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Tuesday 8/12 ... What follows a down day?

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by Matthew Graham on August 12 2008, 1:56 PM

In this market, it's a almost a reliable bet that whatever happened yesterday, the opposite will happen today. Unfortunately the simple fact that mortgage pricing should be slightly improved this morning doesn't tell the whole story. MBS (mortgage backed...
Monday 8/11 ... More Back And Forth

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by Matthew Graham on August 11 2008, 10:53 PM

It has been recently noted by more than one financial analyst that these last two weeks have seen more "ups and downs" across all market sectors than most any other time in history. To those of use waiting to lock a mortgage rate or simply trying to follow...
Tuesday 8/5 ... One FOMC Announcement Later

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by Matthew Graham on August 05 2008, 9:27 PM

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released it's monetary policy decision today which was exactly as the markets had planned: no change to benchmark lending rates. Even if they had raised rates, it wouldn't necessarily be bad news for mortgages...
Wednesday 7/30 ... Bad Tuesday followed by a good Wednesday

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by Matthew Graham on July 31 2008, 4:17 AM

Are you getting tired of this yet? Volatility much? Let's preface the statement "good Wednesday" by saying that the "good" part comes from the fact that mortgages started out in negative territory today and fought back so slightly better levels than yesterday...
Tuesday 7/29 .. Good Monday Followed By A Bad Tuesday

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by Matthew Graham on July 29 2008, 2:57 PM

George Jetson said it best: "Get me off this crazy thing!" The recent dramatic "ups and downs" in MBS (mortgage backed security) pricing probably have many of you singing the same tune. Today just adds to the drama. The Case Shiller Home Price Index fell...
Monday 7/28 ... Bad Friday, Followed By A Good Monday

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by Matthew Graham on July 28 2008, 8:45 PM

Friday saw a very rough day for MBS (mortgage backed security) pricing. Recall that as the prices of MBS fall, mortgage rates rise. We had surmised last week that the market was near or at it's 'bottom' (lowest prices / highest rates) of the year and...
Thursday 7/24 ... Bounce of the lows as expected

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by Matthew Graham on July 24 2008, 1:29 PM

We've had a strong bounce of the worst rate levels of the year owing to a worse than expected Jobless Claims Report and the Reassurance provided by the rapid enactment of the new Housing Bill. Despite morning weakness, yesterday ended with some decent...
Monday 7/21/08 ... Worst Rates Of The Year

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by Matthew Graham on July 21 2008, 3:35 PM

If your mortgage broker is telling you that rates have gotten worse, they're right. We actually touched the worst point of the year early this morning, but have since pulled back. We surmised last week that the end of July/beginning of August would either...
Wednesday 7/16/08 ... A couple of BAD days

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2008, 12:59 AM

Yesterday saw a massive sell-off in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the bonds that directly govern mortgage pricing. In the past, we have discussed "flight to quality" (FTQ) buying. This occurs when, shaken by market uncertainty, investors...
Monday 7/14/08 ... Good Monday After A Bad Friday

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by Matthew Graham on July 14 2008, 1:38 PM

Concerns about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac caused a mass panic in the markets on Friday. Mortgage backed securities, treasuries and stocks were all down appreciably. Unfortunately for the "panic mentality," the market concerns were and are an obvious product...
Thursday 7/10/08 ... Trying to Stay Positive

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by Matthew Graham on July 10 2008, 3:28 PM

Earlier in the week, concerns over the solvency of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac drove the Mortgage Market into somewhat of a depression. A day later a key government official stated that they were sufficiently capitalized. This helped Mortgage Backed Securities...
Wednesday 7/9/08 ... Happy Days!

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by Matthew Graham on July 09 2008, 1:19 PM

After the tremendous weakness in the mortgage market last week, this week has taken a turn for the positive. One of the most important factors in causing recent weakness has been the overall "shakiness" of the broad economic picture. As we discussed,...
Wednesday 7/2/08 ... Waiting for Thursday's Data

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2008, 2:49 PM

So far this week has not been a good one for MBS (Mortgage Backed Securities). Traders have been more apt to place their money in the virtually risk-free US Treasuries as our market convulses. The phenomenon of buying bonds as stocks are falling is referred...
Monday 6/30/08 ..... A wild week gives way to slight improvements

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by Matthew Graham on June 30 2008, 3:55 PM

A lot could have gone wrong last week. Several variables indicated that mortgage rates would be worsening by the end of the week. Also, we had the Federal Reserve's announcement on Tuesday afternoon regarding the decision to keep the benchmark lending...
Tuesday 6/24/08 ........... Lot's of Volatility and More to Come

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2008, 4:15 PM

In A Word: It's been an extremely volatile environment for rates recently, with a huge upswing one day, followed by a huge downswing the next. Keep in mind that when we reference "huge" that is referring to huge swings in the PRICE of Mortgage Backed...

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