Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Defy Odds, Improving Yet Again From Record Levels

Fairly Innocent Wake-Up Call For Mortgage Rate Watchers

Mortgage Rates Just Got Even Lower

Mortgage Rates Staying Very Flat and Very Low

Huge Housing Rebound, All-Time Low Rates, But At What Cost?

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Sure, Rates Are Low, But It's Getting Harder to Get a Loan

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Sure, Rates Are Ridiculously Low, But It's Harder To Get a Loan

Published: 7/9/2020

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Mortgage Rates Mostly Steady as Markets Wait For Info

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2020, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates joined many other sections of financial markets today in doing almost absolutely nothing . Both stocks and bonds were almost perfectly flat. Neither was overly interested in responding to economic data or Round 2 of Fed Chair Powell's congressional...
Mortgage Rates Edging Higher So Far This Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2020, 4:21 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for the 3rd straight business day. That said, last Friday is better described as being a "2nd consecutive day of all-time lows." Even yesterday, the average lender was able to quote rates under 3% for top tier conventional...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, But Still Near All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2020, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher today for the average lender. Additionally, some lenders bumped rates a bit in the middle of the day in response to weakness in the bond market. That weakness is increasingly tied to broad movement playing out across...
Just When You Thought We Were Done Talking About All-Time Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2020, 4:54 PM

Mortgage rates plunged well into new all-time lows this week, which is a striking turn of events given the vastly different outlook at the end of last week. Specifically, a series of strong economic reports led to significant losses in the bond market...
Mortgage Rates Below 3% For 1st Time Ever (But Not For Everyone)

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2020, 5:03 PM

Mortgage rates plunged well into new all-time lows today. This is a striking turn of events given the vastly different outlook at the end of last week. Specifically, a series of strong economic reports led to significant losses in the bond market (which...
Mortgage Rates Surge Lower After Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2020, 4:06 PM

Mortgage rates dropped quickly today. This wasn't necessarily destined to be the case this morning, but after the Fed released its most recent policy announcement, mortgage-backed bonds improved significantly, thus allowing lenders to offer lower mortgage...
Mortgage Rates Are Quickly Shaking Off Last Week's Panic

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2020, 5:02 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower again today, with the average lender erasing a good amount of the weakness seen last week. That's good news considering rates hit all-time lows on the afternoon of June 1st (last Monday). After that, however, rates rose at their...
Mortgage Rates Starting Strong This Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2020, 5:02 PM

After moving higher at a fairly quick pace last by last Friday, mortgage rates are off to a better start this week. Rates remain noticeably higher versus the best recent levels, seen on June 1st and 2nd, but the average lender offered slightly lower rates...
Are All-Time Low Rates Behind Us Now?

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by Matthew Graham on June 05 2020, 12:25 PM

Things are quickly getting interesting for mortgage rates , and by 'interesting,' I mean potentially alarming. Everything's relative though, so it should be said right up front that the average mortgage rate is still only a hop and a skip from the all...
Mortgage Rates Not Panicking Yet, But That Could Always Change

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2020, 4:17 PM

Mortgage rates are directly tied to the bond market. This isn't too much of a surprise considering pretty much anything with an interest rate can be traced back to the bond market. Mortgages are especially relevant though, considering they comprise a...
Rough Day For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 03 2020, 3:52 PM

Mortgage rates were decisively higher today as the bond market lost ground due to surprisingly strong economic data. Mortgage rate movement is mainly a factor of mortgage bond prices. In turn, mortgage bonds tend to move in broadly the same direction...
Mortgage Rates Up or Down, Depending on Lender

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by Matthew Graham on June 02 2020, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates were mixed today with some lenders improving and others moving higher. This isn't so much a factor of anything that happened today as much as it is about what lenders did yesterday. Specifically, the bond market (which underlies rate movement...
Mortgage Rates Start Higher But Finish Lower

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by Matthew Graham on June 01 2020, 4:43 PM

Mortgage rates pulled off a repeat performance of last Friday's intraday drama. The average lender began the day in higher territory as bond markets were weaker in the morning. Bonds recovered nicely and mortgage lenders were more than willing to adjust...
Mortgage Rates Stage Nice Comeback, But Uncertainty Remains

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by Matthew Graham on May 29 2020, 5:50 PM

Mortgage rates staged a nice little comeback today, moving back toward the all-time lows seen late last week. Mortgage rates are determined primarily by the bond market, and the bond market benefited from strong demand at the end of the month. Higher...
Mortgage Rates Have Already Risen From All-Time Lows (But Only Slightly)

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by Matthew Graham on May 28 2020, 4:38 PM

It's Thursday, and thus time once again for Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey. This is the longest-running and most widely-cited snapshot of mortgage rates in the US, but it frequently results in misinformation for mortgage shoppers . The survey...

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