Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Inch to Week's Best Levels

Mortgage Rates Are Actually Unchanged This Week!

Mortgage Rates Higher Following Fed Forecasts

Mortgage Rates Brace For Volatility From Central Banks

Mortgage Rates Near Recent Highs

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Mortgage Rates Inch to Week's Best Levels; Digital Notes and Closings; Here We Go Bonds!

Published: 6/15/2018

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Mortgage Rates Inch to Week's Best Levels

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2018, 5:22 PM

Mortgage rates fell again today, bringing the average rate just slightly lower on the week. Unlike the past 2 days, there were no big ticket calendar events today. Instead, motivation came from market jitters of new tariff announcements and the ensuing...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually Unchanged This Week!

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by Matthew Graham on June 14 2018, 3:22 PM

Mortgage rates moved LOWER today, following a policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). That claim runs counter to almost any other mortgage rate headline in the mainstream news because big media is in the habit of quoting Freddie Mac...
Mortgage Rates Higher Following Fed Forecasts

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by Matthew Graham on June 13 2018, 5:18 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today, following the Fed's much-anticipated policy announcement. Although the Fed changed quite a few words from the announcement's previous iteration (far more than normal), it wasn't the announcement itself that did the damage...
Mortgage Rates Brace For Volatility From Central Banks

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2018, 4:41 PM

Mortgage rates didn't move much today. That keeps them in line with some of the highest levels in nearly 7 years, though the same could be said for a majority of the days since mid-April. Rather than talk about where we are and where we've been, the hotter...
Mortgage Rates Near Recent Highs

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2018, 3:49 PM

Mortgage rates edged up to the highest levels in several weeks today. Only a handful of days from mid-May stand between current levels and the highest rates in 7 years. That sounds a bit more dramatic than it is. Rates have been pretty close to these...
Mortgage Rates Flat Ahead of Potential Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2018, 3:31 PM

Mortgage rates were steady again today, holding on to the improvements seen yesterday afternoon following a surprise "flash rally" in bond markets. Such flash moves always create the risk that rates will experience a correction that takes them quickly...
Mortgage Rates Improve Slightly

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by Matthew Graham on June 07 2018, 4:24 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly lower today, depending on the lender and the time of day. Rates were higher earlier this morning as bond markets began the day in weaker territory (bonds drive rates). Bonds have been in a weakening trend since the...
Mortgage Rates Up To 3-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on June 06 2018, 3:25 PM

Mortgage rates rose today, resuming an upward trend that began last week after political turmoil in Italy began to die down. More simply put, rates had been rising in mid May. Italy's political turmoil caused enough concern about the fate of the Eurozone...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

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by Matthew Graham on June 05 2018, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates were little-changed today after rising somewhat quickly over the past 4 business days. This leaves them right on the top dead center of the proverbial fence. Or perhaps it's fairer to say A proverbial fence. While rates are like any other...
Mortgage Rates Continue Higher

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2018, 4:31 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher , adding onto a trend that began last Wednesday. A day earlier, rates hit their best levels in more than a month due to political risks in Europe. The trend back toward higher rates has coincided with the defusing of those...
Mortgage Rates Higher After Jobs Data and Progress in Italy

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by Matthew Graham on June 01 2018, 8:28 PM

Mortgage rates move higher today, mostly due to waning political risks in Italy. To be honest, I only really put the jobs data in the headline because the mighty Employment Situation Report is a perennial market mover--especially for rates. In today's...
Mortgage Rate Volatility Remains a Risk

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by Matthew Graham on May 31 2018, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates were effectively unchanged today, despite political developments in Italy providing plenty of justification to move higher. Specifically, Italian lawmakers found a way to move forward with staffing a new coalition government despite an...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher After Yesterday's Big Drop

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by Matthew Graham on May 30 2018, 5:36 PM

Mortgage rates were somewhat higher today as politicians struck a more conciliatory tone in Italy. To be clear, we are indeed talking about mortgage rates in the United States in relation to European politics. It's not the first time and it likely won...
Mortgage Rates Surge Lower Thanks to Italy

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by Matthew Graham on May 29 2018, 3:37 PM

Mortgage rates dropped abruptly today as political developments in Italy caused investor panic over the weekend. This is a bit of a complex topic, but the bottom line is that Italy will soon be voting on what will essentially be its membership in the...
Mortgage Rates Hit Holiday Weekend at Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on May 25 2018, 5:02 PM

Mortgage rates moved much lower this week with another strong move today. As we discussed yesterday, this is certainly at odds with the prevailing news coverage, which continues to focus on yesterday's Freddie Mac survey. Here's a link to yesterday's...

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