10:22 PM » American banks: It takes two to tango
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Are America’s banks prepared to sell their toxic assets? AMERICA’S government is a willing buyer of bad assets, but are its banks willing sellers? If a lender flogs a loan or security for less than the value at which it is booked on its balance-sheet, it suffers a loss, depleting its capital. It follows that if banks’ carrying values are still above those that state-sponsored bidders want to pay, they will not sell voluntarily. Just how optimistic are banks’ books? Two-thirds of the Treasury scheme’s purchasing power will be directed towards legacy loans. America’s ten biggest banks had plenty of these—$3.6 trillion at the end of 2008, or about a third of their assets. However by global convention loans are not marked to market, but carried at cost and impaired gradually. Some categories of risky loans, for example to private-equity firms, have been written down. But the vast majority of loans have not. In aggregate the carrying value of the top-ten banks’ loan books was 3% above the market price in December. That gap may not seem much, but it amounts to over $110 billion; if it were crystallised, it would wipe out a quarter of these banks’ tangible common equity, their purest form of capital. The loss is also likely to be concentrated on the dodgiest loans, making them hard to sell. ...