Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Hold Steady After Moving Higher Earlier This Week

Mortgage Rates Move Higher Again

Mortgage Rates Started Flat, But Moved Higher in The Afternoon

Omicron Helping Rates More Than The Fed is Hurting

Mortgage Rates Start Strong, But Ended Higher

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Mortgage Rates Hold Steady After Moving Higher Earlier This Week

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by Matthew Graham on December 08 2021, 3:39 PM

Mortgage rates stabilized today after spending the past 2 days moving modestly higher. In general, rates moved almost exclusively lower last week in response to concerns over the omicron variant. With several news stories acting to temper those concerns...
Mortgage Rates Move Higher Again

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by Matthew Graham on December 07 2021, 3:39 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher again today thus keeping them well within the sideways range that's been in place for the past 2 months. Omicron-related news continues having an impact on the bond market. At first, uncertainty surrounding the new variant...
Mortgage Rates Started Flat, But Moved Higher in The Afternoon

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by Matthew Graham on December 06 2021, 3:57 PM

Mortgage rates have been in a very narrow , sideways range since October. During that time, the average 30yr fixed rate hasn't moved by more than an eighth of a percent in either direction. Today was no exception. Despite the narrow range, the underlying...
Omicron Helping Rates More Than The Fed is Hurting

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by Matthew Graham on December 03 2021, 4:19 PM

Several developments are converging on the global economy and financial markets at the moment. Each brings its own causes for concern. Together, they bring a significant increase in volatility. Should we be worried about Omicron? Answering such questions...
Mortgage Rates Start Strong, But Ended Higher

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by Matthew Graham on December 02 2021, 3:43 PM

Mortgage rates started weaker and ended stronger yesterday. Unfortunately , today delivered exactly the opposite scenario. The underlying bond market (the most important factor in determining mortgage rates) started the day at levels that would have allowed...
Mortgage Rates Rise Then Fall as Volatility Persists

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by Matthew Graham on December 01 2021, 4:33 PM

Mortgage rates were much lower at the start of business yesterday , but began rising in the afternoon as the bond market lost ground. That same momentum continued in the overnight trading session. By the time mortgage lenders were setting rates this morning...
Mortgage Rates Much Lower So Far This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 30 2021, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates ended the previous week with a hopeful outlook due to the omicron variant. In general, rates benefit from news and events that cause investors to seek protection from risk. A fresh dose of risk aversion was served up overnight as Moderna...
Rates Move Swiftly Lower Due to New Covid Variant

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by Matthew Graham on November 26 2021, 2:51 PM

Just when it looked like the current week would fizzle out on a negative note for rates, our least favorite market mover is back in the news. B.1.1.529 (designated now as "Omicron"), a new covid variant hit the market like a ton of bricks on Friday morning...
Highest Mortgage Rates Since April

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by Matthew Graham on November 23 2021, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher today as the bond market remained in a defensive stance for a variety of reasons. The week's scheduled Treasury auctions were among those reasons, but rates remained under pressure even after today's final auction. That...
Mortgage Rates Under Pressure After Powell Nomination and Bond Auctions

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by Matthew Graham on November 22 2021, 5:09 PM

Mortgage rates began the new week on a bad note with the average lender full erasing the improvement seen on Friday. This leaves many lenders at their highest levels since April, but in those cases, it should be noted that today's rates are extremely...
Winter is Coming, But That's Good For Rates

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by Matthew Graham on November 19 2021, 3:00 PM

Winter is coming, both literally and figuratively. While the fallout remains to be seen, financial markets are already reacting. In the literal sense, colder ambient temperatures are generally correlated with increased covid case counts. The following...
Mortgage Rates Fall For 2nd Day in a Row

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by Matthew Graham on November 18 2021, 2:58 PM

Mortgage rates were modestly lower today as the bond market continued pushing back against somewhat abrupt weakness. The average media coverage says something completely different though! No one is lying, but any news about "higher rates this week" is...
Mortgage Rates Catch a Break

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by Matthew Graham on November 17 2021, 4:46 PM

Mortgage rates finally caught a break after spending the past six business days moving higher at a faster-than-normal pace. During that time, the average lender's conventional 30yr fixed rates increased by 0.125-0.25%, depending on the loan scenario....
Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than 3 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on November 16 2021, 3:34 PM

Mortgage rates continued higher again today, despite a fairly flat performance in the bond market. Specifically, the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) that directly influence mortgage rates were almost perfectly flat on the day. Normally, this would suggest...
Upward Momentum Continues For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on November 15 2021, 3:44 PM

After hitting the lowest levels in over a month last Tuesday, mortgage rates have been moving higher fairly quickly each day since then. Most of the damage occurred on Wednesday and Friday of last week (markets were closed on Thursday), but today got...

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