Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than 2 Weeks

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Rates Still Flat at 8-Month Lows

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Rates Highest in More Than 2 Weeks; Lopsided Conditions Drag Down Sales; Apps Ebb; Waivers For Early Compliance

Published: 6/28/2017

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Rates Hold 2017 Lows Despite Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on June 07 2017, 4:01 PM

Mortgage rates managed to hold in line with 2017's lowest levels for a 2nd day, even though underlying bond markets suggested a move higher . That means the prices of mortgage-backed-securities (MBS--the bonds that dictate mortgage rates) were lower....
Mortgage Rates Unexpectedly Fall to 2017 Lows (Again)

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by Matthew Graham on June 06 2017, 4:20 PM

Mortgage rates unexpectedly fell to new 7-month lows today, following bond market gains in the overnight hours (Asian and European trading sessions). Interest rates are driven by bond markets. The latter is part of an ecosystem of "risk" associated with...
Mortgage Rates Just Off 7-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 05 2017, 5:01 PM

Mortgage rates were modestly higher today after hitting the lowest levels since early November at the end of last week. Along with mid-April, this is the second time rates have been in this territory in more than 7 months. Most prospective borrowers will...
Rates Fall to 2017 Lows After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on June 02 2017, 5:49 PM

Mortgage rates moved convincingly lower today following weaker-than-expected employment data from the Labor Department. The big "jobs report" showed only 138k new nonfarm payrolls (the report's headline job creation metric) in May, and a negatively revised...
Rates Edge Higher Ahead of Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on June 01 2017, 2:54 PM

Mortgage rates gave back yesterday's gains this morning following a stronger-than-expected employment report from ADP. While this is not the week's biggest jobs report, investors view it as one of several early indicators of the official Employment Situation...
Rates Near 2-Week Lows as Risks Increase

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by Matthew Graham on May 31 2017, 4:57 PM

Mortgage rates improved modestly today as lenders caught up with yesterday afternoon's market movements. Most lenders will issue mid-day changes in rate sheets ("reprices") when bond markets make a big enough move in one direction or the other during...
Mortgage Rates Sideways Near Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 30 2017, 2:50 PM

Mortgage rates remained relatively unchanged again today. This continues the sideways trend leading into Memorial Day weekend. As the current week progresses, we can expect to see volatility increase thanks to the presence of more significant economic...
Mortgage Rates Coast Into Extended Weekend

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by Matthew Graham on May 26 2017, 2:31 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today. Lenders that made detectable adjustments generally did so in a moderately positive direction. While this isn't remotely enough to make a difference in the actual NOTE rate on a mortgage quote, it could make for microscopically...
Mortgage Rates Improve as Lenders Catch up With Yesterday's Gains

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by Matthew Graham on May 25 2017, 4:08 PM

Mortgage rates fell today despite relatively uneventful movement in underlying bond markets (which drive day to day changes in rates). The net improvement can be explained by the timing of yesterday's improvement. Simply put, bonds improved late in the...
Upward Mortgage Rate Momentum Pauses After Fed

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by Matthew Graham on May 24 2017, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher this morning, beginning the day at the highest levels in roughly 2 weeks. Afternoon events helped underlying bond markets bounce back, however, resulting in several lenders issuing positive reprices. This means that...
Mortgage Rates Remain Under Pressure

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by Matthew Graham on May 23 2017, 3:54 PM

Mortgage rates began the day in decent shape with the average lender roughly unchanged versus yesterday. As the day progressed, bond markets (which dictate rates) weakened. Most lenders were forced to reissue slightly higher rates in the afternoon. Any...
Low and Sideways, Mortgage Rates Play Waiting Game

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by Matthew Graham on May 22 2017, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher for the 3rd straight day, continuing a modest bounce back from the year's lowest rates last Wednesday. In a nutshell, bond markets (which dictate mortgage rates) reacted in a big way to last week's political headlines...
Mortgage Rates Higher, Volatility Looms

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by Matthew Graham on May 19 2017, 3:00 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher for the 2nd straight day after hitting the lowest levels in more than 7 months earlier this week. Wednesday's big move lower was a direct result of political headlines relating to potential wrongdoing in communications...
Mortgage Rates Rise Gently From 7-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 18 2017, 6:29 PM

Financial markets are still reeling from political headlines that first began circulating on Tuesday afternoon. While stock markets made a reasonable attempt to retrace yesterday's big move lower, bond markets weren't as interested. Fortunately, that...
Rates Respond to Political Scandal by Plummeting to 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 17 2017, 5:06 PM

Mortgage rates surged significantly lower today, as a part of a broad-based market movement following a political scandal that began taking shape yesterday afternoon. You can choose your preferred media outlet to digest all of the details, but the issue...

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