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  • Thu, Nov 21 2019
  • 3:06 PM » Wall Street muted on doubts over progress in U.S.-China trade deal
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 3:06 PM by Reuters
    The S&P 500 and Dow indexes treaded water on Thursday as mixed headlines on U.S-China trade relations and a diplomatic row over the Hong Kong protests added to uncertainty over the timing of a "phase one" deal.
  • 3:05 PM » Here's why recent bond ETF outflows aren't as dire as investors think
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 3:05 PM by CNBC
    The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has seen notable outflows in recent weeks, but industry leaders say the bond market bull case is still intact.
  • 9:59 AM » New Single-Family Home Size Trending Lower
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 9:59 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    New single-family home size trended lower during the third quarter of 2019 as interest rates remained low. According to third quarter 2019 data from the Census Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis, median single-family square floor area ticked up to 2,264 square feet. Average (mean) square footage for new single-family homes declined to 2,464 square... Read More ›
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 9:23 AM » Cleveland Fed's Mester urges regulators to become more agile on cybersecurity risks
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 9:23 AM by Reuters
    Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester said on Thursday that financial firms and regulators should be more agile and share information to better combat cybersecurity threats.
  • 8:58 AM » Philly Fed Manufacturing shows "Overall Growth in November"
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 8:58 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From the Philly Fed: Current Manufacturing Indexes Suggest Overall Growth in November Manufacturing activity in the region continued to grow, according to results from the November Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The survey's broad indicators remained positive, although their movements were mixed this month: The indicator for general activity increased, but the new orders, shipments, and employment indicators decreased from their readings last month. The survey's future activity indexes remained positive, suggesting continued optimism about growth for the next six months. The diffusion index for current general activity rose 5 points this month to 10.4 , after decreasing 6 points in October. emphasis added This was slightly above the consensus forecast. Here is a graph comparing the regional Fed surveys and the ISM manufacturing index: Click on graph for larger image. The New York and Philly Fed surveys are averaged together (yellow, through November), and five Fed surveys are averaged (blue, through October) including New York, Philly, Richmond, Dallas and Kansas City. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) PMI (red) is through October (right axis). These early reports suggest the ISM manufacturing index will probably be weak again in November - but might increase a little.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 8:41 AM » US weekly jobless claims unchanged at five-month high
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 8:41 AM by CNBC
    The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits was unexpectedly unchanged at a five-month high last week.
  • 8:20 AM » US, China on ‘doorstep' of trade war deal, but ‘phase one' tariff removal holding up talks, sources say
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 8:20 AM by www.scmp.com
    US, China on 'doorstep' of trade war deal, but 'phase one' tariff removal holding up talks, sources say
  • 8:01 AM » The Fed's Torn Over Options to Control Its Benchmark Policy Rate
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 8:01 AM by Bloomberg
    The Fed's Torn Over Options to Control Its Benchmark Policy Rate    Bloomberg
  • 7:59 AM » Millennials Still Want Single-Family Homes, Even if it Means a Long Commute
    Published Thu, Nov 21 2019 7:59 AM by www.redfin.com
    28% of homebuyers say living space is the most important factor in their home search, nearly triple the share who chose proximity to work. The post Millennials Still Want Single-Family Homes, Even if it Means a Long Commute appeared first on Redfin Blog .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.redfin.com
  • Wed, Nov 20 2019
  • 2:53 PM » Wall Street drops on trade deal delay concerns
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 2:53 PM by Reuters
    Wall Street's main indexes were lower on Wednesday on concerns that a "phase one" trade deal between Washington and Beijing may not be completed this year, and minutes from the Federal Reserve's October policy meeting offered little help.
  • 2:53 PM » Fed minutes show rates on hold; not clear what would change that
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 2:53 PM by Reuters
    An increasingly divided Federal Reserve that decided to hit pause in its easing cycle following a rate cut at its October meeting offered little guidance on what would cause policymakers to change their minds on the outlook, minutes of the central bank's last policy meeting showed.
  • 2:52 PM » CAR on California October Housing: Sales up 1.9% YoY, Inventory down 18%
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 2:52 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    The CAR reported: California housing market holds steady in October, C.A.R. reports Shrinking inventory subdued California home sales and held home sales and prices steady in October, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) said today. Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 404,240 units in October, according to information collected by C.A.R. from more than 90 local REALTOR® associations and MLSs statewide. The statewide annualized sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2019 if sales maintained the October pace throughout the year. It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales. October's sales figure was up 0.1 percent from the 404,030 level in September and up 1.9 percent from home sales in October 2018 of a revised 396,720. "The California housing market continued to see gradual improvement in recent months as the current mortgage environment remains favorable to those who want to buy a home. With interest rates remaining historically low for the foreseeable future, motivated buyers finding that homes are slightly more affordable may seize the opportunity and resume their home search," said 2020 C.A.R. President Jeanne Radsick, a second-generation REALTOR® from Bakersfield, Calif. "Additionally, the condominium loan policies that went into effect mid-October could help buyers for whom single-family homes are out of reach." ... After 15 straight months of year-over-year increases, active listings fell for the fourth straight month, dropping 18.0 percent from year ago . The decline was the largest since May 2013. The Unsold Inventory Index (UII), which is a ratio of inventory over sales, was 3.0 months in October, down from 3.6 in both September 2019 and October 2018. It was the lowest level since June 2018. The index measures the number of months it would take...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 2:52 PM » 'Phase One' U.S.-China trade deal may not be completed this year: trade sources
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 2:52 PM by Reuters
    Completion of a "phase one" U.S.-China trade deal could slide into next year, trade experts and people close to the White House said, as Beijing presses for more extensive tariff rollbacks, and the Trump administration counters with heightened demands of its own.
  • 2:52 PM » Multifamily Six-Year Streak of Gains Ended in 2018
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 2:52 PM by eyeonhousing.org
    For only the second year since the Great Recession, multifamily unit completions declined in 2018, according to NAHB analysis of the latest annual multifamily data from the Survey of Construction (SOC). As is typical, the number of multifamily units completed for rent exceeds the number of units completed for sale (92% rental share). In 2018, the number of units completed... Read More ›
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 11:15 AM » AIA: "Architecture Billings Index Rebounds After Two Down Months"
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 11:15 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Note: This index is a leading indicator primarily for new Commercial Real Estate (CRE) investment. From the AIA: Architecture Billings Index Rebounds After Two Down Months Following a two month decline in demand for design services, architecture billings got a bounce in October, according to a new report released today from the American Institute of Architects (AIA). The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score in October is 52.0 , up from the September score of 49.7. This score reflects an increase in design services (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). During October, both the new project inquiries and design contracts scores moderated from September but remained positive, posting scores of 57.9 and 52.9 respectively. "Although ongoing uncertainty over the direction of economic growth persists, a strong stock market and growing payrolls at U.S. businesses continue to generate more construction projects," said AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. "With most regional and sector billing scores at architecture firms improving from the previous month, we're seeing a bit of a rebound from disappointing levels of design activity in recent months." ... • Regional averages: South (55.5); West (51.3); Midwest (49.9); Northeast (47.2) • Sector index breakdown: mixed practice (55.2); multi-family residential (54.0); institutional (49.9); commercial/industrial (49.3) emphasis added Click on graph for larger image. This graph shows the Architecture Billings Index since 1996. The index was at 52.0 in October, up from 49.7 in September. Anything above 50 indicates expansion in demand for architects' services. Note: This includes commercial and industrial facilities like hotels and office buildings, multi-family residential, as well as schools, hospitals and other institutions. According to the AIA, there is an "approximate nine to twelve month lag time between architecture billings and construction spending" on non...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 10:32 AM » Fed's Lael Brainard says she wants to wait and see how economy is doing before moving rates again
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 10:32 AM by CNBC
    Fed's Lael Brainard says she wants to wait and see how economy is doing before moving rates again<br/>https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/20/feds-lael-brainard-says-she-wants-to-wait-and-see-how-economy-is-doing-before-moving-rates-again.html
  • 9:29 AM » Single-Family Built-for-Rent Market: 3Q19
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 9:29 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    The number of single-family homes built-for-rent posted a small decline during third quarter of 2019. This market has received recent attention as a means to add single-family inventory amid concerns over housing affordability and downpayment requirements in the for-sale market. Single-family built-for-rent (SFBFR) construction does differ in structure characteristics compared other single-family homes. According to NAHB's analysis of data from the... Read More ›
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 8:15 AM » China's economic slowdown amid US strength may cause it to strike a trade deal soon, Nomura says
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 8:15 AM by CNBC
    It appears that the trade war is taking a bigger toll on China's economy than that of the U.S. and that may prompt the Chinese to surrender, according to Nomura.
  • 8:03 AM » What the Fed meeting minutes could say about interest rates that Powell didn't say
    Published Wed, Nov 20 2019 8:03 AM by CNBC
    The Fed says it has no plans to cut interest rates, but market pros hope minutes from the last Fed meeting contain some clues about policy.
  • Tue, Nov 19 2019
  • 4:39 PM » US, China Explore Tariff Relief Using Failed Proposal From May
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 4:39 PM by Bloomberg
    US, China Explore Tariff Relief Using Failed Proposal From May    Bloomberg
  • 4:12 PM » U.S. House approves bill to avert government shutdown this week
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 4:12 PM by Reuters
    The U.S. House of Representatives on Tuesday approved legislation to avert a widespread government shutdown later this week with a bill extending temporary federal funding through Dec. 20.
  • 2:51 PM » U.S. housing finance agency to revisit key Fannie, Freddie capital rule
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 2:51 PM by Reuters
    U.S. housing finance agency to revisit key Fannie, Freddie capital rule
  • 2:24 PM » Sacramento Housing in October: Sales Up 7.1% YoY, Active Inventory DOWN 25% YoY
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 2:24 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From SacRealtor.org: Sales volume jumps for October, prices remain flat October saw a 10.6% increase in sales volume, jumping from 1,393 in September to 1,540 units this month. Compared to one year ago (1,438), the current figure is up 7.1% . ... The Active Listing Inventory decreased from 2,457 to 2,301 units. The Months of Inventory decreased from 1.8 to 1.5 Months. This figure represents the amount of time (in months) it would take for the current rate of sales to deplete the total active listing inventory. [Note: Compared to October 2018, inventory is down 24.1% ] . ... The Median DOM (days on market) increased from at 12 to 14 and the Average DOM increased from 25 to 28. "Days on market" represents the days between the initial listing of the home as "active" and the day it goes "pending." Of the 1,540 sales this month, 71% (1,094) were on the market for 30 days or less and 86.6% (1,335) were on the market for 60 days or less. emphasis added 1) Overall sales increased to 1,540 in October, up from 1,438 in October 2018. Sales were up 10.6% from September 2019 (previous month), and up 7.1% from October 2018. 2) Active inventory was at 2,301, down from 3,060 in October 2018. That is down 24.8% year-over-year.  This is the sixth consecutive YoY decline following 20 months of YoY increases in inventory.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 1:03 PM » Renting a single-family house just got more expensive
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 1:03 PM by CNBC
    As more Americans find it harder to afford to buy a home, rental demand is soaring, especially for single-family homes.
  • 10:46 AM » Elizabeth Warren released a plan to lower the cost of renting a home by 10%—here's how
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 10:46 AM by CNBC
    On Monday, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren released a plan that addresses the issues that impact renters. In the plan titled 'Protecting and Empowering Renters,' Warren lays out policies she says can lower rents by 10%.
  • 9:46 AM » Fed's Williams says rates are 'in the right place' but policy is not set in stone
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 9:46 AM by CNBC
    Williams made his remarks in a speech Tuesday during which he also said inflation is trending to the central bank's 2% goal.
  • 8:27 AM » All-Cash Offers Triple Homebuyer Odds of Winning a Bidding War
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 8:27 AM by www.redfin.com
    Which strategies will increase your odds of winning a bidding war? We analyzed 9,000 offers written by Redfin agents and found the answer. The post All-Cash Offers Triple Homebuyer Odds of Winning a Bidding War appeared first on Redfin Blog .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.redfin.com
  • 8:25 AM » Voters Express Frustration With Homelessness in California
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 8:25 AM by www.builderonline.com
    Voters Express Frustration With Homelessness in California
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.builderonline.com
  • 8:25 AM » Home Depot cuts sales goal as online push not delivering as expected
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 8:25 AM by Reuters
    Home Depot Inc said on Tuesday the marriage of its online and brick-and-mortar businesses was not yet generating as much revenue as it had expected, prompting the retailer to cut its 2019 sales forecast for the second time this year.
  • 8:25 AM » U.S. Home Prices up 5.4% in October
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 8:25 AM by www.redfin.com
    U.S. home-sale prices increased 5.4%year over year in October to a median of $313,200 across the 217 metros Redfin tracks. The post U.S. Home Prices up 5.4% in October appeared first on Redfin Blog .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.redfin.com
  • 8:25 AM » Trump says he told Fed's Powell U.S. interest rates are too high
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 8:25 AM by Reuters
    U.S. President Donald Trump said he complained to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell about high U.S. interest rates in a meeting they held at the White House on Monday morning.
  • 8:24 AM » Global economy dodges recession by narrowest of margins: Kemp
    Published Tue, Nov 19 2019 8:24 AM by Reuters
    The global economy may have narrowly avoided a recession, with most industrial and financial indicators pointing to a slight improvement in September-October after a sharp slowdown in the middle of the year.
  • Mon, Nov 18 2019
  • 4:41 PM » Stocks climb on Huawei extension, buoying U.S. Treasuries
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 4:41 PM by Reuters
    Global equity markets edged higher on Monday, lifting prices of U.S. government debt, as a new 90-day extension allowing U.S. companies to do business with China's Huawei eased the latest spike in investor angst over U.S.-Sino trade tensions.
  • 2:57 PM » The Fed is on hold for now, but it might not take much to change that
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 2:57 PM by CNBC
    Several Wall Street experts think the central bank will have to cut at least once more in 2020, with some expecting as many as three quarter-point reductions.
  • 1:32 PM » U.S. growth outlook in 2020 improves despite trade risk: Fannie Mae
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 1:32 PM by Reuters
    Fannie Mae on Monday upgraded its forecast for 2020 U.S. economic growth to 1.9% from 1.7%, arguing that consumer spending and the housing market will buoy gross domestic product if a "phase one" trade deal between the United States and China is signed.
  • 11:35 AM » Trump says 'cordial' talk with Fed's Powell covered negative interest rates, trade
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 11:35 AM by Reuters
    U.S. President Donald Trump said he met with U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Monday and discussed a wide range of topics including negative interest rates, monetary policy easing, dollar strength and U.S. trade with China and the European Union.
  • 10:54 AM » 'The bond phenomenon of 2019' isn't over yet, says trader
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 10:54 AM by CNBC
    The bond market's counterintuitive action in 2019 hasn't ended yet as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield flirts with the 2% level, says Jeff Kilburg, a longtime trader and the founder and CEO of KKM Financial.
  • 10:54 AM » Fed says Chair Jerome Powell met with Trump, Mnuchin to discuss the economy
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 10:54 AM by CNBC
    Fed says Chair Jerome Powell met with Trump, Mnuchin to discuss the economy<br/>https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/18/fed-says-chair-jerome-powell-met-with-trump-mnuchin-to-discuss-the-economy.html
  • 10:11 AM » Homebuilder confidence slips slightly in November
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 10:11 AM by CNBC
    The nation's single-family homebuilders are feeling very positive about their business, but a monthly sentiment indicator fell in November from a recent high.
  • 9:23 AM » The Bond Trade That's Gone From Zero to $88 Billion in Two Years
    Published Mon, Nov 18 2019 9:23 AM by Bloomberg
    The Bond Trade That's Gone From Zero to $88 Billion in Two Years    Bloomberg
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Mortgage Rates:
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Recent Housing Data:
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