Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Erase 2 Days of Weakness

Mortgage Rates Drift Higher Again

Mortgage Rates Edge up to 2-Week Highs

Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher to End The Week

Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, but Remain Near Recent Lows

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Mortgage Rates Still Moving Higher

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by Victor Burek on June 09 2009, 11:27 AM

Mortgage rates continue to tick higher as the market shows a insistent disdain for the risks associated with investing in m ortgage - backed securities . MBS are similar to treasuries in that the price and the yield are inversely related , meaning as...
Mortgage Rates : The Week Ahead

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by Victor Burek on June 08 2009, 12:12 PM

After the brutal beating over the last week and a half, mortgage - backed securities are looking for direction. In total, since “Black Wednesday” (5/27), mortgage rates have risen from a range of 4.5% to 4.75% to a range between 5.250% to...
Mortgage Rates Still Moving Higher

Comments (17)

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by Victor Burek on June 05 2009, 1:20 PM

Mortgage rates moved considerably higher following another sell off in the mortgage-backed securities market yesterday. Since Monday, current coupon MBS prices have moved 200 basis points lower, consequently pushing the par 30 year fixed mortgage rate...
Mortgage Rates Steady as Market Awaits Direction

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by Victor Burek on June 04 2009, 1:08 PM

Yesterday mortgage-backed securities had their least volatile day since last week's " Black Wednesday " event. MBS traded in a tight range most of the session, closing slightly higher than the previous day's "going out" marks...
Late Day Improvements Lower Borrowing Costs

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by Victor Burek on June 03 2009, 11:56 AM

After a lower opening, mortgage backed securities managed to rally later in the day recapturing all the losses from earlier. This allowed some lenders to pass along better rate sheets as the gains held all the way to close. In total, MBS improved by more...
Confident Stocks Push Mortgage Rates Higher

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by Victor Burek on June 02 2009, 12:03 PM

Continued confidence from eager equity investors sparked a rally in stock markets forcing fixed income investors to liquidate their holdings of mortgage-backed securities. After a healthy "Black Wednesday" rebound late last week, MBS gave back...
Long Term Inflation Outlook Pushes Mortgage Rates Higher

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by Victor Burek on June 01 2009, 11:45 AM

On Friday, mortgage backed securities (MBS) aggressively rallied, recapturing about half the losses suffered on "Black Wednesday". The majority of lenders repriced for the better but many remained cautious and did not pass along gains to the...
Mortgage Rates Stabilize…. Starting to Move Lower

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by Victor Burek on May 29 2009, 12:43 PM

After a brutal beat down on Wednesday, mortgage-backed securities managed to recapture some of those losses yesterday. Although we didn’t have a monumental rally but after 4 days of MBS selling and steadily increasing mortgage rates .... it was...
The Day After "Black Wednesday"….

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by Victor Burek on May 28 2009, 12:40 PM

What a day we had in the mortgage industry yesterday. Mortgage backed securities (MBS) suffered their 2 nd worse day in history after losing 2 full points in price, leading lenders to increase mortgage rates almost a full half percent. If you would like...
Economic Confidence Moving Mortgage Rates Higher

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by Victor Burek on May 27 2009, 11:34 AM

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) added a third day to their recent losing streak. Yesterday MBS moved lower in price by almost ½ point resulting in a noticeable increase in consumer borrowing cost after most lenders repriced for the worse . The...
Mortgage Rates Face Challenging Week

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by Victor Burek on May 26 2009, 11:00 AM

I hope everyone had a safe Memorial Day weekend...now it’s time to get back to work. Onto the data for the week. Tuesday - The first relevant report of the week is the S&P/Case-Shiller home price idex which tracks the monthly change in the price...
Treasury Sell off Leads to Higher Mortgage Rates

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by Victor Burek on May 22 2009, 10:57 AM

Yesterday was a tough day for mortgage backed securities (MBS) but even tougher on Treasuries. If you would like to see a graph of the carnage, Click here . All lenders did reprice for the worse, with some increasing borrowing costs by .50 in discount...
Fed Minutes Leads to Lower Consumer Borrowing Costs

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by Victor Burek on May 21 2009, 11:51 AM

Following the release of the minutes from the last Federal Open Market Committee meeting, mortgage backed securities (MBS) managed to move higher in price which results in lower consumer borrowing costs. Most lenders repriced for the better improving...
Mortgage Rates Steady While Market Awaits Directional Guidance

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by Victor Burek on May 20 2009, 10:47 AM

If you had decided to sleep the day away yesterday, you wouldn’t have missed much in the mortgage backed security world (MBS). The entire day, MBS traded in a very tight range in below normal volume. That trend appears to be carrying over into today's...
Global Stock Market Rally Pushes Rates Higher

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by Victor Burek on May 19 2009, 10:34 AM

Worldwide economic optimism has led investors to liquidate their risk averse fixed income positions (ie mortgage backed securities and treasuries) to fund a global stock market rally consequently pushing mortgage rates a few basis points higher. In what...

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