Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Super Flat So Far This Week

Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Begin Week

Temporary Factors Help Mortgage Rates... Temporarily

Mortgage Rates Are Actually Higher Than You've Heard

Rates Inch Further Into Long-Term Highs

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Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on May 01 2018, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher on average today, although a few lenders were better characterized as "unchanged." In either case, if you're shopping for a loan, you probably won't see a different rate at the top of today's quote when compared to yesterday...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Sideways to Begin Busy Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 30 2018, 3:48 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today , which keeps them right in line with last week's lowest levels. That sounds pretty good! Unfortunately, any time prior to last week, those "lowest levels" would have been the highest in more than 4 years. To make...
Mortgage Rates Recover For 2nd Straight Day

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by Matthew Graham on April 27 2018, 6:21 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower again today , bringing them back in line with Monday's levels for the average lender. That said, rate sheets have been very stratified between lenders during the recent spat of volatility. In other words, even if 2 lenders were...
Mortgage Rates Catch a Break

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by Matthew Graham on April 26 2018, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates caught a break today , as underlying bond markets made it back into Tuesday's territory. Refreshingly, lenders were willing to set rates back at Tuesday's levels. That may sound exceedingly logical considering bond markets dictate rate...
The Top Still Isn't In For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on April 25 2018, 3:32 PM

Mortgage rates had another rough day as they continued moving up into new 4-year highs. Unlike the extremely mild and uneventful day-to-day changes seen for most of the past 2 months, rates are actually putting some distance between themselves and the...
Mortgage Rates Push Farther Into 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2018, 4:26 PM

Mortgage rates moved somewhat higher again today, thus pushing them farther into the highest levels in more than 4 years. This isn't the result of anything that happened today, but rather an ongoing process whereby the bond market (which underlies rates...
NOW Mortgage Rates Are at 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2018, 4:49 PM

Mortgage rates moved markedly higher today, officially leaving them at new 4-year highs. The only other time they've earned that distinction this year was in February--NOT last week as all the major surveys claimed. To be clear, they were certainly close...
Mortgage Rates Quickly Approaching 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 20 2018, 2:18 PM

Let's clear one thing up before we begin. Freddie Mac, MBA, and Ellie Mae all noted new 4-year highs in mortgage rates this week. They are all technically wrong. This has to do with the way their data is collected and/or averaged. And while I have no...
Mortgage Rates Jump to Highest Levels in About a Month

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by Matthew Graham on April 19 2018, 4:35 PM

Mortgage rates jumped higher today as bonds continued a move away from narrow Springtime range seen in March and early April. Bonds dictate rate movement and yesterday saw the bond market make its first convincing attempt to break what had been a friendly...
Mortgage Rates Inch Higher as Bonds Suggest More Trouble Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2018, 3:25 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today as bond markets continued a mildly weaker trend for the month of April. Bonds (which underlie rates) are under pressure for a variety of reasons. The most notable headwinds are longer-term and bigger-picture. Rates responded...
Modest Improvements For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2018, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates had a calm day. Lenders who had offered improved rate sheets yesterday afternoon didn't see much reason to drop rates any further today. Lenders who took a more conservative route yesterday ended up being a little better off. Although there...
Mortgage Rates Back to Unchanged After Starting Higher

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2018, 4:38 PM

Mortgage rates began the day at higher levels, as bond markets lost ground overnight. Bonds dictate rates, and "losing ground" means bond prices are falling. When bond prices fall, rates move higher. There's some chatter in the marketplace about developments...
Mortgage Rates Rise Despite Market Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on April 13 2018, 3:52 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher for most lenders today even though underlying bond markets suggested the opposite. This is partly a timing issue. Yesterday saw bond markets weaken throughout the day. Weaker bonds imply higher rates. After a certain...
Mortgage Rates Bounce Back

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by Matthew Graham on April 12 2018, 6:29 PM

A day after hitting the lowest levels in more than 2 months, mortgage rates bounced back up today. The good news is that they didn't land too far from yesterday's levels in the grand scheme of things, and are still technically closer to the bottom of...
Mortgage Rates Inch Down to 2-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 11 2018, 3:16 PM

Mortgage rates technically hit the lowest levels in 2 months today. The catch is that they were already pretty close and that today's improvement wasn't necessarily that big. In fact, most borrowers will see the same interest rate in today's quotes with...

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