Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than 2 Weeks

Mortgage Rates Bounce Higher

Rates Still Flat at 8-Month Lows

Rates Cap Impressively Sideways Week Near Long-Term Lows

Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Lower

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Rates Highest in More Than 2 Weeks; Lopsided Conditions Drag Down Sales; Apps Ebb; Waivers For Early Compliance

Published: 6/28/2017

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Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on June 28 2017, 4:39 PM

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher again today, as investors continued digesting the possibility of a "taper tantrum" in Europe. The US version of the taper tantrum occurred in 2013 when the Fed began signaling its intention to buy fewer bonds. Fed...
Mortgage Rates Bounce Higher

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by Matthew Graham on June 27 2017, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates saw their biggest bounce higher in more than a week today as domestic bond markets (which dictate rates) followed a much bigger move in European bond markets. The European move can be traced to comments from European Central Bank President...
Rates Still Flat at 8-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 26 2017, 4:21 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly lower today, depending on the lender. Underlying financial markets continue moving in a narrow range--something that's not uncommon for the first few weeks of the summer. It's that market movement that can result...
Rates Cap Impressively Sideways Week Near Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2017, 4:59 PM

Weeks like this are the reason that some mortgage rate analysis is only done once a week. There haven't been any significant developments in financial markets--at least not as far as bonds (which dictate rates) have been concerned. And there certainly...
Mortgage Rates Sideways to Slightly Lower

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2017, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates have been so little-changed in recent days that yesterday's coverage wouldn't need to be changed in order to apply perfectly today. Indeed, the 3rd paragraph is a word-for-word repeat. To be fair though, we would need to update yesterday...
Mortgage Rates are Barely Budging (And That's Great!)

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by Matthew Graham on June 21 2017, 3:11 PM

Mortgage rates have been locked in an exceptionally narrow range for most of the month of June, but especially over the past 5 days. Given that mortgage rates are determined by the bond market where trading levels move constantly throughout the day, it...
Rates Fall Slightly to Remain Near 8-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 20 2017, 3:44 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly lower today, with underlying bond markets essentially erasing the damage seen yesterday. This was neither here nor there for the mortgage world as most lenders didn't adjust rates much higher yesterday (despite bond...
Mortgage Rates Fairly Steady to Begin Week

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2017, 4:17 PM

Mortgage rates were mostly flat again today, despite bond market weakness (lower bond prices generally mean higher rates). Between MBS (the mortgage-backed-securities that underlie mortgage rate movement) and US Treasuries (the risk-free benchmark for...
Mortgage Rates Holding Most of Their Recent Gains

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2017, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates were flat today, after weaker-than-expected construction data prompted a positive bounce for bond markets. In general, bonds (which dictate mortgage rates) improve when economic data is weaker. Before this morning's data, rates were at...
Mortgage Rates Bounce, But Remain Near Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2017, 3:05 PM

Mortgage rates rose moderately today, as bond markets generally bounced back from the best levels in 8 months yesterday. Despite the bounce, rates are still in line with their best levels of the year. Only a handful of days have been any better and most...
Rates Drop to 8-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 14 2017, 5:10 PM

Mortgage rates fell convincingly today, though not all lenders adjusted rates sheets in proportion to the gains seen in bond markets (which underlie rate movement). Those gains came early, with this morning's economic data coming in much weaker than expected...
Recent Mortgage Rate Stability Could Change Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on June 13 2017, 3:20 PM

Mortgage rates moved modestly higher today, for most lenders. This had more to do with yesterday's market movement than today's. Bond markets were weakening yesterday afternoon (which typically results in rates moving higher). But the weakness came too...
Mortgage Rates Steady-to-Higher as Busy Week Begins

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2017, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates were either flat or slightly higher , depending on the lender today. Movement in underlying bond markets suggested a modest increase in rates, but it came too late in the day for most lenders to respond with a mid-day rate change. As such...
Mortgage Rates Continue Modestly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2017, 4:13 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher for the second straight day amid a general lack of actionable information. Some investors noted that the results of the elections in the U.K. were surprising, but not in a way that was any help to interest rates. In general...
Mortgage Rates Rise Modestly From 2017 Lows

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2017, 3:09 PM

Mortgage rates rose modestly today after spending 2 days at the best levels in nearly 8 months. Financial markets were tuned in to several key events with the power to cause volatility for rates today. Of these, the Senate testimony of former FBI Director...

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