Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Rates Recover Modestly, But Uncertainty Remains

Mortgage Rates' Week Goes From Bad to Worse

Worst Week For Mortgage Rates Since 2016

Mortgage Steady at Recent Highs

Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a Month

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Rates Recover Modestly, But Uncertainty Remains Ahead of Fed Day

Published: 9/16/2019

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Mortgage Rates Higher Following Employment Report

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by Matthew Graham on February 03 2012, 3:01 PM

The monthly Employment Situation Report was released at 8:30am this morning, with much better-than-expected results. Stocks rallied sharply and most every interest rate in fixed-income markets moved higher. The economic optimism created by this sort of...
Mortgage Rates Continue Unprecedented Surge Higher

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2013, 5:16 PM

Mortgage rates finally lost less ground than they have over the past few business days. The problem is that this still left room for rates to go higher at a much faster pace than normal. Some borrowers will have seen their quoted rate move up another...
Best-Execution Mortgage Rates Rise After Extended Period of Stability

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by Matthew Graham on January 23 2012, 3:12 PM

For the first time in over a month, the Best-Execution rate for 30yr fixed mortgages rose from a rounded average of 3.875% to 4.00% today. The underlying borrowing costs associated with 3.875% didn't rise by a significantly painful amount, but the small...
Mortgages Rates Higher Again and Less Consistent Between Lenders

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by Matthew Graham on January 20 2012, 2:21 PM

Mortgage Rates moved higher again today, albeit by a relatively small amount on average. But averages only tell part of the story. We're seeing the same phenomenon of increasingly divergent rates between lenders crop up that we saw when the last major...
Among The Worst Days in Mortgage Rate History

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by Matthew Graham on July 05 2013, 5:23 PM

Historical data has its limitations when it comes to mortgage rates . For instance, the longest-running series are only updated once a week, making it hard to determine exactly where an individual day falls in the record books. Even then, today's rise...
Nightmare for Mortgage Rates: Way Worse Than Freddie Told You

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2013, 5:49 PM

Freddie Mac was out yesterday with the industry's most commonly cited benchmark for weekly rate movements, but it's important to know that this is an average that's tallied through Wednesday . By the time the survey results are out, the Mortgage rate...
Why Did Mortgage Rates Skyrocket Past 2013 Highs on Wednesday?

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by Matthew Graham on May 22 2013, 6:10 PM

Mortgage rates were utterly destroyed today. Not only did the average rate move above the highest seen in 2013, but rates haven't been this high since May 22nd of 2012! Of course, there's the "everything's relative" perspective, whereby we can attempt...
Mortgage Rates Annihilated; Brief History of All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2013, 8:32 PM

Mortgage rates have seen better days . If the past 2 months of calamitous volatility and almost daily cost hikes weren't enough, today brings the Conventional 30yr Fixed best-execution rate to 4.25% --levels not seen since late 2011. A move of this magnitude...
Mortgage Rates: Good News, Bad News

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by AQ on November 10 2010, 6:43 PM

QEII is here. This is the event that will help mortgage rates move back below 4.00% again. Patience is counting down without blasting off....
Mortgage Rates Vault Catastrophically Higher

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by Matthew Graham on May 28 2013, 6:16 PM

There is no adequately descriptive language for movement in Mortgage rates today. "Vaulting catastrophically higher" only begins to capture the brutality of the movement. Until today, December 7th 2010 had been the largest day-over-day increase in 30yr...
Mortgage Rates Highest In Nearly 10 Months After Employment Data

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by Matthew Graham on March 08 2013, 2:59 PM

Mortgage rates vaulted higher today at their fastest pace since late January, after the Employment Situation showed an unexpectedly high number of jobs created in February. The Employment Situation is the most important piece of domestic economic data...
Mortgage Rates Much Lower After Fed Keeps Policy Change on Hold

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2013, 5:34 PM

Mortgage rates surged lower today following the long-awaited policy announcement from the Federal Reserve. Conforming, 30yr Fixed rates fell to 4.5% with some of the more aggressive lenders still competitively priced at lower rates ( best-execution )...
Single Best Day For Mortgage Rates in More Than a Year

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2016, 1:04 PM

Mortgage rates plummeted today following the surprise victory of the referendum for the U.K. leaving the European Union (aka "Brexit"). This joins the ranks as one of the few days in history where rates have moved a full eighth of a point in a single...
Opportunity Knocks as Mortgage Rates Surge Lower

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by Matthew Graham on January 06 2015, 3:33 PM

Mortgage rates are on an absolute tear. In the past 2 days, they've rocketed a full eighth of a point lower. They're a full quarter point lower than the average rates available in 2nd half of December and .375% lower than December's highest rates. For...
Refi Roadmap: A Locked Rate Isn't a Closed Loan

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by Julian Hebron on August 15 2011, 11:27 AM

Rates are bouncing around near record lows set last October and consumers are looking to seize the opportunity. There's always a rush by consumers and loan agents to lock rates on dips, and that practice is all the more prevalent when extreme daily rate...

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