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  • Mon, Feb 5 2018
  • 10:06 AM » ISM non-manufacturing index hits 59.9 in January, vs. 56.5 estimate
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 10:06 AM by CNBC
    The service sector has seen continued expansion for 96 consecutive months.
  • 9:17 AM » New Fed chairman Powell has his hands full as he takes office
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 9:17 AM by CNBC
    Jerome Powell will have his hands full Monday morning when he takes over as head of the Federal Reserve.
  • 9:17 AM » Wall Street set to open lower as rising bond yields weigh
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 9:17 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - U.S. stocks looked set to open lower on Monday as rising bond yields continued to fuel the selloff in equities and hints of inflation pickup triggered concerns that the Federal Reserve might have to raise interest rates more quickly.
  • 8:45 AM » Fed puts brakes on Wells Fargo when bank needs to step on gas
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 8:45 AM by Reuters
    BOSTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's surprise ban on Wells Fargo & Co growing its balance sheet comes at a difficult juncture for the United States' third-largest lender.
  • 8:44 AM » Green Single-family Building Practices
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 8:44 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    In a sample of homes from 246 single-family builders, about one-fourth have enough green features to meet the minimum point requirement for certification under the National Green Building Standard™ (NGBS). However, only about 11 percent of the homes actually have NGBS certifications, according to a recently released report from NAHB. The report is based on NAHB’s Green Practices Survey, which was conducted in several stages during 2017 and collected information on sustainable and... Read More ›
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 8:44 AM » Wildfires Threaten $1.5 Trillion Worth of Homes in the United States
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 8:44 AM by www.redfin.com
    According to a Redfin report, Wildfires threaten $1.5 trillion worth of homes in the United States The post Wildfires Threaten $1.5 Trillion Worth of Homes in the United States appeared first on Redfin Real-Time .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.redfin.com
  • 8:44 AM » Janet Yellen calls stock market, real estate valuations 'high' in last interview before exit as Fed chief
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 8:44 AM by CNBC
    Janet Yellen ended her long career at the Fed with concerns over how high the stock market has surged under her watch.
  • 8:29 AM » U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Decline Slightly in 2017, Lowest since 2006
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 8:29 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From the U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Fall 0.7% - Smallest 12-Month Decline Since 2010 Bankruptcy filings in the 12-month period ending December 31, 2017, fell just 0.7 percent, compared with bankruptcy cases filed in calendar year 2016. According to newly released data, 789,020 cases were filed in 2017, compared with 794,960 in the previous year. The percentage decline is the smallest for a 12-month period since bankruptcy filings reached a peak in 2010. The number of bankruptcy filings is the lowest for any calendar year since 2006 , and the seventh consecutive calendar year that filings have fallen . Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the business and non-business bankruptcy filings by calendar year since 2001. The sharp decline in 2006 was due to the so-called "Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act of 2005". (a good example of Orwellian named legislation since this was more a "Lender Protection Act"). Other than 2006, this was the lowest level for filings since 1995. This is another indicator of an economy that has mostly recovered from the housing bust and financial crisis.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 8:29 AM » US futures extend losses on the back of global selloff
    Published Mon, Feb 05 2018 8:29 AM by CNBC
    U.S. stock index futures posted sharp declines ahead of Monday's open, extending losses from the previous session on Wall Street.
  • Fri, Feb 2 2018
  • 4:41 PM » Treasury Yield at 3% May Mark End of Rout, or Just the Beginning
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 4:41 PM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Treasury Yield at 3% May Mark End of Rout, or Just the Beginning Bloomberg The 10-year Treasury yield appears destined to test 3 percent, Wall Street's best and brightest agree. Whether it will continue its ascent from there is another story. The biggest January wage gain in more than a decade is adding to bearish speculation ... and more »
  • 4:28 PM » CFPB launches new formatting tool for HMDA reporting
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 4:28 PM by www.consumerfinancemonitor.com
    On February 1, the CFPB announced the launch of the 2018 HMDA LAR Formatting Tool (the "Tool"). The Tool will help financial institutions create an electronic file to submit HMDA data collected in 2018 and reported in 2019. The Tool is not needed if the financial institution uses vendor or loan origination software to format... Continue Reading
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.consumerfinancemonitor.com
  • 2:54 PM » Trump Watching Bond Yield Surge Higher, Not Worried, Cohn Says
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 2:54 PM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Trump Watching Bond Yield Surge Higher, Not Worried, Cohn Says Bloomberg President Donald Trump is monitoring but not worried about the recent rise in long-term market interest rates, his chief economic adviser Gary Cohn said in an interview with Bloomberg Television on Friday. "He's not concerned, but we are watching it ... and more »
  • 2:49 PM » Dow sheds 400 points as bond yields rise on strong jobs data
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 2:49 PM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - The S&P and the Dow were headed for their worst week in two years on Friday, as robust U.S. jobs data pushed up bond yields further and boosted chances of more interest rate hikes this year.
  • 2:49 PM » 10 States Predicted to Have Strong Housing Markets in 2018
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 2:49 PM by www.realtor.com
    As we enter 2018, the housing market is slated to remain among the world's top performers, with home prices expected to rise 4.6%. These states are predicted to be among the top performers this year. The post 10 States Predicted to Have Strong Housing Markets in 2018 appeared first on Real Estate News & Insights | realtor.com® .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.realtor.com
  • 12:49 PM » Winter may be the best time to rent an apartment
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 12:49 PM by CNBC
    If you want to save on an apartment lease, winter may offer cheaper rates - but fewer options.
  • 11:39 AM » Mortgage rates jump even higher after positive jobs report
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 11:39 AM by CNBC
    A strong employment report sent bond yields even higher, and mortgage rates loosely follow the yield on the 10-year Treasury.
  • 11:22 AM » Update: "Scariest jobs chart ever"
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 11:22 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    During and following the 2007 recession, every month I posted a graph showing the percent jobs lost during the recession compared to previous post-WWII recessions. Some people started calling this the "scariest jobs chart ever".  In 2009 it was pretty scary! I retired the graph in May 2014 when employment finally exceeded the pre-recession peak. I keep getting asked if I could post an update to the graph, and here it is through the January 2018 report. This graph shows the job losses from the start of the employment recession, in percentage terms, compared to previous post WWII recessions.  Since exceeding the pre-recession peak in May 2014, employment is now 6.8% above the previous peak. Note: I ended the lines for most previous recessions when employment reached a new peak, although I continued the 2001 recession too on this graph.  The downturn at the end of the 2001 recession is the beginning of the 2007 recession.  I don't expect a downturn for employment any time soon (unlike in 2007 when I was forecasting a recession).
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 11:14 AM » Comments on January Employment Report
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 11:14 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    The headline jobs number was above consensus expectations at 200 thousand, however the previously two months were revised down a combined 24 thousand.  Overall this was a strong report, with a nice pickup in wage growth. Earlier: January Employment Report: 200,000 Jobs Added, 4.1% Unemployment Rate In January, the year-over-year employment change was 2.114 million jobs. This has been generally trending down, but is still solid year-over-year growth. Average Hourly Earnings Click on graph for larger image. This graph is based on "Average Hourly Earnings" from the Current Employment Statistics (CES) (aka "Establishment") monthly employment report. Note: There are also two quarterly sources for earnings data: 1) "Hourly Compensation," from the BLS's Productivity and Costs ; and 2) the Employment Cost Index which includes wage/salary and benefit compensation. The graph shows the nominal year-over-year change in "Average Hourly Earnings" for all private employees.  Nominal wage growth was at 2.9% YoY in January. Wage growth had been trending up, although the acceleration in wage growth slowed in 2017. Part Time for Economic Reasons From the BLS report : The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was essentially unchanged at 5.0 million in January. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job. The number of persons working part time for economic reasons has been generally trending down, however the number increased slightly in January. The number working part time for economic reasons suggests a little slack still in the labor market. These workers are included in the alternate measure of labor underutilization (U-6) that increased to 8.2% in January. Unemployed over 26 Weeks This graph shows the...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 10:41 AM » Yellen to start Monday at Brookings Institution, following Bernanke
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 10:41 AM by CNBC
    Departing Fed Chair Janet Yellen will have a new job on Monday.
  • 10:33 AM » US consumer sentiment at 95.7 in Jan, vs 95.0 reading expected
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 10:33 AM by CNBC
    Economists polled by Reuters expected the University of Michigan's survey of consumer attitudes for January to slip to 95.0 from 95.9 a month earlier.
  • 10:07 AM » US factory orders post fifth straight monthly increase
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 10:07 AM by CNBC
    New orders for U.S.-made goods increased more than expected in December, but spending on equipment appeared to be slowing after strong growth in 2017.
  • 10:02 AM » D.C. Circuit Rules That CFPB's View of RESPA Was Wrong But That its Structure is Constitutional
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 10:02 AM by www.consumerfinancemonitor.com
    On January 31, 2018, the en banc D.C. Circuit handed down its opinion in the PHH v. CFPB case, which we've discussed at length. It held, 7 to 3, that the CFPB's single-director-removable-only-for-cause structure is constitutional but that the CFPB's interpretation of RESPA was wrong. En Banc Court Reinstates Panel's RESPA Ruling The en banc... Continue Reading
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.consumerfinancemonitor.com
  • 9:53 AM » Here's where the jobs are – in one chart
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 9:53 AM by CNBC
    Job gains in January were led by health care and construction industries.
  • 9:30 AM » Minneapolis Fed's Kashkari: Strong January jobs data show 'one of the first signs' of long-awaited wage growth
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 9:30 AM by CNBC
    "The most important thing that I saw in a quick review of the jobs data is wage growth," Kashkari says.
  • 9:18 AM » UK Bonds Decline as Yields Reach Highest Since Brexit Vote
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 9:18 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg UK Bonds Decline as Yields Reach Highest Since Brexit Vote Bloomberg U.K. 10-year bond yields climbed to the highest level since the nation voted to leave the European Union amid a broad selloff in global sovereign debt and growing expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates sooner than expected ... and more »
  • 9:18 AM » Dow futures drop 250 points as bond yields rise; jobs data eyed
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 9:18 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were sharply lower on Friday, with Dow futures dropping more than 250 points, as bond yields rose to multi-year highs and investors awaited key U.S. jobs data.
  • 8:45 AM » US created 200,000 jobs in January, vs 180,000 jobs expected
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 8:45 AM by CNBC
    Nonfarm payrolls were expected to increase by 180,000 in January and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.1 percent, according to Reuters.
  • 8:45 AM » Is the Fed's Inflation Target Kaput?
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 8:45 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Is the Fed's Inflation Target Kaput? Bloomberg As Jerome Powell prepares to take over as chairman of the Federal Reserve on Feb. 5, some of his colleagues are publicly agitating for a radical rethink of the central bank's playbook for guiding monetary policy. Behind the push for reconsideration of ... and more »
  • 8:31 AM » ECB Official Warns Markets Are Unprepared for Inflation Bogeyman
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 8:31 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg ECB Official Warns Markets Are Unprepared for Inflation Bogeyman Bloomberg The global market rally is unprepared for one potential killjoy, and the European Central Bank has taken note. Clouds settled over the euphoria this week as 10-year Treasury yields jumped to their highest levels since 2014. That may prove a tame ... and more »
  • 8:30 AM » As retailers herald tax savings, they're still closing stores and laying off workers
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 8:30 AM by CNBC
    Despite giving out bonuses and employee raises, retailers are still closing stores and laying off workers.
  • 8:30 AM » Crude oil has 'nowhere to go from here but down,' says market watcher
    Published Fri, Feb 02 2018 8:30 AM by CNBC
    Some market watchers say that after a historically strong start to the year, crude oil is due for a breather.
  • Thu, Feb 1 2018
  • 4:30 PM » U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decline to 17.1 million annual rate in January
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 4:30 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Based on a preliminary estimate from AutoData, light vehicle sales were at a 17.1 million SAAR in January. That is down 1.2% from January 2017, and down 3.8% from last month. Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the historical light vehicle sales from the BEA (blue) and an estimate for January (red, light vehicle sales of 17.12 million SAAR  from AutoData). This was below the consensus forecast of 17.3 million for January. Note that the increase in sales at the end of 2017 was due to buying following the hurricanes. Sales will probably decline again in 2018 after setting a new sales records in both 2015 and 2016. The second graph shows light vehicle sales since the BEA started keeping data in 1967. Note: dashed line is current estimated sales rate.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 3:54 PM » Wall St. pulls back from earlier gains as bond yields rise
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 3:54 PM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - U.S. stocks pulled back from earlier gains on Thursday as bond yields rose and technology stocks retreated ahead of a host of high-profile earnings.
  • 2:35 PM » Average U.S. Home Seller Profits At 10-Year High
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 2:35 PM by www.builderonline.com
    Average U.S. Home Seller Profits At 10-Year High
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.builderonline.com
  • 2:01 PM » To address tight housing inventory, we need better measures of housing supply
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 2:01 PM by webfeeds.brookings.edu
    Browse the real estate section of your local newspaper, and you're likely to see the phrase "lack of inventory." In simple terms, this means there are more people seeking to buy (or rent) homes than houses currently available for sale. If inventory remains tight for several months, prices will rise and housing affordability-already a concern…                
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: webfeeds.brookings.edu
  • 2:00 PM » Private Residential Spending Reaches Cycle High
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 2:00 PM by eyeonhousing.org
    NAHB analysis of Census Construction Spending data shows that total private residential construction spending rose 0.5% in December to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $526.1 billion, the highest level since March 2007. Total private residential construction spending rose 6.2% last year, after increasing 12.5% in 2016. The monthly gains are largely attributed to the increase in multifamily construction spending.... Read More ›
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 12:59 PM » Economy to grow at 5.4% rate in first quarter, Atlanta Fed tracker shows
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 12:59 PM by CNBC
    GDP is expected to surge 5.4 percent to start 2018, the Atlanta Fed estimated in its latest rolling look.
  • 12:31 PM » Freddie Mac Names Top Multifamily Lenders for 2017
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 12:31 PM by freddiemac.mwnewsroom.com
    Freddie Mac Names Top Multifamily Lenders for 2017
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: freddiemac.mwnewsroom.com
  • 11:09 AM » Home Sellers Are Really Cashing In These Days, Report Finds
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 11:09 AM by www.realtor.com
    Home sellers made a record amount of profit on their homes in the last quarter of 2017, according to a recent real estate report. The post Home Sellers Are Really Cashing In These Days, Report Finds appeared first on Real Estate News & Insights | realtor.com® .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.realtor.com
  • 10:19 AM » ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 59.1 in January
    Published Thu, Feb 01 2018 10:19 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    The ISM manufacturing index indicated expansion in January. The PMI was at 59.1% in January, down from 59.3% in December. The employment index was at 54.2%, down from 57.2% last month, and the new orders index was at 65.4%, down from 67.4%. From the Institute for Supply Management: January 2018 Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business® Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in January, and the overall economy grew for the 105th consecutive month, say the nation's supply executives in the latest Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®. The report was issued today by Timothy R. Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M., Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: " The January PMI® registered 59.1 percent , a decrease of 0.2 percentage point from the seasonally adjusted December reading of 59.3 percent. The New Orders Index registered 65.4 percent , a decrease of 2 percentage points from the seasonally adjusted December reading of 67.4 percent. The Production Index registered 64.5 percent, a 0.7 percentage point decrease compared to the seasonally adjusted December reading of 65.2 percent. The Employment Index registered 54.2 percent , a decrease of 3.9 percentage points from the seasonally adjusted December reading of 58.1 percent. The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 59.1 percent, a 1.9 percentage point increase from the seasonally adjusted December reading of 57.2 percent. The Inventories Index registered 52.3 percent, an increase of 3.8 percentage points from the December reading of 48.5 percent. The Prices Index registered 72.7 percent in January, a 4.4 percentage point increase from the December reading of 68.3 percent, indicating higher raw materials prices for the 23rd consecutive month. emphasis added Click on graph for larger image. Here is a long term graph of the ISM manufacturing index. This was above expectations of 58.7%, and suggests manufacturing expanded at a...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
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