Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Fall Again as Lenders Play Catch Up

Mortgage Rates Fight to Remain at Week's Best Levels

Mortgage Rates Lowest This Week Despite Stronger Economic Data

Mortgage Rates Drop as Bond Gains Accelerate

Mortgage Rates Under Modest Pressure After Retail Sales Data

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Mortgage Rates Edge Lower to Remain in Recent Range

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by Matthew Graham on June 27 2019, 4:19 PM

Mortgage rates rose to the week's highest levels yesterday, but they moved back down today . Although there have been slightly better days over the past 2 weeks, today's improvement is enough to keep rates in the best territory since November 2016. For...
Mortgage Rates Pop Up to This Week's Highs

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by Matthew Graham on June 26 2019, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates hadn't moved much since last Friday--a good thing considering those levels were in line with the lowest levels in a long time. The ground-holding gave way today, however, as the underlying bond market weakened for the first time this week...
Mortgage Rates Barely Budge Despite Bond Market Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on June 25 2019, 5:11 PM

Mortgage rates were little-changed again today, despite moderate improvement in the broader bond market. Although it's MBS (the mortgage-backed securities that underlie mortgage loans) that have a direct effect on mortgage rates, the broader bond market...
Rates Catch a Break to Remain Near Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2019, 3:39 PM

Mortgage rates were generally flat today, depending on the lender. Some were noticeably better while others were a hair worse. In both cases, rates are very close to the lowest levels since late 2016. Changes from Friday would most likely be measured...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher; More Volatility on The Horizon

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2019, 6:46 PM

Mortgage rates have had an impressive run --the best since 2011, in fact, when it comes to total peak to trough movement. That winning streak might not even be over, but every time rates bounce recently--even if only slightly--it's cause for concern....
Mortgage Rates Hit New Long-Term Lows, Then Bounce

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by Matthew Graham on June 20 2019, 6:05 PM

Mortgage rates plunged today as the bond market extended its positive reaction to yesterday's Fed announcement. The Fed doesn't set mortgage rates, but the market's expectation of Fed rate-setting policy has a major impact. In other words, because the...
Mortgage Rates Mixed Despite Positive Reaction to Fed

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2019, 6:35 PM

Mortgage rates reacted favorably to today's Federal Reserve announcement and press conference--today's key events. But that doesn't mean every lender is in better shape than yesterday. The morning hours saw the bond market (which dictates rates) at weaker...
Mortgage Rates Enjoy Surprise Drop Ahead of Fed Day

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by Matthew Graham on June 18 2019, 2:38 PM

Mortgage rates have generally been moving sideways for the past 2 weeks. This has accomplished a twofold goal of coming to terms with the strong gains seen in May as well as preparing for tomorrow's hotly-anticipated announcement from the Fed. It has...
Mortgage Rates Stay Flat, But Risks Will Increase From Here

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2019, 5:49 PM

Mortgage rates were only modestly higher today. Most lenders were still quoting the same rates compared to Friday with the only difference being slightly higher upfront costs. This means the rate at the top of the average mortgage quote is still within...
Mortgage Rates Just Had Another Awesome Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 14 2019, 6:07 PM

While we can't say that this week's best mortgage rate offerings were quite as good as last week's best, they were pretty darn close. In fact, quite a few lenders have simply been quoting the same rates for the entire 2-week period. That happens from...
Mortgage Rates Continue Easing Back Toward Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 13 2019, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower for the 2nd straight day, which brings them back in line with Monday's levels. While these aren't quite the lowest rates of the past 2 weeks, they're much closer than they were on Tuesday morning. That means the average lender...
Mortgage Rates Find Some Support as Stocks Cool Off

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2019, 3:56 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher over the past 2 days, but managed to find their footing today. I'll be the last person to claim interest rates and stock prices must follow one another, but at times, their relationship is the most convenient way to understand...
Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2019, 2:59 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher again today, even though underlying bond markets were relatively flat. This is due to the timing of market movement over the past 2 days in conjunction with typical mortgage lender pricing conventions. Specifically, bonds weakened...
Mortgage Rates Move Up From Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2019, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates had a fairly epic week last week, spending each day effectively pinned to the lowest levels since September 2017. That followed a swift move lower in the previous week and solid improvements every week since late April. Typically, we see...
Mortgage Rates Move Even Deeper Into 3% Territory After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on June 07 2019, 3:26 PM

Mortgage rates moved decisively lower today following a much weaker-than-expected reading on new job creation in a key report from the Department of Labor. The payroll count in the big jobs report fell to 75k in May compared to a median forecast of 185k...

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