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  • Mon, Sep 26 2016
  • 11:22 AM » SEC drops some claims against ex-Thornburg Mortgage executives
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 11:22 AM by Reuters
    (Reuters) - The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has dropped several claims against two former executives at now-defunct home lender Thornburg Mortgage Inc in a lawsuit brought in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis.
  • 10:11 AM » U.S. new home sales fall less than expected in August
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 10:11 AM by Reuters
    WASHINGTON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - New U.S. single-family home sales fell less than expected in August, though prices fell and inventories rose.
  • 9:10 AM » Should I rent or buy a house?
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 9:10 AM by Market Watch
    Paying rent every month feels like throwing money away. Should I keep renting or buy a house?
  • 9:09 AM » The Hot New Millennial Housing Trend Is a Repeat of the Middle Ages
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 9:09 AM by The Atlantic
    For most of human history, people were hunter-gatherers. They lived in large camps, depending on one another for food, childcare, and everything else-all without walls, doors, or picket fences. In comparison, the number of people living in most households in today's developed countries is quite small. According to the Census Bureau, fewer than three people lived in the average American household in 2010. The members of most American households can be counted on one hand, or even, increasingly, one finger: Single-person households only made up about 13 percent of all American households in 1960. Now, that figure is about 28 percent. Belonging to a relatively small household has become the norm even though it can make daily life more difficult in many ways. Privacy may be nice, but cooking and doing chores become much less time-consuming when shared with an additional person, or even several people. Water, electric, and internet bills also become more bearable when divided among multiple residents. There are social downsides to living alone, too. Many elderly people, young professionals, stay-at-home parents, and single people routinely spend long stretches of time at home alone, no matter how lonely they may feel; more distressingly, many single parents face the catch-22 of working and paying for childcare. Living in smaller numbers can be a drain on money, time, and feelings of community, and the rise of the two-parent dual-earning household only compounds the problems of being time-poor. It wasn't always like this. Living arrangements have been changing for thousands of years, and the concept of the nuclear family originated relatively recently. Even as the economy has moved away from the sort of agricultural labor that would encourage large households, people still have just as much of a need for the support of friends, family, and neighbors. Perhaps that is why so many people today-from young coders to lonely septuagenarians to families-are experimenting with...
  • 9:08 AM » Treasury Market's Biggest Buyers Are Selling as Never Before
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 9:08 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Treasury Market's Biggest Buyers Are Selling as Never Before Bloomberg They've long been one of the most reliable sources of demand for U.S. government debt. But these days, foreign central banks have become yet another worry for investors in the world's most important bond market. Holders like China and Japan have culled ... and more »
  • 9:07 AM » Your bond funds may be a 'ticking time bomb'
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 9:07 AM by CNBC
    With the Federal Reserve planning to gradually raise interest rates, investors should know this about their fixed-income portfolios.
  • 9:05 AM » Black Knight: House Price Index up 0.4% in July, Up 5.3% year-over-year
    Published Mon, Sep 26 2016 9:05 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Note: I follow several house price indexes (Case-Shiller, CoreLogic, Black Knight, Zillow, FHFA, FNC and more). Note: Black Knight uses the current month closings only (not a three month average like Case-Shiller or a weighted average like CoreLogic), excludes short sales and REOs, and is not seasonally adjusted . From Black Knight: Black Knight Home Price Index Report: July 2016 Transactions, U.S. Home Prices Up 0.4 Percent for the Month; Up 5.3 Percent Year-Over-Year • U.S. home prices were up 0.4 percent for the month, and have gained 5.3 percent from one year ago • At $266K, the U.S. HPI has risen over 33 percent from the market's bottom and is now within just 0.8 percent of a new national peak • Home prices in nine of the nation's 20 largest states and 14 of the 40 largest metros hit new peaks in July The year-over-year increase in this index has been about the same for the last year. Note that house prices are close to the bubble peak in nominal terms, but not adjusted for inflation.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • Fri, Sep 23 2016
  • 4:51 PM » Op-Ed: How Airbnb can defeat the regulators
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 4:51 PM by CNBC
    Airbnb faces a 'buzz saw" of political opposition in some of its biggest markets. Here's how it can win the fight, says Bradely Tusk.
  • 2:35 PM » Fed's Kashkari Discusses Monetary Policy in 140 Characters
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 2:35 PM by Bloomberg
    Fed's Kashkari Discusses Monetary Policy in 140 Characters Bloomberg The only thing missing were the emojis. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari on Friday fielded questions in a live exchange with followers on Twitter, mixing monetary policy and macro-economics with NFL smack-talk. #AskNeel. and more »
  • 1:43 PM » Economic issues in the presidential election
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 1:43 PM by webfeeds.brookings.edu
    David Wessel, senior fellow and director of the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy, looks at Hillary Clinton's and Donald Trump's different approaches to policy issues including taxes, family leave, and trade. "Hilary Clinton believes that the gap between the rich and poor, between the winners and losers in our economy has gotten too […]                
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: webfeeds.brookings.edu
  • 12:10 PM » N.Y. Fed lowers outlook on U.S. GDP growth for third and fourth quarters
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 12:10 PM by Reuters
    NEW YORK (Reuters) - The New York Federal Reserve on Friday lowered its forecast on U.S. economic growth in the third quarter and fourth quarters from what it estimated a week earlier following weaker-than-expected housing starts data for August.
  • 12:09 PM » Pimco says bond yields to rise gradually as central banks run out of rope
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 12:09 PM by Reuters
    LONDON (Reuters) - Global bond yields will rise modestly and spikes in volatility could be more commonplace in the coming years as loose central bank policy loses its potency, Pimco's bonds CIO said on Friday.
  • 11:19 AM » Industry Applauds Introduction of Middle-Income Housing Tax
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 11:19 AM by NMHC
    In a tremendous victory for NMHC and NAA, Senate Finance Committee Ranking Member Ron Wyden (D-OR) on September 22 introduced legislation to spur the production of multifamily rental homes for America's working families through a Middle-Income Housing Tax Credit (MIHTC) that complements the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit.
  • 10:04 AM » Why Aren't We Building More Mobile Homes?
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 10:04 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Why Aren't We Building More Mobile Homes? Bloomberg People in West Virginia accepted delivery of just over 1,000 mobile homes last year, according to census data. Over the same period, home builders obtained permits to build about 2,000 single-family homes. In other words, roughly one in three homes ...
  • 10:04 AM » Boston Fed's Rosengren says economy needs 'modest, gradual tightening now'
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 10:04 AM by Reuters
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said on Friday that he believed interest rates should be raised gradually now and warned that a fall in the unemployment rate below its sustainable level could derail economic recovery in the United States.
  • 10:01 AM » Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and All Cash Sales for Selected Cities in August
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 10:01 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Economist Tom Lawler sent me the table below of short sales, foreclosures and all cash sales for selected cities in August. On distressed: Total "distressed" share is down year-over-year in all of these markets. Short sales and foreclosures are down in all of these areas (except a minor increase in Springfield). The All Cash Share (last two columns) is mostly declining year-over-year. As investors continue to pull back, the share of all cash buyers continues to decline.   Short Sales Share Foreclosure Sales Share Total "Distressed" Share All Cash Share Aug- 2016 Aug- 2015 Aug- 2016 Aug- 2015 Aug- 2016 Aug- 2015 Aug- 2016 Aug- 2015 Las Vegas 4.1% 6.2% 5.5% 7.0% 9.6% 13.2% 25.8% 28.2% Phoenix 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 3.4% 4.4% 6.1% 20.3% 22.6% Sacramento 2.9% 4.3% 2.9% 3.8% 5.8% 8.0% 15.3% 18.8% Minneapolis 1.1% 1.7% 3.8% 6.1% 4.9% 7.8% 12.1% 11.7% Mid-Atlantic 2.8% 3.2% 8.6% 10.5% 11.4% 13.7% 16.7% 16.5% Florida SF 2.1% 3.5% 8.0% 16.6% 10.1% 20.2% 27.3% 33.6% Florida C/TH 1.4% 2.3% 7.3% 15.3% 8.6% 17.6% 55.0% 59.7% Miami MSA SF 2.9% 5.9% 9.5% 17.9% 12.4% 23.8% 26.5% 32.0% Miami MSA C/TH 1.7% 3.0% 10.0% 19.2% 11.7% 22.2% 56.1% 62.9% Chicago (city)         12.4% 15.0%     Northeast Florida         14.2% 25.8%     Rhode Island         8.0% 10.1%     Spokane         6.1% 10.0%     Toledo             24.9% 30.3% Tucson             20.9% 25.8% Knoxville             22.5% 23.4% Peoria             20.2% 17.2% Georgia     6.8% 6.6%         *share of existing...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 10:00 AM » Asking Prices of Apartments and Condominiums in the First Quarter of 2016
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 10:00 AM by eyeonhousing.org
    The US Census Bureau, along with the US Department of Commerce (DOC) and the US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), fund and publish the Survey of Market Absorption (SOMA). The SOMA contains data on recently completed apartments and condominiums, including the asking rent and sale prices of these units. The median asking price of privately financed, unfurnished, nonsubsidized... Read More ›
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: eyeonhousing.org
  • 10:00 AM » The Benefits of Home Buying in Fall and Winter
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 10:00 AM by www.builderonline.com
    While most home buyers prefer to buy in the summer, waiting can give them more leverage.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.builderonline.com
  • 8:32 AM » Treasuries Set for Best Week Since July as Fed Tempers Rate View - Bloomberg
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 8:32 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Treasuries Set for Best Week Since July as Fed Tempers Rate View Bloomberg Longer-dated Treasuries were on course for their biggest weekly advance since July as markets readjusted their view to a slower pace of interest-rate increases from the Federal Reserve. The 30-year bond yield dropped to its lowest in two weeks Friday ... and more »
  • 8:32 AM » Op-Ed: The economy is edging closer to a 'black hole'
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 8:32 AM by CNBC
    Investors should start brushing up on astrophysics to understand why the world's economy may be approaching a cosmic conclusion, says Stephen Scott.
  • 8:30 AM » CoreLogic to Announce Third Quarter 2016 Financial Results
    Published Fri, Sep 23 2016 8:30 AM by www.corelogic.com
    CoreLogic ® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, insight, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, confirmed today that it will release its third quarter 2016 financial results after the market close on Monday, October 24, 2016. The press release, with accompanying financial information, will be posted on the CoreLogic investor website at http://investor.corelogic.com . The company will host a live webcast and conference call to discuss third quarter 2016 financial results on Tuesday, October 25, 2016, at 8:00 a.m. Pacific Time (11:00 a.m. Eastern Time). All interested parties are invited to listen to the event via webcast on the CoreLogic website at http://investor.corelogic.com . Alternatively, participants may use the following dial-in numbers: 1-877-930-8098 for U.S./Canada callers or 253-336-8228 for international callers. The Conference ID for the call is 85282281. A replay of the webcast will be available on the CoreLogic investor website for 30 days and also through the conference call number 855-859-2056 for U.S./Canada participants or 404-537-3406 for international participants using Conference ID 85282281. About CoreLogic CoreLogic (NYSE: CLGX) is a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider. The Company's combined data from public, contributory and proprietary sources includes over 4.5 billion records spanning more than 50 years, providing detailed coverage of property, mortgages and other encumbrances, consumer credit, tenancy, location, hazard risk and related performance information. The markets CoreLogic serves include real estate and mortgage finance, insurance, capital markets, and the public sector. CoreLogic delivers value to clients through unique data, analytics, workflow technology, advisory and managed solutions. Clients rely on CoreLogic to help identify and manage growth opportunities, improve performance and...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.corelogic.com
  • Thu, Sep 22 2016
  • 1:42 PM » Fed is ‘perilously close' to losing its credibility, says economist
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 1:42 PM by Market Watch
    The Federal Reserve is "perilously close" to losing its credibility after making rate hike after many officials pointed to action.
  • 1:22 PM » ETF Investing: Bond funds see a rare period of outflows as investors grapple with Fed
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 1:22 PM by Market Watch
    While fixed income remains a hugely popular asset class this year, bond funds saw their first week of outflows last week, following 10 straight weeks of sharp inflows.
  • 11:36 AM » Instead of Great Divergence, Central Banks Are Converging Again
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 11:36 AM by Bloomberg
    Bloomberg Instead of Great Divergence, Central Banks Are Converging Again Bloomberg This was meant to be the year of monetary policy divergence. Instead, major central banks' paths -- albeit on different trajectories -- are converging once more. The Federal Reserve held fire Wednesday and scaled back tightening plans. Hours earlier ... and more »
  • 11:31 AM » ECB's Draghi warns crowded banking sector is squashing profits
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 11:31 AM by Market Watch
    European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is warning the region's banking sector is getting too crowded, with overcapacity eroding profits and ultimately forcing some lenders to shake up their business.
  • 10:26 AM » U.S. existing home sales unexpectedly fall in August
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 10:26 AM by Reuters
    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. home resales unexpectedly fell in August, crimped by a shortage of inventory that is boosting home prices faster than the pace of wage growth.
  • 10:25 AM » Mortgage Rates Tick Down
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 10:25 AM by freddiemac.mwnewsroom.com
    Mortgage Rates Tick Down
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: freddiemac.mwnewsroom.com
  • 9:53 AM » U.S. jobless claims drop to two-month low as labor market firms
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 9:53 AM by Reuters
    WASHINGTON, (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week to a two-month low, pointing to labor market strength that could pave the way for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by December.
  • 9:48 AM » Black Knight Financial Services' First Look at August 2016 Mortgage Data
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 9:48 AM by www.bkfs.com
    Black Knight Financial Services' First Look at August 2016 Mortgage Data<br/>http://www.bkfs.com/CorporateInformation/NewsRoom/Pages/20160922.aspx
  • 9:48 AM » 'Wells Fargo isn't the only one': Other bank workers describe intense sales tactics
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 9:48 AM by CNN
    Most Americans were shocked when they learned that thousands of Wells Fargo employees had opened millions of fake accounts.
  • 8:17 AM » Gundlach, Fidelity Differ on Treasuries as Citi Says Buy on Dips
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 8:17 AM by Bloomberg
    Gundlach, Fidelity Differ on Treasuries as Citi Says Buy on Dips Bloomberg Jeffrey Gundlach and Fidelity Investments differed in their outlook for Treasuries as Citigroup Inc. advised buying the securities on dips as the U.S. economy and inflation are unlikely to strengthen later this year. Gundlach, the chief investment ... and more »
  • 8:16 AM » Yellen is afraid of Donald Trump, strategist says
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 8:16 AM by CNBC
    The U.S. Federal Reserve has painted itself into a corner when it comes to interest rates, according to Michael Harris at Renaissance Capital.
  • 8:15 AM » CoreLogic Reports a 3.9 Percent YOY Increase in Mortgage Fraud Risk in the Second Quarter of 2016
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 8:15 AM by www.corelogic.com
    —Florida Remains the State with the Highest Overall Fraud Risk; Kansas Has the Largest YOY Increase in Fraud Risk— CoreLogic ® (NYSE: CLGX), a leading global property information, analytics and data-enabled solutions provider, today released its latest Mortgage Fraud Report . As of the end of the second quarter of 2016, the report shows a 3.9 percent year-over-year increase in fraud risk, as measured by the CoreLogic Mortgage Application Fraud Risk Index. The analysis found that during the second quarter of 2016, an estimated 12,718 mortgage applications, or 0.70 percent of all mortgage applications, contained indications of fraud, as compared with the reported 12,814, or 0.67 percent in the second quarter of 2015. The CoreLogic Mortgage Fraud Report analyzes the collective level of loan application fraud risk the mortgage industry is experiencing each quarter. CoreLogic develops the index based on residential mortgage loan applications processed by CoreLogic LoanSafe Fraud Manager ™ , a predictive scoring technology. The report includes detailed data for six fraud type indicators that complement the national index: identity, income, occupancy, property, transaction, and undisclosed real estate debt. “Mortgage application fraud risk will likely rise over the next few years if current trends of higher LTV purchases and increased credit availability continue,” said Bridget Berg, senior director, Fraud Solutions Strategy for CoreLogic. “Because post-fund quality control findings are biased to specific types of fraud that are easy to detect shortly after closing, lenders should not rely only on those results to measure fraud risk.” Among the highlights of the report: Florida continues to be the riskiest state for mortgage application fraud. However, Florida also has the largest year-over-year decline in application fraud risk at 19 percent. States with the greatest year-over-year growth in risk...
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: www.corelogic.com
  • 8:15 AM » Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies declined in August
    Published Thu, Sep 22 2016 8:15 AM by Calculated Risk Blog
    From Black Knight: Black Knight's First Look at August 2016 Mortgage Data: Prepayments Skyrocket, Fueled by Post-'Brexit' Activity, Hit Highest Single-Month Rate in Over Three Years • Monthly prepayment rate (historically a good indicator of refinance activity) increased by 32 percent month-over-month • August's prepayment rate of 1.67 percent is the highest Single Month Mortality (SMM) rate in over three years • Delinquencies fully recovered from July's spike, falling 6 percent (-135,000) from one month ago • Inventory of loans in foreclosure has now declined for 19 consecutive months -- and 51 of the past 52 months Note: the "spike" in delinquencies in July was seasonal. According to Black Knight's First Look report for August, the percent of loans delinquent decreased 6.0% in August compared to July, and declined 11.4% year-over-year. The percent of loans in the foreclosure process declined 4.3% in August and were down 29.9% over the last year. Black Knight reported the U.S. mortgage delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure) was 4.24% in August, down from 4.51% in July. The percent of loans in the foreclosure process declined in August to 1.04%. The number of delinquent properties, but not in foreclosure, is down 262,000 properties year-over-year, and the number of properties in the foreclosure process is down 221,000 properties year-over-year. Black Knight will release the complete mortgage monitor for August on October 3rd. Black Knight: Percent Loans Delinquent and in Foreclosure Process   Aug 2016 July 2016 Aug 2015 Aug 2014 Delinquent 4.24% 4.51% 4.87% 5.93% In Foreclosure 1.04% 1.09% 1.48% 1.92% Number of properties: Number of properties that are delinquent, but not in foreclosure: 2,151,000 2,286,000 2,413,000 2,985,000 Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 527,000 550,000 748,000 970,000 Total Properties 2,678,000 2,836,000 3,161,000 3,955,000
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • Wed, Sep 21 2016
  • 5:16 PM » Yellen: Partisan politics plays ‘no role' in Fed decisions
    Published Wed, Sep 21 2016 5:16 PM by Market Watch
    Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen on Wednesday said that partisan politics plays no role in its interest-rate decisions.
  • 3:18 PM » Fed's Yellen: I would expect to see a rate hike this year
    Published Wed, Sep 21 2016 3:18 PM by CNBC
    The Fed's decision not to hike rates this month shouldn't be interpreted as a lack of confidence in the economy, Chair Janet Yellen said Wednesday.
  • 2:43 PM » Fed leaves rates unchanged in September meeting
    Published Wed, Sep 21 2016 2:43 PM by CNBC
    Fed Chair Janet Yellen will address the decision in a press conference at 2:30 p.m., ET.
  • 2:43 PM » Bill Gross: I'm hardly able to speak after Fed decision
    Published Wed, Sep 21 2016 2:43 PM by CNBC
    After the Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rates unchanged, bond guru Bill Gross told CNBC he was choked with emotion.
  • 2:28 PM » FOMC Projections and Press Conference Link
    Published Wed, Sep 21 2016 2:28 PM by Calculated Risk Blog
    Statement here . No change to policy. As far as the "Appropriate timing of policy firming",  participants generally think that rates will be at 0.625% by the end of the year. The FOMC projections for inflation are still on the low side through 2018. Yellen press conference video here . On the projections , GDP was revised down for 2016. GDP projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents Change in Real GDP 1 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sept 2016  1.7 to 1.9 1.9 to 2.2 1.9 to 2.2 1.7 to 2.0 Jun 2016  1.9 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.2 1.8 to 2.1 n.a. 1 Projections of change in real GDP and inflation are from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the fourth quarter of the year indicated. The unemployment rate was at 4.9% in August, and the unemployment rate projection for Q4 2016 was revised up slightly. Unemployment projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents Unemployment Rate 2 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sept 2016  4.7 to 4.9 4.5 to 4.7 4.4 to 4.7 4.4 to 4.8 Jun 2016  4.6 to 4.8 4.5 to 4.7 4.4 to 4.8 n.a. 2 Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year indicated. As of July, PCE inflation was up only 0.8% from July 2015. Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents PCE Inflation 1 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sept 2016  1.2 to 1.4 1.7 to 1.9 1.8 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 Jun 2016  1.3 to 1.7 1.7 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 n.a. PCE core inflation was up 1.6% in July year-over-year.  Core PCE inflation was unrevised for 2016. Core Inflation projections of Federal Reserve Governors and Reserve Bank presidents Core Inflation 1 2016 2017 2018 2019 Sept 2016  1.6 to 1.8 1.7 to 1.9 1.8 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 Jun 2016  1.6 to 1.8 1.7 to 2.0 1.9 to 2.0 n.a.
    Click Here to Read the Full Article

    Source: Calculated Risk Blog
  • 12:41 PM » The Fed should not raise rates. Let me count the ways, Larry Summers says
    Published Wed, Sep 21 2016 12:41 PM by Market Watch
    Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers has listed ten reasons why the Fed should not raise interest rates Wednesday.
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Mortgage Rates:
  • 30 Yr FRM 3.42%
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  • 15 Yr FRM 2.78%
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  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.58%
MBS Prices:
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  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 111-03 (-0-02)
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  • 30YR FNMA 5.5 112-21 (0-01)
Recent Housing Data:
  • Mortgage Apps 0.43%
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  • Refinance Index 0.51%
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  • Purchase Index 0.38%