Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Starting to Look Paralyzed

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by Matthew Graham on July 28 2017, 5:16 PM

Mortgage rates were generally flat today, despite improvements in underlying bond markets. Although several lenders did offer price improvements throughout the course of the day, the improvements were generally "token" in nature and did little to alter...
Mortgage Rates Not Exactly Lower This Week

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by Matthew Graham on July 27 2017, 3:25 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today, depending on the lender, but generally held fairly close to yesterday's levels. All this in spite of bond market weakness (which normally pushes rates higher). The discrepancy can be chalked up to a delay between market...
Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Lower After Fed

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by Matthew Graham on July 26 2017, 5:06 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly lower today, despite fairly substantial movement in underlying bond markets. Bond prices ultimately do more to inform mortgage rates than anything else. Prices moved higher today by an amount that would typically...
Mortgage Rates Spike, Erasing Last Week's Gains

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by Matthew Graham on July 25 2017, 3:18 PM

Mortgage rates moved abruptly higher today, erasing the improvement seen last week. An entire week's worth of movement may or may not be worth stressing out about depending on your perspective. On one hand, we're only talking about a change of roughly...
Rates Begin Week Unchanged at July's Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 24 2017, 4:23 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today, which leaves them in line with the lowest levels in July. In underlying bond markets (bond movement directly impacts lenders' rate offerings), it was an exceptionally quiet day--especially for mortgage-related bonds....
Mortgage Rates Lowest in July

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by Matthew Graham on July 21 2017, 5:14 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower today, setting yet another new low for the month of July. For the past 2 weeks, rates have been pushing back against a fairly abrupt spike that took place heading into the month. Concerns over the European Central Bank's (ECB...
Mortgage Rates Hold 3-Week Lows After Central Bank Announcements

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by Matthew Graham on July 20 2017, 5:59 PM

Mortgage rates held relatively steady today, keeping them in line with the lowest levels in more than 3 weeks. There was relatively little market movement in response to the policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). That's a good thing...
Mortgage Rates at 3-Week Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 19 2017, 4:56 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower today, despite slightly weaker underlying bond markets. This has been an ongoing phenomenon in recent days. Bonds improve, implying lower mortgage rates, but lenders wait to drop rates until bond market improvement is vetted...
Mortgage Rates Moderately Lower

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by Matthew Graham on July 18 2017, 3:45 PM

Mortgage rates fell today, but continue lagging behind the movements seen in underlying bond markets. Part of that has to do with the timing of bond market swings over the past few days, but lenders also simply want to see markets pick a theme and stick...
Mortgage Rates Higher Despite Friendly Market Movement

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2017, 4:59 PM

Mortgage rates are largely dictated by movements in bond markets--specifically mortgage-backed securities (MBS). When bonds improve, prices rise and investors are willing to pay more to buy loans. This results in rates moving lower. In other words, bond...
Mortgage Rates End Week at Best Levels

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by Matthew Graham on July 14 2017, 4:03 PM

Mortgage rates are experiencing increased volatility at the end of this week, which was to-be-expected given the calendar of events and economic data. Fortunately, the volatility worked in favor of lower rates this morning after Retail Sales and a key...
Mortgage Rates Give Back Some of Yesterday's Gains

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by Matthew Graham on July 13 2017, 5:45 PM

Mortgage rates had their first great day in several weeks yesterday, but ended up giving back some of those gains today. Bond markets that underlie interest rates took their cues from central bank statements. In Europe, unnamed officials suggested the...
Mortgage Rates at 2-Week Lows After Yellen

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by Matthew Graham on July 12 2017, 4:26 PM

Mortgage rates had been holding in a narrow range near their highest levels in roughly 3 months over the past few days. Despite some stability in underlying bond markets, lenders had hesitated to make meaningful adjustments to rate sheets (in their defense...
Glimmer of Hope in Rate Stability, But It Could Be a Trap

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by Matthew Graham on July 11 2017, 3:44 PM

Mortgage rates remained in a very narrow range near their highest levels in roughly 3 months today. If you're into splitting hairs, we could discuss the fact that the average lender is charging microscopically lower closing costs for the same rates quoted...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed Near Recent Highs

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by Matthew Graham on July 10 2017, 5:24 PM

Mortgage rates improved somewhat today, on average, but the gains were modest. Some lenders were unchanged from Friday afternoon's latest levels. That leaves us essentially in line with the highest rates since early April, after having been at 8-month...

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