Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Dodging Some Risk For Now

Mortgage Rates Nominally Higher Despite Bond Market Warning

Mortgage Rates Holding Ground But Volatility Could Increase

Mortgage Rates Up Slightly, But Still in Great Shape

Mortgage Rates Unchanged Again as Markets Remain Cautious

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Mortgage Rates End 2018 at 4-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on December 28 2018, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower by an almost imperceptible amount today. The improvement was enough to bring the average lender to the lowest levels since the end of August, 2018. In other words, these are the best rates in 4 months. 2 months ago, all hope...
Mortgage Rates Stay Steady

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by Matthew Graham on December 27 2018, 4:48 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly lower today, which is a major victory considering how yesterday left off. Specifically, bond markets had weakened significantly in the afternoon. Weaker bonds coincide with mortgage lenders raising rates, but...
Mortgage Rates Higher Today or Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on December 26 2018, 4:10 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged in some cases today and higher in others. The discrepancy is a result of the timing of today's market movements. The most important thing to know is that lenders who are unchanged today will almost certainly be higher tomorrow...
Trump Vs The Fed: A Public Service Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on December 24 2018, 12:43 PM

Mortgage rates did nothing interesting today, as is typical for the days before and after a major holiday. Tangentially related and significantly more interesting is the President's criticism of the Fed and Fed Chair Powell. I think this is very much...
Mortgage Rates Modestly Higher Despite Stronger Bond Market

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by Matthew Graham on December 21 2018, 3:59 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly higher yet again today. This reinforces our sense from yesterday that rates may have already found their post-Fed floor. The thing that makes today's modest weakness somewhat surprising is the fact that underlying...
Mortgage Rates May Already Be Bouncing on Post-Fed Floor

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by Matthew Graham on December 20 2018, 4:48 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly higher today. As such, they remain quite close to their lowest levels in roughly 4 months--a distinction achieved yesterday following the Fed announcement and press conference. Actually, it may be more fair to give...
Mortgage Rates Drop After Fed "Raises Rates"

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by Matthew Graham on December 19 2018, 4:26 PM

Mortgage rates fell today even though the Fed "raised rates." What's up with that? There are all kinds of rates. Some are fixed. Some are adjustable. Some apply to longer-term debt (like mortgages) while others govern very short time frames (like overnight...
Mortgage Rates Lowest Since August Ahead of Fed

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by Matthew Graham on December 18 2018, 4:01 PM

Mortgage rates fell today as lenders got caught up with the friendly move in the bond market that we noted yesterday. Incidentally, today's bond market movement was also friendly (i.e. it suggested rates should continue to move lower). There's almost...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed Despite Market Gains

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by Matthew Graham on December 17 2018, 4:55 PM

Mortgage rates were fairly flat yet again today. Unlike Friday, today's market movement made a case for a bit of a drop. "Market gains" mean different things when talking about bonds/rates (as opposed to stocks). In today's case, bond markets improved...
Mortgage Rates Preserve Most of Last Week's Gains

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by Matthew Graham on December 14 2018, 5:25 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today, and that's arguably a good thing. When the week began, we discussed the need for rates to cool-off after last week's rapid drop. Doing so would improve our chances of seeing recently lower rates stick around for...
Mortgage Rates Edge Back Down Toward Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on December 13 2018, 2:59 PM

Mortgage rates fell moderately today, helping them move part of the way back down toward their lowest levels in more than 3 months (seen back on Friday). The average lender continues quoting rates that are roughly 3/8ths of a percentage point lower than...
Mortgage Rates Could Go Even Higher

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by Matthew Graham on December 12 2018, 6:24 PM

Mortgage rates rose more noticeably today as a part of a 3 day bounce after hitting the lowest levels in roughly 3 months at the end of last week. Whereas yesterday's increases weren't really worth mentioning, today's hurt--depending on the scenario....
Mortgage Rates Flattening Out After Much-Needed Winning Streak

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by Matthew Graham on December 11 2018, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates rose almost imperceptibly today, with a few lenders not showing any detectable changes from yesterday. Still, it was the first time since November 30th that rates were higher than the previous day (on average). Today's move was so small...
Mortgage Rate Rally May Be Pausing

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by Matthew Graham on December 10 2018, 4:57 PM

First things first: the average mortgage lender improved modestly today, compared to last Friday's levels. This leaves mortgage rates at their lowest levels in several months. That's great news and indeed, the last few weeks have been the best few weeks...
Mortgage Rates Lowest Since September After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on December 07 2018, 3:55 PM

Mortgage rates held on to their recent improvements today after the important Employment Situation (the big "jobs report") showed November job creation was lower than expected. In general, weaker job creation is good for interest rates because it speaks...

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