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  • Tue, Jan 17 2017
  • 9:19 AM » Preparing for the UCD Deadline: Tools and Tips
    Published Tue, Jan 17 2017 9:19 AM by Freddie Mac
    By SVP and Head of Single-Family Strategic Delivery Andy Higginbotham Two hundred forty-nine. That's the number of unique data points necessary for the Uniform Closing Dataset (UCD), a common collection of data that lenders will be required to deliver in a digital file with each mortgage loan they sell to us starting on Sept. 25. Known as the UCD mandate, this requirement is part of the Uniform Mortgage Data Program® (UMDP®), an industry-wide drive to build a better housing finance system in the U.S. Read More
  • 8:14 AM » Futures fall on Brexit worries, Trump's dollar comments
    Published Tue, Jan 17 2017 8:14 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures fell the most this year as investors sought safe-haven assets following President-elect Donald Trump's comments on the dollar and British Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit speech.
  • 8:11 AM » The Bond Market Isn't Dead Yet for This JPMorgan Fund
    Published Tue, Jan 17 2017 8:11 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg The Bond Market Isn't Dead Yet for This JPMorgan Fund Bloomberg That's the message from a JPMorgan Asset Management fund that's outperformed in the past year by keeping to shorter-maturity securities. The $2.4 billion Global Bond Opportunities Fund has reduced its average duration in U.S. securities to three years ...
  • 8:10 AM » Draghi Seen Staying Strong on QE With Faster Inflation No Bar
    Published Tue, Jan 17 2017 8:10 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Draghi Seen Staying Strong on QE With Faster Inflation No Bar Bloomberg The European Central Bank will wait until late this year before considering reining in its bond-buying plan, and won't halt the program until well into 2018 at the earliest, economists say. The most important business stories of the day. Get Bloomberg ... and more »
  • 8:09 AM » Why Republican Tax Reform Could Be a U.S. Corporate Bond Bonanza
    Published Tue, Jan 17 2017 8:09 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Why Republican Tax Reform Could Be a U.S. Corporate Bond Bonanza Bloomberg The $8.55 trillion U.S. corporate bond market has bucked concerns over mounting company indebtedness and so far resisted fears about the knock-on effects of the potential unraveling of the 35-year-old bull-run in government debt. Now, analysts at ... and more »
  • Fri, Jan 13 2017
  • 3:43 PM » Op-Ed: Trump will use his real estate experience to rebuild the US—Or bankrupt the country
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 3:43 PM by CNBC
    Depending on the outcome of Trump's bet, the economy could finally break free of its lethargy or find itself in a deep recession, says Jay N. Rollins.
  • 1:52 PM » The End of Government Oversight?
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 1:52 PM by The Atlantic
    Regulations, regulations, regulations. It's a dirty word among Republicans in Congress, who are getting started on their plan to scale back federal oversight of U.S. businesses. Federal rules meant to protect the environment, consumers, and workers can cost businesses money, and Republicans believe those rules are strangling American economic growth. Republicans have repeatedly accused the Obama administration of abusing its regulatory powers, such as the Labor Department's creation of the fiduciary rule (which requires financial planners to put the interest of their clients before their own) and the overtime rule (which increases the number of workers eligible for overtime pay). As president, Trump can remove these rules, though doing so would likely take years. Congressional Republicans want to go beyond that, making it as hard as possible for the executive branch to create new regulations. "We're going to take a fresh approach, we don't want bureaucracy touching everything," House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy said Thursday at an event at the Hoover Institution. In his role, McCarthy sets the agenda for the incoming Congress, and the anti-regulatory frenzy has already started. Their biggest effort is through passage of the Executive in Need of Scrutiny Act of 2017 (known as the REINS Act), which was approved last week by the House. The bill gives Congress the power to approve or deny regulations enacted by federal agencies that are expected to have an economic cost of more than $100 million, which means Congress has the final word. To understand what the implications of this would be in practice, such a law would have likely killed a rule like the Clean Power Plan, which the Environmental Protection Agency finalized last year to limit carbon-dioxide pollution from America's power plants. Extensive scientific reviews have concluded that carbon-dioxide emissions cause climate change. Under the REINS Act, such a rule would only have gone...
  • 1:52 PM » Wells Fargo Plans to Close More Than 400 Branches Through 2018 - Bloomberg
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 1:52 PM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Wells Fargo Plans to Close More Than 400 Branches Through 2018 Bloomberg Wells Fargo & Co. plans to close more than 400 branches in the next two years as the lender seeks to trim about $2 billion in costs by the end of 2018, Chief Financial Officer John Shrewsberry said. The San Francisco-based company shuttered 84 branches ... and more »
  • 11:51 AM » Forget What You Know: This Year, Sellers May Benefit From Listing Early
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 11:51 AM by
    With housing inventory at multiyear lows and strong buyer demand in the off-season, sellers may want to put their home on the market as soon as possible. The post Forget What You Know: This Year, Sellers May Benefit From Listing Early appeared first on Real Estate News & Advice |® .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

  • 11:51 AM » U.S. House Republicans to vote on Obamacare repeal
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 11:51 AM by Reuters
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. House Republicans were moving ahead on Friday with legislation aimed at dismantling Obamacare, despite concerns about not having a replacement for the healthcare program and the potential financial costs in repealing President Barack Obama's landmark law.
  • 10:10 AM » Consumer sentiment little changed in January, hits 98.1
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 10:10 AM by CNBC
    Economist expected the Index of Consumer Sentiment to hit 98.5, according to Thomson Reuters.
  • 8:49 AM » Wells Fargo's profit falls 6.4 percent
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:49 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - Wells Fargo & Co , the largest U.S. mortgage lender, reported its fifth straight decline in quarterly profit on Friday as it tries to recover from a bogus-accounts scandal.
  • 8:49 AM » More pay, greater confidence lifts December retail sales
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:49 AM by CNBC
    Americans stepped up their auto buying and holiday shopping in December, reflecting a boost in confidence after the election and a solid increase in hourly pay.
  • 8:48 AM » US Producer Price Index rose 0.3% in Dec, as expected
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:48 AM by CNBC
    US wholesale prices rose 0.3 percent in December, led higher by more expensive gas, food and cars.
  • 8:11 AM » Yellen backs Dodd-Frank rules again, sounds upbeat on economy
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:11 AM by Market Watch
    Federal Reserve chief Janet Yellen said late Thursday that key parts of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law -- including higher capital requirements and enhanced supervision for big banks -- should not be scrapped, according to a Wall Street Journal report. She has previously warned against rolling back Dodd-Frank rules, and it is something that President-elect Donald Trump has vowed to do. On Thursday, Yellen also said the U.S. economy faces no serious short-term obstacles, according to a Bloomberg report.
  • 8:09 AM » Carson Says 30-Year Mortgage May Not Need Government Backing
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:09 AM by Bloomberg
    Carson Says 30-Year Mortgage May Not Need Government Backing Bloomberg Ben Carson, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for the top U.S. housing-policy job, told lawmakers that he questions the need for a government backstop of the market for 30-year mortgages, saying the private market could take on much of the ... and more »
  • 8:09 AM » Top Takeaways From HUD Secretary Nominee Ben Carson's Senate Hearing
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:09 AM by
    Ben Carson says everyone should have an opportunity to become a homeowner. But it's unclear how he would help more Americans achieve that dream. The post Top Takeaways From HUD Secretary Nominee Ben Carson’s Senate Hearing appeared first on Real Estate News & Advice |® .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

  • 8:09 AM » Ben Carson's Impossible Vision for American Housing
    Published Fri, Jan 13 2017 8:09 AM by The Atlantic
    When he was on the campaign trail, Ben Carson spoke frequently about the inefficiency of government, and expressed skepticism about particular government programs. "We have 4.1 million federal employees, and we have 645 government agencies and sub-agencies. And there's an enormous amount of inefficiency and overlap to be gotten rid of," he told Marketplace 's Kai Ryssdal in November 2015. He also expressed special disdain for an Obama-era rule , released in the summer of 2015, that required local communities to assess segregation in their communities and try to address it. "Based on the history of failed socialist experiments in this country, entrusting the government to get it right can prove downright dangerous," he wrote about the rule in the Washington Times . All of this made many housing advocates nervous when Donald J. Trump announced that Carson was his pick to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development, which spends much of its energies on providing housing and subsidies for the poor. How would an agency with a $47 billion budget fare under someone who thought government spending should be cut, and that efforts to end segregation-a core HUD mission-are akin to "failed socialist experiments"? His Senate confirmation hearing did little to answer these questions, as Carson both pledged to cut spending, and to keep-or even expand-programs that are the hallmark of what HUD does. "I do believe that government can play a very important role," he said, in his opening statement. "There are points of intervention, things we can do to make a difference in people's lives." What he doesn't believe, it seems, is that the government should spend money to carry out those interventions. When New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez asked Carson whether his "worldview" fit into HUD's core mission, Carson defended his campaign pledges to cut back on government spending. "We can never seem to...
  • Thu, Jan 12 2017
  • 5:06 PM » Santoli: Stocks on edge as air leaks out of the Trump reflation trade
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 5:06 PM by CNBC
    Here's what CNBC's Michael Santoli is watching into the closing bell.
  • 3:01 PM » St. Louis Fed's Bullard says Trump effects only apparent over time
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 3:01 PM by CNBC
    The election of Donald Trump has not yet switched the U.S. economy to a new "regime", St. Louis Federal Reserve bank president James Bullard said.
  • 2:59 PM » 9 Creative Ways to Make Your Home Look More Expensive
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 2:59 PM by
    Want to make your home look more expensive without breaking the bank? Try some of these creative ideas. The post 9 Creative Ways to Make Your Home Look More Expensive appeared first on Redfin Real-Time .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

  • 2:59 PM » Question #2 for 2017: How much will the economy grow in 2017?
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 2:59 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Late last year I posted some questions for 2017: Ten Economic Questions for 2017 . I'll try to add some thoughts, and maybe some predictions for each question. 2) Economic growth: Heading into 2017, most analysts are pretty sanguine and expecting some pickup in growth due to tax cuts and infrastructure spending.   How much will the economy grow in 2017? Here is a table of the annual change in real GDP since 2007.  Economic activity has mostly been in the 2% range since 2010.  Given current demographics, that is about what we'd expect: See: 2% is the new 4%. Annual Real GDP Growth Year GDP 2005 3.3% 2006 2.7% 2007 1.8% 2008 -0.3% 2009 -2.8% 2010 2.5% 2011 1.6% 2012 2.2% 2013 1.7% 2014 2.4% 2015 2.6% 2016 1 1.7% 1 2016 estimate. It is possible that there will be a pickup in growth in 2017 due to a combination of factors. The new administration's policy proposals are unclear, but it appears there will be tax cuts, possibly more government spending on infrastructure, and possibly less regulation (easier borrowing).   There will probably be some economic boost from oil sector investment in 2017 since oil prices have increased (this was a drag last year). The housing recovery is ongoing, however auto sales might have peaked. And demographics are improving (the prime working age population is growing about 0.5% per year, compared to declining a few years ago). All these factors combined will probably push GDP growth into the mid-to-high 2% range in 2017, but this will depend somewhat on which policies are enacted. Here are the Ten Economic Questions for 2017 and a few predictions: • Question #3 for 2017: Will job creation slow further in 2017? • Question #4 for 2017: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2017? • Question #5 for 2017: Will the core inflation rate rise in 2017? Will too much inflation be a concern in 2017? • Question #6 for 2017: Will the Fed raise rates in 2017, and if so, by how much? • Question #7 for...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 2:59 PM » Donald Trump Says '96 Million' Are Looking for Work
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 2:59 PM by The Atlantic
    Donald Trump's first press conference as president-elect will be best-remembered for his jeering at the press and vague dismissals of financial and ethical impropriety. But buried inside the taunting and dissembling was a Trump moment that stands out as a kind of microcosmic footnote-subtle yet representative of his ability to scramble the news cycle with simple falsehoods. "Right now, there are 96 million [people] wanting a job and they can't get [one]," he said. "You know that story. The real number. That's the real number." No. That's not "the real number." This is a perfect example of the effect Trump will have on any policy debate he seizes. He takes a fraught yet critical topic-American work, lack of the work, and the way the U.S. government addresses both-reduces it to a bizarro sound bite that bears no relationship to reality, and bends the political and policy conversation toward his dramatic warping of the truth, all without offering a substantive plan to address even the moderate version of his apocalyptic proclamations. Trump didn't pull this particular figure out of thin air. There are 96 million Americans over the age of 16 who are not in the labor force. But "not in the labor force" does not mean they want a job and can't get one. In fact, it means something quite different: that they are neither working nor looking for work. To use this number as a data point about unemployment is absurd. Most of these 96 million people are retired. Most of the rest are stay-at-home parents and students. To say that 96 million people "want a job and can't get one" is to argue that a 90-year-old grandfather at a nursing home is struggling to find a suitable job. Is Trump hoping grandpa gets back on his feet and starts realizing his latent labor potential? If not, don't call him unemployed! If yes, we have deeper issues. I don't want to give the impression that unemployment is a cut-and...
  • 2:59 PM » Fed officials see quick economic boost from Trump, risks to follow
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 2:59 PM by Reuters
    NAPLES, Fla. (Reuters) - Federal Reserve officials cautioned on Thursday that the fiscal and tax plans sketched out by the incoming Trump administration could trade a short-term economic boost for longer-run inflation and debt problems they might have to counteract.
  • 1:47 PM » What to expect from Wells Fargo earnings: Impact of sales-tactics scandal
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 1:47 PM by Market Watch
    Wells Fargo is expected to provide some update on its progress in moving past a scandal when it posts fourth-quarter earnings before the bell Friday.
  • 1:41 PM » Yellen had 'super risky' proposal for Fed's 2011 low-rate vow: transcripts
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 1:41 PM by Reuters
    SAN FRANCISCO/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Faced with sharply deteriorating economic conditions in 2011 after ending their second bond-buying program, Federal Reserve policymakers made an unprecedented bid to shore up the recovery by promising to keep rates low until at least mid-2013.
  • 12:16 PM » HUD nominee Dr. Ben Carson refuses to assure HUD money will not go to Trump empire
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 12:16 PM by CNBC
    Ben Carson did not promise to avoid the nexus between the billions of dollars HUD pours into the real estate industry and the Trump real estate empire.
  • 12:16 PM » Lawler: New "Household" Numbers, Same Old Conundrum
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 12:16 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From housing economist Tom Lawler: New "Household" Numbers, Same Old Conundrum Housing Survey (AHS) for 2015, and the "Families and Living Arrangements" data from the Annual Social and Economic Supplement to the Current Population Survey (or CPS/ASEC) for 2016. Both surveys produce estimates (wildly different, of course) of - among other things - the number of US households and the homeownership rate. Starting with the American Housing Survey, 2015 marked the first time since 1985 that the AHS was based on new national and metropolitan area "longitudinal" samples based on the latest available Master Address File. From 1985 through 2013 the AHS sample was mainly based on housing units selected from the 1980 Census as well as samples of housing units subsequently constructed in areas requiring building permits. Not surprisingly, the previous methodology was subject to sizable "sampling" issues. The 2015 "national' estimates are based on (1) a "national case" sample of 34,769 representative of the US and nine divisions; (2) a 45,270 "over-sample" of top 15 metropolitan areas; (3) a 30,111 over-sample of 10 additional metropolitan areas; and (4) a 5,248 oversample of subsidized renter units. The AHS household estimates are "controlled" to independent estimates of the US housing stock in much the same was as are the household estimates from the Housing Vacancy Survey, a supplement to the Current Population Survey. And while the AHS-based US household estimates for 2015 in aggregate aren't massively different from that of the HVS, the characteristics of the AHS-based households for 2015 are vastly different, and are more in synch with those of the 2015 American Community Survey, as shown in the table below. 2015 US Household Estimates by Age Group, Various Census Surveys   AHS HVS ACS Total 118,290 117,397 118,209 15-24 4,347 6,125 4,441 25-34 18,096 19,106 17,885 35-44 20,441 19,917...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 10:17 AM » Mortgage Rates Lower Again
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 10:17 AM by
    Mortgage Rates Lower Again
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

  • 9:42 AM » How Inflation Will Affect Home Builders in 2017
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 9:42 AM by
    NAHB chief economist takes a look at the comparison of inflation and mortgage rates to see how the coming year will be shaped.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

  • 8:54 AM » The Fed: Fed's Harker backs three interest-rate hikes this year
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 8:54 AM by Market Watch
    The economy has started 2017 on a good foot and three rate hikes are likely to be appropriate, said Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker on Thursday.
  • 8:54 AM » US import prices rise on petroleum
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 8:54 AM by CNBC
    U.S. import prices rose in December, boosted by higher prices for petroleum products, but a strong dollar kept underlying imported inflation in subdued.
  • 8:54 AM » Fed's Bullard says Trump economic policies will have little impact this year
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 8:54 AM by Market Watch
    President-elect Donald Trump's fiscal policy plans are more a story for 2018-2019 than this year, said St. Louis Fed President James Bullard on Thursday. In an interview on CNBC, Bullard said growth in 2017 is pretty much "baked in the cake." He said he thinks the economy remains in a low interest-rate and slow growth environment that is not going to change by "snapping fingers." Bullard said he still thinks economic conditions will justify only one interest rate this year and the Fed has time to wait and see what develops. The St. Louis Fed president said he does not believe that a low unemployment rate will necessarily boost inflation. He noted that the market still expects low inflation going forward. The recent pullback in the 10-year Treasury bond yields is the market settling down and waiting to see if Republicans can deliver on their promise of faster economic growth.
  • 8:51 AM » U.S. property foreclosures at 10-year low in 2016
    Published Thu, Jan 12 2017 8:51 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - Foreclosure proceedings affected nearly a million U.S. homes and other real estate last year, down 14 percent from 2015 and down 70 percent from the worst of the housing crisis in 2009, a report released Thursday shows.
  • Wed, Jan 11 2017
  • 2:43 PM » Phoenix Real Estate in December: Sales up 6%, Inventory down 3%
    Published Wed, Jan 11 2017 2:43 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    This is a key housing market to follow since Phoenix saw a large bubble and bust, followed by strong investor buying. The Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS) reports (table below): 1) Overall sales in December were up 5.9% year-over-year. 2) Cash Sales (frequently investors) were down to 23.1% of total sales. 3) Active inventory is now down 2.9% year-over-year.   More inventory (a theme in most of 2014) - and less investor buying - suggested price increases would slow sharply in 2014.  And prices increases did slow in 2014, only increasing 2.4% according to Case-Shiller. In 2015, with falling inventory, prices increased a little faster -  Prices were up 6.3% in 2015 according to Case-Shiller. This is the second consecutive month with a YoY decrease in inventory following eight months with YoY increases.  This might be a change in trend - something to watch. December Residential Sales and Inventory, Greater Phoenix Area, ARMLS   Sales YoY Change Sales Cash Sales Percent Cash Active Inventory YoY Change Inventory Dec-08 5,524 --- 1,665 30.1% 53,792 1 --- Dec-09 7,661 38.7% 3,008 39.3% 39,709 -26.2% 1 Dec-10 8,401 9.7% 3,939 46.9% 42,463 6.9% Dec-11 7,843 -6.6% 3,635 46.3% 24,712 -41.8% Dec-12 7,071 -9.8% 3,211 45.4% 21,095 -14.6% Dec-13 5,930 -16.1% 2,053 34.6% 25,511 20.9% Dec-14 6,475 9.2% 1,893 29.2% 25,052 -1.8% Dec-15 6,756 4.3% 1,617 23.9% 23,053 -8.0% Dec-16 7,154 5.9% 1,655 23.1% 22,388 -2.9% 1 December 2008 probably includes pending listings
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 2:06 PM » Industry Supports Expanded Private Flood Insurance Rule
    Published Wed, Jan 11 2017 2:06 PM by NMHC
    NMHC/NAA responded in early January, 2017, to a call for comments by several banking regulators on a proposed rule entitled "Loans in Areas Having Special Flood Hazards-Private Flood Insurance." The rule stems from the Biggert Waters Act of 2012, which aside from reauthorizing the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), called upon regulators such as the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency to issue much-needed guidance for lenders on what should be considered an acceptable private flood insurance policy.
  • 12:34 PM » Markets wait for stimulus talk from Trump, but don't get it
    Published Wed, Jan 11 2017 12:34 PM by CNBC
    Trump did not discuss infrastructure spending or tax cuts that the markets had been hoping to get more details on.
  • 11:42 AM » The Gundlach vs. Gross 10-Year Bond Yield Debate - Bloomberg Video
    Published Wed, Jan 11 2017 11:42 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg The Gundlach vs. Gross 10-Year Bond Yield Debate Bloomberg Paul Richards, president at Medley Global Advisors, talks about the dispute over the 10-Year bond yield between DoubleLine Capital Chief Executive Officer Jeffrey Gundlach and Janus Capital Fund Manager Bill Gross. He speaks on "Bloomberg Daybreak: ...
  • 11:41 AM » Freddie Mac Leads Nation as Top Multifamily Lender for Second Year in a Row
    Published Wed, Jan 11 2017 11:41 AM by
    Freddie Mac Leads Nation as Top Multifamily Lender for Second Year in a Row
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

  • 10:10 AM » Three things to watch as the big US banks turn in their quarterly results
    Published Wed, Jan 11 2017 10:10 AM by CNBC
    Watch trade revenues, interest rates and credit risks as banks announce quarterly results.
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