Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Drop Quickly as Market Panic Sets In; New Home Sales Take a Breather; Fannie/Freddie Profit Time?

Published: 5/23/2019

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Mortgage Rates Hold Ground Despite Stronger Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on May 03 2019, 5:02 PM

Mortgage rates were flat today, which is a victory considering the big jobs report was stronger than expected. Typically, labor market strength--especially when seen in this particular report--is bad news for rates, but it didn't happen today. In fact...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually Higher This Week

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by Matthew Graham on May 02 2019, 5:04 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today, but the average lender is quoting microscopically higher rates, if anything. Week-over-week, it wouldn't be unfair to claim that rates are slightly lower. Today's average news coverage suggests the same due to the...
Mortgage Rates Inch Lower, But Remain Generally Sideways This Week

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by Matthew Graham on May 01 2019, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates finally moved in a direction that wasn't "up" today. That said, it's debatable whether the direction would be best described as "lower" or "sideways." To those who don't check in with rates too often or who aren't excited by saving a couple...
Mortgage Rates Continue Higher Despite Bond Market Gains

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by Matthew Graham on April 30 2019, 5:17 PM

Mortgage rates moved up again today, despite modest improvement in the bond market (which typically coincides with lower rates). Part of the reason for the counter-intuitive behavior is timing. Bonds lost ground yesterday afternoon. This implied higher...
Mortgage Rates Modestly Higher, But Volatility Could Increase

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by Matthew Graham on April 29 2019, 5:29 PM

Mortgage rates moved up today, but at a fairly tame pace in the bigger picture. The rest of the week, however, may not be as tame. There are multiple economic reports on tap with a history of impacting the bond market (which dictates rates). The data...
Mortgage Rate Stay Lower Week-Over-Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 26 2019, 7:09 PM

Mortgage rates improved again today, keeping the week-over-week move decidedly friendly. For more on the weekly move, see the in-depth discussion in yesterday's coverage ( read more... ). Long story short, the widely-followed Freddie Mac rate survey is...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually a Bit Lower This Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 25 2019, 4:38 PM

Mortgage rates held fairly steady today with the average lender unchanged to just slightly higher on the day. That's fairly good news considering yesterday marked the lowest rates in more than a week. Despite these facts, anyone searching the internet...
Mortgage Rates Drop to Lowest Levels in More Than a Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2019, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower at their best pace in several weeks today, with the average lender making it back to levels not seen since April 12th. The gains were bigger than normal for two reasons. First, bond markets had improved slightly yesterday afternoon...
Mortgage Rates Move Up Despite Market Gains

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2019, 3:42 PM

When bonds make "gains," it means that bond prices are moving up. The price of a bond is like the amount that a lender is willing to pay for the right to collect a certain amount of interest. The more the lender is willing to pay, the lower that lender...
Mortgage Rates Modestly Higher to Start The Week

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2019, 4:54 PM

Mortgage rates were higher again on Monday, but just barely. The average lender was still in worse shape on Tuesday or Wednesday of last week when rates were the highest they'd been in about a month. Rates reflect demand in the bond market. Bonds can...
Mortgage Rates Recover Modestly After Big Losing Streak

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2019, 2:06 PM

Mortgage rates have generally been moving higher since March 28th after they bottomed out at the lowest levels in well over a year. At the time, investors were tuned-in to the Fed's concerns about the global economy. Granted, the US economy might not...
Mortgage Rates Quickly Find Themselves at 1 Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2019, 3:54 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher for the 5th day in a row today. This brings the average lender to the highest levels in exactly one month. At issue: a series of stronger economic reports at home and abroad have eased concerns about global growth. Not...
Mortgage Rates Highest in Nearly a Month

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2019, 4:22 PM

Mortgage rates rose again today, albeit at a slightly slower clip compared to yesterday. Still, that's little consolidation considering this is the 4th straight day spent moving in that unfriendly direction. The average lender is now back to levels not...
Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than 3 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2019, 5:25 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher to start the week, following a relatively sharp increase on Friday. Interestingly enough, the underlying bond market was stable today. In other words, it didn't suggest higher rates. But the issue is that mortgage lenders...
Mortgage Rates End Week at Highest Levels

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by Matthew Graham on April 12 2019, 5:19 PM

Mortgage rates rose fairly quickly on Friday, depending on the lender and the scenario. Bonds (which dictate mortgage rates and interest rates in general) weakened overnight on a variety of foreign and domestic data. While we can't necessarily be sure...

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