Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Behind the Curve For 2nd Straight Day

Mortgage Rates Back to Flat After Starting Higher

Mortgage Rates Flat Again, Despite Modest Market Weakness

Same Old Story For Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Edge Higher

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Mortgage Rates Flatten Back Out

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by Matthew Graham on June 28 2018, 4:43 PM

Mortgage rates haven't been too interested in making big moves recently. Today was no exception. In fact, most lenders' rate quotes would be indiscernible from yesterday's. The absence of movement could be good or bad , depending on your perspective....
Mortgage Rates Finally Make a (Small) Move

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by Matthew Graham on June 27 2018, 4:01 PM

Mortgage rates finally fell today after remaining flat for the last 3 business days. There are a few possible explanations for the friendly move, but the easiest to see and discuss is the weakness in the stock market. If you read my commentary somewhat...
Mortgage Rates Stuck in a Summertime Rut (For Now)

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by Matthew Graham on June 26 2018, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates were flat for the 3rd straight day today, keeping them in a holding pattern just slightly below the highest levels in years. This has been the case for more than a month now, with the exception a brief glimmer of hope at the end of May...
Mortgage Rates Relatively Unchanged Despite Stock Losses

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by Matthew Graham on June 25 2018, 4:33 PM

Conventional wisdom holds that interest rates tend to move in the same direction as stocks. This makes logical sense from a classical investment portfolio standpoint. If investors are selling stocks to buy bonds, the prices of stocks would fall and the...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher Despite Flat Markets

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2018, 6:50 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher today. Yet again, underlying bond markets suggested another fate. In other words, if mortgage rates were perfectly tied to underlying bond markets, they would have remained unchanged today. So why didn't they? The...
2 Paradoxes For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2018, 5:35 PM

Mortgage rates were microscopically higher today, which is paradoxical on two levels. The first paradox has to do with today's bond market improvements. Bonds underlie rates and bond market improvements coincide with rates moving lower--usually! In some...
Mortgage Rates Edge Slightly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on June 20 2018, 4:48 PM

Mortgage rates moved modestly higher today after holding in roughly the same territory for the past 3 days. This brings them back in line with last Thursday's levels. In general, trade tensions helped the bond market earlier this week (stronger bonds...
Mortgage Rates Barely Budge Despite Market Gains

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2018, 3:19 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today, despite a somewhat decent improvement in bond markets. Overnight, trade war brinksmanship between the US and China had investors seeking the safe haven of bond markets. Excess demand for bonds pushes rates lower...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed to Begin Quiet Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 18 2018, 3:58 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways to slightly higher today, depending on the lender. The underlying bond market (which dictates rates) was exceptionally quiet. On the heels of last week's important events and without much on the calendar this week, markets...
Mortgage Rates Inch to Week's Best Levels

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2018, 5:22 PM

Mortgage rates fell again today, bringing the average rate just slightly lower on the week. Unlike the past 2 days, there were no big ticket calendar events today. Instead, motivation came from market jitters of new tariff announcements and the ensuing...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually Unchanged This Week!

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by Matthew Graham on June 14 2018, 3:22 PM

Mortgage rates moved LOWER today, following a policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). That claim runs counter to almost any other mortgage rate headline in the mainstream news because big media is in the habit of quoting Freddie Mac...
Mortgage Rates Higher Following Fed Forecasts

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by Matthew Graham on June 13 2018, 5:18 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today, following the Fed's much-anticipated policy announcement. Although the Fed changed quite a few words from the announcement's previous iteration (far more than normal), it wasn't the announcement itself that did the damage...
Mortgage Rates Brace For Volatility From Central Banks

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2018, 4:41 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today. That keeps them in line with some of the highest levels in nearly 7 years, though the same could be said for a majority of the days since mid-April. Rather than talk about where we are and where we've been, the hotter...
Mortgage Rates Near Recent Highs

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2018, 3:49 PM

Mortgage rates edged up to the highest levels in several weeks today. Only a handful of days from mid-May stand between current levels and the highest rates in 7 years. That sounds a bit more dramatic than it is. Rates have been pretty close to these...
Mortgage Rates Flat Ahead of Potential Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2018, 3:31 PM

Mortgage rates were steady again today, holding on to the improvements seen yesterday afternoon following a surprise "flash rally" in bond markets. Such flash moves always create the risk that rates will experience a correction that takes them quickly...

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