Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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A Jobs Report This Strong Usually Does Much More Damage to Mortgage...

Mortgage Rates Snap Back to 3-Week Highs

Mortgage Rates Near Recent Lows Despite Moving Up Today

Mortgage Rates Reverse Course, Falling Quickly

Mortgage Rates Up To 2-Week Highs

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Rates Snap Back to 3-Week Highs; Home Price Slump Reversing?

Published: 12/5/2019

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A Jobs Report This Strong Usually Does Much More Damage to Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on December 06 2019, 1:45 PM

Mortgage rates were pushed higher for the 3rd day in a row following an incredibly strong jobs report. For decades, if you were to ask anyone with a reasonable level of experience following rates/bonds to pick one economic report that bonds care about...
Mortgage Rates Snap Back to 3-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on December 05 2019, 3:56 PM

Mortgage rates have seen a fair amount of volatility so far this week, dropping quickly on Tuesday and moving in the opposite direction since then. Between yesterday and today, that big drop from earlier in the week has been completely erased. The result...
Mortgage Rates Near Recent Lows Despite Moving Up Today

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by Matthew Graham on December 04 2019, 3:29 PM

Mortgage rates dropped sharply yesterday after having risen to the highest levels in 2 weeks the day before. Yesterday's culprit was trade war related, but today had a more robust calendar of potentially market moving data. So did the data end up moving...
Mortgage Rates Reverse Course, Falling Quickly

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by Matthew Graham on December 03 2019, 4:38 PM

Mortgage rates were up to the highest levels in 2 weeks yesterday, but that was then and this is now. In the wee hours of the morning, trade-related headlines rocked financial markets. This sent stock prices and bond yields (aka "rates") lower at a rapid...
Mortgage Rates Up To 2-Week Highs

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by Matthew Graham on December 02 2019, 3:19 PM

Mortgage rates increased moderately to begin the new week/month and had been increasing in general during the previous week. The net effect is some lenders are quoting rates that are an eighth of a point higher compared to those seen at the beginning...
Mortgage Rates Edge Higher

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by Matthew Graham on November 27 2019, 2:38 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher today, leaving them roughly in the middle of November's narrow range. Although banks and many mortgage lenders will be open on Friday, lenders won't be as eager to respond to improvements in the bond market as usual...
Mortgage Rates Fall Back to Recent Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 26 2019, 4:31 PM

Mortgage rates recovered today after moving higher for the first time in nearly 2 weeks yesterday. In the bigger picture, rates have been in a back-and-forth pattern near long-term lows. Most of October and early November were spent with rates moving...
Mortgage Rates Higher to Start Holiday Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 25 2019, 4:08 PM

Mortgage rates finally moved a bit higher today after avoiding such things for nearly 2 full weeks. The losses were mild today, but nonetheless take the average lender back in line with rates from November 15th. This is more of a commentary on the narrowness...
Mortgage Rates Holding Near November Lows

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by Matthew Graham on November 22 2019, 5:34 PM

Mortgage rates ended their recent winning streak yesterday, but they have yet to try to get a losing streak started! In other words, rates bottomed out after a week and a half of improvement on Wednesday and they haven't really budged since then. This...
Mortgage Rates Steady Despite Bond Market Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on November 21 2019, 4:18 PM

Mortgage rates spent a 2nd day with the average lender holding relatively steady . This follows a decent winning streak over the previous week and a half with the net effect being at least an eighth of a percent (.125%) improvement on the average conventional...
Mortgage Rates Lowest Since Halloween

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by Matthew Graham on November 20 2019, 4:45 PM

Mortgage rates are in the midst of a winning streak of moderate size and duration. Specifically, rates have improved by at least an eighth of a percentage point for the average lender since the beginning of last week and have moved lower on all but one...
Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

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by Matthew Graham on November 19 2019, 3:29 PM

Mortgage rates had a great week last week and haven't done anything to jeopardize that so far this week. Today was the first time during these 2 weeks where rates have merely held steady as opposed to move lower. The recent winning streak requires a caveat...
Lowest Mortgage Rates in 2 Weeks

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by Matthew Graham on November 18 2019, 4:27 PM

Mortgage rates added to last week's improvement with another modest drop today. That brings the average lender to the best levels in exactly 2 weeks--a welcome change after hitting the highest levels in more than 3 months on Friday November 8th. US/China...
Much Better Week For Rates, But Bigger Picture Risks Remain

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by Matthew Graham on November 15 2019, 6:06 PM

Mortgage rates finished the week in much better territory compared to last Friday. Today only added modestly to that move, but the simple act of moving in a friendly direction feels like a major victory after coming toe to toe with the highest rates in...
Mortgage Rates Are Actually LOWER This Week

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by Matthew Graham on November 14 2019, 4:24 PM

Mortgage rates moved lower again today. Whereas it was a bit easier to be dismissive about recent improvements, they're starting to add up at this point. Granted, we're not talking about anything other than a return to the rates seen on November 6th,...

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