Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Not Exactly Lower This Week

Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Lower After Fed

Mortgage Rates Spike, Erasing Last Week's Gains

Rates Begin Week Unchanged at July's Lows

Mortgage Rates Lowest in July

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Rates Steady to Slightly Lower After Fed; New Home Sales Fall; Fed Statement Differences

Published: 7/26/2017

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Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower Ahead of Fed

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by Matthew Graham on May 02 2017, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates fell modestly today, but remained well inside the narrow range that's been intact for more than a week. For most lenders, that means conventional 30yr fixed quotes of 4.0-4.125% on top tier scenarios. Most borrowers will continue to see...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on May 01 2017, 5:53 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly higher today, keeping them in line with the previous 4 business days. This 5-day block stands out from the previous trend that had taken rates generally lower since the middle of March, ultimately hitting the...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged Heading Into Fed Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 28 2017, 2:41 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged today, holding onto modest improvements seen yesterday. In many ways, the past 2 days have confirmed that rates are in limbo near the lower end of the post-election range. To be sure, they were definitively lower in mid-April...
Mortgage Rates Fighting to Stay Near 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 27 2017, 5:24 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower today, following a policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). Some investors were concerned the ECB might begin sprinkling in clues about rate hikes or an early end to bond buying programs, but there was no such...
Mortgage Rates Hold Ground After Tax Plan Release

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by Matthew Graham on April 26 2017, 3:59 PM

Mortgage rates were relatively unchanged today, but only after averaging the disparate changes from various lenders. That means some lenders are in much better shape versus yesterday while others are noticeably worse. This sort of disparate movement isn...
Mortgage Rates Highest in 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on April 25 2017, 4:21 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher again higher today, as global financial markets continued reacting to recent geopolitical flashpoints (like the French election, discussed yesterday). Markets are also moving in anticipation of future flashpoints...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher After French Election

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2017, 5:07 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher today, and most of the blame goes to the presidential election in France. If you're wondering what European politics have to do with mortgage rates in the US, you're not alone. While it certainly isn't the first...
Mortgage Rates End Week Roughly Unchanged

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2017, 4:28 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways to slightly higher this week as global financial markets braced for volatility surrounding this weekend's French election. While it may seem like a world away from the domestic mortgage market, events that potentially impact...
Mortgage Rates Up Modestly From 5-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 20 2017, 4:44 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today as global financial markets shifted ahead of this weekend's election in France. One of the candidates--Le Pen--is a populist whose victory is seen as potentially destabilizing the entire EU. Whether or not that's actually...
Mortgage Rates Hold Near Lows Despite Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on April 19 2017, 4:01 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly higher today, depending on the lender, despite bond market weakness. Typically, bond market weakness results in rates moving higher, but the timing of market movements can be important. Specifically, yesterday saw...
Rates Pushing Deep Into Post-Election Range

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2017, 3:50 PM

After stumbling just slightly yesterday, mortgage rates returned to their recent habit of setting new 2017 lows today. At this point, we're getting closer and closer to post-election lows. You'd have to go all the way back to November, 14th 2016 to see...
Mortgage Rates Fairly Steady Near 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2017, 3:47 PM

For the third day in a row, mortgage rates set new 2017 lows this morning. But as bond markets weakened into the afternoon, several lenders recalled rate sheets for "negative reprices." This brought the afternoon's rate sheet offerings back in line with...
Rates Push 2017 Lows For 3rd Straight Day

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by Matthew Graham on April 13 2017, 12:07 PM

Mortgage rates set new 2017 lows for the third straight day today, although only in terms of "effective rates" (which take upfront costs into account). "Note rates" (which simply refer to the rate applied to one's loan balance) are unchanged from yesterday...
Rates Move Deeper Into 2017 Lows After Trump Comments

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by Matthew Graham on April 12 2017, 5:20 PM

Mortgage rates continued lower today, bringing them even deeper into new lows for 2017. Bond markets (which underlie rate movement) were already doing just fine this morning, but got a boost from Trump's comments on the strength of the US Dollar in the...
Mortgage Rates Hit New 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 11 2017, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower today--significantly in some cases--with the average lender making it back to 2017's lows for the first time since January. Rates came close to 2017's lows in late February and again last week before officially crossing the...

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