Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Drift Higher Again

Mortgage Rates Edge up to 2-Week Highs

Mortgage Rates Sharply Higher to End The Week

Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, but Remain Near Recent Lows

Mortgage Rates Hold Ground After Ukraine Headlines

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Applications, Prices, and Condo Sales Get Second Look; Languishing Existing Home Sales; Housing Distress at 7+ Year Low; Rates Drift Higher

Published: 4/22/2014

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Mortgage Rates Near Highest Levels in More Than 2 Months

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by Matthew Graham on March 31 2014, 2:43 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today, as part of a 2 day move following 5 straight days of improvement. Nearly all of that improvement has been erased and rates are now in line with the afternoon following the FOMC Announcement on March 19st. That leaves...
Mortgage Rates Higher Today, but Lower on the Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 28 2014, 5:19 PM

Mortgage rates finally experienced a correction to the 5-day winning streak that had carried them lower after last week's spike. On a slightly unsatisfying note, the winning streak was never quite able to erase last week's losses and by the time today...
Mortgage Rates Continue to Lows of the Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2014, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately lower today, further improving on what has generally been a slow-paced week of gains. The yard-stick measuring that progress is the rate environment on last Wednesday morning before the FOMC Announcement and Forecasts sent...
Mortgage Rates Close to Erasing Last Week's Losses

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2014, 4:16 PM

Mortgage rates improved substantially today, at least in the context of small day-over-day movement seen since last week's Fed Forecasts sent rates quickly higher. While they're not quite back to Wednesday morning's levels, they're much closer than they...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged and Lacking Inspiration

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by Matthew Graham on March 25 2014, 4:25 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher for some lenders today, but lower for others--holding perfectly flat on average . There were no major disruptions in financial markets today, but morning rate sheets were in slightly higher territory before weak economic...
Mortgage Rates Continue Healing After Last Week's Rout

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by Matthew Graham on March 24 2014, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates moved sideways to slightly lower today, but only after a slew of mid-day reprices from lenders. Before that, the morning rate sheets were in slightly weaker territory (higher than Friday's latest) on average. When adjusted for day-to-day...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower to End Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 21 2014, 2:32 PM

Mortgage rates managed to move lower today, generally erasing yesterday's increases. There was very little by way of market-moving events to motivate the changes. Considering that yesterday's higher rates were contrary to the underlying market movement...
Mortgage Rates Level-Off after Moving Higher Still

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by Matthew Graham on March 20 2014, 4:09 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for a second straight day, extending yesterday's much larger spike. Some lenders remained relatively close to yesterday's latest offerings while others were in noticeably worse shape. Market volatility tends to create variation...
Mortgage Rates Higher at Year's Fastest Pace After Fed Forecast Surprise

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by Matthew Graham on March 19 2014, 5:18 PM

Mortgage rates shot higher today at their fastest pace of the year today after Fed forecasts suggested members saw the Fed Funds Rate rising sooner and by more than expected. To be very clear, the Fed Funds Rate is NOT directly tied to mortgage rates...
Mortgage Rates Sideways Ahead of Fed Announcement

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by Matthew Graham on March 18 2014, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates were effectively unchanged today, putting an end to 2 days spent moving higher as the threat of violence diminished in Ukraine. Indeed it was violence in Ukraine (or rather, a Ukrainian Military Installation in Crimea) that enabled bond...
Mortgage Rates Rise as Geopolitical Fears Subside

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by Matthew Graham on March 17 2014, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher today, erasing most of the improvement seen since Thursday afternoon. At that time, global markets including the bond markets that most directly affect rates, began preparing for worst-case scenarios following the...
Mortgage Rates Higher in Afternoon, Lower Overall

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by Matthew Graham on March 14 2014, 3:16 PM

Mortgage rates managed to log another day of improvement today, this time more modest compared to yesterday's big move. Rate sheets were best in the morning, but deteriorating conditions in the secondary mortgage market during the day led many lenders...
Mortgage Rates Drop Significantly As Tension Mounts Over Ukraine

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by Matthew Graham on March 13 2014, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates moved significantly lower today after Secretary of State Kerry warned of repercussions for events in Ukraine. Crimea is set to hold a referendum on Sunday deciding whether or not to rejoin Russia. Kerry indicated, were the referendum to...
Mortgage Rates Continue Lower, Erasing Friday's Losses

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by Matthew Graham on March 12 2014, 3:36 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower at their best pace of the week today , undoing the damage from last Friday's Employment Situation report, and about a third of the week's total losses. Whereas yesterday's activity in the secondary mortgage market was volatile...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on March 11 2014, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates continued holding mostly sideways today , though there were enough lenders in slightly better shape to make for a small improvement on average. Just keep in mind that things may vary from lender to lender when comparing to yesterday's latest...

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