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Fannie Mae's Portfolio Down 18% in July, Delinquencies Rising

by Patrick McGee on
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Business at Fannie Mae was recovering mid-way through the summer, though the total value of its portfolio remains down nearly one-fifth, according to a press release on Thursday.

The government-sponsored purchaser of mortgages said its Book of Business grew at a compound annualized rate of 10.1% in July, helping the year-to-date figure improve to 6.1%. However, its total mortgage portfolio declined at an annualized rate of 18.2%. In July, the portfolio fell by 1.7%, the first dip in three months.

The Serious Delinquency Rate for conventional single-family home rose 26 basis points in June ― the latest data available ― to 3.94%, while serious delinquencies for multi-family units inched up 1 basis point to 0.51%.

The Effective Duration Gap on Fannie’s portfolio ― which measures sensitivity to interest rates ― averaged negative one month in July.

The news release follows an update from Fannie’s brother enterprise, Freddie Mac, on Tuesday. Freddie reported that its mortgage investment portfolio shrank at an annualized pace of 44.5% in July. Moreover, delinquencies on loans guaranteed by the smaller GSE accelerated.

In other news involving the government-sponsored enterprises, two regional Federal Reserve presidents said on Thursday that the central bank may not choose to buy up all of the $1.25 trillion in mortgage bonds that it is authorized to purchase. So far, the Fed has purchased close to $800 billion of such bonds to reduce home-finance costs and stimulate the housing market. 

Richmond Fed President Jeffery Lacker said further stimulus may not be needed. His comments were backed up by James Bullard of the St. Louis Fed, who said the purchases “might not be necessary.”

Bloomberg News quoted Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP, to say that Lacker and Bullard may be “staking out a position rather than reflecting the current consensus on the Federal Open Market Committee.” He continued:  The FOMC “is going to be much more concerned about how they manage the phasing out of the mortgage program because the Fed is providing a substantial percentage of the investment in conforming home loan bonds.”

 


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on
It will be interesting to see what will happen to Mortgage rates once the central bank stop buying MBS.
on
Jose, think it is fair to say we will see rates rise... personally I do not think we are out of the deep water, and this recovery is a bubble itself. With the amount of money the gov. has spent, we better see some positive news, but we have done nothing to fix our foundation... we simply through a new coat of paint on, and when that paint starts to chip this winter, I think we'll see a large retraction which will make for interesting news. When it happens, we'll know the gov. programs/intervention have not worked... then what?
on
I think the Fed will be forced to commit to a new MBS/TSY buying program eventually. The housing market needs the lower rates to continue to help lead the economy out of the recession. The tax credit will also need to be extended thru 2010. I think there is a 95% chance both will happen.
on
How much money can they continue to throw on this problem? There will be a point and time where they will stop. The training wheels will fall off and then the real correction will happen. This has been and will continue to be a LONG SLOW TREAIN WRECK.