Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Biggest Jump in 2 Months For Mortgage Rates

The Rate Also Rises

Most Mortgage Rate Headlines Are Wrong Today

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Cost of Imperfection Remains High in The Mortgage World

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by Matthew Graham on May 04 2020, 5:04 PM

Mortgage rates moved off their recent lows to start the new week, but only slightly. That keeps the average lender very close to the lowest rates in roughly 2 months. It also keeps us fairly close to the lowest rates ever. In fact, some lenders were at...
Lowest Mortgage Rates in More Than a Month, For Some Anyway

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by Matthew Graham on April 30 2020, 5:42 PM

Mortgage rates moved down again today, bringing the average lender to their best levels since the 2nd week of March. Some lenders are quoting their lowest rates ever, but early March 2020 averages are still decidedly lower. You may have seen other articles...
Mortgage Rates Lowest Since Early March, But Not For Everyone

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by Matthew Graham on April 28 2020, 6:24 PM

Mortgage rates moved down nicely last week and have either maintained or improved upon those levels this week. The catch is that the good times aren't rolling for everyone. Borrowers with lower credit scores, less equity, and especially those needing...
Mortgage Rates at Lowest Levels in Several Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2020, 6:23 PM

Let's get caveats out of the way upfront. No conversation about mortgage rates would be complete without a reminder that some lenders are very far removed from the averages. Moreover, even a lender is offering rates that are in line with today's average...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher to Start The Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 20 2020, 5:56 PM

While the industry has come to terms with recent challenges in terms of day-to-day volatility, mortgage rates remain higher than they otherwise would be based on financial markets. In other words there are gold standard benchmarks that serve as the foundation...
Mortgage Rates Relatively Stable This Week But Slightly Higher Today

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2020, 6:22 PM

Mortgage rates continue showing a willingness to play by at least a few of the same rules that typically apply. Most of the rules went out the window as the market reacted to coronavirus--specifically the unprecedented joblessness hitting all at once...
Mortgage Rates Move Modestly Lower, But Caveats Remain

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2020, 5:16 PM

Mortgage rates had a reasonably calm and logical day--not something we've been able to say very often recently. It was calm in the sense that today's average rates didn't fall too far from yesterday's and intraday movement wasn't too extreme. It was logical...
Mortgage Rates Moderately Higher Today

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by Matthew Graham on April 14 2020, 4:54 PM

Mortgage rates were moderately to significantly higher today depending on the lender, the program, and on one's own definition of words like "moderate" and "significant." If you're well aware of the recently extreme level of variability between lenders...
1 Step Forward and 2 Back For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on April 13 2020, 5:06 PM

Mortgage rates have been volatile and unpredictable to say the least. Some of this has to do with overall market volatility surrounding the market's reaction to new realities presented by coronavirus. On a tangential note, the pandemic created a separate...
Mortgage Rates Showing Some Signs of Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on April 10 2020, 2:18 PM

Just as the mortgage industry was coming to terms with unprecedented market volatility due to coronavirus, the details of the CARES Act (the coronavirus rescue/stimulus/relief bill) presented their own set of challenges. For some lenders and borrowers...
Why Have "Points" Made a Big Resurgence In The Mortgage Market?

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by Matthew Graham on April 06 2020, 4:55 PM

The most important ingredient in the mortgage market is the presence of homeowners--prospective or otherwise--with the means and desire to make monthly payments. That fact invites investors to earn solid, predictable returns with almost no risk. After...
Mortgage Market is Freaking People Out

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2020, 5:30 PM

There are too many counter-intuitive and frustrating developments in the mortgage market to comprehend all at one time, let alone discuss. That's not a cop-out as much as it is a favor I'm doing for you. If we tried to cover all of the nonsensical ground...
Mortgage Rates Are Amazing and Terrible

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by Matthew Graham on March 25 2020, 6:42 PM

Depending on what you're looking at, when you look, and where you look, mortgage rates could either be amazing or terrible. Large, upstanding, secure, solvent, excellent lenders are as much as a full percentage point apart from one another on the same...
Mortgage Market is Still a Mess, But a Hopeful One

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by Matthew Graham on March 24 2020, 6:36 PM

There is a LOT of misinformation flying around out there about the mortgage market, the Fed, and the various impacts on rates from the government's coronavirus response. If you're in the market for big-picture overviews of all the relevant considerations...
The MOST Volatile Day For Mortgages

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by Matthew Graham on March 19 2020, 5:42 PM

Today was the most volatile day in the history of the mortgage market in many regards. There were days in the early 80's that saw rates move by similar amounts, but none of them saw the underlying market for mortgage bonds move back and forth by such...

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