Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Back to Long Term Lows After Fed

Mortgage Rates Improve Modestly Ahead of Fed Announcement

Mortgage Rates Unchanged Amid Lack of Motivation

Mortgage Rates Move Back toward Long-Term Lows

Mortgage Rates Hold Perfectly Steady Despite Massive Underlying...

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Rates Back to Long Term Lows; App Surge Levels Off; What's up with Weird Market Reaction to the Fed?

Published: 1/28/2015

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Mortgage Rates at 3-Week Highs After Fed Ends QE

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by Matthew Graham on October 29 2014, 4:36 PM

Mortgage rates rose to the highest level in 3 weeks after today's Fed Announcement. The move was a two-part process with initial rate sheets being weaker in the morning and mid-day reprices (lenders raising rates) following the Fed. The pace of the movement...
Mortgage Rates Stay Sideways Ahead of Important Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on October 28 2014, 4:08 PM

Mortgage rates were almost universally sideways today with very few lenders changing rate sheets noticeably from yesterday. As such, the most prevalent conforming 30yr fixed rate quote remains 4.0% for top tier borrowers. It continues to be the case that...
Mortgage Rates Holding Near 4 Percent

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by Matthew Graham on October 27 2014, 3:47 PM

Mortgage rates were almost perfectly unchanged over the weekend. Most lenders are still right in line with Friday's most prevalently-quoted conforming 30yr fixed rate of 4.0% for top tier borrowers. That said, most of those rate sheets also still have...
Mortgage Rates Mildly Lower; Volatile Week Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on October 24 2014, 5:19 PM

Mortgage rates caught a break today and were able to ease just slightly lower heading into the weekend. This is somewhat refreshing because yesterday's bigger move higher was the kind of thing that historically results in further upward pressure. The...
Mortgage Rates Actually Moved Higher Today

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by Matthew Graham on October 23 2014, 5:38 PM

Mortgage rates did as expected and departed their recently more stable range today. Unfortunately, we got the less enjoyable of the two potential departures with rates moving higher at a moderate pace. At the same time, the world's most widely-followed...
Mortgage Rates at a Standstill, but not for Long

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by Matthew Graham on October 22 2014, 4:15 PM

Mortgage rates had their single flattest day since October 2nd today. This is the polar opposite of last week's exceptional volatility. The most interesting thing about it is that this is the way rates typically respond to that kind of rapid movement...
Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on October 21 2014, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates continue to bide their time , holding just under 4 percent on average. Some borrowers might see their quote move up .125% from yesterday, but others will be quoted the same rate with slightly higher closing costs. A few lenders didn't move...
Mortgage Rates Holding Under 4 Percent

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by Matthew Graham on October 20 2014, 3:32 PM

Mortgage rates returned to levels best characterized as "under 4 percent" today after drifting higher on Friday. Last Wednesday was the first foray into the "high 3's" in more than 16 months. Not every scenario will be seeing those high 3's today, but...
Mortgage Rates Mixed to End Wild Week

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by Matthew Graham on October 17 2014, 3:58 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher today, continuing a pull back from the best levels in 16 months on Wednesday. That said, apart from the first 3 business days of this week, today's rates would also qualify as th16-month lows. The weakness pushed the...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher; Still Near 16-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on October 16 2014, 3:31 PM

Mortgage rates were forced to give back some of the tremendous improvements seen yesterday as financial markets corrected after the wild swing. Apart from the past two days, today's rates are the best in 16 months, and in many cases remain very close...
Wildest Day in Years for Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on October 15 2014, 5:03 PM

Mortgage rates went on a truly epic ride today. From the opening bell to the closing bell, the mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) that underlie mortgage rates covered more ground than any other day since at least mid 2011. Direct comparison is an imperfect...
Mortgage Rates Hit High 3's

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by Matthew Graham on October 14 2014, 4:56 PM

Mortgage rates continued living the dream today, falling decisively past last week's lows to claim another instance of "best rates since June 2013." Today's move was exceptional compared to last week's (or just about any other move lower of 2014 for that...
Lender Pricing Pulls Back Ahead of 3 Day Weekend

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by Victor Burek on October 10 2014, 4:42 PM

Mortgage backed securities and treasuries opened in opposite directions this morning. MBS opened a few ticks worse than yesterday, while the benchmark 10 year treasury note opened at 2.30, down from yesterday’s close of 2.32. The early morning weakness...
Mortgage Rates Holding at 16 Month Lows

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by Victor Burek on October 09 2014, 4:04 PM

The rally of the last 4 days continued this morning with the Fannie Mae 3.5 MBS opening up 7 ticks higher than yesterday’s close. The excitement was short lived as profit taking started and continued for the better part of the day causing many lenders...
Mortgage Rates Drop to 16-Month Lows After Fed Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on October 08 2014, 5:14 PM

Mortgage rates put on quite the show today, bringing the crowd to the edge of their seats before knocking it out of the park. Home-runs these days don't travel quite the same distance they did in 2012-2013, but today's resulted in the lowest rates since...

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