Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Hold Ground After Ukraine Headlines

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New Home Apps Rise in March, but Builder Confidence Stalls; Rates Hold Ground After Ukraine Headlines; Ellie Mae Announcement

Published: 4/15/2014

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Mortgage Rates Unchanged and Lacking Inspiration

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by Matthew Graham on March 25 2014, 4:25 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher for some lenders today, but lower for others--holding perfectly flat on average . There were no major disruptions in financial markets today, but morning rate sheets were in slightly higher territory before weak economic...
Mortgage Rates Continue Healing After Last Week's Rout

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by Matthew Graham on March 24 2014, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates moved sideways to slightly lower today, but only after a slew of mid-day reprices from lenders. Before that, the morning rate sheets were in slightly weaker territory (higher than Friday's latest) on average. When adjusted for day-to-day...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower to End Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 21 2014, 2:32 PM

Mortgage rates managed to move lower today, generally erasing yesterday's increases. There was very little by way of market-moving events to motivate the changes. Considering that yesterday's higher rates were contrary to the underlying market movement...
Mortgage Rates Level-Off after Moving Higher Still

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by Matthew Graham on March 20 2014, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for a second straight day, extending yesterday's much larger spike. Some lenders remained relatively close to yesterday's latest offerings while others were in noticeably worse shape. Market volatility tends to create variation...
Mortgage Rates Higher at Year's Fastest Pace After Fed Forecast Surprise

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by Matthew Graham on March 19 2014, 5:18 PM

Mortgage rates shot higher today at their fastest pace of the year today after Fed forecasts suggested members saw the Fed Funds Rate rising sooner and by more than expected. To be very clear, the Fed Funds Rate is NOT directly tied to mortgage rates...
Mortgage Rates Sideways Ahead of Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on March 18 2014, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates were effectively unchanged today, putting an end to 2 days spent moving higher as the threat of violence diminished in Ukraine. Indeed it was violence in Ukraine (or rather, a Ukrainian Military Installation in Crimea) that enabled bond...
Mortgage Rates Rise as Geopolitical Fears Subside

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by Matthew Graham on March 17 2014, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher today, erasing most of the improvement seen since Thursday afternoon. At that time, global markets including the bond markets that most directly affect rates, began preparing for worst-case scenarios following the...
Mortgage Rates Higher in Afternoon, Lower Overall

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by Matthew Graham on March 14 2014, 3:16 PM

Mortgage rates managed to log another day of improvement today, this time more modest compared to yesterday's big move. Rate sheets were best in the morning, but deteriorating conditions in the secondary mortgage market during the day led many lenders...
Mortgage Rates Drop Significantly As Tension Mounts Over Ukraine

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by Matthew Graham on March 13 2014, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved significantly lower today after Secretary of State Kerry warned of repercussions for events in Ukraine. Crimea is set to hold a referendum on Sunday deciding whether or not to rejoin Russia. Kerry indicated, were the referendum to...
Mortgage Rates Continue Lower, Erasing Friday's Losses

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by Matthew Graham on March 12 2014, 3:36 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower at their best pace of the week today , undoing the damage from last Friday's Employment Situation report, and about a third of the week's total losses. Whereas yesterday's activity in the secondary mortgage market was volatile...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on March 11 2014, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates continued holding mostly sideways today , though there were enough lenders in slightly better shape to make for a small improvement on average. Just keep in mind that things may vary from lender to lender when comparing to yesterday's latest...
Mortgage Rates Pause Near 2-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on March 10 2014, 3:35 PM

Mortgage rates leveled-off today , after rising to 2-month highs after last Friday's Employment Situation ('Jobs Report'). Today's rates were just slightly lower, but apart from Friday, were as high as they've been since early January for most lenders...
Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2014, 4:41 PM

Mortgage rates rose sharply for the third time this week, bringing them to levels not seen since January 15th. Today's move followed a stronger-than-expected Employment Situation report. This is the most significant economic report each month and when...
Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher; More Volatility Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2014, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates moved quickly higher today , in the context of their recent range. That is to say, today's "sharp" movement is nothing compared to those seen in mid 2013, but it did leave rates as high as they've been in exactly two weeks. At current levels...
Mortgage Rates Hold Stead After Weaker Economic Data

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by Matthew Graham on March 05 2014, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today, on average, though some lenders are still in slightly worse shape. Weakness in the markets that affect mortgage rates carried over from yesterday and was poised to push rates even higher today, but weaker economic data...

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