Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Another Day; Another Long-Term High For Rates

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Near Multi-Month Highs

Mortgage Rates Stabilize For Now

Highest Rates in Months

Are Rates Doomed to Continue Higher?

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Another Day; Another Long-Term High For Rates

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by Matthew Graham on October 21 2021, 3:30 PM

Mortgage rates haven't really been able to catch a break recently. This week is shaping up to be one of the worst since March. Since then, only 2 other weeks have been worse and they both occurred in the past month. In and of itself, today's jump in rates...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Near Multi-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on October 20 2021, 3:44 PM

Mortgage rates began moving off longer term lows in early August and that trend has continued ever since. The September 22nd Fed Announcement (and press conference with Fed Chair Powell) served as a jumping-off point for additional volatility and upward...
Mortgage Rates Stabilize For Now

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by Matthew Graham on October 19 2021, 3:48 PM

Mortgage rates hit their highest levels in months yesterday as bonds lost ground at a brisk pace to start the new week. Bonds--specifically mortgage-backed securities (MBS)--are the most important ingredient used by lenders to determine mortgage rates...
Highest Rates in Months

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by Matthew Graham on October 18 2021, 3:24 PM

Mortgage rates had a mixed showing last week. They started out high before improving through Thursday. Finally, they took a step back up on Friday. Now at the start of the new week, the upward momentum is continuing. The bond market was much weaker in...
Are Rates Doomed to Continue Higher?

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by Matthew Graham on October 15 2021, 7:33 PM

After a calm summer at historic lows, interest rate volatility has ramped up heading into the fall. What are rates worried about, and is this just the beginning of more drama? In a word: maybe! Because they're based on bonds, rates are always worried...
No, Mortgage Rates Are Not "Sharply Higher" This Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 14 2021, 4:25 PM

Mortgage rates fell today as a majority of lenders finally got caught up with the past few days of strength in the bond market. Lenders rely on bonds--specifically mortgage-backed securities (MBS)--to determine where to set mortgage rates. Bonds are constantly...
Rates Fall For First Time in Over a Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 13 2021, 3:51 PM

Closely following intraday moves for the bond market and mortgage rates means that seemingly insignificant time frames are actually important . For instance, it's actually not too common for rates to make it more than 5 business days without falling at...
Rates Continue Higher Despite Bond Market Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on October 12 2021, 3:41 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher on Tuesday after reaching the highest levels in months by the end of last week. The bond market was closed on Monday, which meant today was the first time most lenders updated their mortgage rate offerings since Friday...
Highest Rates in Months Despite Weak Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on October 08 2021, 6:34 PM

It goes by many names: The Employment Situation, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), or simply "the jobs report." No matter what you call it, the Labor Department's massive collection of employment statistics is one of the most important events for the bond market...
Mortgage Rates are Actually Much Higher This Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 07 2021, 2:52 PM

It's Thursday and thus time once again for some seriously confusing mixed signals in the world of mortgage rate journalism. The weekly Freddie Mac rate survey is the most widely-cited source material for a majority of the mortgage rate coverage in the...
Mortgage Rates Leveled Off Today, But Volatility Could Return

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by Matthew Graham on October 06 2021, 4:31 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold mostly steady on Wednesday despite several headwinds that threatened to push them higher. The first headwind falls into the very broad category of "momentum in the bond market." Lenders set their rates each morning based...
Mortgage Rates On The Rise Again

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by Matthew Graham on October 05 2021, 4:35 PM

Mortgage rates managed to begin the week by holding relatively steady, but that changed rather noticeably today. The bond market (which dictates day to day rate movement) was somewhat weaker to start the day. This implied higher mortgage rates and that...
Mortgage Rates Fairly Flat Despite Mixed Signals From Bond Market

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by Matthew Graham on October 04 2021, 4:03 PM

Mortgage rates are unchanged to a hair lower compared to last Friday, depending on the lender. While that's welcome news given some of the big jumps in rates seen in the past 2 weeks, the underlying bond market suggests we're still in the middle of a...
Mortgage Limits Have NOT Changed (Yet)

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by Matthew Graham on October 01 2021, 4:42 PM

The conforming loan limit is set by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Mortgages under that amount generally have the lowest effective rates, and in some cases are easier to qualify for. With prices appreciating rapidly in the past year, a big...
Mortgage Rates Finally Catch a Break

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by Matthew Graham on September 29 2021, 4:20 PM

After spending the past four business days moving rapidly higher, mortgage rates finally caught a break today, but it was small. In fact, the average prospective borrower wouldn't likely see any change in their actual mortgage rate. Rather, the improvement...

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