FICO Scores & Strategic Defaults; Older Vintage Jumbo RMBS Downgraded; Call Report Q&A; Industry Jobs
In terms
of powerful world figures, how does the FDIC's Sheila Bair stack up against
Lady Gaga or Katie Couric? ForbesList
For the 1st quarter,
the big four banks originated a combined $186 billion in residential mortgages,
down 33% from the $281 billion home loans written in the previous
quarter, according to their financial statements. Servicing costs were up, each
bank still has hundreds of millions of dollars in reserves for buybacks on
defaulted loans, and thousands of full-time and part-time jobs were eliminated.
Wells Fargo did $84 billion (down from $128 billion in the 4th
quarter), BofA did $52 billion (down from $81 billion), JPMorgan
Chase totaled $36 billion (down from $51 billion), and Citi did $14
billion (down from $22 billion in the fourth quarter). However, compared to the
1st quarter of 2010, Wells, Chase, and Citi were all up, with only
BofA dropping (from $67 billion last year).
But good loan officers continue
to be in high demand. For example, Advantage Mortgage, a Mortgage
Banker/Broker licensed in 16 states, is looking for retail LO's in CA,
CO, CT, FL, GA, HI, ID, MA, MD, NM, NV, OR, PA, TX, UT, and WA. Advantage is
headquartered in Irvine, CA, but also has branches in Hawaii, Nevada, and
Texas, and is looking for a Qualified Employee (Manager) in each of its
Nevada and Texas branches, along with an Operations Manager and
processors in Irvine. The company has been around since 2003, is a Direct
lender for Conventional and VA loans, approved with all lenders for FHA, Jumbo,
Homepath, USDA, Commercial and portfolio products. If anyone out there is
looking, or if you know someone who is, check them out at Advantage and click
on Careers or email a resume to resume@advmortgage.net.
In Illinois, Home State
Mortgage Group is searching for retail LO's in the NW Suburban
Chicago area, along with a recruiter/HR person in its headquarters. The lender
is part of Home State Bank (Illinois), and together they've been around over 90
years. For more information visit their website at HomeState and click
on "Mortgage Center", and if you're looking for a new opportunity, or
know someone that is, contact Jim Sorenson at jsorenson@homestateonline.com.
And in Colorado, Peoples
Mortgage, owned by Peoples National Bank, is looking for loan
officers in Colorado, although the company, being a bank with a Federal
Charter, has no licensing required at the bank's LO level, and can lend in all
50 states. (A Federal chart exempts LO's from state licensing, but not, in the
soon future, NMLS.) If you're interested in People's e-mail Jeff Garman at Jgarman@epeoples.com
or call 1-866-573-9662 for inquires.
The flow of regional bank earnings continued through the end of last week, with
PNC's net income coming in more than expected at $3.63mm, up 15% from
the same period last year. NIM (net interest margin) was stable on flat loan
growth and most of the improvement came from lower non-performing assets. No
loan growth was reported. BB&T reported a 21% increase in earnings
to $234mm, or slightly higher than expected. NIM and loan growth were largely
unchanged from the quarter before and most of the earnings came from a 40% drop
in provisions. Cap One posted profit that was 60% higher at $1B on
better credit card recoveries and lower charge offs. 5th 3rd said net income
rose to $265mm from a $10mm loss from a year earlier and SunTrust posted
a $38mm gain compared to a loss of $229mm a year earlier. Both 5th 3rd and
SunTrust had improvement due to better credit quality.
In the past, the setting of
jumbo loan rates was much more dependent on where the jumbo residential
mortgage-backed securities traded. Now, prices are primarily set based on a
spread to the investor's cost of funds. Still, it is important to see what is
happening with the price of existing jumbo securities, and it is not good news:
JumboGrading.
The California Mortgage Bankers
Association continues to host its Mortgage Quality and Compliance Committee
presentations. Inside or outside of California the presentation is free, with
the next webinar being this Thursday the 28th at 11AM PST. It will
cover an "Overview of the NMLS Call Report" which includes
what is expected/who needs to submit these reports, implementation of receiving
reports and uploading capability by company, requirements of various reports
(i.e. broker vs. banker), and what are some of the false rumors about the Call
Report? For more details or how to get set up to "attend,"
contact Susan DeMars at susan@cmba.com.
The folks at FICO Labs are
coming out with a new way to predict the likelihood a borrower will default,
even if they can afford their mortgage. Predicting strategic defaults is the
goal, with a strategic default being where borrowers, who can afford their
monthly mortgage payment, opt not to pay it - often because they owe more on
the home than it is worth. FICO Labs believes that the strategic default
borrower is one with a reputable credit score, low levels of revolving credit,
little retail balance and a short occupancy in their current residence. By
these characteristics, the strategic borrower is money conscious, has a low
probability of past defaults and has little attachment to their property. FICO
reports that borrowers whose homes lost the most value are only twice as likely
to default as those who lost the least value. And just how much impact does
a short sale or foreclosure have on FICO scores? Apparently the magnitude
of the impact is highly dependent on the starting score, but there's no
significant difference in score impact between short
sale/deed-in-lieu/settlement and foreclosure. FICOStudy.
LO compensation issues continue
to be questioned. "I continue to believe that Congress and the President
do not understand the industry, so their efforts to place preventive measures
end up being overkill. This has turned very abusive to borrowers and in my
opinion will be very detrimental to the housing recovery. I was here when
TIL and RESPA came into existence. But removing the right to determine one's
compensation for labor creates several problems. First, this is a
socialistic idea, not an idea this country's ideals are based upon.
Second, there is no data showing compensation caused harm to consumers any more
than not getting the best price for new car or consistently paying more for a
gallon of milk at a convenience store. Third, compensation has nothing to do
with value provided - in the mortgage industry different investors and
wholesalers will price the same product differently. Shouldn't the borrower
benefit from this? Fourth, loan scenarios are all as different as fingerprints,
and some take much more time and expertise to close. Pricing flexibility
allows the originator to be compensated for their time and expertise in helping
these borrowers and provides value to a buyer who otherwise would continue to
rent. Should a roofing company be paid the same for every roof it
replaces? Fifth, it prevents lenders and originators from reducing their
fees preventing their ability to deliver the best customer experience by
preventing them from paying rate lock extension fees, appraisal inspection
fees, or any number of concessions that need to be made for the consumer in
their loan process."
The bond market closed early on
Thursday, and was closed on Friday - often not a great environment for anyone
needing to lock in a loan. And indeed today we find rates slightly better
than Thursday's closing prices. We have an above average amount of scheduled
economic news this week, starting with New Home Sales today and Consumer
Confidence tomorrow. Wednesday may be a little more interesting with Durable
Goods and the FOMC statement (released at 12:30PM) and the first post-FOMC
press conference from Chairman Bernanke (2:15PM EST) along with $99 billion of
Treasury supply hitting the market (Tues through Thursday). Thursday we'll see
the advanced Q1 GDP report & Pending Home Sales, and on Friday Personal
Income & Consumption for March, along with the Employment Cost Index,
Chicago Purchasing Manager's Survey, and the Michigan Sentiment numbers. FULL ECONOMIC AND EVENTS CALENDAR
A man is driving along a highway and sees a rabbit jump out across
the middle of the road. He swerves to avoid hitting it, but unfortunately the
rabbit jumps right in front of the car. The driver, a sensitive man as well as
an animal lover, pulls over and gets out to see what has become of the rabbit.
Much to his dismay, the rabbit is dead. The driver feels so awful that he
begins to cry.
A beautiful blonde woman driving down the highway sees a man crying on the side
of the road and pulls over. She steps out of the car and asks the man what's
wrong.
"I feel terrible, "he explains, "I accidentally hit this rabbit
and killed it."
The blonde says, "Don't worry."
She runs to her car and pulls out a spray can. She walks over to the limp, dead
rabbit, bends down, and sprays the contents onto the rabbit.
The rabbit jumps up, waves its paw at the two of them and hops off down the
road.
Ten feet away the rabbit stops, turns around and waves again, he hops down the
road another 10 feet, turns and waves, hops another ten feet, turns and waves,
and repeats this again and again and again, until he hops out of sight.
The man is astonished.
He runs over to the woman and demands, "What is in that can? What did you
spray on that rabbit?"
The woman turns the can around so that the man can read the label. It says..
"Hair Spray - Restores life to dead hair, and adds permanent wave."