Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Rates Rising as North Korea Talks Baseball

Mortgage Rates Up Slightly From Long-Term Lows

Mortgage Rates Uninspired at 9-Month Lows

Mortgage Rates Hold 2017 Lows Despite Market Volatility

New 2017 Lows for Rates, But There's a Catch

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Purchases Drag Down Mortgage Application Volume

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Rates Rising as North Korea Talks Baseball; Scary Landlord Merger; Nice Builder Confidence Bounce

Published: 8/15/2017

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Mortgage Rates Higher, Volatility Looms

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by Matthew Graham on May 19 2017, 3:00 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher for the 2nd straight day after hitting the lowest levels in more than 7 months earlier this week. Wednesday's big move lower was a direct result of political headlines relating to potential wrongdoing in communications...
Mortgage Rates Rise Gently From 7-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 18 2017, 6:29 PM

Financial markets are still reeling from political headlines that first began circulating on Tuesday afternoon. While stock markets made a reasonable attempt to retrace yesterday's big move lower, bond markets weren't as interested. Fortunately, that...
Rates Respond to Political Scandal by Plummeting to 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 17 2017, 5:06 PM

Mortgage rates surged significantly lower today, as a part of a broad-based market movement following a political scandal that began taking shape yesterday afternoon. You can choose your preferred media outlet to digest all of the details, but the issue...
Mortgage Rates Back at 2-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2017, 2:50 PM

Compared to yesterday, mortgage rates are either a little bit higher or lower depending on the lender at the moment. On average, they've inched just past last Friday's levels, meaning they're the lowest in 2 weeks . As nice as that sounds, it's worth...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Hold Last Week's Gains

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2017, 6:28 PM

Mortgage rates were s teady to slightly higher today, largely maintaining the improvements seen last week. Underlying financial markets were calm and very few lenders adjusted rate sheets during the day. Last week's gains happened all at once on Friday...
Rates Surge Lower After Downbeat Economic Data

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by Matthew Graham on May 12 2017, 5:30 PM

Most of the movement in mortgage rates had been slow, steady, and generally unfriendly in recent weeks. Today was a stark exception as rates surged significantly lower (relative to their recent range) following weaker-than-expected economic data. Weak...
Mortgage Rates Leak to 1-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on May 11 2017, 4:43 PM

It's been slow and steady, to be sure, but mortgage rates finally inched their way up to the highest levels in more than a month today, depending on the lender. Some rate sheets were in line with April 9/10th levels while a few lenders were back in territory...
Mortgage Rates Moved Higher This Afternoon

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by Matthew Graham on May 10 2017, 6:26 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly higher again today, making it the 13th out of the past 16 business days without an improvement. The situation was more palatable earlier this morning and quite a few lenders were actually in better territory vs yesterday...
Mortgage Rates Continue Slow Trend Higher

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by Matthew Graham on May 09 2017, 2:29 PM

Mortgage rates haven't necessarily moved higher every day recently. For instance, yesterday's rates were unchanged versus last Friday's. But the general trend has unquestionably been toward higher rates . In fact, rates have only moved lower on 3 out...
Mortgage Rates Hold Mostly Steady Despite Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on May 08 2017, 6:12 PM

Mortgage rates were generally unchanged today. This is actually quite an accomplishment if you ask the average bond market participant. Mortgage rates are largely determined by bond market movement (specifically, that of Mortgage-Backed Securities or...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on May 05 2017, 5:47 PM

Mortgage rates recovered today, moving sideways to slightly lower after losing ground over the past few days. Today's focal point was the Employment Situation--the big "jobs report" for the month of April. Job creation ended up slightly stronger than...
Mortgage Rates Higher Ahead of Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on May 04 2017, 7:13 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today, bringing them back in line with the highest levels in nearly a month. That sounds a bit worse than it actually is, due to the narrow range of rates over that time. In fact, most prospective borrowers would be quoted...
Fed Statement Erases Morning Mortgage Rate Gains

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by Matthew Graham on May 03 2017, 4:38 PM

Mortgage rates ended the day relatively close to ' unchanged ,' depending on the lender. That's somewhat surprising considering the presence of several big-ticket events on today's calendar of potential market movers. Chief among these was the most recent...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower Ahead of Fed

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by Matthew Graham on May 02 2017, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates fell modestly today, but remained well inside the narrow range that's been intact for more than a week. For most lenders, that means conventional 30yr fixed quotes of 4.0-4.125% on top tier scenarios. Most borrowers will continue to see...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on May 01 2017, 5:53 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly higher today, keeping them in line with the previous 4 business days. This 5-day block stands out from the previous trend that had taken rates generally lower since the middle of March, ultimately hitting the...

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