This email was sent to you by: Anonymous |
|
Mortgage News Daily
|
Message: YOUR MESSAGE HERE |
Email alerts, such as this one, are a
free service provided by Mortgage News Daily. If you would like to receive an alert when
important news breaks please
register to join our community.
MBS MID-DAY: Testing Support
MBSonMND: MBS MID-DAY
|
Open MBSonMND Dashboard
|
FNMA 3.5
94-30 : -0-02
|
FNMA 4.0
98-30 : -0-01
|
FNMA 4.5
101-32 : -0-02
|
FNMA 5.0
104-18 : -0-03
|
|
GNMA 3.5
95-29 : -0-02
|
GNMA 4.0
100-16 : +0-01
|
GNMA 4.5
103-11 : -0-02
|
GNMA 5.0
105-30 : -0-03
|
|
FHLMC 3.5
94-23 : -0-02
|
FHLMC 4.0
98-25 : -0-01
|
FHLMC 4.5
101-25 : -0-02
|
FHLMC 5.0
104-12 : -0-03
|
|
|
Pricing as of 11:01 AM EST
|
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBSonMND Dashboard
.
10:54AM :
Benchmark Support Holding, Leads to some MBS Improvements
Benchmark 10yr notes are finding some support at a pivot point just above 3.34. Yields are currently at 3.3355. MBS are near their best levels of the day, now down only 3 ticks at 101-31. This should ease the weakness of the rate sheets not yet out this morning, but further gains would be needed for lenders already out with pricing to consider repricing for the better. Likely 102-02 would be needed, or extended stability at current levels or above.
10:05AM :
FHFA Home Price Index Shows Continuing Declines
U.S. house prices declined 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from December to January, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly House Price Index. The previously reported 0.3 percent decrease in December was revised downward to a 1.0 percent decrease. For the 12 months ending in January, U.S. prices fell 3.9 percent. The U.S. index is 16.5 percent below its April 2007 peak and roughly the same as the May 2004 index level. The FHFA monthly index is calculated using purchase prices of houses backing mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. For the nine Census Divisions, seasonally adjusted monthly price changes from December to January ranged from -1.3 percent in the Mountain and South Atlantic Divisions to +1.6 percent in the West South Central Division. The overall index now stands at its lowest level since May 2004
10:02AM :
Richmond Fed Composite Index +20 in March vs. +25 in February
* RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING SHIPMENTS INDEX +23 IN MARCH VS +29 IN FEB * RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING SHIPMENTS INDEX +23 IN MARCH VS +29 IN FEB * FED'S PIANALTO SAYS EXPECTS US RECOVERY TO CONTINUE AT A MODERATE PACE
* PIANALTO SAYS EXPECTS INFLATION PRESSURE FROM COMMODITIES, ENERGY TO BE TRANSITORY
* PIANALTO-EXPECT ECONOMY TO EXPAND AT SLIGHTLY ABOVE-AVERAGE GROWTH RATE OF ABOUT 3 PCT A YEAR
* PIANALTO-EXPECT UNDERLYING TREND IN BROAD CONSUMER PRICES TO RISE GRADUALLY TOWARD 2 PCT BY 2013
* PIANALTO- SHARP RISE IN ENERGY COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH UNREST IN MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA A KEY RISK FACING THE ECONOMY
8:31AM :
Highlights From Fed's Fisher : U.S. HOUSING SECTOR IS GOING TO BE DEPRESSED FOR QUITE SOME TIME
FED'S FISHER - WE ARE SEEING NOW THAT FREE MONEY ENCOURAGES SPECULATION* DOUBT THAT ROLE OF U.S. DOLLAR IS GOING TO CHANGE * U.S. HOUSING SECTOR IS GOING TO BE DEPRESSED FOR QUITE SOME TIME *Today 05:33 - FED'S FISHER - EXPECT GROWTH OF ABOUT 3.5 PCT THIS YEAR IN U.S. * FISCAL CONSOLIDATION IS GOING TO BE VERY PAINFUL
8:23AM :
Gaddafi Continues Attacks on Rebel Towns
(Reuters) - Forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi attacked two Libyan towns on Tuesday after a third night of air raids on Tripoli, but the Western campaign faced questions over the future of its command structure. With anti-Gaddafi rebels struggling to create a command structure that can capitalize on the air strikes against Libyan tanks and air defenses, Western nations have still to decide who will run the operation once Washington pulls back. The United States will cede control of the air assault in days, President Barack Obama said, even as divisions in Europe fueled speculation that Washington would be forced to continue leadership of air patrols to replace the initial bombardment. "We anticipate this transition to take place in a matter of days and not in a matter of weeks," Obama, facing questions at home about the U.S. military getting bogged down in a third Muslim country, told a news conference on a visit to Chile. In the latest fighting on Tuesday, Gaddafi forces used tanks to shell the rebel-held western city of Misrata and casualties included four children killed when the car they were traveling in was hit, residents told Reuters. The death toll on Monday had reached 40, they said. "The situation here is very bad. Tanks started shelling the town this morning," a resident, called Mohammed, told Reuters by telephone from outside the city's hospital, adding: "Snipers are taking part in the operation too. A civilian car was destroyed killing four children on board, the oldest is aged 13 years."
8:02AM :
New MBS Commentary Post
The Day Ahead: Focused on Developing Events Abroad
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBSonMND Dashboard
.
Adam Quinones : "CNN is doing a good job of updating us on the status of Fukushima reactors: http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/22/japan.reactors.status/"
Matthew Graham : "And you're absolutely right, if we stay under 3.34 for a bit, or break a bit lower (in order to confirm the break), we would indeed hope for support from 3.34 to stand against any selling pressure, but note I say "HOPE." It's not something you'd want to make bets on, but is slightly more likely based on precedent. "
Adam Quinones : "no need to reinvent the wheel in my opinion. from that perspective the "good bank/bad bank" scenario is possible. All those non-performing assets need a resolution authority of some sort."
Matthew Graham : "oh, you mean, breaking it bullishly Oliver, I gotcha"
Andy Pada : "AQ, so I know we've hinted/teased about this before, but it seems to me that one of the GSE will end up being the MCGE; no need for two. Or is it possible that it will default to HUD?"
Matthew Graham : "3.34 broken?"
Oliver S. Orlicki : "3.34 broken, looking for support here...correct?"
Adam Quinones : "that goes to show you Andy...private investors need some sort of credit guarantee. "
Adam Quinones : ""The centerpiece of federal support for the secondary mortgage market should be a new line of mortgagebacked
securities. Each security would have two components: a) a security-level, federal governmentguaranteed
“wrap” (GG) like that on a GNMA security; which would in turn be backed by b) private,
loan-level guarantees from privately owned, government-chartered and regulated mortgage credit-guarantor
entities (MCGEs). The GG would be conceptually similar to the Ginnie Mae model and would guarant"
Adam Quinones : "Obama's White Paper on GSEs closely resembles the ideas offered up by the MBA"
Adam Quinones : "RECOMMENDED READING ANDY: http://www.mortgagebankers.org/files/Advocacy/2009/RecommendationsfortheFutureGovernmentRole.pdf"
Adam Quinones : "5-7 years?"
Adam Quinones : "when Andy?"
Andy Pada : "AQ, In light of all the political and real reform sentiment surrounding the GSEs, can we assume that HUD and FHA loans will be the only "government supported" loan product?"
Adam Quinones : "Issuance for Ginnie Mae II single-family pools totaled over $16.44 billion in February. Issuance for the Ginnie Mae I single-family pools topped $7.62 billion and issuance for the HECM Mortgage-Backed Security (HMBS) was more than $891 million in February. Total single-family issuance for February was more than $24.96 billion. Ginnie Mae’s multifamily MBS issuance was over $1.25 billion."
Adam Quinones : "The Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae) announced that it has guaranteed more than $26.2 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in February."
Adam Quinones : "GN bonds are backed by explicit government guarantee"
ENG : "aq/mg: is there an MND article regarding Ginnie mae's holdings? are GN bonds completely private? "
Aaron Meyer : "Cash window is down .3795 from yesterday"
Chris Kopec : "5/3 is down about 50bp from yesterday's 1st rate sheet"
Andrew Horowitz : "Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf said limits the Fed has imposed on fees charged to merchants for debit-card transactions "make no sense" and distort free-market economics.
"
Mike Drews : "Wells is out...about a .25 worse"
Matthew Graham : "So I can either say "a band of yields centered on x.xx" or I can say "x.xx is the pivot" and the audience can assume that, for strategic/long term purposes, surrounding yields are part of the same technical movement."
Matthew Graham : "This can happen when LONG TERM technicals are in play... We get these "bands" or yields (or "zones" if you prefer) that see more "noise" in general than other yields. But that noise is usually a phenomenon seen on shorter interval charts (tick, 1 min, 5 min) and when zoomed out for more strategic views (hourly, daily, weekly) the central pivot point becomes more clear."
Matthew Graham : "the thing about pivots, etc in the bond market right now is that things are very stratified and distribution around pivots has been a bit random at times"
Matthew Graham : "got my eye on 3.36+ as a pre-earthquake high yield, 3.40 with big technical importance, 3.34 as a support level for any bullish turn of events, then 3.30 as big-time resistance yesterday and beyond."
Oliver S. Orlicki : "what are our pivots today?"
Aaron Meyer : "That article is a must read for everyone in here"
Adam Quinones : "pls see excess reserves in banking system: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/blog/201327.aspx"
Matthew Graham : "MND's AQ to FED's FISHER: "Please tell me where to find this free money. Kindest Regards, AQ.""
Matthew Graham : "now THAT'S priceless"
Adam Quinones : "pls tell me where to find this free money"
Matthew Graham : "yes, one of the more fortified pillboxes on the steep slope of destiny"
JTB : "Hmmm...3.34...isn't this our strong hold?"
Matthew Graham : "that's just the thing.... the extent to which the housing market matters to the recovery is STILL a topic of debate, and everyone's just guessing (some better supported than others)"
JTB : "When they say Housing is a drag, but will not slow recovery...how does that work? One, who thinks there's another 10% to drop nationally in values? What happens when BofA ramps up foreclosures again? "
Matthew Graham : "or if he's legitimately concerned about underlying spending and budget"
Matthew Graham : "wonder if it was a "no duh" comment that included temporary fiscal measures in the brilliant little analysis "
Matthew Graham : "I hope there's a video out on Fisher, I want to know what he means by the current fiscal path making us insolvent"
John Rodgers : "he's priceless"
Victor Burek : "wonder how much a AQ would cost?"
JTB : ""Free Money encourages speculation" What?"
Matthew Graham : "Fed's Fisher updates added - CTRL +F5 to update new content"
Adam Quinones : "idk wikipedia says $31 million but I find that number a bit low."
Dean Gorenflo : "new or used?"
Adam Quinones : "guess how much an F-15E costs...."
More from MND:
If you would like to opt-out of receiving email forwards from this person please click here to remove your email address.
This email was sent to you by:
|
Mortgage News Daily
|
|
Anonymous Loan Representative University Mortgage Hackensack NJ 07601 |
(201) 820-4420 |
Message:
YOUR MESSAGE HERE
MBS MID-DAY: Testing Support
MBSonMND: MBS MID-DAY
|
Open MBSonMND Dashboard
|
FNMA 3.5
94-30 : -0-02
|
FNMA 4.0
98-30 : -0-01
|
FNMA 4.5
101-32 : -0-02
|
FNMA 5.0
104-18 : -0-03
|
|
GNMA 3.5
95-29 : -0-02
|
GNMA 4.0
100-16 : +0-01
|
GNMA 4.5
103-11 : -0-02
|
GNMA 5.0
105-30 : -0-03
|
|
FHLMC 3.5
94-23 : -0-02
|
FHLMC 4.0
98-25 : -0-01
|
FHLMC 4.5
101-25 : -0-02
|
FHLMC 5.0
104-12 : -0-03
|
|
|
Pricing as of 11:01 AM EST
|
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBSonMND Dashboard
.
10:54AM :
Benchmark Support Holding, Leads to some MBS Improvements
Benchmark 10yr notes are finding some support at a pivot point just above 3.34. Yields are currently at 3.3355. MBS are near their best levels of the day, now down only 3 ticks at 101-31. This should ease the weakness of the rate sheets not yet out this morning, but further gains would be needed for lenders already out with pricing to consider repricing for the better. Likely 102-02 would be needed, or extended stability at current levels or above.
10:05AM :
FHFA Home Price Index Shows Continuing Declines
U.S. house prices declined 0.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from December to January, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s monthly House Price Index. The previously reported 0.3 percent decrease in December was revised downward to a 1.0 percent decrease. For the 12 months ending in January, U.S. prices fell 3.9 percent. The U.S. index is 16.5 percent below its April 2007 peak and roughly the same as the May 2004 index level. The FHFA monthly index is calculated using purchase prices of houses backing mortgages that have been sold to or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. For the nine Census Divisions, seasonally adjusted monthly price changes from December to January ranged from -1.3 percent in the Mountain and South Atlantic Divisions to +1.6 percent in the West South Central Division. The overall index now stands at its lowest level since May 2004
10:02AM :
Richmond Fed Composite Index +20 in March vs. +25 in February
* RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING SHIPMENTS INDEX +23 IN MARCH VS +29 IN FEB * RICHMOND FED MANUFACTURING SHIPMENTS INDEX +23 IN MARCH VS +29 IN FEB * FED'S PIANALTO SAYS EXPECTS US RECOVERY TO CONTINUE AT A MODERATE PACE
* PIANALTO SAYS EXPECTS INFLATION PRESSURE FROM COMMODITIES, ENERGY TO BE TRANSITORY
* PIANALTO-EXPECT ECONOMY TO EXPAND AT SLIGHTLY ABOVE-AVERAGE GROWTH RATE OF ABOUT 3 PCT A YEAR
* PIANALTO-EXPECT UNDERLYING TREND IN BROAD CONSUMER PRICES TO RISE GRADUALLY TOWARD 2 PCT BY 2013
* PIANALTO- SHARP RISE IN ENERGY COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH UNREST IN MIDDLE EAST, AFRICA A KEY RISK FACING THE ECONOMY
8:31AM :
Highlights From Fed's Fisher : U.S. HOUSING SECTOR IS GOING TO BE DEPRESSED FOR QUITE SOME TIME
FED'S FISHER - WE ARE SEEING NOW THAT FREE MONEY ENCOURAGES SPECULATION* DOUBT THAT ROLE OF U.S. DOLLAR IS GOING TO CHANGE * U.S. HOUSING SECTOR IS GOING TO BE DEPRESSED FOR QUITE SOME TIME *Today 05:33 - FED'S FISHER - EXPECT GROWTH OF ABOUT 3.5 PCT THIS YEAR IN U.S. * FISCAL CONSOLIDATION IS GOING TO BE VERY PAINFUL
8:23AM :
Gaddafi Continues Attacks on Rebel Towns
(Reuters) - Forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi attacked two Libyan towns on Tuesday after a third night of air raids on Tripoli, but the Western campaign faced questions over the future of its command structure. With anti-Gaddafi rebels struggling to create a command structure that can capitalize on the air strikes against Libyan tanks and air defenses, Western nations have still to decide who will run the operation once Washington pulls back. The United States will cede control of the air assault in days, President Barack Obama said, even as divisions in Europe fueled speculation that Washington would be forced to continue leadership of air patrols to replace the initial bombardment. "We anticipate this transition to take place in a matter of days and not in a matter of weeks," Obama, facing questions at home about the U.S. military getting bogged down in a third Muslim country, told a news conference on a visit to Chile. In the latest fighting on Tuesday, Gaddafi forces used tanks to shell the rebel-held western city of Misrata and casualties included four children killed when the car they were traveling in was hit, residents told Reuters. The death toll on Monday had reached 40, they said. "The situation here is very bad. Tanks started shelling the town this morning," a resident, called Mohammed, told Reuters by telephone from outside the city's hospital, adding: "Snipers are taking part in the operation too. A civilian car was destroyed killing four children on board, the oldest is aged 13 years."
8:02AM :
New MBS Commentary Post
The Day Ahead: Focused on Developing Events Abroad
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBSonMND Dashboard
.
Adam Quinones : "CNN is doing a good job of updating us on the status of Fukushima reactors: http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/22/japan.reactors.status/"
Matthew Graham : "And you're absolutely right, if we stay under 3.34 for a bit, or break a bit lower (in order to confirm the break), we would indeed hope for support from 3.34 to stand against any selling pressure, but note I say "HOPE." It's not something you'd want to make bets on, but is slightly more likely based on precedent. "
Adam Quinones : "no need to reinvent the wheel in my opinion. from that perspective the "good bank/bad bank" scenario is possible. All those non-performing assets need a resolution authority of some sort."
Matthew Graham : "oh, you mean, breaking it bullishly Oliver, I gotcha"
Andy Pada : "AQ, so I know we've hinted/teased about this before, but it seems to me that one of the GSE will end up being the MCGE; no need for two. Or is it possible that it will default to HUD?"
Matthew Graham : "3.34 broken?"
Oliver S. Orlicki : "3.34 broken, looking for support here...correct?"
Adam Quinones : "that goes to show you Andy...private investors need some sort of credit guarantee. "
Adam Quinones : ""The centerpiece of federal support for the secondary mortgage market should be a new line of mortgagebacked
securities. Each security would have two components: a) a security-level, federal governmentguaranteed
“wrap” (GG) like that on a GNMA security; which would in turn be backed by b) private,
loan-level guarantees from privately owned, government-chartered and regulated mortgage credit-guarantor
entities (MCGEs). The GG would be conceptually similar to the Ginnie Mae model and would guarant"
Adam Quinones : "Obama's White Paper on GSEs closely resembles the ideas offered up by the MBA"
Adam Quinones : "RECOMMENDED READING ANDY: http://www.mortgagebankers.org/files/Advocacy/2009/RecommendationsfortheFutureGovernmentRole.pdf"
Adam Quinones : "5-7 years?"
Adam Quinones : "when Andy?"
Andy Pada : "AQ, In light of all the political and real reform sentiment surrounding the GSEs, can we assume that HUD and FHA loans will be the only "government supported" loan product?"
Adam Quinones : "Issuance for Ginnie Mae II single-family pools totaled over $16.44 billion in February. Issuance for the Ginnie Mae I single-family pools topped $7.62 billion and issuance for the HECM Mortgage-Backed Security (HMBS) was more than $891 million in February. Total single-family issuance for February was more than $24.96 billion. Ginnie Mae’s multifamily MBS issuance was over $1.25 billion."
Adam Quinones : "The Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae) announced that it has guaranteed more than $26.2 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in February."
Adam Quinones : "GN bonds are backed by explicit government guarantee"
ENG : "aq/mg: is there an MND article regarding Ginnie mae's holdings? are GN bonds completely private? "
Aaron Meyer : "Cash window is down .3795 from yesterday"
Chris Kopec : "5/3 is down about 50bp from yesterday's 1st rate sheet"
Andrew Horowitz : "Wells Fargo CEO John Stumpf said limits the Fed has imposed on fees charged to merchants for debit-card transactions "make no sense" and distort free-market economics.
"
Mike Drews : "Wells is out...about a .25 worse"
Matthew Graham : "So I can either say "a band of yields centered on x.xx" or I can say "x.xx is the pivot" and the audience can assume that, for strategic/long term purposes, surrounding yields are part of the same technical movement."
Matthew Graham : "This can happen when LONG TERM technicals are in play... We get these "bands" or yields (or "zones" if you prefer) that see more "noise" in general than other yields. But that noise is usually a phenomenon seen on shorter interval charts (tick, 1 min, 5 min) and when zoomed out for more strategic views (hourly, daily, weekly) the central pivot point becomes more clear."
Matthew Graham : "the thing about pivots, etc in the bond market right now is that things are very stratified and distribution around pivots has been a bit random at times"
Matthew Graham : "got my eye on 3.36+ as a pre-earthquake high yield, 3.40 with big technical importance, 3.34 as a support level for any bullish turn of events, then 3.30 as big-time resistance yesterday and beyond."
Oliver S. Orlicki : "what are our pivots today?"
Aaron Meyer : "That article is a must read for everyone in here"
Adam Quinones : "pls see excess reserves in banking system: http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage_rates/blog/201327.aspx"
Matthew Graham : "MND's AQ to FED's FISHER: "Please tell me where to find this free money. Kindest Regards, AQ.""
Matthew Graham : "now THAT'S priceless"
Adam Quinones : "pls tell me where to find this free money"
Matthew Graham : "yes, one of the more fortified pillboxes on the steep slope of destiny"
JTB : "Hmmm...3.34...isn't this our strong hold?"
Matthew Graham : "that's just the thing.... the extent to which the housing market matters to the recovery is STILL a topic of debate, and everyone's just guessing (some better supported than others)"
JTB : "When they say Housing is a drag, but will not slow recovery...how does that work? One, who thinks there's another 10% to drop nationally in values? What happens when BofA ramps up foreclosures again? "
Matthew Graham : "or if he's legitimately concerned about underlying spending and budget"
Matthew Graham : "wonder if it was a "no duh" comment that included temporary fiscal measures in the brilliant little analysis "
Matthew Graham : "I hope there's a video out on Fisher, I want to know what he means by the current fiscal path making us insolvent"
John Rodgers : "he's priceless"
Victor Burek : "wonder how much a AQ would cost?"
JTB : ""Free Money encourages speculation" What?"
Matthew Graham : "Fed's Fisher updates added - CTRL +F5 to update new content"
Adam Quinones : "idk wikipedia says $31 million but I find that number a bit low."
Dean Gorenflo : "new or used?"
Adam Quinones : "guess how much an F-15E costs...."
If you would like to opt-out of receiving email forwards from this person please click here to remove your email address.