Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Little-Changed But The Fed Raises Some Doubts

How The New Loan Limits Affect Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Start New Week Slightly Higher

Biggest Housing Boom Since 2006 And The Truth About "All...

Time Once Again to Discuss "All-Time Low" Mortgage...

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Freddie Mac on Track For 25% More Loans This Year, Most of Them...

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Refi Applications Hit 7 Month Highs

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New Home Sales Still Soaring; Refi Apps Too; Mortgage Rates Little-Changed But The Fed Raises Some Doubts

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More Good News For Rates

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by Matthew Graham on March 12 2008, 1:26 PM

After quite a bumpy couple of weeks, the mortgage market finally caught a break when Bernanke announced that the Fed would make 200 billion dollars available in a short term auction. Why is this good for rates? Because the participating dealer banks will...
After a Great Friday, What Does Monday Hold?

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by Matthew Graham on March 10 2008, 3:02 PM

Friday was a fantastic day for Mortgage Backed Securities, which are directly related to mortgage rates. The trading day ended on a high note indicating that there would be better rates released Monday morning barring some catastrophe. So far this morning...
Yesterday Bad, Today Good???

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 1:37 PM

Yesterday was quite a bad day for mortgage rates despite a weak stock market and a strong 10 year treasury. When stock prices are down, treasury yields are down, and mortgage yields (interest rates) go up, it's a sign of some problems. There were several...
Rates Inch Higher

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2008, 4:44 PM

Economic data was mixed again this morning and even though certain reports exceeded expectations, numbers are weak overall. Even though the 10 year treasury is improving today, mortgage bonds are worsening. There is poor demand among buyers for bonds...
Rates Higher Again Today On Mixed Data

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by Matthew Graham on March 05 2008, 3:49 PM

Economic reports were mixed this morning with some showing weak employment figures and others showing a brief stabilization in the non-manufacturing sector. Whatever the case, the Mortgage Bond market apparently had farther to fall from yesterday's slide...
Inflation Keeps Rates on The Run

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by Matthew Graham on March 04 2008, 4:24 PM

I wish I had better news, but so far, "not so good." Even though all of the news and data continues to point toward weakening economies, which is normally good for interest rates, inflation looms large as mortgage rate's mortal enemy. Remember that Mortgage...
A Slight Worsening Due To Inflation Concerns

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by Matthew Graham on March 03 2008, 4:28 PM

Even though today's economic data was weak, inflation concerns are keeping rates from improving. Economic reports showed a contracting manufacturing sector and further decreases in construction spending. In addition the PA Fed President Charles Plosser...
Happy Friday, Would You Like Some Improved Mortgage Rates?

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by Matthew Graham on February 29 2008, 4:35 PM

Because you got 'em! Economic data continues to disappoint and cause concern for the market. Consumers are being hit by inflation and thus not spending any more money. A survey of the manufacturing sector also reported dismally low. Remember that a weak...
RATES CONTINUE TO IMPROVE

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by Matthew Graham on February 28 2008, 4:10 PM

We ended the day strong yesterday in terms of the Mortgage Backed Security trading that drives mortgage rates. Not all of that improvement was reflected in lender's rate sheets by the time business closed. It will certainly be reflected today, and then...
Weak Economy Continues to Help Rates

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2008, 5:01 PM

Mortgage rates should improve slightly again this morning adding to the improvements from yesterday. All of the major scheduled economic reports for today, Durable Goods, Loan Applications, and Home Sales, were weaker than expected. Remember that weak...
Fighting Off Inflation

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2008, 3:10 PM

Despite very negative inflation indications from the Producer Price Index report today, Mortgage rates are holding their ground after a bad day yesterday. Rates rose drastically yesterday as continued updates on the proposed bond-insurer bailout were...
Mortgage Rates Getting Even Worse Than Friday!

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by Matthew Graham on February 25 2008, 3:42 PM

Buckle in for another bumpy ride this week! On Friday, news that AMBAC, a major bond insurer, would receive a bailout caused mortgage rates to rise sharply. The only economic report for today, Existing Home Sales, came in slightly higher than expected...
Friday 2/22/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 22 2008, 4:15 PM

There is no scheduled economic report set to release today. As such, the stock market and news headlines will cause market movements today. Mortgage rates opened in negative territory but have battled back currently. We are basically unchanged day over...
Tuesday Morning .................................2/19/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2008, 5:34 PM

There is no data set to release today in terms of economic reports. Wal-Mart released earnings higher than expected which is adding to some mild stock gains this morning. As such, bonds, including mortgage backed securities are unchanged to slightly worse...
Friday Morning ........................................ 2/15/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 15 2008, 4:13 PM

NO LOVE FOR MBS'S! As you know yesterday was one of the worst days for mortgage backed securities we've had in a while. No one wants to buy and everyone wants to sell. Volume was EXTREMELY LOW! Demand was EXTREMELY LOW! So according to Econ 101, when...

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