Bond markets continued their recent trend of moderate improvement today.  As has been more commonly the case, Treasuries outperformed MBS, but only slightly.  Both were at their best levels since early July.

As for motivations, bonds spent all of the overnight session following equities markets.  The latter were attuned to another rout in Chinese stocks.  The selling varies in severity depending on who you ask.  Either way, it was enough for the Chinese government to step in and say they would be buying more stocks by the end of the day.

This morning's economic data was lost in that shuffle to some extent.  Durable Goods came in at +3.4 vs a median forecast of 3.0.  At face value, this should have caused weakness for bond markets, but the opposite ended up being the case--or at least it appeared that way. 

There was definitely some sort of trading reaction to the 8:30am data, but assigning it to the data headlines is tricky.  First of all, we had a move toward lower yields already in progress by the time data came out.  Traders know that Durable Goods can move markets and it's more than possible that many were waiting on results before making certain trades.  It could be the case that the number simply wasn't strong enough to shift the momentum that was already in place. 

For those that need to strongly connect data to the move, we can also argue that the internal components painted a gloomier picture than the headline.  Either way, the focal point of the session ended up being the first 15 minutes of NYSE trading.  Once stocks bottomed out, so did bond yields, thus beginning a sideways drift that lasted through the close.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-09 : +0-10
FNMA 3.5
103-16 : +0-07
FNMA 4.0
106-06 : +0-04
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6540 : -0.0280
10 YR
2.2160 : -0.0464
30 YR
2.9280 : -0.0322
Pricing as of 7/27/15 5:47PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:16AM  :  Bonds Add to Overnight Gains on Data Subtext

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matt Hodges  :  "DU updates on 8/15, but they are in effect now"
Matt Hodges  :  "SEL-2015-07"
Matt Hodges  :  "almost..June 30th"
Matt Hodges  :  "fannie changed it more than a month ago"
Caroline Roy  :  "is the 'vacating a primary" 30% equity guideline changing?"
Sung Kim  :  "Same"
Ted Rood  :  "Our credit vendor just confirmed Equifax is down."
Ira Selwin  :  "Depends on the rate though. Their rate sheet doesn't reflect the same."
Ira Selwin  :  "Makes sense"
Sung Kim  :  "wow, either i am reading my pricing wrong, or i am no longer allowed to lock less than 55 days for chase jumbo"