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Mortgage Rates Back Up To Pre-Election Levels

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by Matthew Graham on November 10 2020, 2:37 PM

Mortgage rate movement had been very calm relatively resilient compared to the broader bond market. In other words, mortgages have been doing better than US Treasuries. The 10yr Treasury yield is frequently used as a bellwether for mortgage rate movements...
Mortgage Rates Jump After Pfizer News

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by Matthew Graham on November 09 2020, 3:28 PM

Last week ultimately ended up being great for mortgage rates , but only after a somewhat abrupt increase heading into the election. On Tuesday, the average lender raised rates at the fastest pace in weeks to prepare for post-election volatility. Wednesday...
Election Week Was a Win For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on November 06 2020, 5:40 PM

Heading into the presidential election, there were significant risks for mortgage rates and a wide range of potential outcomes. We knew there would be volatility either way, and we were right! Volatility goes both ways. Heading into the election, the...
Another Nice Drop in Mortgage Rates, But Still Not "All-Time"

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by Matthew Graham on November 05 2020, 4:53 PM

Any discussion of "all-time low" mortgage rates requires careful attention to specifics. Are we talking about weekly survey numbers or actual daily numbers? Intraday vs end of day? Best-case rates or averages? Purchases or refis? Depending on the specifics...
Mortgage Rates Bounce Back (Lower)

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by Matthew Graham on November 04 2020, 3:53 PM

Yesterday, we discussed the fact that many mortgage lenders got defensive ahead of election night uncertainty. In the mortgage world, when lenders get defensive, it means "higher rates." This was blatantly obvious for a few lenders who raised rates by...
Mortgage Rates Pop Higher as Lenders Guard Against Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on November 03 2020, 5:16 PM

It's no secret that there was a massive market reaction to the 2016 election. Even though markets don't expect the range of potential outcomes to be nearly as wide this time, there's no question that at least some fraction of the same amount of volatility...
Mortgage Rates Steady At Recent Lows Ahead of Election

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by Matthew Graham on November 02 2020, 3:23 PM

Mortgage rates move higher and lower all the time, but truly massive moves tend to arrive with many months (if not years) in between. The trade war in 2019 and the pandemic in 2020 both served to push rates significantly lower, but how about rate spikes...
2016 Reminds Us How Completely Crazy Next Week Could Be For Rates

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by Matthew Graham on October 30 2020, 7:20 PM

The 2016 election won't soon be forgotten in the mortgage or bond markets. Many of the predictions were dead wrong when it came to how interest rates would react to a Trump victory, and the reason ended up being very simple in hindsight. Are there any...
Mortgage Rates Can Only Hold Out For So Long

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by Matthew Graham on October 29 2020, 2:54 PM

It was a bit of a bittersweet day for mortgage rates . On the one hand, it was the Fed's first day buying a new category of mortgage-backed bonds--one that would help pave the way for rates to move gradually lower if the broader bond market remains in...
Mortgage Rates Inch Lower, But Volatility Risks Are Increasing

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by Matthew Graham on October 28 2020, 5:10 PM

When interest rates plummeted in response to the early realities of the pandemic back in March/April, mortgage rates did a terrible job of keeping pace with the broader bond market. When we talk about the "broader bond market," things like 10yr Treasury...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Flat Despite Stronger Bond Market

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by Matthew Graham on October 27 2020, 4:45 PM

Mortgage rates are mostly determined by the trading levels of mortgage-backed bonds on the open market. When those bonds improve, mortgage rates move lower, all other things being equal. For a variety of reasons, that typical relationship has been hit...
Mortgage Rates Modestly Lower to Start New Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 26 2020, 3:47 PM

Mortgage rates were lower today for the average lender, but just how low remains a matter of great debate. To be fair, there's no active debate raging behind the scenes. Rather, there are a few weeks' worth of news headlines claiming "all-time low mortgage...
Don't Believe This Week's Mortgage Rate News. Here's Why

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by Matthew Graham on October 23 2020, 6:26 PM

Another week, another glut of news articles claiming mortgage rates are at all-time lows. While no one is intentionally trying to deceive you, the news is deceptive nonetheless. Why? Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey is at the heart of the issue...
Today is October 22nd, 2020, and Mortgage Rates Are Not at All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on October 22 2020, 4:56 PM

Thursdays are special days for mortgage rate aficionados--or they can be anyway. That's when the weekly mortgage rate survey from Freddie Mac is released. The survey is a mainstay of the mortgage industry and the news media. It's been around the longest...
Mortgage Rates Highest in Nearly a Month

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by Matthew Graham on October 21 2020, 4:32 PM

Rates are appreciably higher than they were last week or indeed any time in past 4 weeks. That's surprising news to those laboring under misapprehensions created by widespread reports of "all-time low rates" from last week. As we discussed yesterday,...

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