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MBS RECAP: Still a Decent Week Despite Friday Slide
MBS Day Ahead: This Is The Shift. Now It's About Time and...
MBS RECAP: Snowball Rally For Bonds! Why? And What Next?
MBS Day Ahead: Twilight Zone: Strong Econ Data = Big Bond Rally...
MBS RECAP: Super Sideways Ahead of Retail Sales
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MBS RECAP: Still a Decent Week Despite Friday Slide
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 16 2021, 5:21 PM
Still a Decent Week Despite Friday Slide Thursday morning was exceptionally strong for bonds--perhaps too strong, with too much influence from artificial factors like short-covering and tech-triggered algos. Today's modest weakness reinforces a more...
MBS Day Ahead: This Is The Shift. Now It's About Time and Scope
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 16 2021, 10:06 AM
For virtually all of 2021 (and much of Q4 2020), we've been tracking an uptrend in Treasury yields. As the overall move grew to a size rarely seen in the past few decades, we were increasingly eager to see a token correction for technical reasons...
MBS RECAP: Snowball Rally For Bonds! Why? And What Next?
Comments (0)
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 15 2021, 3:56 PM
Snowball Rally For Bonds! Why? And What Next? Heading into today, we expected the bond market to ignore potentially stronger Retail Sales data. Not only did bonds overlook the big beat (9.8 vs 5.9 f'cast), but they actually rallied in response. This...
MBS Day Ahead: Twilight Zone: Strong Econ Data = Big Bond Rally
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 15 2021, 10:19 AM
Heading into today, we expected the bond market to ignore potentially stronger Retail Sales data. Not only did bonds overlook the big beat (9.8 vs 5.9 f'cast), but they actually rallied in response. This was made all the more remarkable by the presence...
MBS RECAP: Super Sideways Ahead of Retail Sales
Comments (0)
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 14 2021, 4:44 PM
Super Sideways Ahead of Retail Sales Retail Sales used to be a big ticket report, but like so many others, has been punching well below its weight post-covid. That will change at some point. We could see vague hints of that change as early as tomorrow...
MBS RECAP: Super Sideways Ahead of Retail Sales
Comments (0)
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 14 2021, 4:44 PM
Super Sideways Ahead of Retail Sales Retail Sales used to be a big ticket report, but like so many others, has been punching well below its weight post-covid. That will change at some point. We could see vague hints of that change as early as tomorrow...
MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Still Staring Down Range Boundaries
Comments (0)
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 14 2021, 10:09 AM
Yesterday was good for bonds with 10yr yields covering more ground toward lower yields during domestic trading hours than any other day since February. Nonetheless, when faced with an opportunity to break below the 1.62% resistance level, they ran the...
MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Still Staring Down Range Boundaries
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 14 2021, 10:09 AM
Yesterday was good for bonds with 10yr yields covering more ground toward lower yields during domestic trading hours than any other day since February. Nonetheless, when faced with an opportunity to break below the 1.62% resistance level, they ran the...
MBS RECAP: Strong Showing With Help From Vaccine Drama and a Solid Bond Auction
Comments (0)
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 13 2021, 4:03 PM
Strong Showing With Help From Vaccine Drama and a Solid Bond Auction The day began with bonds falling back to yesterday's range after rising in the overnight session. Concerns over the J&J vaccine were in focus. Inflation data (CPI) came out stronger...
MBS RECAP: Strong Showing With Help From Vaccine Drama and a Solid Bond Auction
Comments (0)
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by
Matthew Graham
on April 13 2021, 4:03 PM
Strong Showing With Help From Vaccine Drama and a Solid Bond Auction The day began with bonds falling back to yesterday's range after rising in the overnight session. Concerns over the J&J vaccine were in focus. Inflation data (CPI) came out stronger...
MBS Day Ahead: As Expected, Bonds Take Higher Inflation in Stride
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 13 2021, 9:01 AM
It's a sign of the times that the bond market responded with a modest rally following a stronger reading on CPI and a looming record-size 30yr bond auction this afternoon (not to mention stocks trading at all-time highs). Granted, yields are now 100bps...
MBS Day Ahead: As Expected, Bonds Take Higher Inflation in Stride
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 13 2021, 9:01 AM
It's a sign of the times that the bond market responded with a modest rally following a stronger reading on CPI and a looming record-size 30yr bond auction this afternoon (not to mention stocks trading at all-time highs). Granted, yields are now 100bps...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Look Past Weaker Treasury Auction
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 12 2021, 4:04 PM
Bonds Look Past Weaker Treasury Auction Treasury auction have been more important than normal so far in 2021 as they serve as good opportunities for traders to vote on the pace of rising rates. Most recently, they've been a litmus test for break from...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Look Past Weaker Treasury Auction
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 12 2021, 4:04 PM
Bonds Look Past Weaker Treasury Auction Treasury auction have been more important than normal so far in 2021 as they serve as good opportunities for traders to vote on the pace of rising rates. Most recently, they've been a litmus test for break from...
MBS Week Ahead: Treasury Auction Supply in Focus as Ceiling Battle Continues
Comments (0)
Read More
by
Matthew Graham
on April 12 2021, 9:43 AM
Three weeks ago, the bond market made its first attempt to rally toward lower yields after ending the previous week bouncing at a ceiling of 1.75% in the 10yr. Traders were generally upbeat as they moved through the 2 and 5 year Treasury auctions, but...
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Lock Desk, MLO, Underwriter Jobs; POS, Workflow, Digital...
Suddenly everyone’s ruminating on upcoming mergers and acquisitions (and there will definitely be some), but in the lower management ranks, lenders...
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MBS Day Ahead: This Is The Shift. Now It's About...
For virtually all of 2021 (and much of Q4 2020), we've been tracking an uptrend in Treasury yields. As the overall move grew to a size rarely seen...
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Snowball Rally For Bonds! Why? And What Next? Heading into today, we expected the bond market to ignore potentially stronger Retail Sales data. Not only...
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Buyer Demand Provides Modest Boost to Builder Confidence
New home builders seem to be slowly getting their mojo back. After recovering from the hit they took in the first days of the pandemic, they encountered...
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There are some clever people out there, especially when it comes to satisfying demand . Lenders know that mortgage pricing is a function of supply and...
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MBS Day Ahead: Twilight Zone: Strong Econ Data = Big...
Heading into today, we expected the bond market to ignore potentially stronger Retail Sales data. Not only did bonds overlook the big beat (9.8 vs 5.9...
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MBS RECAP: New Week, New Weakness
New Week, New Weakness The new week wasted very little time in reinforcing the realities of 2021. This is a rising rate environment until further notice...
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MBS Day Ahead: Where's The Ceiling? More Looking...
Bonds remain in the midst of a very large and sustained sell-off. Generally speaking, the rising rate environment is a logical byproduct of pandemic progress...
MBS Commentary
MBS RECAP: 'Unchanged' Feels Like a Victory
'Unchanged' Feels Like a Victory Bonds began the day at the highest yields in more than a year and slowly worked their way back to 'unchanged...
MBS Commentary
MBS Day Ahead: Real Story on Feb/March Rate Spike:...
Today is the last day of the month and quarter. That means more for financial markets than it does for many other sectors. While there is no hard and fast...
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MBS RECAP: Moderate Weakness But No Major Quarter-End...
Month/Quarter-End Trading Refresher; More Stimulus Details Today is the last day of the month and quarter. That means more for financial markets than it...
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MBS Day Ahead: New Month, New Hope, But High Bar For...
March's month/quarter-end trading got more credit than normal for moving markets in the past week or two. As such, it's fair to hope for April...
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MBS RECAP: Thursday Curse Broken. NFP Friday
Thursday Curse Broken. NFP Friday Thursdays have been almost universally bad in 2021--a point that was driven home when last week's example looked...
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MBS Day Ahead: Huge Jobs Numbers and a Logical (But...
There were "whisper" numbers earlier this week suggesting nonfarm payrolls could come in closer to 1 million as opposed to the median forecast...
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MBS RECAP: Higher Yields Today, But Next Week is More...
Huge Jobs Numbers and a Logical (But Muted) Bond Reaction There were "whisper" numbers earlier this week suggesting nonfarm payrolls could come...
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MBS Week Ahead: Rates Still Trying to Establish a Ceiling...
The rising rate trend of 2021 is increasingly being called into question--even if only temporarily--due to the inability of 10yr yields to quickly break...
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MBS RECAP: Decent Showing For Bonds Despite Strong...
Rates Still Trying to Establish a Ceiling The rising rate trend of 2021 is increasingly being called into question--even if only temporarily--due to the...
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MBS Day Ahead: First Real Trading Day of April; First...
Global financial markets are entirely open today for the first time since last Thursday, thus giving us a chance to see if this month's momentum will...
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Evidence For a Ceiling Continues to Accumulate All the normal disclaimers are in order: - This is a rising rate environment until proven otherwise. - Floating...
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Mortgage Rates:
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(-0-02)
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