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Fed Announces $2.3 Trillion in Lending. Will It Save The Mortgage...

Critical Questions and Concerns About The Road Ahead For Mortgage...

MBS Week Ahead: Is The Fed Really Buying Less Mortgage Debt This...

MBS Day Ahead: The Market Knows More Than Any One Person, And...

MBS Day Ahead: Data Doesn't Matter? Oh, It Will...

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Correspondent Products; Lender Eligibility for SBA PPP Loans;...

Mortgage Applications Retreat as Covid Weighs on Markets

Low Rates Could Mitigate Some COVID Damage

Forbearance Explosion Beginning to Hit Mortgage Market

After Blockbuster February, Home Prices Face Uncharted Territory

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Fed Announces $2.3 Trillion in Lending. Will It Save The Mortgage Market?

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by Matthew Graham on April 09 2020, 3:37 PM

The Fed announced new lending programs totaling $2.3 trillion this morning. The Fed had recently alluded to "additional tools" at its disposal to support the economy even after it had announced the latest round of Treasury/MBS purchases on March...
Critical Questions and Concerns About The Road Ahead For Mortgage Industry

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by Matthew Graham on April 08 2020, 12:08 PM

Any discussion about the challenges faced by a particular industry or even by a particular household requires the same acknowledgement right up front: the most devastating pandemic in modern history has unfortunate consequences for just about everyone...
MBS Week Ahead: Is The Fed Really Buying Less Mortgage Debt This Week?

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by Matthew Graham on April 06 2020, 10:58 AM

Here's this week's Fed MBS Purchase Schedule . The daily amount is down from a recent peak of $50 bln to $25 bln . So does that mean the Fed is only going to buy half as much MBS as it was buying 2 weeks ago? And if so, why aren't prices tanking...
MBS Day Ahead: The Market Knows More Than Any One Person, And Knows it Sooner

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by Matthew Graham on April 02 2020, 10:41 AM

Many people have "expert sources" they rely on for insight to potential market movers. I understand this quite well. On the one hand , I used to believe that such experts knew more than my 13yr old about what might happen next in the market...
MBS Day Ahead: Data Doesn't Matter? Oh, It Will...

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by Matthew Graham on April 01 2020, 9:43 AM

This morning's ADP Employment showed a loss of 27k jobs. Forecasts called for a loss of 150k jobs compared to last month's report that was strongly positive at +183k. Normally, when ADP or NFP job counts beat their forecast by more than 100k jobs...
HAVE A QUESTION ABOUT FED MBS BUYING?

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2020, 2:27 PM

CURRENT FED MBS BUYING SCHEDULE AND PURCHASE LOOKUP TOOL I'm changing up this Q&A to make it shorter, denser, and better. If it's too pithy for you, revisit the previous version of this commentary HERE and take time to internalize the bigger picture...
MBS Day Ahead: Let's Talk About Porridge

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2020, 9:42 AM

I don't know much about porridge. I'm not even sure I've ever eaten it. I do know one thing about it though: the temperature has to be "just right" from what I've heard. Markets--especially bond markets--are very much like Goldilocks...
The Fed Is Buying Fewer Mortgage Bonds This Week (Sort Of...)

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by Matthew Graham on March 30 2020, 12:19 AM

Here is this week's MBS buying calendar . It differs from last week's in that there is now only $40bln of purchases per day rather than $50bln. So does that mean MBS prices are doomed? Not even a little bit. In fact, the number is still so high...
MBS Day Ahead: Lender Pricing Will Continue to Defy MBS Logic in Some (Many?) Cases

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2020, 10:50 AM

I devoted years of my life championing the cause of educating mortgage originators on the realities of MBS price movement. The most compelling call to action came during the meltdown where MBS told a story that wasn't being told by Treasuries. Everything...
Who Broke The Mortgage Market And When Will It Be Fixed?

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2020, 5:17 PM

I will do my best to speak to both consumer and mortgage industry people on this topic. It affects everyone. With that in mind, the following is a list of questions that loan originators have been asking. Consumers might not be familiar with all the terms...
MBS Day Ahead: Visualizing The Drama And The Comeback in Mortgages

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by Matthew Graham on March 25 2020, 9:26 AM

It's no secret that volatility has been a big deal in the bond market (and most other markets) recently. But there's no comparing the drama seen in Treasuries to the utter chaos in mortgage bonds. Well actually, there is. We can certainly COMPARE...
DEFINITIVE FED MBS BUYING FAQ (And Other Resources to Consider Before Asking Your Questions)

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by Matthew Graham on March 24 2020, 11:49 AM

This page is now your official resource for the week when it comes to ANY AND ALL questions pertaining to what the Fed is doing in the mortgage market and what the impact is. Expect it to be updated each week only inasmuch as the Fed's bond buying...
Master List of Mortgage Market's COVID-19 Changes And Appraisal Tables

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by Matthew Graham on March 24 2020, 9:30 AM

Hit the comment section if we're missing anything and we'll get it updated to keep this as an up-to-date list of COVID-related changes to underwriting guidelines, forbearances, etc. The changes come at the direction of FHFA and are thus substantially...
MBS Week Ahead: Running Out of Superlatives to Describe Fed's Fury and MBS Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on March 23 2020, 9:52 AM

There was a time when several billion dollars a day of Fed MBS purchases was considered a lot. Then the Fed's coronavirus response happened. The Fed didn't like what it saw on Wednesday and Thursday. The already huge $5bln / day in MBS wasn't...
MBS Day Ahead: Is The Party Over Already? (Why Did Yields Spike and Will They Come Back?)

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by Matthew Graham on March 18 2020, 10:47 AM

Everyone has a lot to digest right now. The average human on planet earth is no different from the entire financial market in that regard. We're undoubtedly already several weeks into the sharpest and broadest economic contraction any of us have seen...

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Low Rates Could Mitigate Some COVID Damage

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MBS Week Ahead: Is The Fed Really Buying Less Mortgage...

Here's this week's Fed MBS Purchase Schedule . The daily amount is down from a recent peak of $50 bln to $25 bln . So does that mean the Fed is...
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Nationwide outlays for construction slipped slightly in February. The Census Bureau said public and private sources spent at a seasonally adjusted annual...
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In an earlier article , (before more pressing issues shelved the topic) we summarized highlights from a recent New York Times Magazine article about the...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.25%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.00%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.36%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 107-10 (-0-07)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 108-03 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 109-07 (-0-09)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 15.13%
|
Refinance Index 25.99%
|
Purchase Index -2.67%

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