Register or Sign in        Email This Page     Link To This Page    
Visit MND at MBA in NYC!
33,877
# of User Comments
 

Send Article via Email

REGISTERED USERS (Free!):
Can forward to 6 email addresses at a time. Register or Login

Registered users also get the additional advantage of Co-branded Emails and Landing Pages. Learn more about these features.

Your Name: 
Your Email: 
I want to forward this to
(Enter Email Address Below) :
Include a Personal Message (optional)

Please add 5 and 6 and type the answer here:
Leave this field blank.
Email Preview Below:
This feature is now 100% free. Learn More About Co-branded Email and our other Co-branded Services.
 
This email was sent to you by:
Harry Chriest |
Mortgage News Daily

Message:   YOUR MESSAGE HERE
Email alerts, such as this one, are a free service provided by Mortgage News Daily. If you would like to receive an alert when important news breaks please register to join our community.
Bond Markets Weaker After Durable Goods Data, Lower Continued Claims
Posted to: Micro News
Thursday, April 24, 2014 8:58 AM

Forward this email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

Treasuries were slightly weaker overnight, holding flat during Asian market hours and rising in yield during the European session.  The 8:30am economic data hasn't helped.

Even though Jobless Claims were higher than expected, markets are focusing more on the big beat in Durable Goods as well as a drop in the level of ongoing jobless claims (the headline number is just "initial claims."  Here's a breakdown of both:

Jobless Claims

  • 329k vs 310k forecast
  • Continued Claims 2.68 mln vs 2.75 mln forecast
  • Thoughts on share of market movement: 5/10.  If we break this down by Initial vs Continued Claims, the focus is more on the latter, which is negative for bond markets, though the rise in the former may be acting to restrain bigger selling pressure.  Even then, some of the rise in the initial number is being chalked up to the holiday week, which doesn't make much sense, but is being talked about nonetheless.

Durable Goods

  • +2.6 in March vs +2.0 forecast
  • Biggest rise since November
  • Excluding Transportation +2.0, biggest rise since January 2013
  • Thoughts on share of market movement: 5/10. The combination of a strong Durables report and the drop in continued claims makes for a 'two against one' fight against a Jobless Claims headline that's not excessively weak to begin with.  The selling makes sense and the silver lining is that market movement is at least connecting more directly with economic data.

So far, 10yr yields are up 4bps at 2.724.  That's 12 ticks in terms of price.  MBS, meanwhile, are only down 3 ticks so far with Fannie 4.0s at 104-05.  There is no other significant data this morning, but Treasury auctions wrap up this afternoon with 7yr Notes at 1pm.




More from MND:

 

If you would like to opt-out of receiving email forwards from this person please click here to remove your email address.

Forward this email:  Send a copy of this story to someone you know that may want to read it.

 

More From MND

Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 3.95%
  • |
  • 15 Yr FRM 3.13%
  • |
  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.90%
MBS Prices:
Recent Housing Data:
  • Mortgage Apps 11.56%
  • |
  • Refinance Index 23.29%
  • |
  • FHFA Home Price Index 0.67%