Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Modestly Higher Ahead of Fed Minutes

Mortgage Rates Stay Steady, Waiting For a Sign

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady as Stocks Stabilize

Mortgage Rates Drop to Last Thursday's Levels

Mortgage Rates Not Impressed by Market Volatility

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Home Price Reductions Are Increasing, Especially at High End; Builder Confidence Improves

Published: 10/16/2018

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Mortgage Rates Behind the Curve For 2nd Straight Day

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by Matthew Graham on July 20 2018, 6:27 PM

Mortgage rates improved today but it was largely a byproduct of yesterday's market movement that didn't make it onto lenders' rate sheets at the time. Mortgage lenders set rates based on trading levels in mortgage backed securities or MBS (the bonds that...
Mortgage Rates Back to Flat After Starting Higher

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by Matthew Graham on July 19 2018, 2:53 PM

Mortgage rates had a scare today, as they began the day at their highest levels of the month (depending on the lender) only to fall back in line with yesterday (or better!). The reason for the back-and-forth movement has to do with esoteric behind-the...
Mortgage Rates Flat Again, Despite Modest Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on July 18 2018, 4:57 PM

Mortgage rates were flat again today, further prolonging a trend that's been in place for weeks. During that time, we've seen modest ups and downs, but no significant changes. To put the narrowness of the range in context, the "ups and downs" are only...
Same Old Story For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2018, 4:36 PM

Mortgage rates were generally unchanged today, prolonging an exceptionally flat trend. Over the past 3 weeks, the average mortgage seeker will not have seen a change in the interest rate attached to their loan. Changes have come instead from the upfront...
Mortgage Rates Edge Higher

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by Matthew Graham on July 16 2018, 4:11 PM

Mortgage rates fell to their lowest levels since late May as of last Friday. Today, then, would be the 2nd best day since late May. Rates edged slightly higher to begin the new week as bond markets (which underlie rates) came under modest pressure for...
Lowest Rates Since May, But There's a Catch

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by Matthew Graham on July 13 2018, 2:55 PM

Mortgage rates fell by an observable amount today-- one of the few times they've done so in recent weeks. Technically, today's average lender is offering the best we've seen since May 31st. That sounds pretty great, right?! Unfortunately, there's a fairly...
Mortgage Rates Still Can't Find Inspiration

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by Matthew Graham on July 12 2018, 5:18 PM

Mortgage rates stood a very decent chance to experience the highest volatility of the week today thanks to the most important economic data of the week being released this morning. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most widely-followed inflation metric...
Mortgage Rates Calm Ahead of Key Data

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by Matthew Graham on July 11 2018, 4:54 PM

Mortgage rates played the same role they've been playing for weeks by holding fairly steady today. At the average lender, if you're looking for an average loan and you have above average qualifications, you'll have seen the same interest rate at the top...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher So Far This Week

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by Matthew Graham on July 10 2018, 3:45 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move for most lenders today. Remaining lenders were just slightly higher than yesterday, thus keeping this week's modest upward bias intact. In the slightly bigger picture, we had a fairly friendly consolidation in rates heading...
Mortgage Rates Edge Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on July 09 2018, 4:47 PM

Mortgage rates were modestly higher today amid exceptionally quiet market conditions. In general, the bond market (which underlies mortgage rates) has been sideways and fairly lifeless since the end of June. Until Friday, the same could be said for stocks...
Mortgage Rates Breathe Sigh of Relief

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by Matthew Graham on July 06 2018, 6:12 PM

Mortgage rates finally fell today--something that's proven elusive since roughly June 15th. Incidentally, that's when financial markets began bracing for the impact of the tariffs that were made official today. In this case, "bracing for impact" meant...
Rates Staying Sideways Ahead of Big-Ticket Events

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by Matthew Graham on July 05 2018, 4:26 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways to slightly higher today as financial markets returned for the final 2 days of the holiday-shortened week. Trade war anxiety is front and center for both stocks and bonds (which dictate rates). Fear of negative economic fallout...
Mortgage Rates Widely Varied by Lender

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by Matthew Graham on July 03 2018, 1:55 PM

Mortgage rates ended the day roughly in line with yesterday's on average. That said, there's a wider-than-normal gap between lenders depending on several variables. The underlying issue is the timing of bond market volatility over the past 2 days. Let...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher After Mid-Day Change

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2018, 5:09 PM

Mortgage rates began the day in decent shape relative to last week. The average lender's rate/fee combo was at least as low as it had been on Friday. As the day progressed, however, underlying bond markets continued to weaken . For many lenders, it was...
Mortgage Rates on Autopilot Ahead of Holiday Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 29 2018, 5:57 PM

Mortgage rates haven't moved for 3 straight days now. In fact, if you're not too concerned with minutia, there hasn't been any major movement in weeks. Unless something big happens in financial markets soon, we shouldn't expect that to change next week...

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