Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Maintaining Longer-Term Lows For Now

Mortgage Rates Back to 3-Month Lows

Mortgage Rates Off Recent Lows

Mortgage Rate Volatility Still a No-Show For 2020

Mortgage Rates Face More Volatility Later This Week

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Warehouse, Broker Products; M&A With Lenders and Vendors;...

Fannie Predicts Pick-Up in Residential Construction in 2020

Mortgage Application Volume Retains Most of Last Week's Gains

Gen Z and Millennials Plan on Buying Homes in Larger Numbers...

MBS Week Ahead: Light Data Week Leaves Focus Overseas

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Younger Generations Plan on Buying More Homes; Rates Back to 3-Month Lows, But Why?

Published: 1/21/2020

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Mortgage Rates Might be Hitting Some Resistance

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by Matthew Graham on October 07 2019, 5:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower every week for the past 3 weeks. They covered a respectable amount of ground during that time and ultimately erased most of September's damage by Friday afternoon. In outright terms, September's weakness pushed the average 30yr...
Mortgage Rates Closing in on Multi-Year Lows

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by Matthew Graham on October 04 2019, 3:26 PM

Mortgage rates fell nicely this week with modest to moderate gains throughout. As I noted yesterday, this runs counter to the week's average mortgage rate headline, which claims flat to slightly higher rates versus last week. Those claims aren't wrong...
Mortgage Rates Definitely Aren't Flat This Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 03 2019, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates are much lower today compared to last Thursday, or any other day last week. Despite that fact, major news outlets--even those dedicated to the mortgage and real estate markets--are running some iteration of a headline claiming rates are...
Rates Are Still Falling, But Not Precipitously

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by Matthew Graham on October 02 2019, 4:49 PM

Mortgage rates are historically quite low and they managed to continue lower today . This is in addition to a steady string of improvements that began more than 2 weeks ago. But whereas other parts of the financial market are making some of the biggest...
Mortgage Rates Much Lower After Manufacturing Report

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by Matthew Graham on October 01 2019, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates were already at their lowest levels in a few weeks by yesterday afternoon--a journey that largely consisted of baby steps. There have been a few days that have seen more movement than others and today certainly qualified, thanks to an incredibly...
Mortgage Rates Lowest in Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on September 30 2019, 4:35 PM

Mortgage rate movement was fairly uneventful last week. The bond market (which is most directly responsible for driving day-to-day changes in mortgages rates) was focused on consolidating, meaning the gaps between lows and highs were getting smaller and...
Much Calmer Day For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on September 26 2019, 3:59 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today--a welcome development after yesterday's move higher. In the bigger picture, rates have done an acceptable job of moving back down after spiking at the fastest one-week pace in years 2 weeks ago. The entirety of last week...
Mortgage Rates Change Course, Head Higher

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by Matthew Graham on September 25 2019, 5:23 PM

Mortgage rates bounced higher today, after making it to the best levels in more than a week yesterday afternoon. Markets responded to a strong home sales report and political headlines. The net effect was upward pressure on stock prices and interest rates...
Mortgage Rates Manage to Hold Near Weekly Lows

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by Matthew Graham on September 24 2019, 3:11 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold on to the improvements seen yesterday. This was far from a certainty yesterday afternoon as the underlying bond market had ebbed into weaker territory after hitting much stronger levels earlier in the day. The timing was...
Great Day For Mortgage Rates, But There's a Catch

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by Matthew Graham on September 23 2019, 5:41 PM

Mortgage rates added to last week's friendly rebound with their best single-day drop in more than a month today. Weak economic data in Europe and tepid domestic data helped drive demand in safe-haven bond markets. Higher bond market demand means lower...
Mortgage Rates End Week Near Best Levels

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by Matthew Graham on September 20 2019, 5:59 PM

What a difference a week makes! At the end of last week, things were pretty grim, with mortgage rates having just seen their worst single week since 2013. The uplifting caveat at the time was that such bouts of nastiness are not that uncommon in the wake...
Think The Fed Cut Mortgage Rates? Think Again

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by Matthew Graham on September 19 2019, 4:23 PM

Here is exactly what yesterday's Fed rate cut did to mortgage rates: ABSOLUTELY NOTHING! No Fed rate cut (or hike) will EVER do ANYTHING directly to mortgage rates because the Fed doesn't set mortgage rates. Don't let the caps-lock fool you into thinking...
HIGHER Mortgage Rates Despite Fed Rate CUT. Here's Why

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2019, 4:54 PM

One of the greatest potential sources of confusion for prospective mortgage borrowers is the relationship between the Fed and mortgage rates. While the Fed's policy changes absolutely have a big impact on all sorts of interest rates (including mortgages...
No, The Fed Rate Cut Won't Affect Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on September 17 2019, 5:02 PM

Mortgage rates have risen rather abruptly from their long term lows 2 weeks ago and are now at the highest levels in more than a month. Fortunately, the average lender is still easily able to quote rates in the high 3% range, which is still a significant...
Rates Recover Modestly, But Uncertainty Remains

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by Matthew Graham on September 16 2019, 4:48 PM

Mortgage rates closed out their worst week since 2016 on Friday as the bond market underwent a classic correction after its best month since 2011. The bigger and more sustained a drop in rates, the bigger the potential correction. There were, however...

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