Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, but Remain Near Recent Lows

Mortgage Rates Hold Ground After Ukraine Headlines

Mortgage Rates Snap 7 Day Winning Streak

Mortgage Rates Hold Solid Gains

Mortgage Rates Down Big; Lowest in a Month

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No Big Spring Bounce for Housing Starts; Rates Higher Today, but Still Near Recent Lows; Mortgage Apps Improve

Published: 4/16/2014

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Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, but Remain Near Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2014, 1:43 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly highe r today as investors continued to pull back from yesterday's geopolitically motivated buying spree. Tensions in Ukraine had created a short term spike in demand for fixed income securities like Treasuries and the mortgage...
Mortgage Rates Hold Ground After Ukraine Headlines

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2014, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates started the day in weaker territory, continuing higher for a second straight morning. Just after 10am, headlines regarding violence in Ukraine sent stocks lower and provided demand for fixed-income. The move out of stocks and into bonds...
Mortgage Rates Snap 7 Day Winning Streak

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by Matthew Graham on April 14 2014, 3:23 PM

Mortgage rates finally ended a move lower that began 7 business days earlier on April 3rd. The biggest movement during that time was the Employment Situation data on April 4th. While those jobs numbers were actually decent and while rates tend to benefit...
Mortgage Rates Hold Solid Gains

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by Matthew Graham on April 11 2014, 2:18 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold on to yesterday's big improvements as markets held very steady by comparison today. If there's a slight bias, it's positive for bond markets, resulting in most lenders moving to just slightly better rates today. The movement...
Mortgage Rates Down Big; Lowest in a Month

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by Matthew Graham on April 10 2014, 2:43 PM

Mortgage rates began the day without any hint of the drama that was to come. The first rate sheets of the day were little-changed compared to yesterday's latest offerings. Then markets of all shapes and sizes went on a fairly wild ride . Stock markets...
Mortgage Rates Fall Back to Unchanged After FOMC

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by Matthew Graham on April 09 2014, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates began the day higher, but many lenders are set to end in line with yesterday's rates after this afternoon's FOMC Minutes. These are the meeting minutes from the Fed's 2-day policy discussion that results in their official policy announcement...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower Ahead of Fed Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on April 08 2014, 3:53 PM

Mortgage rates were lower for a 4th straight day today, further digging in to mid-March levels, but by a smaller amount today. In that sense, the rally following last Friday's jobs report is cooling off a bit, and markets could be getting into a more...
Mortgage Rates Continue to 3-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 07 2014, 3:19 PM

Mortgage rates fell again today, bringing them to levels not seen since March 18th for many lenders. While there was no significant economic data today, rates benefited in part from the ongoing weakness in stocks, which are on pace for their worst 2-day...
Mortgage Rates Erase Week's Losses After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on April 04 2014, 4:05 PM

Mortgage rates were significantly lower today , erasing a full week's worth of time spent moving higher in fits and starts. The main event was this morning's release of the Employment Situation Report. While the numbers were actually pretty decent, market...
Mortgage Rates Little Changed Ahead of Important Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on April 03 2014, 3:34 PM

Mortgage rates barely budged today, but the little movement seen was positive on average. Keep in mind though, that means that some lenders were unchanged or slightly higher in rate, while a small majority was slightly lower. When adjusted for day to...
Mortgage Rates Continue Higher as Jobs Report Approaches

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by Matthew Graham on April 02 2014, 3:14 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher again today, this time taking them definitively past any of the recent highs in March. In fact, to find rate sheets in any worse shape on average, you'd have to go back to January 9th, the day before a downbeat Employment Situation...
Mortgage Rates Hold Ground Despite Bond Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on April 01 2014, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates were relatively unchanged today, after moving higher during the past two sessions. The stability is somewhat counterintuitive as bond markets are slightly weaker. Typically, bond market weakness coincides with higher rates, but in the current...
Mortgage Rates Near Highest Levels in More Than 2 Months

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2014, 2:43 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today, as part of a 2 day move following 5 straight days of improvement. Nearly all of that improvement has been erased and rates are now in line with the afternoon following the FOMC Announcement on March 19st. That leaves...
Mortgage Rates Higher Today, but Lower on the Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 28 2014, 5:19 PM

Mortgage rates finally experienced a correction to the 5-day winning streak that had carried them lower after last week's spike. On a slightly unsatisfying note, the winning streak was never quite able to erase last week's losses and by the time today...
Mortgage Rates Continue to Lows of the Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2014, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately lower today, further improving on what has generally been a slow-paced week of gains. The yard-stick measuring that progress is the rate environment on last Wednesday morning before the FOMC Announcement and Forecasts sent...

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