Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Push Farther Into 4-Year Highs

NOW Mortgage Rates Are at 4-Year Highs

Mortgage Rates Quickly Approaching 4-Year Highs

Mortgage Rates Jump to Highest Levels in About a Month

Mortgage Rates Inch Higher as Bonds Suggest More Trouble Ahead

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Rates Push Farther Into 4-Year Highs; Home Sales Unfazed by Headwinds; Home Price gains Likely to Continue

Published: 4/24/2018

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Mortgage Rates Push Farther Into 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2018, 4:26 PM

Mortgage rates moved somewhat higher again today, thus pushing them farther into the highest levels in more than 4 years. This isn't the result of anything that happened today, but rather an ongoing process whereby the bond market (which underlies rates...
NOW Mortgage Rates Are at 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2018, 4:49 PM

Mortgage rates moved markedly higher today, officially leaving them at new 4-year highs. The only other time they've earned that distinction this year was in February--NOT last week as all the major surveys claimed. To be clear, they were certainly close...
Mortgage Rates Quickly Approaching 4-Year Highs

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by Matthew Graham on April 20 2018, 2:18 PM

Let's clear one thing up before we begin. Freddie Mac, MBA, and Ellie Mae all noted new 4-year highs in mortgage rates this week. They are all technically wrong. This has to do with the way their data is collected and/or averaged. And while I have no...
Mortgage Rates Jump to Highest Levels in About a Month

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by Matthew Graham on April 19 2018, 4:35 PM

Mortgage rates jumped higher today as bonds continued a move away from narrow Springtime range seen in March and early April. Bonds dictate rate movement and yesterday saw the bond market make its first convincing attempt to break what had been a friendly...
Mortgage Rates Inch Higher as Bonds Suggest More Trouble Ahead

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2018, 3:25 PM

Mortgage rates moved higher today as bond markets continued a mildly weaker trend for the month of April. Bonds (which underlie rates) are under pressure for a variety of reasons. The most notable headwinds are longer-term and bigger-picture. Rates responded...
Modest Improvements For Mortgage Rates

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2018, 4:07 PM

Mortgage rates had a calm day. Lenders who had offered improved rate sheets yesterday afternoon didn't see much reason to drop rates any further today. Lenders who took a more conservative route yesterday ended up being a little better off. Although there...
Mortgage Rates Back to Unchanged After Starting Higher

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2018, 4:38 PM

Mortgage rates began the day at higher levels, as bond markets lost ground overnight. Bonds dictate rates, and "losing ground" means bond prices are falling. When bond prices fall, rates move higher. There's some chatter in the marketplace about developments...
Mortgage Rates Rise Despite Market Improvement

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by Matthew Graham on April 13 2018, 3:52 PM

Mortgage rates were slightly higher for most lenders today even though underlying bond markets suggested the opposite. This is partly a timing issue. Yesterday saw bond markets weaken throughout the day. Weaker bonds imply higher rates. After a certain...
Mortgage Rates Bounce Back

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by Matthew Graham on April 12 2018, 6:29 PM

A day after hitting the lowest levels in more than 2 months, mortgage rates bounced back up today. The good news is that they didn't land too far from yesterday's levels in the grand scheme of things, and are still technically closer to the bottom of...
Mortgage Rates Inch Down to 2-Month Lows

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by Matthew Graham on April 11 2018, 3:16 PM

Mortgage rates technically hit the lowest levels in 2 months today. The catch is that they were already pretty close and that today's improvement wasn't necessarily that big. In fact, most borrowers will see the same interest rate in today's quotes with...
Mortgage Rates Still Sideways Ahead of Key Inflation Data

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by Matthew Graham on April 10 2018, 4:21 PM

Mortgage rates were roughly unchanged again today. Some lenders were slightly higher in rate, but not enough to affect the average. Underlying bond markets (which dictate rates) have been eerily calm so far this week, ostensibly with an eye on tomorrow...
Mortgage Rates Mostly Steady, but Volatility Could Increase

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by Matthew Graham on April 09 2018, 4:40 PM

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly higher to begin the new week, depending on the lender. Even in cases where rates rose, the increase was modest at best. The lack of drama is consistent with the week's economic calendar which essentially had nothing...
Mortgage Rates Near 2-Month Lows After Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on April 06 2018, 4:49 PM

Mortgage rates moved back down to yesterday's levels after a much weaker read on job creation from the Labor Department. In general, weak economic data tends to push investors away from stocks and toward safer-haven assets like bonds. Excess bond-buying...
Mortgage Rates Edge Higher Ahead of Jobs Report

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by Matthew Graham on April 05 2018, 4:22 PM

Mortgage rates moved slightly higher today as trade war fears waned for financial markets. There's not a direct connection between trade issues and mortgage rates, but like any prominent financial news, there are usually only a few degrees of separation...
Mortgage Rates Still Solid Despite Warning Signs

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by Matthew Graham on April 04 2018, 3:56 PM

Mortgage rates were sideways to slightly lower today, depending on the lender. That presents something of an opportunity because underlying bond markets have been suggesting a move in the other direction over the past few days. In other words, the bonds...

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