Loan Officer Survey Offers No Surprises. Credit Standards Still Tight
Credit appears to be
slowly loosening according to the July Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on
Bank Lending Practices conducted by the Federal Reserve. The change, however, is modest and
concentrated on large banks lending in categories particularly affected by
competitive pressures. The Fed defines
large banks as those with more than $50 billion in assets and small banks as
those with annual sales under $50 million.
Fifty-seven domestic banks and 23 US branches of foreign banks responded
to the quarterly survey.
Loosening of lending
requirements was most pronounced in the area of commercial and industrial
(C&I) loans. Residential lending was
only modestly improved, with nearly as many banks reporting they had tightened
credit as had loosened it.
A total of 55 banks,
29 of them defined as large, the remainder as "other" responded to
questions about residential lending. 48
banks or 87.3 percent said that their credit standards for prime residential
mortgages had remained basically unchanged over the previous three months. Five banks, all of them large, said their
standards had eased somewhat while a total of four - two large and two other -
reported somewhat tightened credit.
When questioned
about standards for non-traditional mortgages, that is interest only, option ARM,
and Alt-A products, 33 banks responded that they did not do such lending. Of the remaining 22 banks, one large bank
reported an easing of credit while two banks said that lending standards had
tightened. Too few responding banks did
subprime lending to permit characterization of the responses. As most housing professionals are aware, non-agency lending is essentially frozen and the GSEs and Ginnie Mae are the primary source of mortgage funding.
Nearly 4 percent of lenders, all smaller
banks, reported that the recent demand for mortgages was substantially stronger
while 34.5 percent of all banks said demand was moderately stronger. Approximately 30 percent of banks reported a
moderately or substantially weaker demand.
The lenders reporting weaker demand were primarily larger banks. The increase in demand was moderately
stronger for non-traditional loans in 22 percent of banks, moderately weaker in
18 percent. Substantially weaker demand
for these loans was reported by only one large bank.
Of the 56 banks
reporting that they had written revolving home equity loans in the previous
three months, 92.9 percent said their lending standards were basically
unchanged. Three large banks and one
other reported a slight easing of standards during that period. Demand for the
loans was said to be about the same by 73 percent of the banks with the
remainder almost evenly divided between those that reported a moderately or
substantially stronger demand and those that reported demand was moderately or
substantially weaker.
Respondents reported
having eased standards and most terms on C&I loans to firms of all sizes
but this was the first Senior Loan Officer Survey since late 2006 that showed
an easing of C&I credit to small firms.
There was also a significant fraction of banks that reported easing
pricing on these loans to businesses of all sizes and the banks pointed to
increased competition in the market for those loans as an important factor in
those changes.
The net percentage
of banks that reported a willingness to make consumer installment loans also
increased as well as reports of an easing of standards for consumer loans other
than credit cards. Terms of those loans
remained roughly unchanged. While a
small percentage of large banks reported an increase in demand for consumer
loans, it was offset by a slightly larger percentage of other banks that
reported a decreased demand.
A few banks reported
that they had eased standards for credit cards but a small net fraction
indicated that they had tightened both terms and conditions and a small net
fraction reported reducing credit lines for existing customers.