuries hesitated at 1.97 as they descended from morning weakness, but both have rallied directionally since then. The possibility...
The Day Ahead: Recent Volatility Might be Logical

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by Matthew Graham on May 21 2013, 6:12 AM

There continues to be little to do or say about the first two days of the week. For the most part, they merely serve as a sort of cruel waiting game (or torture rack) ahead of Wednesday's FOMC events. Those events include the Bernanke testimony to the...
MBS RECAP: Another Hopeful Morning Dashed by Defensive Reality

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May 20 2013, 4:05 PM

In the interest of leaving nothing to the imagination and no doubts about reprices being guaranteed, they're pretty much guaranteed at this point. Some lenders might be coming around for a second pass. That's uncommonly awful at this time of day...
MBS MID-DAY: Morning Gains Give Way to Mid-Day Rout (again)

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by Matthew Graham on May 20 2013, 12:20 PM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Please note the timestamp on the pricing snapshot below, and that it's about an hour and 15 minutes old. The snapshot will continue to be generated between 11:00-11:10am while the MID-DAY Commentary time may vary...
The Week Ahead: No Scheduled Data Before Wednesday's Important FOMC Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on May 20 2013, 7:53 AM

Whether or not it turns out to be justified, hype and anticipation have been building over this week's FOMC Minutes for over a week now. The hype concerns the notion that the Fed Minutes will show a Fed board that is somewhat closer to tapering QE3 than...
MBS RECAP: Reminded of Volatility via Friday Cliff-Diving

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May 17 2013, 4:09 PM

Fannie 3.0s hovering around 102-16, in line with yesterday's and today's lows. This after a bounce attempt from 12:30 to 1:30 that got us up to 102-22. The few traders who came back to the desk after lunch quickly corrected that little problem...
MBS MID-DAY: Third Time is NOT the Charm for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on May 17 2013, 12:22 PM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Here we are again... All but a few days this week have seen morning sell-offs that have required negative reprice alerts for MBS Live subscribers . As previously intimated, such alerts delay the publication of these...
The Day Ahead: Winding Down and Range Finding; 2 Cool Charts

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by Matthew Graham on May 17 2013, 7:53 AM

The bulk of the week's activity has passed, from a calendar standpoint, and this morning's Consumer Sentiment data is all that's left on the domestic agenda. Even in the overnight session, there are no interesting data sets, and really, no data period...
MBS RECAP: Purposeful Rally Helps Define Pre-FOMC Range

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May 16 2013, 4:09 PM

It's conceivable that a lender or two would be considering a negative reprice fairly shortly as Fannie 3.0s have fallen more than 4 ticks from the last reported reprices. Even then, the pace of the selling is relatively contained overall, and Fannie...

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Recognizing that real estate investors have played a key role in the state's housing market recovery, the California Association of Realtors® (C.A...
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If you're like me and rest your weary eyes each night by reading the Fair Housing Act of 1968, then you don't need to be told that the act " prohibits...
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There continues to be little to do or say about the first two days of the week. For the most part, they merely serve as a sort of cruel waiting game (or...
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MBS RECAP: Another Hopeful Morning Dashed by Defensive...

In the interest of leaving nothing to the imagination and no doubts about reprices being guaranteed, they're pretty much guaranteed at this point....
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Mortgage rates continued May's nearly constant trend higher to begin the week, though the pace of increases is slower compared to that seen on Friday....
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Maintaining that the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the GSEs) have caused government involvement in the mortgage market to balloon to...
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Fannie Forecast Serves up Feast for Housing Recovery...

Fannie Mae's economic and strategic research team today called the housing recovery "undeterred" after it contributed 0.3 percentages points to economic...
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Most risk professionals who participated in a recent survey believe the status quo is going to prevail when it comes to loan delinquencies over the next...
MBS Commentary

MBS MID-DAY: Morning Gains Give Way to Mid-Day Rout...

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Please note the timestamp on the pricing snapshot below, and that it's about an hour and 15 minutes old. The snapshot...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.77%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.93%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.88%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 107-04 (0-00)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 108-01 (0-03)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 108-14 (0-01)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -9.77%
|
Refinance Index -11.66%
|
NAHB Builder Confidence 4.76%

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