11:16 AM » CoreLogic Reports Shadow Inventory as of January 2012 Remains Flat
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- For Every Two Homes Available for Sale, There Is One in the "Shadow" - CoreLogic (NYSE: CLGX) , a leading provider of information, analytics and business services, reported today that the current residential shadow inventory as of January 2012 was 1.6 million units (6-months' supply), approximately the same level reported in October 2011 . On a year-over-year basis, shadow inventory was down from January 2011, when it stood at 1.8 million units, or 8-months' supply. Currently, the flow of new seriously delinquent (90 days or more) loans into the shadow inventory has been offset by the roughly equal flow of distressed sales (short and real estate owned). "Almost half of the shadow inventory is not yet in the foreclosure process," said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. "Shadow inventory also remains concentrated in states impacted by sharp price declines and states with long foreclosure timelines." "The shadow inventory remains persistent even though many other metrics of the housing market show signs of improvements. In some hard-hit markets the demand for REO and distressed property is now outstripping supply. As we move into what is traditionally the peak selling season for real estate, servicers will certainly be watching closely to see if now is the time to move more inventory out of the shadows," said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO for CoreLogic. CoreLogic estimates the current stock of properties in the shadow inventory, also known as pending supply, by calculating the number of distressed properties not currently listed on multiple listing services (MLSs) that are seriously delinquent, in foreclosure and real estate owned (REO) by lenders. Transition rates of "delinquency to foreclosure" and "foreclosure to REO" are used to identify the currently distressed non-listed properties most likely to become REO properties. Properties that are not yet delinquent, but may become delinquent...