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Another Day; Another Long-Term High For Rates

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Near Multi-Month Highs

Mortgage Rates Stabilize For Now

Highest Rates in Months

Are Rates Doomed to Continue Higher?

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Rates Defy Jobs Report (And Other Weekly Highlights)

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2021, 5:08 PM

A heat wave on the west coast got national attention this week. Despite temps close to 120°, Tuesday's home price data was even hotter with both of the big reports telling the same story. FHFA prices (nationwide) are increasing at a record pace ....
Mortgage Rates Face Bigger Risks in The Coming Days

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by Matthew Graham on July 01 2021, 4:24 PM

Mortgage rates have had several good weeks now after being dealt a blow by the Fed announcement on June 16th. Said "blow" is relative , to say the least. Rates technically never departed the lower 3% range, and they remain there now, albeit closer to...
Mortgage Rates Trickle Lower Yet Again

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by Matthew Graham on June 30 2021, 4:29 PM

Mortgage rates fell again today--now officially below the lowest levels in the past 2 weeks. In order to accomplish that, rates had to fully erase the damage done exactly 2 weeks ago after the Fed announcement caused the biggest single-day spike in months...
Mortgage Rates Inch Toward 2-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 29 2021, 3:12 PM

Mortgage rates are primarily a function of trading levels in the bond market and bonds have enjoyed (or suffered) an interesting mix of volatility and stability in June. US Treasury yields (which share a strong correlation with ,mortgage rates) moved...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually LOWER This Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2021, 1:19 PM

Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels in a week yesterday and are sideways to slightly lower today, depending on the lender. These facts are not well represented in the news today, where you're more likely to see stories about rates being much higher...
Mortgage Rates Edge Down to Best Levels in a Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2021, 5:39 PM

Last week's announcement from the Federal Reserve was the last major shake-up for mortgage rates , sending them quickly higher on Wednesday afternoon. Since then, things have been improving gradually , even if a bit unevenly. Mortgage lenders have been...
No Easy Victories For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2021, 4:29 PM

10yr yields may have hit their lowest levels in months in the wee hours of the morning and people may always perceive a bit too much correlation between 10yr yields and mortgage rates, but the latter didn't have quite the same success. To be fair, Treasuries...
Making Sense of This Week's Fed Drama

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by Matthew Graham on June 18 2021, 3:53 PM

The Fed released a new scheduled policy announcement this week as well as updated economic projections. Relative chaos ensued. Let's talk about why and what it means going forward. Background on Fed Funds Rate and Mortgage Rates There's a fairly prevalent...
No, Mortgage Rates Aren't Lower Today!

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2021, 4:23 PM

It's Thursday on a volatile week for the bond market and thus time, once again, to play our favorite game: "no, rates didn't really do that." Sometimes, a majority of mortgage rate headlines say rates went higher when they're really lower. In today's...
Rates Jump After Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2021, 4:42 PM

Mortgage rates were already drifting higher in the first half of the week, but that was nothing compared to today. This afternoon's Fed Announcement was certainly on the radar as a potential source of volatility. Needless to say, it delivered. But how...
Rates Moving Higher Ahead of Fed

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2021, 4:15 PM

Mortgage rates had a great week last week, ultimately getting very close to the lowest levels since March. One of the main sources of motivation was the market phenomenon known as a "short squeeze." In not so many words, this means that too many traders...
One of The Biggest Paradoxes You'll Ever See For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2021, 6:21 PM

No, this isn't one of those click-bait headlines that promise to share "one weird trick" or proclaim "you'll never believe what happened next." Well, actually, some people might have a hard time believing this one. In the interest of respecting the time...
Mortgage Rates Fall As Inflation Fails to Spook The Market

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2021, 4:34 PM

Inflation is one of the mortal enemies of interest rates. If dollars in the future buy less stuff than they do today, investors need to set higher and higher rates on the money they lend in order to realize the same returns. With that in mind, we'd be...
Rates Move Lower Again as Bond Demand Stays Strong

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2021, 2:40 PM

The bond market is the main ingredient that lenders use to determine lending rates. The mortgage market is no exception . In fact, mortgages have specific bonds that dictate the prices of loans that sold between investors on the secondary market. Those...
Lowest Rates in Nearly 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2021, 3:54 PM

Mortgage rates haven't been in the habit of making epic swings recently. That's not a bad thing considering they continue to operate in very low territory in historical terms. For the average lender, today brought one of the bigger recent examples of...

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