Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Rise at Fastest Pace in Weeks

Mortgage Rates Back up to Unchanged After Stronger Start

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Amid Conflicting Data

Mortgage rates Steady to Slightly Lower

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Despite Market Weakness

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New Home Sales Decline from Downgraded May Numbers

Banks and Lenders Buying Each Other & Financial Services...

MBS Day Ahead: Rates Continue Hovering on the Edge of a Breakout...

Modest Housing Recovery Will Continue -Fannie

MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Lose Ground After Strong Start; MBS Underperform

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Mortgage Rates Rise at Fastest Pace in Weeks; Housing Market's Mixed Signals; Bad Month for New Home Sales

Published: 7/24/2014

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Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher Ahead of GDP and Fed

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by Matthew Graham on April 29 2014, 2:23 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher today as a result of bond market weakness late yesterday and again this morning. Some of that weakness has been erased this afternoon, but trading levels in MBS (the mortgage-backed-securities that most directly affect...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady; Potential Volatility Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on April 28 2014, 2:45 PM

Mortgage rates held almost perfectly steady today, with a handful of lenders offering slightly lower costs while others were slightly higher. Once again, weakness in global equities markets provided a benefit for the bond markets that drive mortgage rates...
Mortgage Rates End Week at Best Levels

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by Matthew Graham on April 25 2014, 2:44 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower today, reaching their best levels of the week. Slumping stocks and geopolitical concerns contributed to positivity in the bond market, and when bond markets improve (specifically "mortgage-backed-securities," or MBS), rates...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Despite Stronger Data

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2014, 3:06 PM

Mortgage rates held were mostly sideways today. In cases where rate sheets differed from yesterday, the tendency was toward just slightly higher rates. The move was small enough that this would only affect the up-front cost component of most quotes, meaning...
Mortgage Rates Erase 2 Days of Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2014, 3:14 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower at a healthy pace today, more than erasing the past two days of weakness, but leaving most of last Thursday's weakness intact. Some of the gains were attributable to today's much weaker than expected reading on New Home Sales...
Mortgage Rates Drift Higher Again

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2014, 2:47 PM

Mortgage rates drifted higher for the second straight day despite a relatively flat day for underlying bond markets. Rates pushed into their 2-week highs yesterday, but are still well under the levels seen in the first week of April. Today's weakness...
Mortgage Rates Edge up to 2-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2014, 3:13 PM

Mortgage rates were just slightly higher today, extending a more forceful move higher last Thursday. Whereas markets reacted to deescalating tension in Ukraine and stronger domestic economic reports last week, the current week is off to a slow start....
Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher to End The Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2014, 2:38 PM

Mortgage rates moved sharply higher today on a combination of factors including strong economic data, developments in Ukraine, and prevailing market momentum. That momentum risked turning negative as soon as Monday, when rates ended their impressive 7...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, but Remain Near Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2014, 1:43 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly highe r today as investors continued to pull back from yesterday's geopolitically motivated buying spree. Tensions in Ukraine had created a short term spike in demand for fixed income securities like Treasuries and the mortgage...
Mortgage Rates Hold Ground After Ukraine Headlines

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2014, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates started the day in weaker territory, continuing higher for a second straight morning. Just after 10am, headlines regarding violence in Ukraine sent stocks lower and provided demand for fixed-income. The move out of stocks and into bonds...
Mortgage Rates Snap 7 Day Winning Streak

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by Matthew Graham on April 14 2014, 3:23 PM

Mortgage rates finally ended a move lower that began 7 business days earlier on April 3rd. The biggest movement during that time was the Employment Situation data on April 4th. While those jobs numbers were actually decent and while rates tend to benefit...
Mortgage Rates Hold Solid Gains

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by Matthew Graham on April 11 2014, 2:18 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold on to yesterday's big improvements as markets held very steady by comparison today. If there's a slight bias, it's positive for bond markets, resulting in most lenders moving to just slightly better rates today. The movement...
Mortgage Rates Down Big; Lowest in a Month

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by Matthew Graham on April 10 2014, 2:43 PM

Mortgage rates began the day without any hint of the drama that was to come. The first rate sheets of the day were little-changed compared to yesterday's latest offerings. Then markets of all shapes and sizes went on a fairly wild ride . Stock markets...
Mortgage Rates Fall Back to Unchanged After FOMC

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by Matthew Graham on April 09 2014, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates began the day higher, but many lenders are set to end in line with yesterday's rates after this afternoon's FOMC Minutes. These are the meeting minutes from the Fed's 2-day policy discussion that results in their official policy announcement...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower Ahead of Fed Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on April 08 2014, 3:53 PM

Mortgage rates were lower for a 4th straight day today, further digging in to mid-March levels, but by a smaller amount today. In that sense, the rally following last Friday's jobs report is cooling off a bit, and markets could be getting into a more...

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