Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Coast Into Extended Weekend

Mortgage Rates Improve as Lenders Catch up With Yesterday's...

Upward Mortgage Rate Momentum Pauses After Fed

Mortgage Rates Remain Under Pressure

Low and Sideways, Mortgage Rates Play Waiting Game

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Rates Coast Into Extended Weekend; Wages and Inflation; Fed's Impact on Mortgages

Published: 5/26/2017

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Rates and Potential Volatility Are Much Higher Than Last Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 02 2017, 4:14 PM

Mortgage rates were only modestly higher today, extending the recent losing streak to its 4th straight day. This keeps the average conventional 30yr fixed at 4.25% for top tier scenarios. Before that, it averaged 4.125% for most of February. Bond markets...
Mortgage Rates Rise After Trump Speech, But Not Necessarily Because of It

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by Matthew Graham on March 01 2017, 3:45 PM

Mortgage rates moved sharply higher today, bringing the average top tier 30yr fixed quote back to 4.25% from 4.125% previously. That doesn't exactly mean that rates are .125%, depending on your perspective. While the actual rate applied to loan balances...
Mortgage Rates Modestly Higher Ahead of Trump Speech

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by Matthew Graham on February 28 2017, 2:32 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today in most cases, but not by much. More interesting is the fact that rates held their ground as well as they did considering several strong economic reports this morning. Strong economic data typically leads investors to...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2017, 4:47 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher after a strong run to the lowest levels of the year as of last Friday. In general, financial markets moved toward safer investments (like bonds) heading into the weekend. When demand for bonds increases, rates move...
Mortgage Rates in Line With 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2017, 4:26 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower for 3rd straight day (and the 5th time in the past 6 days). That makes this the best winning streak of the year and it brings rates to the lowest levels of the year (matching February 8th and a few days in early January). From...
Mortgage Rates Match 2-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on February 23 2017, 3:03 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower for the 4th time in 5 days today, bringing them to their lowest levels since February 9th. The caveat to any discussion of rate "movement," however, is that the changes have been so small that they can really only be measured...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower After Fed Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on February 22 2017, 3:56 PM

Mortgage rates began the day decidedly lower than yesterday, but most lenders ended up revising rates higher in the mid-morning hours due to bond market weakness. Investors remained on edge heading into the release of the Minutes from the Fed's most recent...
Mortgage Rates Inch Higher Ahead of Fed Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on February 21 2017, 4:14 PM

Mortgage rates were just slightly higher today, leaving them roughly in the center of a range that's persisted since mid-November. During that time the average top-tier conventional 30yr fixed rate has been briefly as high as 4.5% and as low as 4.0%....
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower to End Week

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by Matthew Graham on February 17 2017, 3:13 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower for a 2nd straight day. This helps undo virtually all of the damage done by the first 3 days of the week. In other words, today's rates are right in line with last Friday's after having been noticeably higher for the past 4...
Mortgage Rates Finally Find Some Traction

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by Matthew Graham on February 16 2017, 4:51 PM

After spending the past 5 business days moving higher, mortgage rates finally found their footing today. The improvement came in phases, with today's first round of rate sheets only marginally better than yesterday's. Bond markets (which underlie rate...
Mortgage Rates Approach 3-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 15 2017, 4:29 PM

Mortgage rates rose for the 5th day in a row following a higher reading in this morning's inflation data and an upbeat Retail Sales report. In general, stronger economic data and higher inflation motivate investors to move money out of the bond market...
Losing Streak Continues for Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on February 14 2017, 4:34 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for the 4th straight day today, following Fed Chair Janet Yellen's congressional testimony. It wasn't that Yellen's speech or Q&A contained any major surprises. Rather, bond markets (which dictate rates) were simply looking...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher Ahead of Yellen Testimony

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by Matthew Graham on February 13 2017, 4:35 PM

Mortgage rates stood at their lowest levels in more than 2 months as of last Wednesday, but have since moved higher for 3 straight days . This leaves them roughly in the middle of their recent range--seemingly ready to move in either direction depending...
Rates Remain Lower vs Last Week Despite Rising Today

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by Matthew Graham on February 10 2017, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today, bringing them back in line with Monday's levels. Part of the rise was due to weaker trading levels in bond markets. Just as important is the fact that many lenders didn't raise rates yesterday afternoon as the bond...
Winning Streak Ends For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on February 09 2017, 5:26 PM

Mortgage rates finally moved higher after three straight days of solid improvement. If it's any consolation, today's rise wasn't on par with even one of the past 3 days of gains, although that could change by tomorrow morning. Weakness in the bond market...

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