Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Maintaining Longer-Term Lows For Now

Mortgage Rates Back to 3-Month Lows

Mortgage Rates Off Recent Lows

Mortgage Rate Volatility Still a No-Show For 2020

Mortgage Rates Face More Volatility Later This Week

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Warehouse, Broker Products; M&A With Lenders and Vendors;...

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MBS Week Ahead: Light Data Week Leaves Focus Overseas

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Mortgage Rates Lowest Since Halloween

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by Matthew Graham on November 20 2019, 4:45 PM

Mortgage rates are in the midst of a winning streak of moderate size and duration. Specifically, rates have improved by at least an eighth of a percentage point for the average lender since the beginning of last week and have moved lower on all but one...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

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by Matthew Graham on November 19 2019, 3:29 PM

Mortgage rates had a great week last week and haven't done anything to jeopardize that so far this week. Today was the first time during these 2 weeks where rates have merely held steady as opposed to move lower. The recent winning streak requires a caveat...
Lowest Mortgage Rates in 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on November 18 2019, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates added to last week's improvement with another modest drop today. That brings the average lender to the best levels in exactly 2 weeks--a welcome change after hitting the highest levels in more than 3 months on Friday November 8th. US/China...
Much Better Week For Rates, But Bigger Picture Risks Remain

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by Matthew Graham on November 15 2019, 6:06 PM

Mortgage rates finished the week in much better territory compared to last Friday. Today only added modestly to that move, but the simple act of moving in a friendly direction feels like a major victory after coming toe to toe with the highest rates in...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually LOWER This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 14 2019, 4:24 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower again today. Whereas it was a bit easier to be dismissive about recent improvements, they're starting to add up at this point. Granted, we're not talking about anything other than a return to the rates seen on November 6th,...
Mortgage Rates Continue Much-Needed Recovery

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by Matthew Graham on November 13 2019, 5:44 PM

Mortgage rates have been more willing to move higher than lower recently. While that may continue to be the case in the near-term future, there have been pockets of resistance to that trend. The first 2 days of this week seem to be just such a pocket...
Mortgage Rates Avoid More Pain, Even if Only For Today

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by Matthew Graham on November 12 2019, 5:00 PM

Mortgage rates had a bad October . November hasn't exactly been great either, with last Thursday being one of the worst days of the year in terms of day-over-day jumps in rates. In addition to the abrupt move, last week's weakness also brought rates in...
Mortgage Rates Holding Near 3-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on November 08 2019, 4:17 PM

Mortgage rates launched to their highest levels in more than 3 months yesterday for a variety of reasons. Chief among them was a series of comments from both China and the US about the intent to cancel previously announced tariffs as a part of the phase...
Mortgage Rates Blasted by Trade Deal Progress

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by Matthew Graham on November 07 2019, 5:29 PM

Mortgage rates surged higher at a rapid pace for the second time this week. Taken together, the jump is the biggest of its kind since the big rate spike in September, and one of only a handful of weeks in the past 3 years where lenders are quoting rates...
Mortgage Rates Trying to Find a Ceiling

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by Matthew Graham on November 06 2019, 5:12 PM

Mortgage rates were sharply higher yesterday , but managed to reverse course and make some gains today. The refreshing part of the improvement was that the bond market (which underlies rates) was already holding its ground before there was any obvious...
Mortgage Rates Shoot Significantly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on November 05 2019, 6:07 PM

Mortgage rates were flat yesterday , but I warned that volatility could increase today. That turned out to be an understatement. Mortgage rates shot higher nearly as quickly as they'd moved lower last week. In fact, the average lender is offering rates...
Mortgage Rates Holding Gain, But Volatility Could Increase

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by Matthew Graham on November 04 2019, 6:00 PM

Mortgage rates were flat to slightly higher today after dropping at fairly quick pace last week. In fact, if we're only examining one-day changes in rates, Thursday's drop was the quickest drop in months! That may sound slightly more impressive than it...
Mortgage Rates Steady Today, Much Lower This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 01 2019, 4:14 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today after moving sharply lower yesterday. "Sharply," in this context, means that many lenders saw rates move lower by as much as an eighth of a percentage point versus the previous morning. Changes of that magnitude are rarely...
Mortgage Rates Dropping Like a Rock

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by Matthew Graham on October 31 2019, 5:10 PM

Mortgage rates dropped like a rock today . This has absolutely nothing to do with yesterday's Fed rate cut, a little to do with the market reaction to the verbiage in yesterday's Fed announcement, and a lot to do with today's new developments. Chinese...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed, But Could Improve Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on October 30 2019, 3:52 PM

First things first: the Fed cut its policy rate today, but that doesn't mean they cut mortgage rates . Why? Because they can't and they don't--especially not by a whopping 0.25% in a day (an amount that may be seen once or twice per decade when it comes...

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