Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Brutal Week For Rates But There's Hope (Hopefully)

Mortgage Rates Are Now Well Over 3 Percent

Highest Mortgage Rates Since June 2020

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Monday 6/16/08 ....... Bond Buyers are Reading The Writing On The Wall : GO AWAY!

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2008, 2:16 PM

In A Word: Despite weaker than expected economic data and the Dow average moving down, Mortgage bonds cannot seem to garner enough support to get rates to improve at all this morning. The Why: What does that headline mean? Recall that mortgage rates are...
Mid Day Update

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2008, 4:25 PM

It looks like there may be a reprice for the worse very soon from some lenders (no way to tell if yours is one of them). So it is no longer recommended to float through the end of the day.
Wednesday 6/11/08 ..... Here's that Rebound

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2008, 2:05 PM

In A Word: As we discussed, there was a potential for mortgage rates to rebound slightly from yesterday's "hammering" regardless of data this morning and simply because it's the psychological nature of cyclical securities to take 2 steps forward and one...
Tuesday 6/10/08 ..... Completely Hammered!

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2008, 10:53 PM

In A Word: Mortgage rates that is! The scheduled economic releases today were few and uneventful, but inflation drove the bond market into a panic. The Why: Remember that mortgage rates are dictated directly by the trading of Mortgage Backed Securities...
Monday 6/9/08 ......... Mortgage Rates Rising Again

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2008, 3:51 PM

In A Word: Due to stronger than expected news concerning pending home sales, mortgage rates have risen since last week. The Why: Remember that mortgage rates are dictated directly by the trading of Mortgage Backed Securities, which are essentially bonds...
Wednesday 6/4/08 ...... Slightly Worse than yesterday

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 2:04 PM

In A Word: The data from scheduled economic reports is slightly better than expected this morning which is causing some worsening to mortgage rates. Remember, a stronger than expected economy builds faith in the stock market and other growth dependent...
Tuesday 6/3/08 ... Rocky Start, but Back In Action

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by Matthew Graham on June 03 2008, 5:20 PM

In A Word: Although rates were at risk of getting worse this morning, the forces that move rates behind the scenes have turned positive which should lead rates, by the end of the day at least, to be the same as yesterday's. Keep in mind that as the bonds...
6/2/08 ..... Off To A Good Start

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by Matthew Graham on June 02 2008, 1:51 PM

(the following was accidentally posted in the wrong section yesterday. This was posted 6/2 and a new post should follow shortly for today) In A Word: Despite some stronger than expected scheduled economic reports (which are normally bad for mortgage)...
It Had To Happen Some Time

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by Matthew Graham on May 27 2008, 2:39 PM

After a good start to last week, we faded on Friday and that gave way to rising rates over the weekend. They are rising yet again this morning. As we've discussed, mortgage rates are directly connected to the trading of Mortgage Backed Securities (often...
Off To A Good Start

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by Matthew Graham on May 20 2008, 2:41 PM

The beginning of this week has seen another slight improvement in Mortgage Bond Pricing (which lowers rates). On Friday, a low consumer sentiment reading caused rates to improve in the morning, although they gave back many of those gains in the afternoon...
Yet Again, Rates Improve

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2008, 2:33 PM

Following a much weaker than expected Consumer Sentiment Report, demand for mortgage bonds has increased prices this morning, thus bringing mortgage rates down a bit more, and caused some selling in the stock market. Some time late this morning or early...
Still Fighting the Good Fight

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2008, 3:21 PM

Over the past few weeks, with strength in stocks, and economic reports showing either lower than expected losses or better than expected gains, the market has been operating under the impression that we could slowly pull up from our recessionary nose...
Sparkle and Fade brings us to another action-packed week.

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by Matthew Graham on May 12 2008, 3:39 PM

Mortgage Bonds sparkled throughout most of last week as rates improved through Thursday. Friday brought rates back up a bit, but so far this morning, that negativity has failed to gain any momentum. There is no relevant economic data scheduled to be released...
Holding Steady From Last Week

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by Matthew Graham on May 07 2008, 1:59 PM

This week began in slow fashion as there were next to no scheduled economic reports that affected mortgage rates. When data is in short supply, traders turn to the stock market to get clues about how to invest in MBS. Stocks have had some ups and downs...
Economy Loses Less Jobs Than Expected, Rates Suffer

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by Matthew Graham on May 02 2008, 8:12 PM

The Employment Situation report was released today. The most important component of this report is the Non-Farm-Payrolls. Analysts had predicted that this number would read negative 75,000. However, the actual reading was only negative 20,000. This is...

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