Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013

Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher; More Volatility Ahead

Mortgage Rates Hold Stead After Weaker Economic Data

Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher, Erasing Last Week's Improvement

Mortgage Rates Benefit From Geopolitical Tensions

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Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013; Breaking Down the "Weather Effect" in the Jobs Report; Suntrust in Hot Seat; Ditech is Back

Published: 3/7/2014

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Mortgage Rates Recover After Retail Sales Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 13 2014, 3:37 PM

Mortgage rates fell moderately following this morning's weaker-than-expected report on Retail Sales. There were several other considerations that helped rates catch a break today, but this was the most prominent. With the exception of yesterday, today...
Mortgage Rates Convincingly Higher, Momentum Shifts

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by Matthew Graham on February 12 2014, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher at their fastest pace in more than a month today, confirming yesterday's shift in momentum. While this isn't an outright guarantee that rates continue higher, it conclusively ends the trend toward lower rates seen so far in...
Mortgage Rates Higher After Yellen Testimony

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by Matthew Graham on February 11 2014, 4:59 PM

Mortgage rates were higher today following new Fed Chair Yellen's first scheduled testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. Most of the damage was done early in the day, which prevented many lenders from revising rate sheets in the middle...
Mortgage Rates Just Slightly Lower Ahead of Yellen Testimony

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by Matthew Graham on February 10 2014, 3:48 PM

Mortgage rates improved just slightly today, building moderately on Friday's strength following the weaker jobs report. That having been said, the pace of improvements is a bit lacking compared to historical examples of reactions to weak jobs numbers...
Mortgage Rates Only Slightly Lower After Weak Employment Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 07 2014, 3:10 PM

Mortgage rates were finally lower today, but the drop was modest given that it was the product of a weak jobs report--typically a bigger market mover. Additionally, when viewed against the past three straight days of weakness, today only got us back to...
Mortgage Rates Continue Higher Ahead of Important Jobs Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2014, 3:39 PM

Mortgage rates were higher for a third straight day , substantially weakening a recent run to the lowest levels in nearly 3 months that ended on Monday. Each of the past 3 days hasn't been severe in and of itself, but taken together, they erase most of...
Mortgage Rate Rally Continues Cooling Ahead of Important Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 05 2014, 5:17 PM

Mortgage rates were higher again today, further pulling back from a recent run to the lowest levels in nearly 3 months. Like yesterday, today's rise wasn't severe and borrowers wishing to avoid the potential volatility in coming days are still reasonably...
Mortgage Rates Just Slightly Higher as Markets Pause

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by Matthew Graham on February 04 2014, 4:33 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher today as financial markets took a break from recent volatility. With the exception of yesterday, today's rates remain the lowest seen since early November, and most borrowers will be quoted the same rate today as yesterday...
Mortgage Rates Plummet, Benefiting From Broader Market Fears

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by Matthew Graham on February 03 2014, 5:21 PM

Mortgage rates fell appreciably today , moving to levels not seen since early November. The bond markets that underlie mortgage rate movements continue to benefit from heavy selling in stock markets around the world. At home, the S&P lost a substantial...
Mortgage Rates End Month Triumphantly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on January 31 2014, 4:16 PM

Mortgage rates moved forcefully lower today, bringing them well past previous 2014 lows and back in line with levels not seen since November 19th. Overnight weakness in equities and foreign markets continues to promote strength in US bond markets, including...
Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on January 30 2014, 3:04 PM

Mortgage rates inched higher today after hitting the lowest levels of the year yesterday. Trading in the secondary mortgage markets was far calmer by comparison as yesterday's FOMC Announcement served as a focal point for volatility. As the end of the...
Mortgage Rates Surge to New 2014 Lows Following Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on January 29 2014, 4:36 PM

Mortgage rates moved significantly lower today after drifting higher during the first two days of the week. As was the case on Friday, today's rates initially benefited from further weakness in equities and emerging market currencies. The afternoon saw...
Mortgage Rates Push Well Into New 2014 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on January 24 2014, 3:09 PM

Mortgage rates continued a strong move lower today, benefiting from a global sell-off in risk-related assets. What's a risk-related asset? In this case, it's a catch-all term for investments that carry greater risk and greater reward, such as stocks and...
Mortgage Rates Snap Quickly Back to 2014 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on January 23 2014, 3:21 PM

Mortgage rates snapped quickly lower today, matching or beating the best levels seen so far in 2014. Weakness over the past two days threatened to carry rates out of the recently narrow, low range enjoyed since this month's Employment Situation report...
Mortgage Rates Edge Higher, Approaching Crossroads

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by Matthew Graham on January 22 2014, 3:32 PM

Mortgage rates edged modestly higher for a second straight day, though they're still in a lower range than most of December and early January. The movement was small enough as to only effect the closing costs associated with yesterday's rates. 4.5% remains...

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