Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates: Good News, Bad News

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by AQ on November 10 2010, 6:43 PM

QEII is here. This is the event that will help mortgage rates move back below 4.00% again. Patience is counting down without blasting off....
Mortgage Rates: Varying Degrees of Opportunity Presented

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by AQ on January 14 2011, 4:30 PM

In the world of mortgage rates there are varying degrees of opportunity, all of which are dependent on your wants and needs. The last time mortgage rates were this aggressive was early December/late November. Some folks have a decision to make.......
Friday 3/6…Unemployment Rises

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by Victor Burek on March 06 2009, 9:33 AM

Yesterday, mortgage backed securities had a pretty decent rally following treasuries to lower yields. We improved yesterday by about .50 in discount which should put lenders par 30 year fixed rate conventional mortgages anywhere from 4.75% to 5% depending...
Mortgage Rates Inch Lower

Comments (48)

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by Victor Burek on April 15 2009, 10:35 AM

Yesterday, mortgage backed securities (MBS) continued their recent upward trend. As MBS moved steadily higher throughout the day consumer borrowing costs inched lower by about .125 in points. So far this morning, MBS are holding steady near yesterday's...
Thursday 3/19...Lenders Repricing Worse

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by Victor Burek on March 19 2009, 1:46 PM

Quick update, mbs are only down a couple ticks from when rate sheets came out but lenders are aggressively repricing for the worse. Some lenders this morning even put out rate sheets much worse than the last rate sheet yesterday. What is happening is...
Your Mortgage Rate and the Closing Costs Associated with It

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by Victor Burek on April 16 2009, 11:21 AM

Yesterday, mortgage backed securities (MBS) traded in a tight range and closed near the previous day's closing price levels. This stability will allow lenders to offer par 30 year conventional mortgages ranging from 4.625% to 4.875% depending on individual...
Mortgage Rates Still Moving Higher

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by Victor Burek on June 09 2009, 11:27 AM

Mortgage rates continue to tick higher as the market shows a insistent disdain for the risks associated with investing in m ortgage - backed securities . MBS are similar to treasuries in that the price and the yield are inversely related , meaning as...
Wednesday 2/11…Decent Rally Yesterday in MBS

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by Victor Burek on February 11 2009, 8:55 AM

Yesterday mortgage backed securities managed to have a decent rally and closed higher by about .375% in discount. Many lenders repriced yesterday for the better and we should see better rate sheets this morning. I suspect par 30 year conventional fixed...
Wednesday 3/18...We are in Rally Mode

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by Victor Burek on March 18 2009, 1:41 PM

Further anaylsis of the FOMC statement to follow but wanted to give a quick update. We are having a pretty big rally across the board. Mortgage backed securities are up a full point which in normal times would result in lenders repricing a whole 100 basis...
Mortgage Rates Move Below 5%

Comments (37)

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by Victor Burek on July 22 2009, 11:09 AM

Mortgage backed securities and treasuries went on quite a rally yesterday following Ben Bernanke’s first day of testimony on Capitol Hill. After opening to the downside, the fixed income sector started to gain momentum during Mr. Bernanke’s testimony...
Tuesday 3/24…Holding Ground Despite Downward Pressure

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by Victor Burek on March 24 2009, 9:06 AM

Yesterday was a pretty uneventful day for mortgage backed securities. They traded in a pretty tight range closing about the same level they opened. So far this morning, MBS have moved lower by about a .125 in discount. We should see par 30 year conventional...
Mortgage Rate Watchers Stuck in Waiting Game

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by AQ on November 15 2010, 4:36 PM

Tension remains high in the primary mortgage market as mortgage rates have extended their losing streak. We're in a tough spot here......
Friday 2/20…Year Over Year Inflation at Lowest Level Since 1955

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by Victor Burek on February 20 2009, 9:09 AM

Yesterday, mortgage backed securities took their direction from treasuries and sold off about .25 in discount. As mbs sell off and move lower in price, it causes interest rates to move higher. So far this morning we have regained all we lost yesterday...
Wednesday 3/3… Pretty Disappointed

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by Victor Burek on March 04 2009, 11:21 AM

Here are the much anticapted guidelines released by the Obama administration. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY Washington March 4, 2009 Making Home Affordable Summary of Guidelines Making Home Affordable will offer assistance to as many as 7 to 9 million...
Strong Auction Demand Drives Mortgage Rates Lower

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by Victor Burek on July 09 2009, 12:44 PM

Mortgage backed securities posted big gains yesterday following a surprisingly strong 10 yr Treasury note auction. The bid to cover ratio, a measure of demand, was 3.28 bids for every 1 awarded, the highest demand this year by far. Indirect bidders were...

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