Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Rates Steady Near Recent Highs Ahead of Fed

Mortgage Rates Continue Pushing Recent Highs

Mortgage Rates Stabilize Ahead of Next Week's Big Fed Announcement

Mortgage Rates at 3-Week Highs

Mortgage Rates Stabilize Despite More Bond Market Weakness

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Published: 9/19/2017

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Rates Cap Impressively Sideways Week Near Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2017, 4:59 PM

Weeks like this are the reason that some mortgage rate analysis is only done once a week. There haven't been any significant developments in financial markets--at least not as far as bonds (which dictate rates) have been concerned. And there certainly...
Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2017, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates have been so little-changed in recent days that yesterday's coverage wouldn't need to be changed in order to apply perfectly today. Indeed, the 3rd paragraph is a word-for-word repeat. To be fair though, we would need to update yesterday...
Mortgage Rates are Barely Budging (And That's Great!)

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2017, 3:11 PM

Mortgage rates have been locked in an exceptionally narrow range for most of the month of June, but especially over the past 5 days. Given that mortgage rates are determined by the bond market where trading levels move constantly throughout the day, it...
Rates Fall Slightly to Remain Near 8-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 20 2017, 3:44 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly lower today, with underlying bond markets essentially erasing the damage seen yesterday. This was neither here nor there for the mortgage world as most lenders didn't adjust rates much higher yesterday (despite bond...
Mortgage Rates Fairly Steady to Begin Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2017, 4:17 PM

Mortgage rates were mostly flat again today, despite bond market weakness (lower bond prices generally mean higher rates). Between MBS (the mortgage-backed-securities that underlie mortgage rate movement) and US Treasuries (the risk-free benchmark for...
Mortgage Rates Holding Most of Their Recent Gains

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2017, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates were flat today, after weaker-than-expected construction data prompted a positive bounce for bond markets. In general, bonds (which dictate mortgage rates) improve when economic data is weaker. Before this morning's data, rates were at...
Mortgage Rates Bounce, But Remain Near Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2017, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates rose moderately today, as bond markets generally bounced back from the best levels in 8 months yesterday. Despite the bounce, rates are still in line with their best levels of the year. Only a handful of days have been any better and most...
Rates Drop to 8-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 14 2017, 5:10 PM

Mortgage rates fell convincingly today, though not all lenders adjusted rates sheets in proportion to the gains seen in bond markets (which underlie rate movement). Those gains came early, with this morning's economic data coming in much weaker than expected...
Recent Mortgage Rate Stability Could Change Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on June 13 2017, 3:20 PM

Mortgage rates moved modestly higher today, for most lenders. This had more to do with yesterday's market movement than today's. Bond markets were weakening yesterday afternoon (which typically results in rates moving higher). But the weakness came too...
Mortgage Rates Steady-to-Higher as Busy Week Begins

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2017, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates were either flat or slightly higher , depending on the lender today. Movement in underlying bond markets suggested a modest increase in rates, but it came too late in the day for most lenders to respond with a mid-day rate change. As such...
Mortgage Rates Continue Modestly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2017, 4:13 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for the second straight day amid a general lack of actionable information. Some investors noted that the results of the elections in the U.K. were surprising, but not in a way that was any help to interest rates. In general...
Mortgage Rates Rise Modestly From 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2017, 3:09 PM

Mortgage rates rose modestly today after spending 2 days at the best levels in nearly 8 months. Financial markets were tuned in to several key events with the power to cause volatility for rates today. Of these, the Senate testimony of former FBI Director...
Rates Hold 2017 Lows Despite Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on June 07 2017, 4:01 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold in line with 2017's lowest levels for a 2nd day, even though underlying bond markets suggested a move higher . That means the prices of mortgage-backed-securities (MBS--the bonds that dictate mortgage rates) were lower....
Mortgage Rates Unexpectedly Fall to 2017 Lows (Again)

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by Matthew Graham on June 06 2017, 4:20 PM

Mortgage rates unexpectedly fell to new 7-month lows today, following bond market gains in the overnight hours (Asian and European trading sessions). Interest rates are driven by bond markets. The latter is part of an ecosystem of "risk" associated with...
Mortgage Rates Just Off 7-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 05 2017, 5:01 PM

Mortgage rates were modestly higher today after hitting the lowest levels since early November at the end of last week. Along with mid-April, this is the second time rates have been in this territory in more than 7 months. Most prospective borrowers will...

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