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The Real Story Behind The Past 2 Weeks of Mortgage Rate Volatility

Mortgage Rates Continue Healing, But Remain Well Above Recent...

Mortgage Rates Find Some Support After an Ugly Start

Rates Rising at Fastest Pace in Months

Have We Seen The End of Record Low Rates?

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Real Story Behind Rate Volatility; Slower Forbearance Improvement; Origination Forecast

Published: 1/15/2021

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The Real Story Behind The Past 2 Weeks of Mortgage Rate Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on January 15 2021, 4:41 PM

It was easy to get lulled into complacency by the second half of 2020 when it came to mortgage rates. Even as other indicators said rates should be rising, they continued on a calm journey to multiple record lows. 2021 has been very different so far!...
Mortgage Rates Continue Healing, But Remain Well Above Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on January 13 2021, 4:32 PM

Mortgage rates had another solid day today--this time without any of the early drama seen yesterday. If you're just getting caught up, the bond market (which drives day-to-day interest rate movement) has been selling off aggressively since the Jan 5th...
Mortgage Rates Find Some Support After an Ugly Start

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by Matthew Graham on January 12 2021, 4:22 PM

Mortgage rates were off to a very bad start this morning, but recovered a portion of what they lost by the end of the day. The specifics depend greatly on the lender in question. Sadly, few if any lenders are still able to offer the rates seen yesterday...
Rates Rising at Fastest Pace in Months

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by Matthew Graham on January 11 2021, 5:41 PM

Mortgage rates are coming off a rough week-- the roughest , in fact, since June 2020 by some measures. That's the last time rates rose this quickly for market-driven reasons. There were a few instances of bigger moves in Aug/Sept as the new refinance...
Have We Seen The End of Record Low Rates?

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by Matthew Graham on January 08 2021, 3:43 PM

While it might not seem like the sort of thing mortgage rates should care about, the senate run-off election in Georgia was by far and away this week's most important event. This wasn't a surprise either. In fact, interest rates have been bracing for...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually HIGHER Today and This Week

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by Matthew Graham on January 07 2021, 5:40 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today, but only a modest pace compared to yesterday (read more about yesterday's rate rout HERE ). Over the past two days, the average rate quote for a top tier conventional 30yr fixed loan has risen by an eighth of a percent...
Rates Rising Quickly, But The Truly Scary Stuff is For Another Day And Another Reason

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by Matthew Graham on January 06 2021, 5:33 PM

Mortgage rates went to bed last night knowing they were at risk of a volatile day today. Georgia's senate race has been in focus for 2 months now because it had the chance to change the balance of power in congress. With both seats flipping from red to...
Mortgage Rates Brace For Potential Impact

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by Matthew Graham on January 05 2021, 3:53 PM

Mortgage rates got off to a slow start yesterday. It was hard to object considering that left the average lender in line with record lows. But today was a bit different. While most lenders were little-changed at first, many ultimately raised rates during...
Mortgage Rates Off To Slow Start, Which is Great

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by Matthew Graham on January 04 2021, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates are off to a slow start in the new year, and that's a good thing. An absence of movement means the average lender continues offering rates that are at or near record lows. For top tier, conventional 30yr fixed loans, that's around 2.75...
Mortgage Rates Closing Out The Year at Record Lows

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by Matthew Graham on December 29 2020, 3:50 PM

For all practical purposes, the year is over when it comes to mortgage rate volatility. True, there is some small chance that political developments conspire to push rates just a bit higher in the next two days, but the damage would be insignificant in...
Mortgage Rates Edge Higher From Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on December 22 2020, 6:54 PM

Mortgage rates hit another all-time low on Friday for most lenders. Other lenders had slightly lower rates yesterday morning. Since then however, almost every lender has moved up from those lows, even if only by microscopically small amounts in the bigger...
Several Charts Showing The Ticking Clock For Rates

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by Matthew Graham on December 18 2020, 4:57 PM

One major theme in the 2nd half of 2020 is that mortgage rates have been insulated from market drama--walking a different path than their usual best friend, 10yr Treasury yields. If you ask Treasuries, the big bounce in rates is already well underway...
How Much Lower Are Today's "All-Time Low" Mortgage Rates?

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by Matthew Graham on December 17 2020, 5:50 PM

2020 has safely secured its place in the record books as the year of all-time lows in mortgage rates --one of them anyway. Several other years have recently boasted as many new instances of record lows, but none have done so with the average 30yr fixed...
Mortgage Rates Undeterred After Fed Day

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by Matthew Graham on December 16 2020, 4:36 PM

Today marked the release of an updated policy statement from the Federal Reserve. In other words, it was Fed day! Lots can happen on Fed days--especially those that occur in December. This has increasingly become a month where the Fed unveils a key policy...
Mortgage Rates Holding Near All-Time Lows Ahead of The Fed

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by Matthew Graham on December 15 2020, 5:12 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today, depending on the lender. The bond market--the driving force behind interest rate movement--was stronger yesterday. Many mortgage lenders thought it was strong enough to justify mid-day improvements in mortgage rates. Those...

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