Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Only Slightly Lower Despite Strong Bond Market

Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher Today

Mortgage Rates Near Long-Term Lows After Fed Minutes

Mortgage Rates Sticking Close to Long-Term Lows

Mortgage Rates in a Holding Pattern

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Broker, Non-QM Products; Lenders and Investors React to VA and...

Fannie Mae Lowers Several Forecasts

MBS RECAP: Delayed Reaction to Fed Hurts Stocks and Bonds

NAR: Home Sales "Likely to Have Reached a Cyclical Low"

Closing Rate, Refinance Share Rose in January

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Rates Fall as Fed Dials in "Warm Bowl of Porridge"; Lenders React to FHA/VA Changes; Fannie Forecasts

Published: 2/22/2019

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Expect More Mortgage Rate Volatility in Coming Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on November 23 2018, 2:59 PM

Mortgage rates were every bit as flat as expected today. That's a good thing at the moment, considering we're holding in line with the lowest levels in more than a month. For the average borrower, that's roughly an eighth of a percentage point lower than...
Mortgage Rates Stick to Normal Thanksgiving Script

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by Matthew Graham on November 21 2018, 4:55 PM

Mortgage rates were almost perfectly flat today, and have been largely unchanged since last Friday. If you were forced to predict such a thing at the end of last week, the odds would have been in your favor. In other words, when rates are on the move...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged at Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 20 2018, 5:21 PM

Mortgage rates managed to maintain their lowest levels in more than a month yet again today. All this despite modest losses in underlying bond markets (the stuff that's primarily responsible for most mortgage rate movement). Apart from bond markets, lenders...
Mortgage Rates Maintain Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 19 2018, 4:55 PM

Mortgage rates unexpectedly dropped to their lowest levels in more than a month as of last Friday. That assertion is at odds with quite a few media reports that cited Freddie Mac's weekly survey data saying that rates were essentially unchanged from the...
Mortgage Rates Lowest in a Month

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by Matthew Graham on November 16 2018, 6:19 PM

Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels of THE month yesterday, and the lowest levels in A month today. It's a bit of a technicality, really. As of yesterday, there were a few days in mid-to-late October that saw lower rates. Today's drop means we'd need...
Lowest Mortgage Rates This Month!

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by Matthew Graham on November 15 2018, 5:11 PM

Mortgage rates hit their lowest levels of the month today! Sure, that's only 10 business days for the mortgage world, but we'll take every little victory we can get these days. Why is that? Because "these days" have been pretty rough. Exactly one week...
Afternoon Mortgage Rate Improvements For Most Lenders

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by Matthew Graham on November 14 2018, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates began the day in roughly unchanged territory. Some lenders were microscopically stronger or weaker compared to yesterday, but not enough to impact the average mortgage borrower. For the first few hours of the day, it looked as if rates...
Token Improvement For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on November 13 2018, 4:25 PM

Mortgage rates improved by what could only be described as a token amount today. In other words, we're not talking about any major changes. In fact, mortgage rates themselves will be unchanged from Friday for almost any scenario. As is so often the case...
Mortgage Rates Steady Ahead of Holiday Weekend

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by Matthew Graham on November 09 2018, 5:45 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today, depending on the lender. Most lenders began the day in slightly worse shape compared to yesterday. Bond markets improved enough by mid-day that many lenders were able to offer positive reprices (new, better rate sheets...
Mortgage Rates Edge Back Up to Early 2011 Levels

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by Matthew Graham on November 08 2018, 4:36 PM

Mortgage rates moved back up today, leaving them right in line with the highest levels of the week. These also happen to be the highest levels since early 2011, but let's not get bogged down in unfortunate details! Rates will definitely move lower at...
Mortgage Rates Edge Lower, But Don't Get Used to It

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by Matthew Graham on November 07 2018, 4:52 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly lower today. Unfortunately, that may not be the case by tomorrow morning. Underlying bond markets (which dictate rates) lost ground throughout the day. If trading levels don't change by tomorrow morning, the average lender...
Mortgage Rates Steady at Long Term Highs Ahead of Election

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by Matthew Graham on November 06 2018, 5:03 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today. A few lenders were microscopically stronger or weaker, and the average lender was perfectly unchanged. That's fairly decent news, considering underlying bond markets suggested higher rates by the end of the day....
Mortgage Rates Higher Still, Despite Calmer Market

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by Matthew Graham on November 05 2018, 4:02 PM

Mortgage rates continued pushing up to new 7-year highs today, even if only by a small margin. This is notable because the underlying bond market (the primary factor in mortgage rate movement) suggested that rates should have fallen today. The issue is...
Mortgage Rates Rise Sharply to Fresh 7-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on November 02 2018, 6:25 PM

Mortgage rates had a bad week and an especially bad day following a much stronger-than-expected jobs report. The Employment Situation (the most important piece of labor market data and arguably the most important economic report as far as interest rates...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually a Bit Higher This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 01 2018, 4:12 PM

It's Thursday! That means it's time, once again, to set the record straight on today's actual mortgage rates as opposed to those suggested by almost any other news article on the topic today. Why should you trust me as opposed to a multitude of financial...

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