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MBS RECAP: Strong and Stable all Day

MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Stronger After New Home Sales Data...

MBS Day Ahead: Aimless Week, Downbeat Home Sales Forecast, and...

MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Trickle Back to Positive Territory

MBS MID-DAY: Quick Move Back to Unchanged After Weaker Morning...

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Home Sales Tank; Inventories and Prices Surge

Number of Banks is Declining; New Interest in Condo Loans; Existing...

Mortgage Apps Decline; Loan Amounts hit Record High

Mortgage Rates Drift Higher Again

Applications, Prices, and Condo Sales Get Second Look

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Mortgage Rates Improve; Home Sales Tank, but not in California; Inventory and Prices Surge

Published: 4/23/2014

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MBS RECAP: Strong and Stable all Day

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2014, 4:21 PM

It was a refreshingly strong day for MBS and Treasuries. While the gains weren't immense by any standard, they were mostly present from the start of the day and never looked to be under dire threat. Weak economic data helped get things going in the...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Stronger After New Home Sales Data

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2014, 12:07 PM

Even before this morning's economic data, bond markets were already in slightly stronger territory. The data itself only helped, though it's a double-edged sword for the Housing Market. New Home Sales hit a 9 month low, falling to a 384k unit...
MBS Day Ahead: Aimless Week, Downbeat Home Sales Forecast, and Technical Silver Lining

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2014, 7:00 AM

The first two days back from the extended weekend have been surprisingly uneventful, and that's saying something considering they were already likely to be fairly quiet. There hasn't been much by way of potential market movers so far and if yesterday's...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Trickle Back to Positive Territory

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2014, 4:06 PM

The overarching caveat for any assessment of today's market activity is that the whole thing occurred in a relatively tight range. Sustained highs and lows were in a 4/32nds range in MBS and just over 2bps in 10yr yields. There was little, if any...
MBS MID-DAY: Quick Move Back to Unchanged After Weaker Morning

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2014, 12:07 PM

Stocks and bonds have been in relative lock-step for much of 2014 (stock prices and bond yields moving in same direction, aka 'stock lever'). The correlation had been on hold to a large degree over the past few sessions but made something of a...
MBS Day Ahead: More Meaningful Economic Data, Treasury Auctions Begin, Vacations End

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2014, 8:00 AM

Global financial markets were unequivocally still out on holiday breaks yesterday--unofficially in the US and officially in Europe. There were no major reactions to Geopolitical headlines or any other substantive market movers in the domestic session...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Weaker, but Staying Inside Last Week's Range

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2014, 3:57 PM

The trading day was an insult to anyone attempting to pay any attention today. Considering it was the slowest day of the year (including early closes ahead of holidays), it didn't take much effort by traders to move prices. There are two ways to look...
MBS MID-DAY: Holiday Weekend Unofficially Extending Today

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2014, 12:09 PM

If bond market activity is any indication, today might as well be another day of the extended holiday weekend. In fact, this is officially the case in Europe, which is part of the reason things are off to a slow start in the US. The other consideration...
MBS Week Ahead: Limited Data and Events Leave Focus on Headlines

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2014, 7:51 AM

Just a few short days after the ostensible deescalation in Ukraine following Thursday's Geneva talks, violence broke out over the weekend with a shootout between pro-Russia activists and unidentified gunmen. Russia quickly denounced the incident as...
MBS RECAP: Moderate Selling Followed by Heavy Selling and Tons of Reprices

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2014, 3:02 PM

Bond markets had a bad day. The setup for this one started as early as Tuesday, when what looked like a shift toward weakness on Monday was instead greeted with a refreshing amount of resilience. Despite the fact that the resilience was based on geopolitical...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Weaker After Economic Data Prompting Negative Reprices for Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2014, 11:34 AM

Given the recent adherence to a sideways range in bond markets combined with today's economic data coming in stronger than expected, it's not surprising to see yields moving from a lower rung on the range-bound ladder to the next rung higher....
MBS Day Ahead: Biggest Economic Data of the Week; Bond Markets Close at 2pm

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2014, 7:51 AM

At the beginning of the week, we discussed the shared fate between stocks and bonds, noting that they'd been exceptionally well-connected of late and that both were approaching the later phases of a move lower (in price for stocks, and in yield for...
MBS RECAP: Sharply Sideways Day for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2014, 3:17 PM

As of the 3pm Treasury pit close (the unofficial end of the day for bond markets), little, if anything has changed from this morning. Despite having a wide variety of potential market movers in play, bond markets instead saw a session that would be hard...
MBS MID-DAY: Grinding Back Toward Unchanged Amid Lack of Inspiration

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2014, 12:03 PM

Bond markets started the day in weaker territory after stronger economic data out of China and follow-through on yesterday's bounce (bonds had rallied on Ukraine headlines and bounced back toward weaker levels when the headlines dried up). This morning's...
MBS Day Ahead: Wide Variety of Potential Motivations and a Retracement Primer

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2014, 9:23 AM

With the resurgence of geopolitical risk as a market mover yesterday (Ukraine headlines caused a big mid-day bond rally), there will be a wide variety of potential inspiration for the next move. On the list are: Economic Data Fed Speakers Fed Data (Beige...

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