Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower Ahead of Fed Minutes, Bernanke

Mortgage Rates Near 2013 Highs to Start Week

Mortgage Rates Jump Back To Recent Highs, More Volatility Ahead

Mortgage Rates Move Convincingly Lower

Mortgage Rates Unchanged To Slightly Higher

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MORTGAGE RATE ALERT: Don't Panic

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by AQ on October 27 2010, 4:15 PM

Plain and Simple: The bond market got way head of itself about QEII. The sugar high has worn off. However because it is a "trader's market" and a trader is always looking to profit, the over-exuberance correction has picked up day trader momentum and...
Mortgage Rates Lower Every Day This Week. New Lifetime Lows.

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by Matthew Graham on September 20 2012, 2:45 PM

Mortgage rates have moved lower every day this week. Today's move was even more pronounced than yesterday's, carrying rates decisively into NEW all-time lows. Today's data and events during the domestic market session were of little concern to Secondary...
Mortgage Rates: WHAT IF? WHAT IF?? WHAT IF???

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by AQ on November 02 2010, 4:12 PM

At 2:15pm tomorrow, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release their policy statement. At 2:15pm we find out if Quantitative Easing becomes a reality. At 2:15pm we find out if mortgage rates are destined to retest record lows....
Mortgage Rates in QE Countdown. Trick or Treat?

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by AQ on October 29 2010, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates had their little hissy fit and consumer borrowing costs moved to one month highs. But it was all part of the game. We anticipated this would happen. The correction process is already underway. Our plan is playing out as expected. So far...
Mortgage Rates Spike as Stocks Rally. Teetering on Shift in Par Note Rate

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by Matthew Graham on December 01 2010, 4:58 PM

The same problem that plagued mortgage rates in recent days where 3.5 MBS's were not trading in enough volume to allow rates to dip much below 4.25% is now at risk of causing a similar lack in volume among 4.0 MBS, which could make 4.75% the new normal...
Can Mortgage Rates Go Any Lower?

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by AQ on July 28 2010, 4:16 PM

I suppose the first step of this scenario coming true is the "double-dip". Some folks say the deflationary spiral has already taken hold, others say we're dealing with a crisis of confidence and the underlying economy is strong. Working...
Charting the Rapid Rise in Mortgage Rates. 4.75% Still Best Execution

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by AQ on December 10 2010, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates shot higher this week. The new "best execution" par 30 year fixed mortgage rate has jumped firmly up to 4.75%. ...
QEII MORTGAGE RATE ALERT: Nobody Panic

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by AQ on November 03 2010, 7:29 PM

Remember our MND RateWatch motto? Play the range until the range plays you. Bernanke didn't play us and it doesn't seem like he intends to anytime soon. Let's keep playing the range until he does. That means we should at least give the bond market a chance...
Wake Up Call: Free Refi Boom Almost Over

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by Julian Hebron on January 21 2013, 3:23 PM

Earlier this month, I did an interview with the San Francisco Chronicle about repeat no-cost refinancing in a declining rate environment. The piece came out January 4, the day after minutes from the Fed's last 2012 rate meeting were released. Those minutes...
Mortgage Rates : The Week Ahead

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by Victor Burek on June 08 2009, 12:12 PM

After the brutal beating over the last week and a half, mortgage - backed securities are looking for direction. In total, since “Black Wednesday” (5/27), mortgage rates have risen from a range of 4.5% to 4.75% to a range between 5.250% to...
Mortgage Rates Continue In Narrow Range On The Week, Mixed Today

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by Matthew Graham on July 26 2012, 4:02 PM

Mortgage Rates were broadly unchanged today as some lenders' rates improved while others moved higher, not to mention the many who held close enough to yesterday's levels to be considered 'unchanged.' Thus rates continue to operate very close to all-time...
Mortgage Rates Rise on European Headlines

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by Matthew Graham on November 08 2011, 4:22 PM

With volumes fairly low and no major domestic data today, markets were susceptible to European headlines. They got one in the form of an announcement that Italy's Prime Minister would soon resign-a development viewed as positive by stocks and negative...
Mortgage Rates: Even More Nuts!

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by Matthew Graham on August 09 2011, 4:30 PM

We've used the word "nuts" in the past to describe extra volatile movements in the mortgage market, but today takes the cake. Many market records were broken following today's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting. The net effect was positive for consumer borrowing...
Mortgage Rates at Crossroads Ahead of Employment Situation Report

Comments (14)

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by Matthew Graham on December 02 2010, 7:54 PM

Chances are if you're reading this on 12/2, then it's probably too late to make a last minute decision to lock a rate before tomorrow morning's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) report, making you just as much of a spectator as the next guy. Let me...
How to Shop for a Mortgage

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by Julian Hebron on October 21 2011, 1:35 PM

After hitting record lows of 3.94% with 0.8 points the week of October 3, rates rose and have been hovering .25% to .375% higher than that. A primary reason rates rose is market optimism about Eurozone leaders acting more forcefully to contain problems...

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