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  • Mon, Oct 4 2010
  • 9:25 AM » First-Ever Data Compilation on Seriously Delinquent Mortgages in All 366 US Metro Areas
    Published Mon, Oct 04 2010 9:25 AM by National Housing Conference
    The , the (LISC) and the have compiled and released the first data on seriously delinquent mortgages for all 366 U.S. metro areas. “Seriously delinquent” mortgages are those that are delinquent 90 days or more or are in the foreclosure process. An analysis of these data for the nation’s 100 largest metropolitan areas reveals a 32 percent increase over a one-year period in the share of mortgages that are seriously delinquent. In March 2010, more than one in ten mortgages (10.2 percent) in the 100 largest metropolitan areas was seriously delinquent – up from one in 13 mortgages (7.7 percent) in March 2009. The new delinquency data confirms the number of foreclosures is likely to continue to rise. But, by providing the first available information on foreclosure and delinquency rates for all 366 U.S. metropolitan areas, the team hopes to raise awareness of the continuing challenge of mortgage foreclosures and encourage policymakers and practitioners to use both time-tested and innovative solutions to help address this challenge. The severity and the trajectory of the problem vary dramatically across the nation. Among the 100 largest metropolitan areas, the Austin metro area had the lowest share of seriously delinquent mortgages in March 2010 (4.4 percent) while, at the other extreme, 26 percent of mortgages in the Miami metro area were seriously delinquent. To learn more about the data please see the or . Image: via, globalastrologyblog.blogspot.com
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: National Housing Conference
  • 9:25 AM » Standard and Poor's: HFA Delinquencies Rise, But Still Lower Than State Averages
    Published Mon, Oct 04 2010 9:25 AM by National Council of State Housing Agencies
    A released on September 23 by Standard and Poor’s Ratings Services shows that in the second
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: National Council of State Housing Agencies
  • Sun, Oct 3 2010
  • 9:43 PM » Budget Cuts and Growth: Short-term Pain, Long-term Gain
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:43 PM by IMF
    Almost all advanced economies will need to cut deficits and raise taxes to put their fiscal positions back on a sustainable footing in coming years. The IMF’s World Economic Outlook says governments can act to reduce adverse short-term effects of fiscal consolidation.
  • 9:43 PM » Recession’s Dampening Impact on Trade Likely to Linger
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:43 PM by IMF
    Trade is rebounding from the recent recession, but has not yet fully recovered the ground lost during the global economic crisis. This is particularly the case in economies hit by a banking crisis, the IMF says in a chapter of its World Economic Outlook.
  • 9:43 PM » HUD ANNOUNCES MORE THAN $5.1 MILLION FOR HOUSING COUNSELING TRAINING
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:43 PM by HUD
    WASHINGTON - As part of the Obama Administration's continuing effort to provide quality housing counseling to the nation's homeowners, buyers and renters; the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development today announced the availability of more than $5.1 million in grants for housing counseling training. HUD's goal is to fund eligible organizations to deliver training in the full spectrum of counseling services. HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan made the announcement while meeting with borrowers and homeowners receiving counseling at an event in Oakland, California.
  • 9:29 PM » A QE1 Timeline
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:29 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Note: Here is the , and the . QE2 will probably arrive on November 3rd. By request here is a look back at the QE1 announcements (phased in over a few months): November 25, 2008 : $100 Billion GSE direct obligations, $500 billion in MBS S&P 500: 851.81 The Federal Reserve the purchase of the direct obligations of housing-related government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs)--Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Home Loan Banks--and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. ... Purchases of up to $100 billion in GSE direct obligations under the program will be conducted with the Federal Reserve's primary dealers through a series of competitive auctions and will begin next week. Purchases of up to $500 billion in MBS will be conducted by asset managers selected via a competitive process with a goal of beginning these purchases before year-end. Purchases of both direct obligations and MBS are expected to take place over several quarters. December 16, 2008 : Evaluating benefits of purchasing longer-term Treasury Securities S&P 500: 913.18 As previously announced, over the next few quarters the Federal Reserve will purchase large quantities of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities to provide support to the mortgage and housing markets, and it stands ready to expand its purchases of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities as conditions warrant. The Committee is also evaluating the potential benefits of purchasing longer-term Treasury securities. January 28, 2009 : : FOMC Stands Ready to expand program. S&P 500: 874.09 The Federal Reserve continues to purchase large quantities of agency debt and mortgage-backed securities to provide support to the mortgage and housing markets, and it stands ready to expand the quantity of such purchases and the duration of the purchase program as conditions warrant. The Committee also is prepared to purchase longer-term Treasury securities if evolving circumstances indicate that...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:29 PM » Commercial Real Estate: End of Extend and Pretend?
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:29 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Buck Wargo at the Las Vegas Sun reports that "extend and pretend" for commercial real estate (CRE) might be ending: [The] tsunami of commercial foreclosures ... never materialized as ... lenders were working with owners to lower interest rates and extend loans ... Now that philosophy is starting to change. "[A] number of banks have been hesitant to pull the trigger on foreclosures, but we have seen recently banks are beginning to go ahead with the foreclosure process.” [said John Delikanakis, an attorney with Snell & Wilmer] ... “Banks are beginning to realize where they are at in that loan,” [Rob Moore of Faris Lee Investments] said. “They were postponing it waiting for things to get back where they can get out of the hold, but that’s not going to happen.” ... "The time for ‘extending and pretending’ by the banks for a variety of commercial real estate loans has ended,” [John Restrepo, principal at Restrepo Consulting Group] said. “There finally is a realization by the banks, regulators and borrowers that the market will not recover sufficiently to save many commercial projects from foreclosure.” Las Vegas is in worse shape than most other areas, but it sounds like the lenders are now moving ahead and foreclosing on CRE properties - and that might mean the pace of CRE foreclosures will pick up nationwide.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:29 PM » Report: Title Insurance company stops insuring Chase Foreclosures
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:29 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From David Streitfeld at the NY Times: The company, Old Republic National Title Insurance, told its agents Friday that it would not write policies on foreclosed Chase properties until “the objectionable issues have been resolved,” according to a memorandum sent out by the firm’s underwriting department. For those who haven't seen it, here is an excerpt from an affidavit signed by Jeffrey Stephen of GMAC: Click on image for larger image in new window. I've highlighted a couple of sentences in yellow. Source: According to the affidavit the affiant claims to have "examined" the details of the transactions in the complaint, and that he has "personal knowledge of the facts contained in the affidavit". In a disposition - according to media reports - the affiant admitted to just signing the documents without verifying the details. If so, the affidavit is not correct. The affidavits are being withdrawn. Obviously the title insurance companies are concerned about what will happen to homes that have already been through foreclosure - with false affidavits filed during the process - and that have already been sold to another party. I'll have more on this later ...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:29 PM » Foreclosure Mess: More on BofA Foreclosure Freeze, Wells Fargo satisfied with Procedures
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:29 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From David Streitfeld at the NY Times: Bank of America, the country’s largest mortgage lender by assets, said on Friday that it was reviewing documents in all foreclosure cases now in court to evaluate if there were errors. It is the third major lender in the last two weeks to freeze foreclosures in the 23 states where the process is controlled by courts. ... Bank of America, in an e-mailed statement, said it would “amend all affidavits in foreclosure cases that have not yet gone to judgment.” And from Jacob Gaffney at Housing Wire: The second largest servicer in the United States, Wells Fargo is not planning to review foreclosure affidavits in light of the robo-signer allegations at many of its competitors. In an email to HousingWire, Wells Fargo spokesman Jason Menke said, "Wells Fargo policies, procedures and practices satisfy us that the affidavits we sign are accurate. We audit, monitor and review our affidavits under controlled standards on a daily basis. We will stand by our affidavits and, if we find an error, we will take the appropriate corrective action." I've corresponded with two servicers and they both believe their procedures are adequate (no "robo-signers"). However for GMAC - and apparently for JPMorgan and BofA - there is no excuse.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:29 PM » Verizon Wireless to Pay Millions in Refunds for Data Charges
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:29 PM by NY Times
    Verizon Wireless will pay up to $90 million to 15 million cellphone customers who were wrongly charged, one of the largest-ever refunds by a telecommunications company.
  • 9:29 PM » Letter: Tax Cuts and Incentives
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:29 PM by NY Times
    Readers respond to an article that argues against extending a tax cut for upper-income Americans.
  • 9:28 PM » Letters: Greener Construction
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by NY Times
    Readers respond to an article about the realities of green home-building technology.
  • 9:28 PM » Paperwork Fuels Foreclosure Fights
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by WSJ
    An increasing number of homeowners are citing paperwork problems to fight foreclosure on their homes.
  • 9:28 PM » 10 Best and Worst Markets for Real Estate Investors
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by Google News
    Tulsa, Albany, and San Diego have shot onto the list of the 10 best markets for conservative residential real-estate investors. Las Vegas crops up among the worst.
  • 9:28 PM » Number of the Week: 41.7 Million Spend Too Much on Housing
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by WSJ
    Even as the average household debt burden improves, an increasing number of households are finding themselves financially stretched.
  • 9:28 PM » Bond Refinancings in Europe Outweigh Deficit Cuts: Euro Credit
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by Business Week
    Record refinancing needs for Europe’s highest-deficit nations may overshadow spending cuts next year and increase the risk that more countries will follow Greece in requiring a rescue to avoid default.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Business Week
  • 9:28 PM » 7 major lenders ordered to review foreclosure procedures
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by Washington Post
    A top federal bank regulator said Thursday that he has directed seven of the nation's largest lenders to review their foreclosure processes after learning about the widespread mishandling of homeowner evictions by the industry. - - - -
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Washington Post
  • 9:28 PM » Refinancing Into Shorter Loans
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by www.nytimes.com
    Mortgages that last 15 years or less, instead of the gold standard 30, are growing in popularity.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.nytimes.com
  • 9:28 PM » HUD releases new Fair Market Rent levels
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by Google News
    Effective today, revised fair market rent (FMR) levels will be used to determine the amount of assistance paid by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) for apartments held by thousands of low-income households across the state. FMRs increased 7%, relative to last year, reflecting market rents that’ve continued to rise and methodology refinements HUD made during recent months. HUD’s FMRs differ by county and by the number of bedrooms in the apartment. They’re intended to reflect a 40% rent level. That means if the rents in a county were ranked from smallest to largest, the FMR would be the level that occurs 40% of the way down the list. The new FMRs for a two-bedroom apartment range from $669 in Orleans County to $1,177 in Chittenden, Grand Isle, and Franklin counties. This set of FMR levels will remain in effect until Sept. 30, 2011. . Share this entry:
  • 9:28 PM » HUD TO PROVIDE PERMANENT HOUSING TO 550 HOMELESS VETERANS ACROSS THE U.S.
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by HUD
    WASHINGTON - U.S. Housing and Urban Development Secretary Shaun Donovan announced today that HUD will provide $4.3 million to local housing authorities in 19 states to provide permanent housing for 550 homeless veterans in America. The funding is provided through The Veterans Affairs Supportive Housing Program (HUD-VASH), a coordinated effort by HUD, the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), and local housing authorities to provide permanent supportive housing for veterans experiencing homelessness. For a local breakdown of the rental vouchers announced today, visit HUD's website.
  • 9:28 PM » HUD PROVIDES RENTAL ASSISTANCE TO 4,300 PERSONS WITH DISABILITIES
    Published Sun, Oct 03 2010 9:28 PM by HUD
    WASHINGTON - U.S. Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary Shaun Donovan announced today that thousands of non-elderly Americans with disabilities will receive housing assistance to enable them to access affordable housing. Public housing authorities across the U.S. will distribute approximately 4,300 rental assistance vouchers to this population.
  • Fri, Oct 1 2010
  • 3:24 PM » Private Construction Spending declines in August
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 3:24 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Catching up with all the data this morning ... The Census Bureau overall construction spending increased slightly in August. [C]onstruction spending during August 2010 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $811.8 billion, 0.4 percent (±1.8%)* above the revised July estimate of $808.6 billion. However private construction spending declined again: Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $498.2 billion, 0.9 percent (±1.1%)* below the revised July estimate of $502.6 billion. Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $238.5 billion in August, 0.3 percent (±1.3%)* below the revised July estimate of $239.1 billion. Nonresidential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $259.7 billion in August, 1.4 percent (±1.1%) below the revised July estimate of $263.5 billion. Click on graph for larger image in new window. This graph shows private residential and nonresidential construction spending since 1993. Note: nominal dollars, not inflation adjusted. Both residential and non-residential private construction spending declined in August. Residential spending is 64.7% below the peak early 2006, and 4.7% above the recent low in 2009. Non-residential spending is 37.3% from the peak in January 2008. On a year-over-year basis, residential spending has turned slightly negative after the tax credit expired - and this indicates residential investment (RI) will be a drag on Q3 GDP. Non-residential spending is still off sharply from last year (down 24%), but the rate of decline might be slowing. As major projects are completed, I expect private non-residential spending to fall below residential spending later this year or in early 2011.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 1:20 PM » Batttle Over Home Resale Fees Heads to Congress
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by Google News
    Opponents of a newly-designed fee attached to the sale of homes have succeeded in getting the ear of Congress.
  • 1:20 PM » FDIC Plans to Auction Loans Totaling $1.12 Billion
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by Business Week
    The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. plans to seek bids for about $1.12 billion of commercial and residential real estate loans as part of the agency’s sale of assets seized from failed banks.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Business Week
  • 1:20 PM » Foreclosure Errors May Cloud Ownership of U.S. Homes
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by Business Week
    U.S. courts are clogged with a record number of foreclosures. Next, they may be jammed with suits contesting property rights as procedural mistakes in those cases cloud titles establishing ownership.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Business Week
  • 1:20 PM » Why Congress Had to Extend Higher Limits for Mortgages
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by CNBC
    There wasn't much fanfare, but sometime after midnight Thursday, Congress passed an extension of the increased Fannie/Freddie/FHA loan limits for high-cost housing markets to a maximum $729,750.
  • 1:20 PM » Five Ways to Keep Your Job From Killing You
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by CNBC
    Five Ways to Keep Your Job From Killing You
  • 1:20 PM » Fannie Mae wins dismissal of much of investor suit
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by Reuters
    NEW YORK, Sept 30 (Reuters) – A federal judge dismissed most of a lawsuit accusing Fannie Mae (FNMA.OB: , , , ) and former executives of misleading investors about its mortgage exposure and risk management before being seized by regulators in 2008. U.S. District Judge Paul Crotty in Manhattan dismissed allegations against all defendants regarding the mortgage financier’s subprime and “Alt-A” mortgage exposure, and deficiencies in its financial reporting. The judge refused to dismiss allegations regarding Fannie Mae’s risk management as to former Chief Executive Daniel Mudd and former Chief Risk Officer Enrico Dallavecchia, citing emails that said they “had personal knowledge of Fannie’s allegedly inadequate internal risk controls.” He dismissed similar allegations against two former chief financial officers, Robert Blakely and Stephen Swad, and also dismissed claims against auditor Deloitte & Touche LLP. Fannie Mae had been the largest U.S. mortgage financier before soaring defaults hurt both the loans it guaranteed and the lower quality loans it purchased for its own portfolio. In September 2008, the federal government put Fannie Mae and rival Freddie Mac (FMCC.OB: , , , ) into conservatorships, where they remain. Both companies still provide most of the credit used in the U.S. housing market, but the conservatorships wiped out most of their share prices. Fannie Mae lost $58.7 billion in 2008 and another $72 billion in 2009, regulatory filings show. The lawsuit covered investors who bought Fannie Mae common stock, preferred stock or stock options between Nov. 8, 2006 and Sept. 5, 2008. Mudd is now chief executive of Fortress Investment Group LLC (FIG.N: , , , ), a hedge fund and private equity firm. Representatives of Fannie Mae, Fortress and Deloitte and a lawyer for Blakely declined immediate comment. Lawyers for the other defendants did not immediately return calls for comment. SAYING ONE THING, BELIEVING ANOTHER In his ruling, Crotty said Fannie Mae made many...
  • 1:20 PM » Appraisals Continue to Be Low and Sink Some Deals
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 1:20 PM by Google News
    Lenders in some cases seek additional review if borrower is credit challenged.
  • 9:55 AM » RealtyTrac: Chase and GMAC Could Prolong Housing Recovery
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 9:55 AM by Google News
    Halting the foreclosure process on tens of thousands of homes will ease the pain for some, but may serve to drag out the housing bust even more.
  • 9:55 AM » Serious Delinquencies Fall For Fifth Month in a Row
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 9:55 AM by Google News
    Fannie Mae said serious delinquencies on single-family mortgages slid in July from June, the fifth-straight month of declines.
  • 9:55 AM » Which Cities Face Biggest Housing Risks?
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 9:55 AM by WSJ
    Four years into the U.S. housing bust some communities hardest hit initially remained under stress in 2009, particularly in California and Florida. See a breakdown of risks in the 49 most populous cities.
  • 9:55 AM » Bernanke on Fed Disagreements, Group Decision Making
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 9:55 AM by WSJ
    Bernanke acknowledged deep divisions at the Fed about how to handle complex economic problems, but he also welcomed the dissent and said it might lead to better decisions.
  • 9:55 AM » Balancing the Fed’s Hawks, Doves
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 9:55 AM by WSJ
    The Senate's confirmation of two nominees to the Fed's Board of Governors, continues to shift the balance of those who want more action and those who are more concerned about inflation.
  • 8:36 AM » Existing Home Inventory declines slightly in September, Up year-over-year
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 8:36 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Tom Lawler reports that at the end of September, listings on Realtor.com totaled 3,960,417, down 1.2% from 4,007,860 at the end of August. This is 1.7% higher than in September 2009. The NAR reported inventory at 3.98 million at the end of August, and at 3.71 million in September 2009. So they will probably report inventory at around 3.85 million for September 2010. (NAR does not seasonally adjust inventory and this appears to be a normal seasonal decline. The months-of-supply metric uses seasonally adjusted sales, but NSA inventory.). Since sales probably only increased slightly in September, the months-of-supply metric will probably still be well into double digits again. Note: there is a seasonal pattern for existing home inventory. Usually inventory peaks in July and declines slightly through October - and then declines sharply at the end of the year as sellers take their homes off the market for the holidays.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 8:36 AM » The Economist: Expanding household Size
    Published Fri, Oct 01 2010 8:36 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From The Economist: Image credit: The Economist [A]fter shrinking for decades, households have started to grow. Last year the average household had 2.59 people, up from 2.56 two years earlier, marking the first increase since 1993. ... Much of this is almost certainly a response to the recession and the surge in unemployment. For young people who have lost their job or cannot find their first one, living with their parents becomes more attractive. Note: This data comes from the 2009 American Community Survey, and many caveats apply. As Greg Ip noted, the overall U.S. population is still growing, and at the current growth rate that would usually mean the demand for over 1 million additional housing units per year. However since many people are doubling up (or as we always joke - have moved into their parent's basement), this keeps the demand for housing units down. This might seem like a small increase in the number of people per household (from 2.56 to 2.59), however that has a significant impact on the number of housing units needed. Some rough numbers: If we assume a population of 300 million, the slight increase in household size would suggest about 1.3 million fewer housing units were needed. (300 million divided 2.56) minus (300 million divided by 2.59) equals about 1.3 million. This is more than offset by the growing population over this two year period, but this shows why the excess inventory has remained very high even with a series low number of new housing units being completed. We all expected this during the recession, but it will be important to watch if the household size starts to decline again.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • Thu, Sep 30 2010
  • 4:07 PM » Special Report: The ties that bind at the Federal Reserve
    Published Thu, Sep 30 2010 4:07 PM by Reuters
    NEW YORK/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - To the outside world, the Federal Reserve is an impenetrable fortress. But former employees and big investors are privy to some of its secrets -- and that access can be lucrative.
  • 3:57 PM » House and Senate Committees Continue Debate on the Future of Housing Finance
    Published Thu, Sep 30 2010 3:57 PM by National Council of State Housing Agencies
    In a pair of hearings held by the and the read more
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: National Council of State Housing Agencies
  • 3:56 PM » Treasury Provides $3.5 Billion More to Hardest Hit States
    Published Thu, Sep 30 2010 3:56 PM by National Council of State Housing Agencies
    Today, the Treasury Department announced that it will provide $3.5 billion in additional assistance to the 19 HFAs currently receiving funds under the Administration’s
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: National Council of State Housing Agencies
  • 3:55 PM » American Dream Attracting More Foreigners
    Published Thu, Sep 30 2010 3:55 PM by Google News
    Twenty-eight percent of Realtors reported working with at least one international client in the past year, up from 23 percent during the previous Profile of International Home Buying Activity study.
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Mortgage Rates:
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MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 108-17 (0-02)
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Recent Housing Data:
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  • FHFA Home Price Index 0.67%