Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Mixed, But Closer to Recent Lows

Mortgage Rates Edge Higher, But Remain in Low Range

Mortgage Rates Finally Break Recent Winning Streak

Mortgage Rates Near 2-Month Lows

Mortgage Rates Match September Lows

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Rates Mixed, Still Near Recent Lows; OCC Report on Mortgage Performance; CFPB on HMDA and 1003

Published: 9/30/2016

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Mortgage Rates Finally Pull Back. Should You Worry?

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2016, 2:02 PM

Mortgage rates finally ended an impressive winning streak today, rising for the first time in 9 days. Rates began that streak with a massive move lower following the UK's vote to exit the European Union and maintained momentum until they were right in...
Mortgage Rates Now Very Close to All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 06 2016, 4:23 PM

Mortgage rates fell again today, extending an already-uncanny winning streak to its 8th straight day. The most recent improvements bring the average lender right in line with all-time lows. In fact, a few lenders are now offering better rates than they...
Mortgage Rates Back to 3.25% in Some Cases

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by Matthew Graham on July 05 2016, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates dropped noticeably today, bringing quite a few lenders down to 3.25% in terms of conventional 30yr fixed quotes on top tier scenarios. For all intents and purposes, these rates are "all-time lows," even though there were several occasions...
6-Day Winning Streak Leaves Rates Near All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 01 2016, 1:39 PM

Mortgage rates fell moderately today, adding a 6th day to a winning streak that began with last week's Brexit news and bringing rates right to the brink of all-time lows. Mortgage rate movement can be measured in large and small chunks. The large chunks...
Mortgage Rates Stay Strong to End Quarter

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by Matthew Graham on June 30 2016, 2:26 PM

Mortgage rates trickled slightly lower today, technically taking them to another in a string of 3-year lows over the past 2 weeks. The most recent, most noticeable catalyst for the move toward lower rates is the passing of the referendum for the UK to...
Rates Continue Holding 3-Year Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 29 2016, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates were roughly unchanged today, on average, with some lenders showing slight improvements while others moved just a bit higher. Even on individual lenders' rate sheets there were some cases of the lowest rate offerings improving while higher...
Mortgage Rates Lower Despite Bond Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on June 28 2016, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates fell modestly today despite some weakness in underlying bond markets. Typically, when bond yields (which move inversely with bond prices) are rising, mortgage rates tend to be higher as well. That wasn't the case today for a few reasons...
Mortgage Rates Continue to New 3-Year Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 27 2016, 4:21 PM

Mortgage rates move lower again today following last week's Brexit headlines (the U.K.'s vote to leave the European Union). Indeed it's hard to turn on the TV, computer, or radio without hearing about Brexit. Global financial markets are still in the...
Single Best Day For Mortgage Rates in More Than a Year

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2016, 1:04 PM

Mortgage rates plummeted today following the surprise victory of the referendum for the U.K. leaving the European Union (aka "Brexit"). This joins the ranks as one of the few days in history where rates have moved a full eighth of a point in a single...
Mortgage Rates Prepare to React to Brexit

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2016, 3:07 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for the 5th day in a row as financial markets prepare for the results of the U.K. referendum on its European Union membership (aka "Brexit"). In general, rates are expected to rise if the U.K. remains in the EU, and rates could...
Mortgage Rates Higher Still Despite Market Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2016, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates were higher for a 4th straight day today. That is a bit of a puzzler at first glance because bond markets are showing improvements from yesterday. 10yr yields are 0.02% lower and even the mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) that dictate mortgage...
Mortgage Rates Highest in 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2016, 2:36 PM

Mortgage rates remained under pressure today, moving up to the highest levels in two weeks. Financial markets are in the process of undoing some of their defensive maneuvers ahead of this week's referendum vote on the U.K. exiting the European Union ...
Mortgage Rates Continue Higher to Begin Volatile Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 20 2016, 2:26 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today, and at a quicker pace than the modest increase seen at the end of last week. Financial markets are undergoing a change of heart regarding their approach to Brexit (market shorthand for a "British exit" from the European...
Rates Move Higher for First Time in Nearly 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2016, 3:06 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today for the first time in nearly 2 weeks. After rising slightly on Monday June 6th, rates have been on a mission--moving slowly and steadily to the lowest levels in well over 3 years. Even after today's modest increase, rates...
Mortgage Rates Deeper into 3-Year Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2016, 3:59 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower today, largely because they needed to get caught up with yesterday afternoon's movement in bond markets. As a reminder, mortgage rates are most directly affected by mortgage-backed-securities (MBS), which tend to move in the...

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