Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013

Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher; More Volatility Ahead

Mortgage Rates Hold Stead After Weaker Economic Data

Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher, Erasing Last Week's Improvement

Mortgage Rates Benefit From Geopolitical Tensions

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Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013; Breaking Down the "Weather Effect" in the Jobs Report; Suntrust in Hot Seat; Ditech is Back

Published: 3/7/2014

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Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2014, 4:41 PM

Mortgage rates rose sharply for the third time this week, bringing them to levels not seen since January 15th. Today's move followed a stronger-than-expected Employment Situation report. This is the most significant economic report each month and when...
Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher; More Volatility Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2014, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates moved quickly higher today , in the context of their recent range. That is to say, today's "sharp" movement is nothing compared to those seen in mid 2013, but it did leave rates as high as they've been in exactly two weeks. At current levels...
Mortgage Rates Hold Stead After Weaker Economic Data

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by Matthew Graham on March 05 2014, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today, on average, though some lenders are still in slightly worse shape. Weakness in the markets that affect mortgage rates carried over from yesterday and was poised to push rates even higher today, but weaker economic data...
Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher, Erasing Last Week's Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on March 04 2014, 4:49 PM

Mortgage rates were sharply higher today, as concern over geopolitical tension in Ukraine turned a corner. After a surprisingly strong end to February and strong start to March, mortgage rates suddenly found themselves moving from the best levels in a...
Mortgage Rates Benefit From Geopolitical Tensions

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by Matthew Graham on March 03 2014, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates moved noticeably lower today, as investors sought the relative safety of bond markets in response to geopolitical tensions in Ukraine. The mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) that most directly affect mortgage rates typically benefit when...
Mortgage Rates Lose Some Ground After Stronger Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 28 2014, 2:48 PM

Mortgage rates rose slightly today ending a strong 3-day move lower. The weakness followed this morning's economic data, but the bond markets that indirectly influence rates were already losing ground during overnight trading. The implication is that...
Mortgage Rates Continue to New 2-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2014, 5:26 PM

Mortgage rates gained even more ground today, and are now getting close to early February's levels, which were the lowest since November. Much of the positivity may owe itself to temporary factors including geopolitical turmoil and month-end trading dynamics...
Mortgage Rates Drop to 2-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2014, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates built on yesterday's strength and continued lower today. After lenders released rate sheet improvements in the afternoon, the average offering was right in line with the low rates seen on February 13th or 6th. While Monday's run up to 1...
Mortgage Rates Improve Significantly After Playing Defense

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by Matthew Graham on February 25 2014, 4:28 PM

Mortgage rates fell noticeably today, after being pushed up against the highest levels in nearly a month yesterday. In that sense, the positivity in the underlying markets allowed rates to breathe a sigh of relief, quickly returning to levels in line...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Start New Week

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2014, 4:53 PM

Mortgage rates moved sideways today, reflecting the ongoing indecision in the bond markets that underlie day-to-day rate movements. The mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) that most directly affect mortgage rate movement spent some time in both positive...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher Despite Strong Afternoon

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by Matthew Graham on February 21 2014, 2:20 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher today despite improvements in underlying markets into the afternoon. Bond markets including MBS (the 'mortgage-backed-securities' that most directly affect mortgage rates) were in weaker shape this morning, resulting...
Mortgage Rates Highest in a Month; Best Friend Abducted by Bad Weather

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2014, 2:47 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today after it became clear that markets were discounting weak economic data due to weather. In that sense, mortgage rates' are missing their best friend as weak data is typically one of the primary reasons rates move lower...
Mortgage Rates Back up to Last Week's Levels After FOMC

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2014, 5:22 PM

Mortgage rates began the day moderately lower compared to yesterday's latest levels, but the improvements didn't last . Bond markets including MBS (the 'mortgage-backed-securities' that most directly affect rates) began losing ground mid-morning and the...
Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2014, 3:49 PM

Mortgage rates were lower in some cases today, though some lenders merely held steady compared to Friday's latest levels. Mortgage-Backed-Securities, the financial instruments that most directly affect rates, benefited from weaker economic data and general...
Mortgage Rates Rise to 2-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 14 2014, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today, erasing yesterday's improvements and carrying them to their highest levels since late January on average. For many lenders, today's rate sheet offerings are very similar to Wednesday's. This is the territory where the...

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