Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Hold 14-Month Lows

Rates Stay Low; Bigger Risks/Rewards Next Week

Mortgage Rates Lowest in More Than a Year

Mortgage Rates Technically Lower, But Risk Rising Tomorrow

Mortgage Rates Drop to New 14-Month Lows

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Mortgage Rates Hold 14-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on March 18 2019, 4:30 PM

Mortgage rates didn't budge today--a logical result with no signs of life in underlying bond markets. In the current case, this is just fine with us considering the bond market has gone silent while remaining at the best levels in 14 months. Specifically...
Rates Stay Low; Bigger Risks/Rewards Next Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 15 2019, 3:49 PM

Mortgage rates remained at recent lows today, as underlying bond markets strengthened. For US Treasuries, this brought rates to new multi-month lows. Mortgage-backed bonds, on the other hand, simply returned in line with the best levels of the week. That...
Mortgage Rates Lowest in More Than a Year

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by Matthew Graham on March 14 2019, 4:41 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today, despite moderate weakness in underlying bond markets. This occurred for two reasons. First, yesterday saw bond markets improve, but not by enough for lenders to adjust rates lower in the middle of the day. Second, today...
Mortgage Rates Technically Lower, But Risk Rising Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on March 13 2019, 4:42 PM

Mortgage rates were officially lower today, despite some weakness in the bond market. In general, bond market weakness coincides with rates moving higher. This time around, the weakness was minimal, and mortgage lenders had a bit of catching up to do...
Mortgage Rates Drop to New 14-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on March 12 2019, 3:52 PM

Mortgage rates dropped convincingly today, bringing them to new long-term lows. The average lender hasn't offered anything lower for more than a year (January 2018). The improvement came on a combination of news headlines, economic data, and the scheduled...
Mortgage Rates Start Week Near Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on March 11 2019, 3:59 PM

Mortgage rates were roughly unchanged to begin the week. That means they are staying in line with the lowest levels in more than a year. Only 2 or 3 days have been any better, depending on the lender, and the differences are minimal. It's refreshing to...
Mortgage Rates Played a Perfect Game This Week

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by Matthew Graham on March 08 2019, 3:50 PM

Yesterday, we talked about how mortgage rates were actually lower this week, despite some news coverage to the contrary, and how that discrepancy was the result of a logical misunderstanding. Today takes the discrepancy to another level as rates fell...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually Lower This Week!

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2019, 4:53 PM

Mortgage rates dropped noticeably today, as the underlying bond market benefited from overseas developments. The European Central Bank (ECB) is Europe's counterpart to the Federal Reserve. Like the Fed, they've also dabbled in bond-buying and ultra-low...
Mortgage Rates Continue Repairing Last Week's Damage

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2019, 4:42 PM

Mortgage rates improved again today, bringing them back to the lowest levels seen since last Thursday morning. Starting last Wednesday, we saw a fairly fast rate spike through the end of the week followed by 3 days of relative calm so far in the current...
Mortgage Rates Improved Today

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by Matthew Graham on March 05 2019, 4:55 PM

After a pretty rough conclusion last week, yesterday's stability was a welcome change for mortgage rates at the start of the new week. Today made things slightly better as the average lender improved modestly. This puts today's rate quotes back in line...
Mortgage Rates Remain Steady, But That's a Victory Today

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by Matthew Graham on March 04 2019, 3:40 PM

Mortgage rates finally caught their breath today after rising quickly in the second half of last week. Specifically, the average lender managed to avoid getting any worse. Considering the past few business days, that's a victory. But is it as much of...
Mortgage Rates Highest in More Than a Month

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by Matthew Graham on March 01 2019, 4:15 PM

Mortgage rates surged again today as the underlying bond market continued to capitulate to selling pressure. Let's talk about what that means in plain English! Capitulation in financial markets refers to investors on one side of a trade gradually becoming...
Mortgage Rates Spike to 2-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on February 28 2019, 6:00 PM

Mortgage rates moved quickly higher today following stronger-than-expected economic data. Rates are driven by the bond market. Bonds are safe-haven assets. When the economy is stronger, investors are less likely to to buy safe-haven assets. As demand...
Mortgage Rates Not Interested in Any of Today's Drama

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by Matthew Graham on February 27 2019, 5:54 PM

At one point today, there were three apparently important events dominating the newswires simultaneously. These included the Fed Chair's congressional testimony, the Cohen congressional testimony, and--you guessed it--congressional testimony from Lighthizer...
Mortgage Rates Still Near Lows After Powell Testimony

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by Matthew Graham on February 26 2019, 4:41 PM

Whereas mortgage rates were almost undetectably higher yesterday, they were lower by roughly the same insignificant amount today. In either case, and unless they make a much bigger move, they're generally hanging out near the lowest levels in more than...

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