Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Temporary Factors Help Mortgage Rates... Temporarily

Mortgage Rates Are Actually Higher Than You've Heard

Rates Inch Further Into Long-Term Highs

Mortgage Rates Jump to 7-Year Highs

Mortgage Rates Sideways But Market Says They Shouldn't Be

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Temporary Factors Help Mortgage Rates... Temporarily

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by Matthew Graham on May 18 2018, 3:31 PM

Mortgage rates caught some small semblance of a break today. If it's not apparent based on that assessment in conjunction with the headline, the improvements certainly left something to be desired, even though that's to be expected, given the circumstances...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually Higher Than You've Heard

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by Matthew Graham on May 17 2018, 4:48 PM

It's Thursday, which is when Freddie Mac's weekly Mortgage rate survey comes out. The survey is the most widely quoted source material for major media outlets. As such, headlines abound about the "highest mortgage rates in 7 years." Of course, we've already...
Rates Inch Further Into Long-Term Highs

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2018, 5:26 PM

Mortgage rates spiked to 7-year highs yesterday. While today's move was nowhere near the same size, it was in the same unfriendly direction. That makes it the worst day for mortgage rates since the middle of 2011. Whether "the middle" refers to May or...
Mortgage Rates Jump to 7-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2018, 4:02 PM

Mortgage rates spiked in a big way today, bringing some lenders to the highest levels in nearly 7 years (you'd need to go back to July 2011 to see worse). That heavy-hitting headline is largely due to the fact that rates were already fairly close to 7...
Mortgage Rates Sideways But Market Says They Shouldn't Be

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2018, 4:00 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways to slightly higher today, and that's actually a strong showing considering what transpired in underlying bond markets. In fact, I'd wager tomorrow morning's rate sheets will be noticeably weaker if bonds are anywhere near...
Mortgage Rates Struggling to Improve

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by Matthew Graham on May 11 2018, 6:19 PM

Mortgage rates had a pretty good day yesterday, but weren't able to extend that winning streak today--at least not in any significant way. The unwillingness to improve is part of a phenomenon in the broader bond market (which is responsible for "interest...
Mortgage Rates Recover Today; Still Higher This Week

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by Matthew Graham on May 10 2018, 4:05 PM

Mortgage rates bounced back today, following a weaker-than-expected report on inflation and a relatively strong 30yr bond auction. Rising inflation means that bond investors will receive future payments that won't buy as much as those same dollars would...
Mortgage Rates Back at 4-Year Highs Ahead of Inflation Data

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by Matthew Graham on May 09 2018, 3:55 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today as bond markets braced for impact from several upcoming events. Bonds dictate rates, and as investor demand for bonds falls, rates rise. Investors were faced with the challenge of bidding at an auction of 10yr Treasury...
Mortgage Rates Move Back Up

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by Matthew Graham on May 08 2018, 4:40 PM

Mortgage rates are still technically in a sideways holding pattern, but today's move took them slightly higher inside their recent range. The average lender is back in line with Friday afternoon's offerings. This leaves most borrowers looking at rate...
Mortgage Rates Still Waiting to Make a Move

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by Matthew Graham on May 07 2018, 4:14 PM

Mortgage rates have been exceptionally sideways for nearly 2 weeks now--this after hitting the highest levels in more than 4 years on April 25th. As always, the run up to long-term highs happened in concert with weakness in the broader bond market. Rates...
Mortgage Rates Start Lower, But Pushed Back Up After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on May 04 2018, 6:38 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways today, on average, but only after the dust settled on some morning volatility. The big jobs report was released at 8:30am ET, and it frequently has an impact on the bond market that underpins mortgage rates. While today's...
Mortgage Rates Fall Ahead of Big Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on May 03 2018, 3:25 PM

Mortgage rates bounced back today--that is, they bounced back DOWN after rising slightly yesterday. The improvement came courtesy of strength in European bond markets (stronger = more bond buying = higher bond prices = lower bond yields, aka "lower rates...
Mortgage Rates Uninspired by Fed or Economic Data

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by Matthew Graham on May 02 2018, 3:58 PM

Mortgage rates were flat to slightly higher today, depending on the lender. The average lender was quoting the same rates as yesterday, but with slightly higher upfront costs (or a lower credit, depending on your scenario). That said, if you could only...
Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on May 01 2018, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher on average today, although a few lenders were better characterized as "unchanged." In either case, if you're shopping for a loan, you probably won't see a different rate at the top of today's quote when compared to yesterday...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Sideways to Begin Busy Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 30 2018, 3:48 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today , which keeps them right in line with last week's lowest levels. That sounds pretty good! Unfortunately, any time prior to last week, those "lowest levels" would have been the highest in more than 4 years. To make...

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