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  • Thu, Sep 18 2008
  • 5:29 PM » Paulson, Schumer offer U.S. financial bailout plans
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 5:29 PM by Washington Post
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A possible federal plan to calm financial markets and address the housing crisis began to take shape on Thursday, with rival proposals from U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Sen. Charles Schumer.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Washington Post
  • 5:29 PM » Paulson Seeks Resolution Trust Corporation "Solution"
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 5:29 PM by feeds.feedburner.com
    When you have done as much damage to taxpayers and the economy as Paulson has, one just might expect for him to go into hiding until the next administration fires him. However, that would be wishful thinking as . CNBC's Gasparino reports his Wall Street sources say that Treasury Secretary Paulson is talking about a Resolution Trust Corporation-type solution to the current crisis. The RTC was created during the savings and loan crisis of the 80s. Financials as a whole are providing leadership with a 6.3% gain. Diversified banks (+10.4%) and thrifts & mortgage (+7.9%) stocks are rallying, although there is weakness in investment banks (-10.0%) and asset management (-13.8%) firms. The consolidation of financial firms and government intervention is not happening just in the United States. U.K. banking giant Lloyds TSB Group (LYG 21.03, +1.92) announced this morning that it is acquiring struggling U.K. mortgage lender HBOS in an all-stock deal valued at 12.2 billion pounds ($22.2 billion). The U.K. government brokered the deal, and is overriding anti-monopoly regulations, according to reports. Take the estimated cost of this proposal and multiply it by a factor of ten. I reserve the right to change that call when more specifics are announced. Of course this could be nothing more than another bazooka play. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com to learn more about wealth management for investors seeking strong performance with low volatility.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 5:24 PM » Silver Lining in Housing Numbers?
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 5:24 PM by Seeking Alpha
    submits: Written by: Dirk van Dijk, CFA Housing is still the root cause of the financial troubles on Wall Street. Today's report on New Housing Starts and Building Permits was ugly again, although it is this weakness that could be the seed of an eventual stabilization of the housing market.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 4:20 PM » WaMu Auction: Zero Bids
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 4:20 PM by www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
    So Washington Mutual is reportedly on the block, but has failed to grab any bids as of yet, according to the Financial Times. The publication noted that Goldman Sachs is conducting the auction, but hasn’t managed to garner any interest from the major players, including Citi, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo. Chase had been the frontrunner because [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
  • 3:50 PM » Britain Bans Short-Selling Citing 'Extreme' Market Climate
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 3:50 PM by feeds.feedburner.com
    See Addendum: Ban is on Financials Only MarketWatch is reporting . LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Britain's Financial Services Authority on Thursday announced the unprecedented move of banning short-selling and forbidding any increase in new positions. Also, disclosure will be required on all positions of more than 0.25% of a stock. The ban is due to remain in force until Jan. 16, but it will be reviewed in 30 days. "While we still regard short-selling as a legitimate investment technique in normal market conditions, the current extreme circumstances have given rise to disorderly markets. As a result, we have taken this decisive action, after careful consideration, to protect the fundamental integrity and quality of markets and to guard against further instability in the financial sector," said Hecton Sants, chief executive of the FSA. UK Poised To Crash Banning short selling is an act of pure desperation guaranteed to fail. Short term, I do not know what the market will do, but if shorts are squeezed out an air pocket below will form just as happened in the US with share prices of Fannie Mae (FNM) Freddie Mac(FRE). The simple fact of the matter is that short sellers add liquidity to the market. Barring bankruptcy, shorts have to cover at some point. Also short selling is a necessary function of market makers. Finally, attempts to prop up the market simply will not work regardless of what government intervention there is. If by some miracle the market manages a sustained rally after this announcement, it will do so only because the market was ready to rally on its own accord. I spoke about government intervention in earlier today in . Inquiring minds should take a look. Addendum: MarketWatch entered this correction LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Britain's Financial Services Authority on Thursday banned short-selling of financial stocks and prohibited any increase in new bearish positions in the sector. Also, disclosure will be required on all positions of more than...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 3:50 PM » McCain: I'd fire SEC Chair Chris Cox
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 3:50 PM by CNN
    Read full story for latest details.
  • 3:50 PM » Wells Fargo chairman: ‘I feel like a kid in a candy store’
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 3:50 PM by feeds.bizjournals.com
    Wells Fargo Chairman Kovacevich says the battered banking industry is rife with buyout opportunities. (WM) (WFC) (WB) (WM) (AIG)
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.bizjournals.com
  • 1:14 PM » Lloyds rescues HBOS in $22 billion deal
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 1:14 PM by Washington Post
    LONDON (Reuters) - Lloyds TSB <LLOY.L> rescued Britain's biggest mortgage lender HBOS Plc <HBOS.L> on Thursday in a $22 billion takeover as the government swept aside competition rules to ease the deal through.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Washington Post
  • 1:14 PM » Wachovia + Morgan Stanley = Dumbest Merger in History
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 1:14 PM by Seeking Alpha
    submits: Last evening, a merger proposal rumored to be under discussion involving Wachovia (WB) and Morgan Stanley (MS). Inquiring minds are considering .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 12:21 PM » Bair: 1,200 Indymac Borrowers Have Received Loan Mods
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 12:21 PM by www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
    FDIC Chairwoman Sheila Bair, a strong advocate of streamlined loan modifications, told Congress 1,200 at-risk borrowers had received loan modifications since the program was announced in late August. By the end of August, 4,000 loan modification proposals had been sent to borrowers and through September 17, 7,400 have been mailed. On average, the completed loan modifications have [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
  • 11:49 AM » Quick Hits: WaMu Attracting Suitors
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 11:49 AM by www.minyanville.com
    Washington Mutual (WM) is attracting interest from major banks but possible suitors may bid for just parts of the nation's largest savings and loan. JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Citigroup (C) Bank of America (BAC) and Wells Fargo (WFC) may make bids. The banks declined to comment. Washington Mutual has lost about 85% of its market value this year after heavy losses in the subprime mortgage market. The bank has about 2 300 branches and $143 billion in retail deposits making it attractive to larger firms seeking to buy a distressed bank at a good price. On Wednesday Washington Mutual's largest ...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.minyanville.com
  • 11:48 AM » AIG booted out of the Dow
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 11:48 AM by CNN
    Big Insurance is out. Big Food is in.
  • 11:48 AM » Stale Ideas Killed AIG, Lehman
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 11:48 AM by Seeking Alpha
    As we all try to digest the unprecedented volatility that has besieged the stock market this week, with Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch now washed away, there is one question that is often repeated: How could so many smart people get things so wrong? It wasn't hubris or laziness. It was the inability of the board members and CEOs to look at the problems facing their companies with fresh eyes. Newcomers like John Thain at Merrill took decisive actions to create the maximum shareholder value under the circumstances. Old-time CEOs like Fuld at Lehman and Robert Willumstad at AIG, who is a new CEO but has been on AIG's board since 2006, dawdled, and their companies are now paying the price -- one with bankruptcy and the other agreeing to a government bailout last night.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 11:48 AM » Are We Depressed Yet?
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 11:48 AM by Washington Post
    Donald L. Luskin, chief investment officer of Trend Macrolytics LLC, wrote in Sunday's Post that he was tired of seeing pessimistic comparisons to the Great Depression in media reports about the current state of the economy.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Washington Post
  • 11:31 AM » Mortgage Rates Fall to Lowest Point Since February
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 11:31 AM by www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
    Mortgage rates fell to the lowest level since February thanks to the ongoing impact of the Fannie and Freddie bailout, Freddie Mac reported today. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage slipped to 5.78 percent this week, down from 5.93 percent a week earlier and considerably lower than the 6.34 percent average seen a year ago. The 15-year fixed [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
  • 10:53 AM » Oil Prices Return to $100 Territory
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:53 AM by www.nytimes.com
    Oil prices shot back up on Thursday, erasing most of a $10-a-barrel decline in just two days.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.nytimes.com
  • 10:50 AM » GE CDS spreads show irrational liquidity fears: analyst
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:50 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - The cost of insuring the debt of General Electric Capital Corp, the finance arm of General Electric Co , has widened to unprecedented levels indicating heightened liquidity fears, but these fears appear "irrational," an analyst at Deutsche Bank said.
  • 10:46 AM » Morgan in Advanced Talks to Merge With Wachovia
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:46 AM by CNBC
    Morgan Stanley is in advanced merger talks with Wachovia Bank, according to sources close to the company.
  • 10:44 AM » Freddie Mac: 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Drops to 5.78%
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:44 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    This is quite a decline in mortgage rates over the last few weeks. From MarketWatch: Freddie Mac: 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average drops Freddie Mac said Thursday the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average ... was 5.78% with an average 0.6 point for the week ending Sept. 18, compared with 5.93% last week. Last year at this time, the average rate was 6.34%.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 10:43 AM » AIG Shareholders Left in the Cold
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:43 AM by Seeking Alpha
    submits: By Jennifer Yousfi In a stunning reversal, the U.S. Federal Reserve offered American International Group Inc. (AIG) access to $85 billion in exchange for a 79.9% stake in the largest domestic insurer.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 10:42 AM » Is There Good News in This Market?
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:42 AM by Seeking Alpha
    Consider All the Bad News We Have Had Home prices have fallen 15% and in some markets about 30%. And expectations for further declines as supply at about 11 months and about 5 indicates stable markets.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 10:41 AM » The Financial Crisis Explained
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:41 AM by Seeking Alpha
    Anton Wahlman submits: 1. Why did the financial meltdown happen? 2. Who is to blame for it?
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 10:40 AM » Links 9/18/08
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:40 AM by feeds.feedburner.com
    Andrew Ross Sorkin Thomas Palley Financial Times (hat tip reader Michael) Bob O'Brien (hat tip reader Richard R) knzn New York Times (hat tip reader Dwight). Seriously not good. Antidote du jour. From reader Steve. A tad obvious, but I couldn't resist:
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 10:40 AM » The Great Unwind Has Begun
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:40 AM by feeds.feedburner.com
    The credit markets had a seizure on Wednesday. To recap the mind-numbing events: Three month T-bills finished at a two basis point yield, and may even have. Signs of ZIRP. Gold rose $68 and is still going up in Asia. The dollar, a sign of continued carry trade unwinds. Credit default swaps on financials blew out, with Morgan Stanley hard hit: Spreads on protection for its bonds rose 220 basis points to over 900. The TED spread, an indicator of stress in the interbank lending markets, shot upwards to 238 basis points. CDS spreads on Treasuries rose to 30 basis points. Nine months ago, CDS on Treasuries were an oddity rather than an actively written contract, and the spread was 2 basis points. Swap spreads . Today's TSLf auction was, as Alea put it, a "" with prices and bid to cover up big time. And the commentary was far from cheery. Kenneth Rogoff, in a Financial Times commentary, said that the US needed a trillon to two trillion dollar bailout. That may seem like a made-up number, and any estimate of the outcomes of an eruption this large is bound to be plenty approximate. However, Rogoff has made an extensive study of financial crises, so it would be a mistake to assume that he made this estimate casually. From the : Were the financial crisis to end today, the costs would be painful but manageable.... Unfortunately, however, the financial crisis is far from over, and it is hard to imagine how the US government is going to succeed in creating a firewall against further contagion without spending five to 10 times more than it has already, that is, an amount closer to $1,000bn to $2,000bn..... It is hard to predict exactly how and when the mega-bail-out will evolve. At some point, we are likely to see a broadening and deepening of deposit insurance, much as the UK did in the case of Northern Rock. Probably, at some point, the government will aim to have a better established algorithm for making bridge loans and for triggering the effective liquidation of...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 10:40 AM » Libor Settings
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:40 AM by acrossthecurve.com
    Libor settings for today have just been posted. Overnight Libor has tumbled to 3.84 percent this morning from 5.00 percent yesterday. That is the good news. One month Libor has jumped to 3.18 percent from 3.02 percent yesterday. Three month Libor has climbed to 3.20 percent today from 3.06 percent yesterday. A money market trader who is a fast and firm friend of the blog suggests that while the actions of the central banks are useful in containing the contagion and improving the psyche of participants, it appears that they have not done enough yet to motivate real investors to depart from the sidelines with their cash holdings.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: acrossthecurve.com
  • 10:39 AM » How AIG Will Affect Homebuilders [Housing Tracker]
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:39 AM by Seeking Alpha
    Seeking Alpha's Housing Tracker is a collection of housing-related excerpts from various sources, grouped by topic. Feel free to post any interesting links on the subject in the comments section below. Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-style-parent:""; font-size:10.0pt;"Times New Roman";}
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 10:39 AM » Nearly Half of Southland Home Sales Foreclosed Properties
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:39 AM by www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
    Homes sales in Southern California slipped from July to August, but were still higher than a year ago as a record price drop meant relative bargains for buyers. A total of 19,366 new and resale homes and condos sold last month, down 4.7 percent from July’s 20,329 sales, but up 9.1 percent from the 17,755 properties [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com
  • 10:17 AM » Morgan Stanley Mulls Deal; End of Independent Investment Banks?
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 10:17 AM by feeds.feedburner.com
    Media reports are suggesting Thursday morning that Morgan Stanley (MS: 22.05 +1.38%) — one of only two independent investment banks left standing — has begun the process of finding a merger partner. Whispers about the future of both Morgan Stanley and fellow independent i-bank Goldman Sachs (GS: 114.85 +0.31%) have grown much louder in the [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 9:52 AM » Homebuilder Legal Troubles, Large and Small [Housing Tracker]
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 9:52 AM by Seeking Alpha
    Seeking Alpha's Housing Tracker is a collection of housing-related excerpts from various sources, grouped by topic. Feel free to post any interesting links on the subject in the comments section below.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 9:46 AM » TCW’s Gundlach: “No market for old men”
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 9:46 AM by feeds.feedburner.com
    The worst of the nation’s housing debacle is yet to come, Jeffrey Gundlach, chief investment officer at Los Angeles-based mutual-fund company TCW Group Inc., told clients on a conference call yesterday. According to MarketWatch, which reported on Gundlach’s remarks, the influential CIO told investors Wednesday that the current credit environment was “no market for old [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 4:31 AM » Top central banks join to ease global funding squeeze
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 4:31 AM by Reuters
    FRANKFURT/TOKYO (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve and the world's top central banks offered to pump billions of dollars into global money markets on Thursday in a coordinated effort to ease a funding squeeze triggered by the upheaval on Wall Street.
  • 4:30 AM » HSBC cited as possible Morgan Stanley suitor: report
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 4:30 AM by Reuters
    SINGAPORE (Reuters) - London-based bank HSBC has been cited as a possible buyer of U.S. investment bank Morgan Stanley , broadcaster CNBC reported.
  • 4:29 AM » Report: Morgan Stanley CEO: 'Need a Partner or Not Going to Make it'
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 4:29 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    This NY Times article has an explosive quote attributed to Morgan Stanley CEO John Mack: As Fears Grow, Wall St. Titans See Shares Fall Seeking to avoid the kind fate that led Lehman and Bear Stearns to collapse, John J. Mack, Morgan Stanley’s chief executive, made an unsuccessful attempt Tuesday evening to convince Citigroup chief executive Vikram S. Pandit to enter into a combination, according
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 4:29 AM » Is the Current Crisis Really as Bad as the Great Depression?
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 4:29 AM by Seeking Alpha
    submits: Nobel-prize winner and former chief economist of the World Bank, that the current financial crisis will continue for at least another eighteen months and in many ways represents a worse situation than the one faced by Americans during the Great Depression of the 1930s. This is clearly the most serious problem since the Great Depression and in some ways worse in terms of the financial institutions.” Stiglitz commented, referring to the fact that lenders are unwilling to take risks to finance each other because they no longer have complete access to their own undertakings let alone those of other institutions.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Seeking Alpha
  • 4:29 AM » Bets on "Too Big To Fail" Finally Fail
    Published Thu, Sep 18 2008 4:29 AM by feeds.feedburner.com
    Bill Gross and PIMCO made a couple bets too many on the concept of "Too Big To Fail". While scoring big on a bet on Fannie and Freddie, Gross gave it back and just a bit more with bets on Lehman (LEH), and AIG. The . Bill Gross's Pimco Total Return Fund, the world's largest bond fund, fell 1.4 percent yesterday, the biggest one-day decline in more than three years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The loss, which compared with the 0.38 percent drop by the benchmark Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index, came as the U.S. government moved to seize American International Group Inc., the largest U.S. insurer. The fund guaranteed $760 million of AIG debt as of June 30, part of a larger bet by Gross that some beaten-down corporate bonds will recover because they are too important for the government to let fail. Gross's fund has fallen 2.3 percent since Sept. 8, reducing the gain this year to 2.8 percent. It ranks ahead of 92 percent of similarly managed funds, Bloomberg data show. Gross, 64, Pimco's co-chief investment officer, has made successful bets on mortgage-backed securities, Morningstar's Jones said. About 65 percent of the fund's holdings were mortgage-backed securities on June 30. Gross also favored bonds of corporations that were "under the Fed umbrella," meaning they were so big or important to the U.S. or global financial markets that the government couldn't allow them to fail, Jones said. The bankruptcy of Lehman (LEH) and the handling of AIG shows a deceasing willingness of the Fed to assume full responsibility for moral hazard bets as the Fed did with Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE). Those betting on "Too Big To Fail" better think twice. It appears the Fed's balance sheet is becoming stuffed to the gills and it is reluctant to take on too much more risk, too quickly. Pretty soon, the ability of the Fed to inflate will come into question, printing or not. Mike "Mish" Shedlock...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • Wed, Sep 17 2008
  • 4:43 PM » California Sees Foreclosures Drop in August
    Published Wed, Sep 17 2008 4:43 PM by feeds.feedburner.com
    Good news, kind of: California saw both notices and trustee sale and actual foreclosure sales drop during August — but that drop may say more about servicers than it suggests any improvement in statewide housing, according to a report released Tuesday evening by ForeclosureRadar. The company maintains a database of foreclosure actions within the state [...]
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: feeds.feedburner.com
  • 4:41 PM » In Asia, the Bloom Is Off the A.I.G. Rose
    Published Wed, Sep 17 2008 4:41 PM by www.nytimes.com
    If A.I.G.’s reputation suffers heavily, the company will face an uphill battle in Asia and its other global markets.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.nytimes.com
  • 4:39 PM » AIG's businesses for sale as bailout buys insurer time
    Published Wed, Sep 17 2008 4:39 PM by Market Watch
    The $85 billion government bailout of the insurance giant buys it some time to sell businesses such as its aircraft-leasing unit, the asset-management division and even its market-leading life insurance and property and casualty operations, experts say.
  • 4:38 PM » FundWatch: Firms scramble to keep money market investors calm
    Published Wed, Sep 17 2008 4:38 PM by Market Watch
    NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Fund companies raced to reassure investors on Wednesday that their money market funds are in no danger of falling below $1 a share and losing money in the wake of a run on a popular fund and another major plunge in stocks on Wall Street.
  • 4:37 PM » Treasury to give Fed cash for its liquidity moves
    Published Wed, Sep 17 2008 4:37 PM by Market Watch
    Treasury Department announces it will provide cash to the Federal Reserve through a new auction program to fund the central bank's operations to provide liquidity to financial markets.
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