Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Huge Housing Rebound, All-Time Low Rates, But At What Cost?

Rates at All-Time Lows Ahead of Important Jobs Data

Best Month Ever For Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Continue at All-Time Lows, But Caveats Remain

Mortgage Rates Are Headed Higher (Eventually)

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Mortgage Rates Below 3% For 1st Time Ever (But Not For Everyone)

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2020, 5:03 PM

Mortgage rates plunged well into new all-time lows today. This is a striking turn of events given the vastly different outlook at the end of last week. Specifically, a series of strong economic reports led to significant losses in the bond market (which...
Mortgage Rates Surge Lower After Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2020, 4:06 PM

Mortgage rates dropped quickly today. This wasn't necessarily destined to be the case this morning, but after the Fed released its most recent policy announcement, mortgage-backed bonds improved significantly, thus allowing lenders to offer lower mortgage...
Mortgage Rates Are Quickly Shaking Off Last Week's Panic

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2020, 5:02 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower again today, with the average lender erasing a good amount of the weakness seen last week. That's good news considering rates hit all-time lows on the afternoon of June 1st (last Monday). After that, however, rates rose at their...
Mortgage Rates Starting Strong This Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2020, 5:02 PM

After moving higher at a fairly quick pace last by last Friday, mortgage rates are off to a better start this week. Rates remain noticeably higher versus the best recent levels, seen on June 1st and 2nd, but the average lender offered slightly lower rates...
Are All-Time Low Rates Behind Us Now?

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by Matthew Graham on June 05 2020, 12:25 PM

Things are quickly getting interesting for mortgage rates , and by 'interesting,' I mean potentially alarming. Everything's relative though, so it should be said right up front that the average mortgage rate is still only a hop and a skip from the all...
Mortgage Rates Not Panicking Yet, But That Could Always Change

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2020, 4:17 PM

Mortgage rates are directly tied to the bond market. This isn't too much of a surprise considering pretty much anything with an interest rate can be traced back to the bond market. Mortgages are especially relevant though, considering they comprise a...
Rough Day For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 03 2020, 3:52 PM

Mortgage rates were decisively higher today as the bond market lost ground due to surprisingly strong economic data. Mortgage rate movement is mainly a factor of mortgage bond prices. In turn, mortgage bonds tend to move in broadly the same direction...
Mortgage Rates Up or Down, Depending on Lender

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by Matthew Graham on June 02 2020, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today with some lenders improving and others moving higher. This isn't so much a factor of anything that happened today as much as it is about what lenders did yesterday. Specifically, the bond market (which underlies rate movement...
Mortgage Rates Start Higher But Finish Lower

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by Matthew Graham on June 01 2020, 4:43 PM

Mortgage rates pulled off a repeat performance of last Friday's intraday drama. The average lender began the day in higher territory as bond markets were weaker in the morning. Bonds recovered nicely and mortgage lenders were more than willing to adjust...
Mortgage Rates Stage Nice Comeback, But Uncertainty Remains

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by Matthew Graham on May 29 2020, 5:50 PM

Mortgage rates staged a nice little comeback today, moving back toward the all-time lows seen late last week. Mortgage rates are determined primarily by the bond market, and the bond market benefited from strong demand at the end of the month. Higher...
Mortgage Rates Have Already Risen From All-Time Lows (But Only Slightly)

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by Matthew Graham on May 28 2020, 4:38 PM

It's Thursday, and thus time once again for Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey. This is the longest-running and most widely-cited snapshot of mortgage rates in the US, but it frequently results in misinformation for mortgage shoppers . The survey...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

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by Matthew Graham on May 27 2020, 4:56 PM

Mortgage rates managed to stay sideways today after beginning the week with a move higher yesterday. This is a victory all things considered. Rates take guidance from multiple sources. When it comes to mortgages, the prices of mortgage-backed bonds are...
Mortgage Rates Moving Higher to Start New Week

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by Matthew Graham on May 26 2020, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates hit new all-time lows last week. In fact, for many lenders, records were broken on more than one day. That raised the risk of a bounce back this week and if today is any indication, that's what we're seeing. The average lender is back in...
The Sun Also Rises For The Housing and Mortgage Markets

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by Matthew Graham on May 22 2020, 3:31 PM

There's no shortage of bad news when it comes to the economy and the housing market. But that's no surprise considering the circumstances. The sheer size and speed of the economic contraction makes it easy to worry about what the future will look like...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually Lower This Week

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by Matthew Graham on May 21 2020, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates were mostly steady today for most lenders. Those who changed generally did so in a friendly direction. Either way, that means today's rates remain in line with all-time lows. It also makes them markedly lower than last week. Despite that...

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