Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Continue Much-Needed Recovery

Mortgage Rates Avoid More Pain, Even if Only For Today

Mortgage Rates Holding Near 3-Month Highs

Mortgage Rates Blasted by Trade Deal Progress

Mortgage Rates Trying to Find a Ceiling

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Mortgage Applications Hit Recent Highs; Much-Needed Recovery For Rates

Published: 11/13/2019

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Mortgage Rates Continue Much-Needed Recovery

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by Matthew Graham on November 13 2019, 5:44 PM

Mortgage rates have been more willing to move higher than lower recently. While that may continue to be the case in the near-term future, there have been pockets of resistance to that trend. The first 2 days of this week seem to be just such a pocket...
Mortgage Rates Avoid More Pain, Even if Only For Today

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by Matthew Graham on November 12 2019, 5:00 PM

Mortgage rates had a bad October . November hasn't exactly been great either, with last Thursday being one of the worst days of the year in terms of day-over-day jumps in rates. In addition to the abrupt move, last week's weakness also brought rates in...
Mortgage Rates Holding Near 3-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on November 08 2019, 4:17 PM

Mortgage rates launched to their highest levels in more than 3 months yesterday for a variety of reasons. Chief among them was a series of comments from both China and the US about the intent to cancel previously announced tariffs as a part of the phase...
Mortgage Rates Blasted by Trade Deal Progress

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by Matthew Graham on November 07 2019, 5:29 PM

Mortgage rates surged higher at a rapid pace for the second time this week. Taken together, the jump is the biggest of its kind since the big rate spike in September, and one of only a handful of weeks in the past 3 years where lenders are quoting rates...
Mortgage Rates Trying to Find a Ceiling

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by Matthew Graham on November 06 2019, 5:12 PM

Mortgage rates were sharply higher yesterday , but managed to reverse course and make some gains today. The refreshing part of the improvement was that the bond market (which underlies rates) was already holding its ground before there was any obvious...
Mortgage Rates Shoot Significantly Higher

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by Matthew Graham on November 05 2019, 6:07 PM

Mortgage rates were flat yesterday , but I warned that volatility could increase today. That turned out to be an understatement. Mortgage rates shot higher nearly as quickly as they'd moved lower last week. In fact, the average lender is offering rates...
Mortgage Rates Holding Gain, But Volatility Could Increase

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by Matthew Graham on November 04 2019, 6:00 PM

Mortgage rates were flat to slightly higher today after dropping at fairly quick pace last week. In fact, if we're only examining one-day changes in rates, Thursday's drop was the quickest drop in months! That may sound slightly more impressive than it...
Mortgage Rates Steady Today, Much Lower This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 01 2019, 4:14 PM

Mortgage rates held steady today after moving sharply lower yesterday. "Sharply," in this context, means that many lenders saw rates move lower by as much as an eighth of a percentage point versus the previous morning. Changes of that magnitude are rarely...
Mortgage Rates Dropping Like a Rock

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by Matthew Graham on October 31 2019, 5:10 PM

Mortgage rates dropped like a rock today . This has absolutely nothing to do with yesterday's Fed rate cut, a little to do with the market reaction to the verbiage in yesterday's Fed announcement, and a lot to do with today's new developments. Chinese...
Mortgage Rates Little-Changed, But Could Improve Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on October 30 2019, 3:52 PM

First things first: the Fed cut its policy rate today, but that doesn't mean they cut mortgage rates . Why? Because they can't and they don't--especially not by a whopping 0.25% in a day (an amount that may be seen once or twice per decade when it comes...
Yes, The Fed Will Cut Rates, But Not Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on October 29 2019, 4:36 PM

You may have heard that the Federal Reserve is highly likely to cut rates this week. That is true. It's happening tomorrow . It would be a big surprise for financial markets if the Fed did NOT cut rates at this point. You may be wondering if this means...
Mortgage Rates Near 3-Month Highs

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by Matthew Graham on October 28 2019, 5:32 PM

Mortgage rates increased again today as lenders continued to get caught up with 2 days of bond market weakness. When bonds are weaker, prices are moving lower and yields (aka "rates") are moving higher. Rates have been rising in general for almost the...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher, As Expected

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by Matthew Graham on October 25 2019, 3:44 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower for 3 days in a row as of yesterday afternoon. But that trend was likely to reverse based on the timing of yesterday's market movement. Specifically, the market was suggesting mortgage lenders should raise their rates, but not...
Mortgage Rates Fell Again, But There's a Catch

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by Matthew Graham on October 24 2019, 3:43 PM

Mortgage rates dropped at a modest pace for the 3rd straight day on Thursday. This brings them back in line with levels seen at the end of last week. That's notable because many media outlets--even some with a focus on mortgages and real estate--are running...
Mortgage Rates Continue Recovering

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by Matthew Graham on October 23 2019, 5:04 PM

Mortgage rates moved a bit lower yesterday after hitting the highest levels in more than a month the day before. They kept the positive trend going today with another modest improvement. While this isn't enough to have a major impact on the cost of financing...

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