Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a Month After GDP

Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower; Volatility Ahead

Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Start Important Week

Mortgage Rates Catch a Break Heading Into Important Week

Mortgage Rates Rise at Fastest Pace in Weeks

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GDP at 4.0%; Bond Markets Tank; Mortgage Rates at 1-Month Highs; Realtors get Head-Up on Short Sales; Home Ownership at 19yr Low

Published: 7/30/2014

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Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a Month After GDP

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by Matthew Graham on July 30 2014, 5:02 PM

For weeks, we've discussed the prospects for increased volatility centered on today's economic calendar. The chances of a bigger move were much higher going into today's GDP data, and a bigger move is exactly what we got. Unfortunately, it was in an unfriendly...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower; Volatility Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2014, 4:05 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly lower today, holding inside a low and narrow range that's been intact for nearly 2 weeks. The movement was small enough that some lenders are unchanged compared to yesterday, but they're the exception. The most prevalently...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Start Important Week

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by Matthew Graham on July 28 2014, 3:30 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much to start the week, with a nearly equal number of lenders moving both higher and lower. On average, rates were just barely higher. Even then, the actual rates being quoted are the the same today versus Friday with the only...
Mortgage Rates Catch a Break Heading Into Important Week

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by Matthew Graham on July 25 2014, 2:46 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways to marginally lower today. Many lenders released new and improved rate sheets in the afternoon in order for the average to get better than yesterday, but even then, lenders are obviously cautious ahead of next week's big-ticket...
Mortgage Rates Rise at Fastest Pace in Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on July 24 2014, 4:10 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today at the fastest pace since July 3rd as bond markets began backing away from more anxious levels associated with last week's geopolitical headlines. Such headlines (Malaysian airliner and Gaza invasion) can motivate investors...
Mortgage Rates Back up to Unchanged After Stronger Start

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by Matthew Graham on July 23 2014, 5:07 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today depending on the lender and the time of day you look. Most recently, the average lender is back to unchanged vs yesterday. Before that, most lenders were in slightly better shape, but market weakness prompted widespread...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Amid Conflicting Data

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by Matthew Graham on July 22 2014, 4:56 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged in most cases today, though some lenders were slightly worse. Even then, the difference from yesterday is generally insignificant. MBS (the mortgage-backed securities that most directly influence rates) digested two economic...
Mortgage rates Steady to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on July 21 2014, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates moved just barely lower in most cases today, though some lenders were unchanged or slightly higher. It was a slow start to the week as far it concerns the financial markets that underlie rate movements. There were no significant economic...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Despite Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on July 18 2014, 3:11 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold their ground today. Some lenders were even in slightly better shape, though there was no change on average. That's somewhat interesting considering the bond markets that most directly affect rates were in slightly weaker...
Mortgage Rates Appreciably Lower After Geopolitical Headlines

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2014, 5:17 PM

Mortgage rates moved more decisively lower today, though not for any stable or happy reasons. Such is often the case with interest rates. As economic conditions worsen or as terrible events around the world fuel demand for bonds, prices of those bonds...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on July 16 2014, 3:16 PM

Mortgage rates were just barely higher today on average. The movement was so small that several lenders were actually unchanged or slightly better. This is consistent with an ongoing trend of incredibly small day-to-day changes in rates. The range has...
Mortgage Rates Continue Higher After Yellen Testimony

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by Matthew Graham on July 15 2014, 3:26 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher again today . Fed Chair Janet Yellen provided her semi-annual testimony to the Senate Banking Committee this morning. The financial markets that underlie mortgage rates saw quite a bit of volatility during the testimony...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, Ending Last Week's Streak

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by Matthew Graham on July 14 2014, 4:19 PM

Mortgage rates rose modestly today , ending last week's streak of 5 days without an increase. The movement wasn't enough to unseat 4.125% as the most prevalently-quoted conforming 30yr fixed rate for top tier scenarios. That means today's changes came...
Mortgage Rates Edge Down to July Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 11 2014, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates moved just barely lower today, bringing them in lines with the lowest levels of the month. In this case, when we talk about "the lowest levels of the month," it means that closing costs are as low as they've been for the same rates that...
Mortgage Rates Fall Again; Near July Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 10 2014, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates continued lower today , helped along this time by European markets. Although mortgage rates are most directly influenced by prices of mortgage-backed-securities (MBS), MBS themselves are influenced by broader bond market movements. The...

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