Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Catch a Break

The Top Still Isn't In For Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Push Farther Into 4-Year Highs

NOW Mortgage Rates Are at 4-Year Highs

Mortgage Rates Quickly Approaching 4-Year Highs

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Mortgage Rates Catch a Break; HUD Proposes Rent Increases

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Mortgage Rates Still on a Scary Ride

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by Matthew Graham on January 30 2018, 4:15 PM

Mortgage rates continued just slightly higher today. While it wasn't the worst day they've had in terms of movement, it arrives as rates were already pushing the highest levels in more than 3 years. In that sense, it's like a few nerve-racking moments...
Mortgage Rates Surge to Highest Levels in More Than 3 Years

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by Matthew Graham on January 29 2018, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates are in trouble . This will come as no surprise to regular readers. For the past few weeks, rates made several successive runs up to the highest levels in more than 9 months. It was really only the spring of 2017 that stood in the way of...
Another 9 Month High and Same Cautionary Tale For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on January 26 2018, 2:02 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today, bringing them up to yet another 9-month high. Underlying bond markets ended the week in roughly the same shape as last week, but the mortgage bond market has been volatile over the past 3 days. That volatility makes...
Decent Day For Rates, But We Need More Than One

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by Matthew Graham on January 25 2018, 4:54 PM

Mortgage rates improved modestly today, bringing them back in line with Wednesday afternoon's best levels. After underlying bond markets overcame volatility associated with a monetary policy announcement from the European Central Bank, they were further...
Mortgage Rates Can't Catch a Break

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by Matthew Graham on January 24 2018, 3:34 PM

After taking just one day off from the prevailing move higher, mortgage rates were back at it today, heading back to the worst levels in more than 9 months. The average lender is now back in line with the highs seen 2 days ago on Monday afternoon. Over...
Small Reprieve For Recent Rate Spike

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by Matthew Graham on January 23 2018, 3:17 PM

Mortgage rates finally managed to move lower in a small but meaningful way today--something they haven't done in more than 2 weeks! During that time, we've seen average mortgage rates improve on 2 occasions, but in both cases, the gains were small (some...
Mortgage Rates Set Another 9-Month High

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by Matthew Graham on January 22 2018, 4:34 PM

Mortgage rates pushed up to yet another 9-month high today--something that's become all too common in the past few weeks. Just as troubling is the fact that 10yr Treasury yields--the bigger, more important neighbor that shares the street with mortgage...
Worst Week Since June for Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on January 19 2018, 6:24 PM

Mortgage rates remained at 9-month highs today, with most lenders in worse shape than yesterday. In the morning, the sky hadn't yet fallen, the average lender was right in line with yesterday's 9-month highs, but at least we weren't any worse off than...
Be Careful With News on Mortgage Rates Today

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by Matthew Graham on January 18 2018, 3:45 PM

It's Thursday, which means Freddie Mac released its weekly update on mortgage rates . This is typically not that big of a deal because mortgage rates don't tend to move enough in the short term to expose the shortfalls of Freddie's methodology. To be...
Mortgage Rates Highest in 9 Months

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by Matthew Graham on January 17 2018, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates were only moderately higher today, but the move was enough to officially bring them to the highest levels since the Spring of 2017. In other words, most lenders' rate quotes are fairly similar to recently bad days (like last Wednesday)...
Mortgage Rates Still Working on That Ceiling

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by Matthew Graham on January 16 2018, 3:20 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today. Most lenders were just slightly lower/better this morning, but mid-day market weakness prompted several of them to reissue higher rates. In the bigger picture, however, the past several days represent a welcome stint...
Mortgage Rates Avoid More Dire Outcomes After Inflation Report

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by Matthew Graham on January 12 2018, 8:00 PM

Mortgage rates caught a break yesterday by moving lower for the first time this week. They arguably caught a break again today by not moving any higher than they did. Underlying bond markets (which drive mortgage rate changes) were rocked this morning...
Mortgage Rates Catch a Break With Help From Treasuries

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by Matthew Graham on January 11 2018, 3:51 PM

Mortgage rates caught a break today, moving lower for the first time this week and pushing back from the highest levels since early July 2017. Like yesterday, strong demand at a Treasury auction helped US bond markets, but notably, only the longer-term...
Mortgage Rates Remain at 6-Month Highs Despite Late Day Bounce

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by Matthew Graham on January 10 2018, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates were much higher this morning, bringing them to new 6-month highs (a dubious distinction also accomplished yesterday). Unlike yesterday, there were good and bad moments today. Bond markets (which underlie rate movement) were already starting...
Mortgage Rates Highest in 6 Months

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by Matthew Graham on January 09 2018, 3:51 PM

Mortgage rates rose again today, adding to a nasty 2-day streak that's taken the average 30 yr fixed rate an eighth of a point higher. That's an uncommonly big 2-day move, and it brings rates to their highest levels since early July 2017. Of potentially...

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