9:40 PM » Want a Stronger Economic Recovery? Encourage More Home Refinancing
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In last week’s State of the Union address, President Obama urged Congress to pass legislation that would help more homeowners refinance. Much of the policy focus in this area has been on proposals that would modify the government’s Home Affordable Refinance Program , which helps borrowers with loans insured by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. However, other proposals would go further, such as one that is reportedly being developed to facilitate the refinancing of mortgage loans that are not backed by the government. Finding ways to encourage refinancing is good policy. The Federal Reserve has done its part: Its asset purchase programs have helped to lower long-term interest rates to historically low levels. The interest rate on new 30-year fixed-rate mortgages is now around 3.5 percent, down from more than 6 percent prior to the financial crisis. Yet, many homeowners appear to have been blocked from refinancing into lower-rate mortgages. Indeed, data from the Commerce Department suggest that the average home mortgage has an interest rate of around 5 percent right now—much higher than the rate available on new loans. One reason to promote refinancing is that the families that would be helped would tend to be among those less-advantaged and harder hit by the economic slump. Many of the proposals target “under water” homeowners (those with mortgages that are larger than the value of their homes) that are still current on their loans, because these people have had particular difficulty refinancing their mortgages. Based on the 2010 Survey of Consumer Finances , I calculate that median financial assets and median liquid financial assets in this group were only about half as high as the medians for all homeowners. A greater share had experienced job loss over the preceding year (22 percent versus 15 percent), and the median ratio of required debt service payments to before-tax income for this group, at 0.31, was close to double that...