New Repurchase Risk Tool; Foreign Buyers in Florida Paying Cash; HUD Changes Multi-state Rules
With two
business days left in this month, and companies scrambling to fund either high
balance loans or Streamline loans where rates have dropped enough to help the
borrowers, do loan officers still ask for a rush on files? Any underwriter who
doesn't mind listening to computer voices will find this sadly funny.
Repurchases continue to be a
potential financial liability for lenders. There is a new tool for assessing
repurchase risk, and it comes to the market from The Prieston Group. Called the TPG MOSA Lender Score, it uses the
TPG Enterprise Risk Management process to assess the quality of lender
infrastructure for a variety of applications such as insurance against rep and
warrant violations resulting in repurchase demands. And thus it gives lenders a
scorecard that, per the literature, gives lenders some predictive ability to
analyze their risk. A "focus on assessing a lender's process in originating
mortgage loans and their associated risks by leveraging years' worth of
experience in qualitatively assessing these processes and translating these
factors into a quantitative score." If you'd like to read the extensive
analysis of the methodology and reporting, write to Cliff Rossi at crossi@criskadvisors.com - it is
worthwhile for folks managing buyback risk for their companies.
Along
those lines, I always tell people that the mortgage business is originating the
cleanest, best documented paper perhaps in its history. But we're still paying
for, and the public sees headlines on, the sins of previous years. The
Treasury Department reported, "Mortgage
fraud reports by banks rose 88% last quarter as lenders were asked to take
back bad home loans sold to investors." Most of this, apparently, was due to
auditors combing through loan files closed in the past: 81% were from loans
funded before 2008! Without repurchase requests, mortgage fraud reports would
have slid 3%. See the whole story, and not just the headlines.
And not
even the Royal Bank of Scotland is
above being probed by the SEC about mortgage-related issues.
Continuing with the international flavor, who is buying a significant
percentage of homes in Florida? NAR, through the Miami Herald, reports that almost 25% of Florida homes sold last year
went to an international buyer. The report found that South Florida was a
top destination for foreign, non-U.S. resident, buyers versus 3% for the entire
nation. "Half of the international buyers planned to use the home as a vacation
home, while 21 percent planned to use it as an investment property. Four out of five used all cash for the
purchase."
You can't
pick up a newspaper without seeing news on banks. Banks own huge amounts of
mortgage-backed securities, and any large refi program that would allow people
with underwater homes to refinance through FNMA and FHLMC would negatively
impact banks' investment performance. The
"refinanceable" loans are in MBS's carried at high premiums, like 106 or 108,
and if they pay off the banks get hit with a 6 or 8 point loss. Damned if
we do and damned if we don't. And the Wall Street Journal reports that "the
Federal Reserve is taking a cautious stance with U.S. banks that have
approached it in recent weeks for permission to buy back more of their shares."
But it depends on an individual bank's capital situation, and some banks are
being told it is too early to use capital that way. Regulators want banks to meet already higher capital standards plus the
additional cushion being considered by the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision even after a buyback.
Turning to
the agencies, several changes to HUD & FHA's approved lender requirements
came out Friday in Mortgagee Letter 2011-34. Lenders took note of it in that in
the past FHA-approved lender branches were restricted by states where they were
able to operate. A licensed originator working for an FHA approved lender could
only do business in the state where his or her office was located and the
states that shared its borders. Now, however, with changes regarding the Single
Family Loan Origination Lending Area requirements, lenders are subject to the same rules as non-approved brokers, and can
operate in any state where they are licensed. In addition, approved
mortgagees may not engage in "net branching," and must pay all expenses
incurred in the operation of their home, branch and direct lending offices
directly. Expenses may not be paid by anyone but the approved mortgagee. It is
best to read it at: http://portal.hud.gov/hudportal/documents/huddoc?id=11-34ml.pdf.
HUD also recently
sent out two new FHA Mortgagee Letters,
one addressing the annual Mortgage Insurance Premium for loans with terms of 15
years or less and a LTV of 78% or less at origination, and the other the elimination
of HUD headquarters concurrence of affordable housing programs with borrowers
whose household income exceeds 115 percent of the area median income (AMI). Go here to
read these mortgagee letters and any attachments in their entirety.
Citi (#5 originator in the 2nd quarter) issued one
of its "Quality Flash's" on underwriting retirements accounts. This is
important, of course, given the number of folks who seem to be retiring (if
they can afford it). "We will accept loans for purchase where the borrower is
using funds from an individual retirement account (IRA/Keogh) and/or
tax-favored retirement savings account (401k) toward the down payment, closing
costs, and reserves. However, because there are severe penalties for early
withdrawal (before retirement age), only the net value, after any withdrawal
and/or tax penalties are deducted, may be considered in your underwriting
decision." Citi's update goes on. "No more than 60% of the face value should be
used to calculate the amount of funds available. Exception: 100% of the face
value can be used only if it can be verified the borrower will not be subject
to any penalties or taxes (e.g., if the borrower has already withdrawn the
funds and it can be verified in a bank account, or if a statement is obtained
from the borrower's CPA or accountant)." Funds should be verified, and the
bulletin discusses other aspects as well - as always, it is best to read the
bulletin for details.
With 10/1
around the corner, I received this note: "At Mutual of Omaha Bank, we already provide Jumbo mortgages (3/1 arm,
5/1 arm, 7/1 arm, 10/1 arm, and 15 year fixed rates) at up to 80% LTV to
$2,000,000. Jumbo loans are alive and well. Retail originations only
- not for wholesale or correspondent."
GMAC Bank (GMACB) Approved Wholesale
& Correspondent Clients were told that "Rhode Island House Bill 6103,
effective July 1, 2011, provides that in Rhode Island a party to a civil union
shall be entitled to the same legal obligations, responsibilities, protections
and benefits afforded or recognized by the law of Rhode Island to spouses.
Loans submitted to GMAC Bank for underwriting from states that allow civil
unions or registered domestic partners must contain either the Addendum to Residential
Mortgage Loan Application or a substantially similar form that identifies
whether each applicant is in a civil union or is a registered domestic partner."
Bank of America issued disaster updates from Tropical
Storm Lee and the wildfires in Pennsylvania and Texas respectively and also
told correspondents about TIL changes. "The Board is revising (the rule) to
clarify that creditors must disclosure the maximum possible rate that will
apply at any time during the first five years after the date on which the first
regular periodic payment will be due, rather than after consummation. Effective
with applications taken on and after October 1, 2011, Clients must adhere to
this new interim rule for loans delivered to Correspondent Lending for
purchase."
Rates are
hanging in there, enough so that yesterday the 5-year note auction was well bid,
with a bid-to-cover ratio the best since May. "The 5-year auction stopped at
1.015%." In other words, tie up your money for 5 years and earn 1% the entire
time. Ouch! But that is where rates are. The Dow closed down 1.6%, while 10-year notes were marked .125 higher
and closed around 2.00%. Originator supply was reportedly below Tuesday's
$3+ billion dump, but remained elevated at around $2.5 billion and MBS prices
closed higher by about .125.
This
morning we had the final report on 2nd quarter GDP: +1.3%, which is
pretty much old news. Perhaps more importantly Jobless Claims dropped to 391k,
the lowest level since early April. Two reports are also out at 10:00: Pending
Home Sales Index (Aug), which is expected to deteriorate to -1.8 from -1.3, and
Freddie Mac's weekly mortgage rate survey (w/e 9/29). In the early going rates are basically unchanged from Wednesday's
close.
The tribal wisdom of the Lakota Sioux, passed on from generation to generation,
says that, "When you discover that you are riding a dead horse, the best
strategy is to dismount."
However, in government, education, and in corporate America, more advanced
strategies are often employed, such as:
1. Buying a stronger whip.
2. Changing riders.
3. Appointing a committee to study the horse.
4. Arranging to visit other countries to see how other cultures ride dead
horses.
5. Lowering the standards so that dead horses can be included.
6. Reclassifying the dead horse as living-impaired.
7. Hiring outside contractors to ride the dead horse.
8. Harnessing several dead horses together to increase speed.
9. Providing additional funding and/or training to increase dead horse's
performance.
10. Doing a productivity study to see if lighter riders would improve the dead
horse's performance.
11. Declaring that as the dead horse does not have to be fed, it is less
costly, carries lower overhead and therefore contributes
substantially more to the bottom line of the economy than do some other horses.
12. Rewriting the expected performance requirements for all horses.
And of course the most common:
13. Promoting the dead horse to a supervisory position.
If you're interested, visit my
twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web site located at www.stratmorgroup.com. The current blog takes a look at the recent news concerning
REIT's, and the possible tax implications. If you have both the time and
inclination, make a comment on what I have written, or on other comments
so that folks can learn what's going on out there from the other readers.