Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Staying Very Flat and Very Low

Huge Housing Rebound, All-Time Low Rates, But At What Cost?

Rates at All-Time Lows Ahead of Important Jobs Data

Best Month Ever For Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Continue at All-Time Lows, But Caveats Remain

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Tracking Covid's Impact on Mortgages; Record Low Rates For How Long?

Published: 7/6/2020

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Mortgage Rates Staying Very Flat and Very Low

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by Matthew Graham on July 06 2020, 3:58 PM

Mortgage rates barely budged for the third straight day, which is welcome news considering they are at all-time lows. The stability comes in spite of at least two important economic reports that would normally push rates unequivocally higher according...
Huge Housing Rebound, All-Time Low Rates, But At What Cost?

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2020, 3:26 PM

This week's economic data included the biggest-ever gain in Pending Home Sales, a leading indicator for the housing market. Meanwhile, mortgage rates pushed down to new all-time lows yet again. But at what cost? The most pessimistic way to explain the...
Rates at All-Time Lows Ahead of Important Jobs Data

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by Matthew Graham on July 01 2020, 4:48 PM

Mortgage rates were generally unchanged today, thus leaving the average lender at all-time lows for conventional 30yr fixed scenarios. It continues to be the case that loan scenarios with additional risk factors have NOT seen nearly as much improvement...
Best Month Ever For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 30 2020, 3:36 PM

Mortgage rates managed another slight improvement today, which means the average lender is offering new all-time low rates for the 4th time this month. Even if rates had lurched unexpectedly higher today, June still would have gone down as the best month...
Mortgage Rates Continue at All-Time Lows, But Caveats Remain

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by Matthew Graham on June 29 2020, 3:52 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly lower today, bringing the average lender right in line with all-time lows . Averages aside, several lenders are slightly higher than they were on Friday. Either way, the movement was minimal over the weekend....
Mortgage Rates Are Headed Higher (Eventually)

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by Matthew Graham on June 26 2020, 4:44 PM

The fates of the economy, the housing market, and interest rates remain closely intertwined with coronavirus. The pandemic is clearly responsible for the record-setting drop in economic activity (including the housing market). And it has clearly been...
Mortgage Rates Reflecting Market Concerns

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by Matthew Graham on June 25 2020, 4:13 PM

Mortgage rates moved modestly lower today, bringing the average lender very close to all-time lows . The caveat continues to be that day-to-day rate changes have been small ever since hitting the confirmed all-time lows on June 11th. Realistically, if...
Record Low Rates For Some; Frustration and Confusion For Others

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2020, 3:26 PM

Mortgage rates moved modestly lower today, but face an uphill battle in general. They fell very quickly as coronavirus first hit financial markets. They hit multiple new all-time lows in since March 9th and continued setting new records as recently as...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Steady And Still Very Low

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2020, 4:16 PM

It seems almost melodramatic to refer to any modest increase in mortgage rates these days. If we were to go over each lender's rate sheet with a fine tooth comb today, indeed we'd likely find the average is just microscopically higher. But higher from...
Mortgage Rates Hold Ground Near Lows. Can it Continue?

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2020, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates held their ground today, with the average lender in roughly the same shape as they were on Friday. Incidentally, that's great shape! When it comes to the best-case scenario conventional 30yr fixed quote, rates are still very close to the...
The Great Debate For Rates, Housing, And The Market

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2020, 4:32 PM

Coronavirus hit markets with unprecedented force in March. Stock prices and bond yields sank. When the outlook grew less dire, markets began moving back in the other direction. As quarantine measures ease, fear surrounding a second wave of COVID-19 is...
Investor Caution Helping Push Rates Back Toward Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 18 2020, 3:48 PM

Mortgage rates improved modestly today as investors remain cautious amidst rising coronavirus stats in several states. The experience of those states is fueling broader concern about a 2nd wave of the disease that may logically follow less efficient social...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Steady as Markets Wait For Info

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2020, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates joined many other sections of financial markets today in doing almost absolutely nothing . Both stocks and bonds were almost perfectly flat. Neither was overly interested in responding to economic data or Round 2 of Fed Chair Powell's congressional...
Mortgage Rates Edging Higher So Far This Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2020, 4:21 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for the 3rd straight business day. That said, last Friday is better described as being a "2nd consecutive day of all-time lows." Even yesterday, the average lender was able to quote rates under 3% for top tier conventional...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, But Still Near All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2020, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher today for the average lender. Additionally, some lenders bumped rates a bit in the middle of the day in response to weakness in the bond market. That weakness is increasingly tied to broad movement playing out across...

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