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  • Fri, Dec 14 2018
  • 3:00 PM » ECB Officials See Deeper Uncertainty as Euro-Zone Economy Cools
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 3:00 PM by Bloomberg
    ECB Officials See Deeper Uncertainty as Euro-Zone Economy Cools    Bloomberg European Central Bank officials acknowledged deepening uncertainty over the euro-area outlook as they addressed market expectations that they won't be able ...
  • 1:53 PM » California Needs a Housing Revolution
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 1:53 PM by Bloomberg
    California Needs a Housing Revolution    Bloomberg Living space is scarce, rents sky-high, and homelessness pervasive in the Golden State. It doesn't have to stay that way.
  • 1:00 PM » No Happy New Year for Central Banks Fretting on 2019 Outlook
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 1:00 PM by Bloomberg
    No Happy New Year for Central Banks Fretting on 2019 Outlook    Bloomberg Central bankers' concerns about the coming year were on display on Thursday as they warned the global economy could be entering a period of great ...
  • 12:34 PM » Some of the hottest housing markets are falling hardest, as bidding wars bid goodbye
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 12:34 PM by CNBC
    Home sales have slowed to a crawl nationally, and it's not just the winter temperatures. The market's pulse has become weaker, especially in areas that were hottest just last spring. In November, just 32 percent of offers written by Redfin, a real estate brokerage, saw multiple offers. That is down from 45 percent in November of last year.
  • 12:06 PM » N.Y. Fed's U.S. fourth-quarter GDP growth holds near 2.4 percent
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 12:06 PM by Reuters
    The U.S. economy is growing at a 2.42 percent pace in the fourth quarter as stronger-than-expected November data on industrial output offset the steepest drop in import prices in over three years last month, the New York Federal Reserve's Nowcast model showed on Friday.
  • 11:33 AM » U.S. consumer spending strengthening in boost to economy
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 11:33 AM by Reuters
    U.S. consumer spending gathered momentum in November as households bought furniture, electronics and a range of other goods, which could further allay fears of a significant slowdown in the American economy even as the outlook overseas continued to darken.
  • 9:51 AM » Industrial Production Increased 0.6% in November
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 9:51 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial production rose 0.6 percent in November after moving down 0.2 percent in October; the index for October was previously reported to have edged up 0.1 percent. In November, manufacturing production was unchanged, the output of mining increased 1.7 percent, and the index for utilities gained 3.3 percent. At 109.4 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 3.9 percent higher in November than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector rose 0.4 percentage point in November to 78.5 percent , a rate that is 1.3 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2017) average. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows Capacity Utilization. This series is up 11.8 percentage points from the record low set in June 2009 (the series starts in 1967). Capacity utilization at 78.5% is 1.3% below the average from 1972 to 2017 and below the pre-recession level of 80.8% in December 2007. Note: y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the change. The second graph shows industrial production since 1967. Industrial production increased in November to 109.4. This is 26% above the recession low, and 4% above the pre-recession peak. The increase in industrial production was above the consensus forecast, however the previous months were revised down.  Capacity utilization was at consensus.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 8:53 AM » Retail Sales increased 0.2% in November
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 8:53 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.2 percent from October to November (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 4.2 percent from November 2017. From the Census Bureau report : Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for November 2018, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $513.5 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent from the previous month, and 4.2 percent above November 2017. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline). Retail sales ex-gasoline were up 0.5% in November. The second graph shows the year-over-year change in retail sales and food service (ex-gasoline) since 1993. Retail and Food service sales, ex-gasoline, increased by 3.6% on a YoY basis. The increase in November was slightly above expectations; sales in September were revised down, revised up in October.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 8:31 AM » U.S. recession risks jump, Fed rate hike expectations slump
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 8:31 AM by Reuters
    U.S. recession risks jump, Fed rate hike expectations slump - Reuters poll
  • 8:04 AM » Trump Attacks on Fed Could Backfire, Boosting Powell's Support
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 8:04 AM by Bloomberg
    Trump Attacks on Fed Could Backfire, Boosting Powell's Support    Bloomberg President Donald Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve may hold a silver lining for Chairman Jerome Powell: preserving unity among colleagues who can ...
  • 8:03 AM » Treasury yields fall as Chinese data disappoints; traders look ahead to Fed meeting
    Published Fri, Dec 14 2018 8:03 AM by CNBC
    U.S. government debt prices rose on Friday as traders digested fresh economic data out of China and looked ahead to next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
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