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MBS Day Ahead: Absence of Data Leaves Focus on Technicals and...

MBS RECAP: What is Actavis and How Did it Ruin Our Day?

MBS MID-DAY: In Hindsight, Morning's Big Sell-Off is Simple

MBS Week Ahead: Refocusing on Data as March Begins

MBS RECAP: Slow, Steady Gains for Bond Markets

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Mortgage Rates Back up to 3.875 Percent

FHFA Sets Rules for Bulk Loan Sales

Construction Spending Eased in January; Most Segments Higher...

Private MI Updates; Trends in Fast Growing Rental Markets and...

Mortgage Rates End Bad Month on Good Note

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Mortgage Rates Back up to 3.875 Percent; Bond Market Weakness Simple in Hindsight; FHFA Sets Rules for Bulk Loans; Construction Spending Eases

Published: 3/2/2015

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MBS Day Ahead: Absence of Data Leaves Focus on Technicals and Tradeflows

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by Matthew Graham on March 03 2015, 7:33 AM

Yesterday morning, bond traders held off on more meaningful selling until they could rule out a big miss in the ISM data. That would normally mean today could provide a clearer look at organic momentum as there are no major reports on tap . But in the...
MBS RECAP: What is Actavis and How Did it Ruin Our Day?

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by Matthew Graham on March 02 2015, 5:34 PM

Have you heard much about Actavis before today? Me neither, but that sure changed quickly! Actavis is a big pharmaceutical company that announced it would buy Allergan back in Nov for around $66 bln. As is sometimes the case with these big buyouts, the...
MBS MID-DAY: In Hindsight, Morning's Big Sell-Off is Simple

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by Matthew Graham on March 02 2015, 12:44 PM

In hindsight, this has turned out to be a simple morning for bond markets. That wasn't the case earlier when we could only guess at the likely culprits behind a pervasive--even counterintuitive--push toward weaker levels. Then again, maybe that should...
MBS Week Ahead: Refocusing on Data as March Begins

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by Matthew Graham on March 02 2015, 7:34 AM

It's an exciting and dangerous time for US rates markets, full of risk and opportunity. For those of us who were closely watching trends in rates at the end of 2013, the last 14 months have been unexpectedly excellent. Much of the excellence had to...
MBS RECAP: Slow, Steady Gains for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2015, 4:59 PM

Very little has changed between now and the mid-day update (read that HERE if you like). To recap, bonds started the day roughly in line with yesterday's latest levels and made gradual improvements throughout the day. That was more true for MBS than...
MBS MID-DAY: Uneventful Month-End Session; Little Impact From Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2015, 1:06 PM

The last trading day of the month has managed to be a total let-down to anyone looking for excitement. In terms of doing no further harm , it's been just fine though--at least through mid-day. That wasn't necessarily looking like the case overnight...
MBS Day Ahead: Today Probably Won't Decide the Permanent Fate of Rates in the US

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2015, 7:34 AM

We're all a bit shaken up--us market watching types. Almost all of 2014 through January of 2015 was great, and now February has stuck out like a sore thumb. This week's refreshing rally on Tuesday was the first real glimmer of hope. As of Thursday...
MBS RECAP: Strong Start, Much Weaker Finish as Corporate Deals Hit Rates

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2015, 6:44 PM

For being a day that followed 2 sessions of gains in a month where 2 sessions of gains is nearly unheard of, today got off to a great start . There were new all-time lows in German Bund yields and US 10s were all the way down to 1.931 at their best levels...
MBS MID-DAY: Reprice Risk Mostly Dry as Bonds Cope with Post-Data Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2015, 11:41 AM

The day began on a strong note with US bond markets led higher in price by an even stronger overnight move in Germany. Following the mornings' economic data, MBS and Treasuries fell back into just slightly negative territory. The last update on MBS...
MBS Day Ahead: After Standing 8-Count, Will Bonds Come Out Swinging?

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2015, 7:34 AM

Domestic bond markets had been getting pummeled for exactly 3 weeks before getting a break on Tuesday. Then yesterday, they confirmed they're not going to go down without a fight. The question now becomes ' how hard will they fight back? '...
MBS RECAP: Extraordinarily Flat Day, Which is Awesome Right Now

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by Matthew Graham on February 25 2015, 5:44 PM

There are few situations that warrant more happiness or relief over what turned out to be a merely flat trading session in bond markets. Reason being: it helps legitimize and confirm yesterday's more determined movement. Looking at this in terms of...
MBS MID-DAY: Bonds Generally Faring Well Ahead of 5yr Auction

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by Matthew Graham on February 25 2015, 12:59 PM

Although there was a brief move to the lows of the day just after the noon hour, MBS have been doing a fine job of holding almost all of the gains from yesterday. As Yellen's testimony winds down--once again with no bombshells --bonds look willing...
MBS Day Ahead: So is it Greece or Yellen Moving Bond Markets?

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by Matthew Graham on February 25 2015, 7:34 AM

The answer to the question posed in the headline is "yes," both Yellen and Greece are moving markets. Unfortunately for the more traditional thinkers in the audience, US bond markets have unequivocally been taking their big-picture cues from...
MBS RECAP: Possibly a Record Day For Positive Reprices

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2015, 5:30 PM

If today wasn't a record in terms of positive reprice reports from MBS Live users, it was right up there. 44 have come through as yet, and it's not unheard of for reprices to hit even later. Their combined affect has been strong, but not epic...
MBS MID-DAY: Bonds Let Guard Down After no Yellen Bombshells

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2015, 1:18 PM

There are a lot of moving parts to today's movement, and most of them working in synergy to benefit bond markets. The day began with Greece getting their list of reforms submitted to the Eurogroup overnight. This made for a moderate amount of weakness...

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.81%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.11%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.80%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-19 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-29 (0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 112-12 (0-01)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -13.19%
|
Refinance Index -15.99%
|
Purchase Index -7.08%

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