Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Nominally Higher Despite Bond Market Warning

Mortgage Rates Holding Ground But Volatility Could Increase

Mortgage Rates Up Slightly, But Still in Great Shape

Mortgage Rates Unchanged Again as Markets Remain Cautious

Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Start the Week

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Mortgage Rates Deeper into 2 Month Lows as Stocks Swoon

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by Matthew Graham on December 04 2018, 5:16 PM

Mortgage rates technically hit their lowest levels in exactly 2 months yesterday. Today merely takes them deeper into that territory. The size of the improvement is less impressive and less meaningful compared to that "lowest in more than 2 months" talking...
Mortgage Rates Now at 2-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on December 03 2018, 4:16 PM

Mortgage rates didn't really improve today for the average lender, but they did manage to hit the lowest rates in 2 months on a technicality. The reason for this is simple. There was a big gap between the rates seen on October 2nd and October 3rd. Rates...
November Was a Great Month For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on November 30 2018, 3:02 PM

Mortgage rates may have ebbed slightly higher today, but that only erased a fraction of the improvement seen over the past 2 days. Combined with the even stronger showing 2 weeks ago, this makes November the best month of 2018 in terms of mortgage rate...
Mortgage Rates Surge Lower

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by Matthew Graham on November 29 2018, 4:28 PM

Mortgage rates surged lower today, falling at the fastest single-day pace in more than a year. In order to see the average lender offer lower rates, you'd need to go back to October 2nd at least. For many lenders, it would be a few weeks before that....
First Noticeable Move in Mortgage Rates in More Than a Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 28 2018, 2:27 PM

Mortgage rates began the day just like they've begun each of the past 5 business days: perfectly unchanged! As we discussed yesterday, the recent absence of movement is a good thing in the short term as rates are holding near their lowest levels in more...
Mortgage Rates Hold Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 27 2018, 4:47 PM

Mortgage rates avoided returning to reality yet again today. In other words, rates were almost perfectly unchanged for the 4th straight business day. These patterns (or lack thereof) are fairly typical of the thanksgiving time frame, but the return of...
Mortgage Rates Still On Vacation

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by Matthew Graham on November 26 2018, 3:59 PM

Mortgage rates began the post-holiday week by holding the same sideways posture seen last week during the slow market days surrounding Thanksgiving. Generally speaking, slow market days make for limited mortgage rate movement. The Monday following Thanksgiving...
Expect More Mortgage Rate Volatility in Coming Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on November 23 2018, 2:59 PM

Mortgage rates were every bit as flat as expected today. That's a good thing at the moment, considering we're holding in line with the lowest levels in more than a month. For the average borrower, that's roughly an eighth of a percentage point lower than...
Mortgage Rates Stick to Normal Thanksgiving Script

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by Matthew Graham on November 21 2018, 4:55 PM

Mortgage rates were almost perfectly flat today, and have been largely unchanged since last Friday. If you were forced to predict such a thing at the end of last week, the odds would have been in your favor. In other words, when rates are on the move...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged at Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 20 2018, 5:21 PM

Mortgage rates managed to maintain their lowest levels in more than a month yet again today. All this despite modest losses in underlying bond markets (the stuff that's primarily responsible for most mortgage rate movement). Apart from bond markets, lenders...
Mortgage Rates Maintain Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 19 2018, 4:55 PM

Mortgage rates unexpectedly dropped to their lowest levels in more than a month as of last Friday. That assertion is at odds with quite a few media reports that cited Freddie Mac's weekly survey data saying that rates were essentially unchanged from the...
Mortgage Rates Lowest in a Month

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by Matthew Graham on November 16 2018, 6:19 PM

Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels of THE month yesterday, and the lowest levels in A month today. It's a bit of a technicality, really. As of yesterday, there were a few days in mid-to-late October that saw lower rates. Today's drop means we'd need...
Lowest Mortgage Rates This Month!

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by Matthew Graham on November 15 2018, 5:11 PM

Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels of the month today! Sure, that's only 10 business days for the mortgage world, but we'll take every little victory we can get these days. Why is that? Because "these days" have been pretty rough. Exactly one week...
Afternoon Mortgage Rate Improvements For Most Lenders

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by Matthew Graham on November 14 2018, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates began the day in roughly unchanged territory. Some lenders were microscopically stronger or weaker compared to yesterday, but not enough to impact the average mortgage borrower. For the first few hours of the day, it looked as if rates...
Token Improvement For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on November 13 2018, 4:25 PM

Mortgage rates improved by what could only be described as a token amount today. In other words, we're not talking about any major changes. In fact, mortgage rates themselves will be unchanged from Friday for almost any scenario. As is so often the case...

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