Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Mixed, But Closer to Recent Lows

Mortgage Rates Edge Higher, But Remain in Low Range

Mortgage Rates Finally Break Recent Winning Streak

Mortgage Rates Near 2-Month Lows

Mortgage Rates Match September Lows

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Rates Mixed, Still Near Recent Lows; OCC Report on Mortgage Performance; CFPB on HMDA and 1003

Published: 9/30/2016

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Mortgage Rates Spike to 2-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on September 09 2016, 5:02 PM

Mortgage Rates continued sharply higher today, as financial markets quickly adjust their outlook for global monetary policy (the rate-setting and asset purchases among central banks like the Fed). The move began with yesterday's announcement and press...
Mortgage Rates Rise Thanks to Europe

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by Matthew Graham on September 08 2016, 4:01 PM

Mortgage Rates bounced highe r today, bringing them back in line with the pervasive range of the past several weeks. As of yesterday, rates were technically at 2-week lows. The ultra-narrow range continues to be an important caveat for any discussion...
Mortgage Rates Lowest in Several Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on September 07 2016, 2:30 PM

Mortgage Rates moved lower today at a slightly better pace than the recent norm. That's not saying much in the bigger picture, because "the norm" has been almost zero movement in either direction for several weeks. Such a narrow range makes it possible...
Mortgage Rates Fall Back Into Range

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by Matthew Graham on September 06 2016, 4:06 PM

Mortgage Rates were in a bit of a pickle on Friday afternoon. The big jobs report had just come out slightly weaker than expected, yet rates didn't improve as they normally would, following such data. In fact, underlying bond markets were pointing toward...
Mortgage Rates Remain Near Recent Highs After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on September 02 2016, 4:08 PM

Mortgage Rates were steady to slightly higher today, depending on the lender--a relative victory considering the potential volatility associated with today's jobs report. Though bigger bullets may have been dodged, the lack of improvement means rates...
Mortgage Rates Face High Stakes in Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on September 01 2016, 2:59 PM

Mortgage Rates were slightly higher today, bringing them near their worst levels in several weeks. The caveats are twofold. First of all, the worst levels of the past several weeks are some of the lowest rates in history. Apart from July/Aug 2016 and...
Mortgage Rates Exceptionally Flat

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by Matthew Graham on August 31 2016, 5:13 PM

Mortgage Rates were unchanged today, ending a month without much movement in general. In fact, the most prevalently quoted conventional 30yr fixed rate on top tier scenarios remained in a range of 3.375-3.5% for more than 45 days! That's the sort of absence...
Mortgage Rates Back in Familiar Range For Now

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by Matthew Graham on August 30 2016, 3:06 PM

Mortgage Rates did one of two things today, depending on the lender in question. Some lenders simply held in line with yesterday's latest levels (in other words, they were 'unchanged' on the day). Other lenders had some ground to make up because they...
Mortgage Rates Battle Back From Recent Highs

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by Matthew Graham on August 29 2016, 3:59 PM

Mortgage Rates were briefly at their highest levels in several weeks on Friday afternoon. This followed comments from the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium. Markets interpreted those comments as the Fed being more likely to hike rates in 2016--possibly even...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher After Fed Speakers

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2016, 10:54 AM

Mortgage Rates were unchanged to slightly lower this morning following the much-anticipated Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Janet Yellen. Markets were looking for clues about upcoming rate hikes, but true to form, Yellen played things close to the...
Flat Mortgage Rates Meet Big Potential Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on August 25 2016, 3:22 PM

Mortgage Rates were unchanged , yet again, keeping alive an uncanny streak of lifelessness. That COULD change tomorrow after Fed Chair Yellen's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, but please note the emphasized word. This is always the case when it...
Mortgage Rates Still Sideways and That's Great!

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by Matthew Graham on August 24 2016, 4:21 PM

Mortgage Rates , like most other interest rates, have seen record-setting levels of inactivity over the past 90 days. The Brexit vote in late June pushed rates to all-time lows and then the jobs report in early July pushed them back in the other direction...
Mortgage Rate Movement Nowhere to be Found

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by Matthew Graham on August 23 2016, 2:07 PM

Mortgage Rates were sharply sideways today, with almost every lender offering the exact same terms as yesterday. This is part of an ongoing phenomenon that's seen rates rise just slightly from near-all-time lows in early July only to hold an intensely...
Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on August 22 2016, 4:14 PM

Mortgage Rates were almost imperceptibly lower today, although underlying bond markets improved more noticeably. Why would rates not be more improved then? Part of the reason is the timing of Friday's market movements and lender rate sheet release times...
Mortgage Rates Remain in Narrow Range Ahead of Important Week

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by Matthew Graham on August 19 2016, 3:09 PM

Mortgage Rates moved modestly higher today , but remain in an excruciatingly narrow range in the bigger picture. Actually, there's nothing too excruciating about it, unless you're trying to find something interesting to say about day-to-day rate movement...

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