A new
report says that any signs of stabilization in the
nation's home loan delinquency and foreclosure rates are still being
neutralized by the sheer volume of loans in distress.
The
report, released by Lender Processing Services based
on data current at the end of April, reported there are more
than 7.3 million loans in distress nationwide, a number which includes real estate owned
(REO). Compared to one year ago, overall
delinquency and foreclosure figures were up markedly. In April 2009 the number of distressed loans
totaled 6.36 million. The increase did however occur principally in the later stages of delinquency. Loans 30+ in arrears declined from 1.63
million to 1.48 million while those in the 60+ bucket were down from 0.72
million to 0.63 million. In the 90+ day
category, loans were up from 1.69 million to 2.39 million and the number of
foreclosures increased from 1.44 million to 1.71 million.
The
report said that the increase in the numbers of loans in the 90+ and
foreclosure buckets was being driven by borrowers in the Home Affordable
Modification Program (HAMP). The average
days of delinquency also increased substantially, probably also a reflection of
HAMP activity. In April 2009, the
average days a loan was in the 90+ bucket was 203. In the most recent report the average was
275. Similarly, average days of
delinquency for loans in foreclosure increased from 329 to 438.
New
problem loans, or loans that were current as of January 1 but have since fallen
60 days delinquent as of April, are lower than one year ago but still elevated
compared to historic levels.
The
report puts the U.S. loan delinquency rate at 8.99 percent and the total
foreclosure rate at 3.18 percent.
Overall
there was some improvement in the total number of distressed loans seen since the March
report. The number of
distressed loans fell from 7.39 million to 7.31 million. Loans 90+ days
delinquent declined to 4,074,433 from 4,186,627 one month earlier. 60+ delinquencies loans
were down by about 28,000 to 631,000.
30+ day delinquent loans increased on a month-to-month basis from 1.45 million in
March to 1.48 million in April.
Conversely, the report
said, "deterioration ratios remain high, with two loans rolling to a 'worse'
status for every one loan that has improved and the overall volume of loans
moving from delinquent to current status declined to a three-month low
supported primarily by "artificial cures" associated with HAMP
modifications."
Foreclosure
sales increased from 1.1 million to 1.13 million, as, the report said, more
loans are deemed ineligible for HAMP and are moving through the system.
Eight
states lead the nation in foreclosure.
Their names are familiar by now; Florida, Nevada, Mississippi, Arizona, Georgia, California, Illinois,
New Jersey, Michigan and Rhode Island; while North Dakota, South Dakota,
Wyoming, Alaska, have the fewest non-current loans.
The Monitor report uses a
repository of loan-level residential mortgage data and performance information
maintained by Lender Processing Services for nearly 40 million loans.