Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Full Steam Ahead for Refi Boom as Rates Hit New Lows

Mortgage Rates Back Near Multi-Year Lows

Mortgage Rates Head Back Toward Long-Term Lows

Mortgage Rates Hangin' Tough Despite Stock Market Recovery

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New Home Sales, Prices Soar to Record Levels in January

Underwriting, Appraisal Products; Lender, Vendor, and Borrower...

MBS RECAP: Stock Selling Helped, But Bonds Were Already Rallying

Consolidation Setting Sights on Next Week

Lower Rates Helped Raise January Closing Rate

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Mortgage Rates Steady Today, Much Lower This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 01 2019, 4:14 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today after moving sharply lower yesterday. "Sharply," in this context, means that many lenders saw rates move lower by as much as an eighth of a percentage point versus the previous morning. Changes of that magnitude are rarely...
Mortgage Rates Dropping Like a Rock

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by Matthew Graham on October 31 2019, 5:10 PM

Mortgage rates dropped like a rock today . This has absolutely nothing to do with yesterday's Fed rate cut, a little to do with the market reaction to the verbiage in yesterday's Fed announcement, and a lot to do with today's new developments. Chinese...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed, But Could Improve Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on October 30 2019, 3:52 PM

First things first: the Fed cut its policy rate today, but that doesn't mean they cut mortgage rates . Why? Because they can't and they don't--especially not by a whopping 0.25% in a day (an amount that may be seen once or twice per decade when it comes...
Yes, The Fed Will Cut Rates, But Not Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on October 29 2019, 4:36 PM

You may have heard that the Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut rates this week. That is true. It's happening tomorrow . It would be a big surprise for financial markets if the Fed did NOT cut rates at this point. You may be wondering if this means...
Mortgage Rates Near 3-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on October 28 2019, 5:32 PM

Mortgage rates increased again today as lenders continued to get caught up with 2 days of bond market weakness. When bonds are weaker, prices are moving lower and yields (aka "rates") are moving higher. Rates have been rising in general for almost the...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, As Expected

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by Matthew Graham on October 25 2019, 3:44 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower for 3 days in a row as of yesterday afternoon. But that trend was likely to reverse based on the timing of yesterday's market movement. Specifically, the market was suggesting mortgage lenders should raise their rates, but not...
Mortgage Rates Fell Again, But There's a Catch

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by Matthew Graham on October 24 2019, 3:43 PM

Mortgage rates dropped at a modest pace for the 3rd straight day on Thursday. This brings them back in line with levels seen at the end of last week. That's notable because many media outlets--even some with a focus on mortgages and real estate--are running...
Mortgage Rates Continue Recovering

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by Matthew Graham on October 23 2019, 5:04 PM

Mortgage rates moved a bit lower yesterday after hitting the highest levels in more than a month the day before. They kept the positive trend going today with another modest improvement. While this isn't enough to have a major impact on the cost of financing...
Mortgage Rates Recover Slightly

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by Matthew Graham on October 22 2019, 4:38 PM

Mortgage rates recovered just a bit today after hitting the highest levels in more than a month yesterday. The inspiration for much of the recent upward pressure on rates can be traced to progress in Britain's attempt to exit the European Union (aka ...
Highest Mortgage Rates in More Than a Month

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by Matthew Graham on October 21 2019, 7:28 PM

Mortgage rates may have managed to remain mostly flat last week, but they did so near their highest levels in several weeks. After moving up at a moderate pace today, they're now at the highest levels in just over a month. After being as low as 3.375...
Here's Why Rates Were Flat This Week (And Why That Should Change)

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by Matthew Graham on October 18 2019, 6:03 PM

Mortgage rates were flat today. In fact, they were very close to being flat on the week for that matter! This is a reflection of the bond markets current set of concerns, which really came into focus late last week with Thursday's Brexit-related news...
Mortgage Rates Face Volatility Thanks to an Old Friend

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by Matthew Graham on October 17 2019, 3:40 PM

Mortgage rates didn't do much today, but risks are increasing that movement will be more brisk in the coming business days. Blame European politics--specifically: Brexit. This isn't the mortgage rates' world first go-round with the U.K.'s lengthy process...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed Near Recent Highs

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by Matthew Graham on October 16 2019, 6:01 PM

Mortgage rates improved modestly today, depending on the lender. Some lenders moved rates higher yesterday due to deterioration in the bond market. Others simply planned to adjust for market conditions this morning. If we look at the last 3 days altogether...
Mortgage Rates Turn Higher After a Strong Start

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by Matthew Graham on October 15 2019, 4:32 PM

Mortgage rates ended higher for the 4th straight business day on Tuesday, but that wasn't necessarily destined to be the case this morning. After last week's US/China trade announcements put upward pressure on rates heading into the 3-day weekend, some...
Big Jump in Mortgage Rates This Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 11 2019, 5:27 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher from Wednesday through the end of the week. Thursday and Friday were especially abrupt as financial markets hurried to get in position for a potential US/China trade announcement. What does trade have to do with the mortgage...

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