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  • Fri, Nov 27 2020
  • 11:11 AM » Evictions have led to hundreds of thousands of additional Covid-19 cases, research finds
    Published Fri, Nov 27 2020 11:11 AM by CNBC
    Expiring state eviction bans have led to hundreds of thousands of additional coronavirus cases, new research finds.
  • 9:59 AM » How to break the late rent, missed mortgage payment cycle
    Published Fri, Nov 27 2020 9:59 AM by CNBC
    As many as 35 million Americans face eviction due to an inability to make housing payments. Here's a step-by-step plan to keep yourself in your home, for good.
  • 8:03 AM » Treasury yields edge lower amid low volumes
    Published Fri, Nov 27 2020 8:03 AM by CNBC
    U.S. Treasury yields dipped on Friday morning, amid low volumes, as investors returned from the Thanksgiving holiday.
  • 8:02 AM » Main Street pins hopes on Small Business Saturday sales to help stay afloat
    Published Fri, Nov 27 2020 8:02 AM by CNBC
    It's uncertain how Small Business Saturday on Nov. 28 will move the needle and help the millions of business owners on Main Street struggling to survive.
  • Wed, Nov 25 2020
  • 4:06 PM » Fed weighed adjusting bond purchases to provide more help to economy 'fairly soon,' minutes show - CNBC
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 4:06 PM by news.google.com
    Fed weighed adjusting bond purchases to provide more help to economy 'fairly soon,' minutes show    CNBC Boston Fed issues guidance for lenders on end of Main Street program    Economic Times U.S. stocks dip after Fed minutes show no immediate change to asset-purchase plan    MarketWatch The market is looking for clues from the Fed on whether it will adjust bond buying    CNBC Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee    Forex Factory View Full Coverage on Google News
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: news.google.com
  • 2:26 PM » Fed releases minutes from November meeting
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 2:26 PM by CNBC
    Officials at the meeting voted to keep benchmark short-term borrowing rates anchored near zero.
  • 2:03 PM » Fed Minutes: Full Text
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 2:03 PM by Federal Reserve
    Developments in Financial Markets and Open Market Operations
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Federal Reserve
  • 12:55 PM » The CDC is expected to shorten Covid quarantine time, something most everyone seems to agree on
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 12:55 PM by CNBC
    "I mean, frankly we probably should have done this sooner," Dr. Scott Gottlieb, the former U.S. Food and Drug Administration commissioner, told CNBC.
  • 10:38 AM » Buying a home: Why it's harder for younger generations than their parents
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 10:38 AM by CNBC
    A report by the Urban Institute estimates 3.4 millennials would be homeowners had the rate of homeownership kept up with previous generations.
  • 10:32 AM » Yellen would need Congress to approve use of clawed-back Fed loan funds, Treasury says
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 10:32 AM by news.google.com
    Yellen would need Congress to approve use of clawed-back Fed loan funds, Treasury says    Reuters Mnuchin Plans to Put $455 Billion Beyond Yellen's Easy Reach    Bloomberg If Congress doesn't act, a lot of damage will be done between now and February: Fmr. Treasury Sec.    CNBC Television Janet Yellen will champion Main Street, not Wall Street    USA TODAY Janet Yellen is the treasury secretary we need right now    The Washington Post View Full Coverage on Google News
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: news.google.com
  • 10:31 AM » Personal Income decreased 0.7% in October, Spending increased 0.5%
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 10:31 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    The BEA released the Personal Income and Outlays report for October: Personal income decreased $130.1 billion (0.7 percent) in October according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) decreased $134.8 billion (0.8 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $70.9 billion (0.5 percent) . Real DPI decreased 0.8 percent in October and Real PCE increased 0.5 percent. The PCE price index was unchanged from September. The PCE price index excluding food and energy was also unchanged. emphasis added The October PCE price index increased 1.2 percent year-over-year and the October PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 1.4 percent year-over-year. The following graph shows real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) through October 2020 (2012 dollars). Note that the y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the change . Click on graph for larger image. The dashed red lines are the quarterly levels for real PCE. Personal income was much lower than expected,  and the increase in PCE was above expectations. Note the red line for Q3 (the quarterly level of PCE).   This was 3.3% below the Q4 2019 level for PCE. Also note: If real PCE in November and December are just at the same level as in October, PCE will increase at a 6% annual rate in Q4.   
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:11 AM » Q3 GDP Growth Unchanged at 33.1% Annual Rate
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 9:11 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, Third Quarter 2020 (Second Estimate); Corporate Profits, Third Quarter 2020 (Preliminary Estimate) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 33.1 percent in the third quarter of 2020 , according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP decreased 31.4 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month that also showed an increase in real GDP of 33.1 percent. With the second estimate, upward revisions to nonresidential fixed investment, residential investment, and exports were offset by downward revisions to state and local government spending, private inventory investment, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised up emphasis added Here is a Comparison of Second and Advance Estimates . PCE growth was revised down slightly to 40.6% from 40.7%. Residential investment was revised up from 59.3% to 62.3%. This was at the consensus forecast.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:11 AM » Covid cases are exploding across U.S. and Thanksgiving could be an 'accelerator event'
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 9:11 AM by CNBC
    "I'm not scared for the day itself, but for what's going to happen, two, three, and four weeks later," Dr. Megan Ranney, an emergency physician in Rhode Island, said.
  • 8:34 AM » U.S. weekly jobless claims total 778,000, vs 733,000 estimate
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 8:34 AM by CNBC
    U.S. weekly jobless claims total 778,000, vs 733,000 estimate<br/>https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/25/us-weekly-jobless-claims.html
  • 8:08 AM » What a Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen would mean for markets
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 8:08 AM by news.google.com
    What a Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen would mean for markets    Yahoo Finance Fmr. Fed Governor Raskin says Yellen is a great pick, she'll remain committed to stimulus    CNBC Television Dow Rallies 500 Points and Hits 30,000 for the First Time    TheStreet Former Fed Chair Yellen Makes Great Treasury Pick in Era of Coordination    Bloomberg The pressing urgency of more US fiscal relief    Financial Times View Full Coverage on Google News
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: news.google.com
  • 8:07 AM » The market is looking for clues from the Fed on whether it will adjust bond buying
    Published Wed, Nov 25 2020 8:07 AM by CNBC
    The Fed could provide clues about whether it intends to change its bond buying program when it releases its minutes Wednesday.
  • Tue, Nov 24 2020
  • 3:17 PM » Fannie, Freddie Overseer Looks to End Federal Control Before Trump Leaves
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 3:17 PM by www.realtor.com
    The long-shot effort could affect the cost and availability of mortgages for millions of Americans. The post Fannie, Freddie Overseer Looks to End Federal Control Before Trump Leaves appeared first on Real Estate News & Insights | realtor.com® .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.realtor.com
  • 1:09 PM » FHFA Announces Conforming Loan Limits for 2021
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 1:09 PM by FHFA
    Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Baseline Limit Will Increase to $548,250
  • 12:12 PM » Dow Surges Past 30,000 For First Time In Historic Milestone
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 12:12 PM by www.npr.org
    Markets welcomed President Trump's recommendation the transition process begin, which will provide critical resources and information to President-elect Joe Biden's team.
  • 12:12 PM » What's next for the Treasury-Fed COVID-19 lending facilities?
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 12:12 PM by webfeeds.brookings.edu
    Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, in a November 19 letter to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, reduced to nearly nothing the Treasury's commitments to many of the emergency lending facilities that the Fed created in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including the ones targeted at mid-sized businesses and state and local governments. This has led to…             
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: webfeeds.brookings.edu
  • 11:34 AM » Note: November Employment Report Will Show a Decrease of 93,000 Temporary Census Workers
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 11:34 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    The Census Bureau released an update today on 2020 Census Paid Temporary Workers As of the October reference week , October 11th - 17th, there were 99,490 decennial Census temporary workers. As of the November reference week, November 8th - 14th, there were 6,464 temp workers. That is a decrease of 93,026 temporary jobs . In August, the employment report showed a gain of 238,000 temporary 2020 Census workers, boosting the headline number. In September, the employment report showed a decrease of 41,000 temporary 2020 Census workers, reducing the headline number. In October, the employment report showed a decrease of 147,311 temporary Census employment.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:18 AM » Home prices see biggest spike in 6 years in September, according to S&P Case Shiller
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 9:18 AM by CNBC
    Strong, Covid-induced demand from homebuyers over the summer caused an exceptionally strong spike in home prices
  • 8:56 AM » Student loan forgiveness may come with a tax bomb. How lawmakers might fix it
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 8:56 AM by CNBC
    Generally, when a debt is canceled, you can expect to owe taxes. How might this look if student loan balances are forgiven?
  • 8:40 AM » Multifamily Built-for-Rent Share: 96%
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 8:40 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    According to NAHB analysis of quarterly Census data, the market share of rental units of total multifamily construction starts remained at 96% during the third quarter of 2020. In contrast, the historical low share of 47% was set during the third quarter of 2005, during the condo building boom. An average share of 80% was registered during the 1980-2002 period.... Read More › The post Multifamily Built-for-Rent Share: 96% first appeared on Eye On Housing .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 8:05 AM » Treasury yields rise as Biden transition process begins
    Published Tue, Nov 24 2020 8:05 AM by CNBC
    U.S. Treasury yields advanced on Tuesday after President Donald Trump accepted that President-elect Joe Biden's transition into the White House must begin.
  • Mon, Nov 23 2020
  • 3:47 PM » Biden chooses former Fed Chair Janet Yellen to be Treasury secretary
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 3:47 PM by CNBC
    President-elect Joe Biden has chosen former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen as Treasury secretary, a historic decision that could make her the first woman to lead the department, according to people familiar with the matter.
  • 1:22 PM » Chicago Fed National Activity "Index Suggests Economic Growth Increased in October"
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 1:22 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Note: This is a composite index of other data. From the Chicago Fed: Index Suggests Economic Growth Increased in October Led by improvements in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) increased to +0.83 in October from +0.32 in September. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in October, and three of the four categories increased from September. The index's three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, fell to +0.75 in October from +1.37 in September. emphasis added This graph from the Chicago Fed shows the Chicago Fed National Activity Index by category. Click on graph for larger image. According to the Chicago Fed: The index is a weighted average of 85 indicators of growth in national economic activity drawn from four broad categories of data: 1) production and income; 2) employment, unemployment, and hours; 3) personal consumption and housing; and 4) sales, orders, and inventories. ... A zero value for the monthly index has been associated with the national economy expanding at its historical trend (average) rate of growth; negative values with below-average growth (in standard deviation units); and positive values with above-average growth.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 11:48 AM » Economists are calling for more stimulus checks. Here's where assistance plans stand
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 11:48 AM by CNBC
    As coronavirus stimulus aid has stalled, one group of prominent economists is calling for a second set of stimulus checks to help ease Americans' burden.
  • 11:48 AM » Regeneron will provide 300,000 doses of Covid treatment for U.S. by early January, CEO Schleifer says
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 11:48 AM by CNBC
    Regeneron will provide the U.S. with 300,000 doses of its newly authorized Covid-19 antibody treatment by early January, CEO Dr. Leonard Schleifer said.
  • 11:17 AM » Retail trade group forecasts holiday sales rising 3.6% to 5.2%
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 11:17 AM by CNBC
    The forecast this year from the National Retail Federation was delayed by the uncertainty stemming from the coronavirus pandemic.
  • 9:56 AM » Slab Foundations Are More Common in New Single-family Homes
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 9:56 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    NAHB analysis of the Survey of Construction (SOC) shows that 63.2% of all new single-family started in 2019 were built on slab foundations, followed by 22.6% with a full/partial basement and 13.0% with a crawl space. The gap between slab and full/partial basement foundation adoption rates is growing: the share of new homes built on slabs steadily increased from 46.0%... Read More › The post Slab Foundations Are More Common in New Single-family Homes first appeared on Eye On Housing .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 9:10 AM » Custom Home Building: 3Q20 Data
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 9:10 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    NAHB's analysis of Census Data from the Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design survey indicates custom home building lagged the overall single-family construction market in the third quarter of 2020. There were 52,000 total custom building starts during the third quarter, a 7% decline compared to the third quarter of 2019. Over the last four quarters, custom housing starts totaled... Read More › The post Custom Home Building: 3Q20 Data first appeared on Eye On Housing .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 8:27 AM » Black Friday Sales, Consumer Confidence: What to know in the week ahead
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 8:27 AM by news.google.com
    Black Friday Sales, Consumer Confidence: What to know in the week ahead    Yahoo Finance Kohl's just dropped its Black Friday 2020 week deals and the savings are insane    USA TODAY Black Friday 2020: The tech deals we're expecting to see    Finder Australia What will a pandemic Black Friday look like? And when will stores open in Modesto?    Modesto Bee Target's final round of Black Friday 2020 deals just dropped-shop our top picks    USA TODAY View Full Coverage on Google News
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: news.google.com
  • 8:27 AM » Treasury yields climb amid further Covid-19 vaccine developments
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 8:27 AM by CNBC
    Treasury yields rose after news of an effective coronavirus vaccine from AstraZeneca and hopes that people in the U.S. could start being immunized in December.
  • 8:08 AM » Two Key Economic Dates in December
    Published Mon, Nov 23 2020 8:08 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    December 12th: Possible Government shutdown. From the WaPo: White House chief of staff 'can't guarantee' U.S. government will avert December shutdown Congress and the White House have until Dec. 11 to approve new spending legislation to prevent the federal government from shutting down in the middle of a pandemic and amid a surge in coronavirus cases. Meadows said he was hopeful an agreement would be reached but did not rule out that an impasse. There has already been two government shutdowns during President Trump's four years in office, one lasting more than a month. It is possible that there will be a shutdown from December 12th through January 20th. This would eclipse the previous longest government shutdown of 35 days in 2018-2019. December 26th: End of CARES Act provisions. There are two COVID related unemployment programs that end on December 26th. The first is the Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) Program. This is a special program that provides up to 39 weeks of benefits for business owners, self-employed, independent contractors or gig workers not receiving other unemployment insurance. PUA is not payable for any week of unemployment ending after December 31, 2020. Accordingly, in states where the week of unemployment ends on a Saturday, the last week that PUA may be paid is the week ending December 26, 2020. For states where the week of unemployment ends on a Sunday, the last week that PUA is payable is the week ending December 27, 2020. As of October 31st, in the most recent report (lags weekly claims), there were 8.7 million receiving PUA benefits (there are questions about these numbers). The second is the Pandemic Emergency Unemployment Compensation (PEUC) Program. This program "provides up to 13 additional weeks of benefits to individuals who have exhausted their regular unemployment compensation (UC) entitlement". Just like the PUA, this program ends on December 26th. There are currently 4.4 million people receiving these extended...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • Fri, Nov 20 2020
  • 1:55 PM » JPMorgan says first quarter GDP will decline because of rising Covid cases and restrictions
    Published Fri, Nov 20 2020 1:55 PM by CNBC
    Wall Street had been expecting a positive first quarter and improving growth next year.
  • 1:55 PM » Mnuchin says he'll 'work closely' with his successor if Joe Biden's win is certified
    Published Fri, Nov 20 2020 1:55 PM by CNBC
    Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he would work with his successor on a transition but did not acknowledge Joe Biden as president-elect.
  • 1:38 PM » Home Buyers During Covid Say It Takes a Village To Find a House
    Published Fri, Nov 20 2020 1:38 PM by www.realtor.com
    A growing number of buyers shopping for homes during the pandemic are taking neighborhoods into consideration. The post Home Buyers During Covid Say It Takes a Village To Find a House appeared first on Real Estate News & Insights | realtor.com® .
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.realtor.com
  • 10:34 AM » BLS: October Unemployment rates down in 37 States, Higher in 8 States
    Published Fri, Nov 20 2020 10:34 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary Unemployment rates were lower in October in 37 states and the District of Columbia, higher in 8 states, and stable in 5 states , the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Forty-seven states and the District had jobless rate increases from a year earlier and three states had little or no change. The national unemployment rate declined by 1.0 percentage point over the month to 6.9 percent but was 3.3 points higher than in October 2019. Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 32 states, decreased in 2 states, and was essentially unchanged in 16 states and the District of Columbia in October 2020. Over the year, nonfarm payroll employment decreased in 48 states and the District and was essentially unchanged in 2 states. ... Hawaii had the highest unemployment rate in October, 14.3 percent, followed by Nevada, 12.0 percent . Nebraska and Vermont had the lowest rates, 3.0 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively. Hawaii and Nevada are being impacted by the lack of tourism.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 9:17 AM » The housing market is still on fire: Morning Brief
    Published Fri, Nov 20 2020 9:17 AM by news.google.com
    The housing market is still on fire: Morning Brief    Yahoo Finance
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: news.google.com
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Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 2.84%
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  • 15 Yr FRM 2.39%
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  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.25%
MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 108-14 (0-04)
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  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 110-18 (0-01)
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Recent Housing Data:
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  • Refinance Index 4.51%
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  • Purchase Index 3.52%