Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Nominally Higher Despite Bond Market Warning

Mortgage Rates Holding Ground But Volatility Could Increase

Mortgage Rates Up Slightly, But Still in Great Shape

Mortgage Rates Unchanged Again as Markets Remain Cautious

Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Start the Week

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Published: 1/18/2019

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Mortgage Rates Nominally Higher Despite Bond Market Warning

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by Matthew Graham on January 18 2019, 3:47 PM

Mortgage rates rose gently today. Most mortgage borrowers (and many mortgage professionals, for that matter) wouldn't be aware of slightly more alarming risks lurking underneath the surface. Those risks involve the broader bond market from which mortgage...
Mortgage Rates Holding Ground But Volatility Could Increase

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by Matthew Graham on January 17 2019, 3:28 PM

Mortgage rates were technically steady today. In fact, as of this writing, most lenders are offering slightly better terms compared to yesterday, but only by barely-detectable amounts. The afternoon brought volatility in financial markets owing to trade...
Mortgage Rates Up Slightly, But Still in Great Shape

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by Matthew Graham on January 16 2019, 4:13 PM

Mortgage rates rose modestly today after spending the past 2 days moving sideways. It was really yesterday's market weakness that caused today's move. Mortgage rates are most directly affected by the trading of mortgage-backed securities (MBS). When MBS...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged Again as Markets Remain Cautious

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by Matthew Graham on January 15 2019, 4:44 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged yet again today. Given that rates are based on trading levels in underlying bond markets, it's no surprise to learn that bond investors have been hesitant to take things too far in either direction after pulling up slightly...
Mortgage Rates Unchanged to Start the Week

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by Matthew Graham on January 14 2019, 3:50 PM

Mortgage rates held their ground today, keeping them in line with long-term lows achieved over the past 2 weeks. To be fair, it was the previous week that offered the biggest benefits, but last week was no slouch. Factoring out the first few days of January...
Mortgage Rates Lower Today, But Higher Than Last Week

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by Matthew Graham on January 11 2019, 6:11 PM

Mortgage rates improved today, breaking a 3-day streak with effectively no change. This gets us part of the way back down to the long-term lows achieved at the end of last week. At that time, the average lender was quoting conventional 30yr fixed rates...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Despite Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on January 10 2019, 4:50 PM

Mortgage rates were unchanged again today, despite moderate weakness in underlying bond markets. Bonds are the primary ingredient used in determining mortgage rates, but the timing of market movement and lender preferences can result in discrepancies...
Mortgage Rates Level-Off After Rising For 3 Days

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by Matthew Graham on January 09 2019, 6:29 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today, after moving higher for the past 3 days. Underlying market movement was slightly calmer than it has been in recent days. Stocks were less eager to make new highs and bond yields (a key consideration for mortgage rates...
Mortgage Rates Highest in a Week

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by Matthew Graham on January 08 2019, 3:36 PM

Mortgage rates rose moderately for the 3rd day in a row today, bringing them to the highest levels since December 31st for the average lender. In outright terms, this equates to an increase of an eighth of a percentage point (.125%) since the most recent...
Mortgage Rates Continue Rising From Long-Term Lows

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by Matthew Graham on January 07 2019, 5:08 PM

Mortgage rates were higher again today, extending a 2-day move from the lowest levels since early 2018. The size and pace of the late 2018 improvements introduced the risk of a bounce even before last Friday's key events. But after those events, the correction...
Mortgage Rates Erase Yesterday's Drop After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on January 04 2019, 4:42 PM

Mortgage rates hit the lowest levels in nearly a year as of yesterday afternoon. In general, they've had a one track mind for the better part of two months. Today brought the first real challenge to the recent trend. In plain terms, yesterday brought...
Mortgage Rates Lowest in Nearly a Year

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by Matthew Graham on January 03 2019, 4:37 PM

Mortgage rates have been plummeting , depending on your definition of the word. To be sure, the past 2 months have no competition in nearly 3 years. The past few days have been special in their own right. Whereas there was cause for concern about the...
The Party is Still Going For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on January 02 2019, 4:49 PM

Mortgage rates didn't have much to celebrate in 2018--at least not until the last few months. But those last few months were quite nice! Despite uncertainty heading into the new year, rates managed to drop again to kick things off--effectively keeping...
Mortgage Rates End Year on Strong Note

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by Matthew Graham on December 31 2018, 2:05 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower again today--this time in a slightly more noticeable way. More than anything, this was a reflection of last Friday's market movement, which lenders were hesitant to pass along on their rate sheet offerings ("market movement...
Mortgage Rates End 2018 at 4-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on December 28 2018, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower by an almost imperceptible amount today. The improvement was enough to bring the average lender to the lowest levels since the end of August, 2018. In other words, these are the best rates in 4 months. 2 months ago, all hope...

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