4:26 PM » Behind the Numbers: More Ho-Hum for Housing
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To get the full experience of this page, please upgrade your Tuesday’s housing data show that things remain tough for both the new and existing markets as they continue limping towards recovery. Still, the downtrodden home builders received glimmers of hope: Inventory is down and prices are up. Early Tuesday, the closely-watched , which measures resales in major metro areas, showed that May’s home prices edged up about 1% when compared to a month earlier. It would be easy to get excited. But, , when adjusted for seasonal factors, the 10-city figure edged up just 0.1%, while the 20-city index came in flat. And when compared with a year earlier, prices fell 3.6% and 4.5%, respectively. That means that price stabilization – essential for the market to begin healing itself – remains elusive. Associated Press
A home under construction in Portland, Ore. New-home sales, meanwhile, slipped to 312,000 June from 315,000 in May, disappointing economists who were looking for a 328,000 annual rate. The miss weighed on home builder stocks with none trading in positive territory Tuesday afternoon: Beazer Homes USA fell 2%, while Meritage Homes Corp. was down 1.3%. Still, the seasonally adjusted estimate of new homes for sale at the end of June came in at 164,000. According to J.P. Morgan, new-home inventory is 71% below its July 2006 peak, showing builders have done a good job of selling excess inventory – even if they had to slash prices – and curbing overbuilding. Median prices meanwhile, climbed 7.2% from a year earlier to $235,000. To be sure, that could just be a “function of who is buying rather than any tightness or improvement in market conditions,” Nomura writes in a research note. Here’s what industry watchers think about both reports: Ellen Zentner and Aichi Amemiya, economists, Nomura : “Tighter lending standards and widespread expectations of further declines in home values have been depressing home sales on a larger scale than we had expected. In addition, the larger...