As we see each week in the Mortgage
Bankers Association's application survey, few borrowers chose adjustable rate
mortgages when buying or financing a home.
This is borne out by Freddie Mac's Quarterly Product Transition Report
which found that 95 percent of borrowers who were refinancing during the fourth
quarter of 2011 chose a fixed rate loan as their new mortgage.
Virtually none of the borrowers who refinanced
a traditional one-year adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) chose to replace it with
another one, although slightly over a third traded for a hybrid ARM which have
a fixed rate for a period of three, five, seven, or 10 years and then usually
convert to a loan that adjusts every year.
Forty-two percent of borrowers with a hybrid ARM refinanced into another
hybrid of some type. About 3 percent of FRM
borrowers refinanced into hybrids.
More borrowers chose shorter term loans
in Quarter Four. Forty-three percent of
borrowers who refinanced a 30-year FRM chose a 15 or 20 year variety, the
highest percentage on record, and 77 percent with a 20-year traded it in for a
15 year. Only about 19 percent of
fixed-rate borrowers picked longer-term loans when refinancing.
Fourth
Quarter Refinance Transition Figures
|
Old Loan
|
1-Year ARM
|
Hybrid ARM
|
Balloon
|
15-Year FRM
|
20-Year FRM
|
30-Year FRM
|
|
1-Year
ARM
|
0%
|
36%
|
0%
|
43%
|
14%
|
7%
|
|
Hybrid
ARM
|
0%
|
42%
|
0%
|
11%
|
3%
|
44%
|
|
Balloon
|
0%
|
5%
|
0%
|
28%
|
13%
|
55%
|
|
15-Year
FRM
|
0%
|
1%
|
0%
|
91%
|
1%
|
6%
|
|
20-Year
FRM
|
0%
|
1%
|
0%
|
77%
|
11%
|
12%
|
|
30-Year
FRM
|
0%
|
1%
|
0%
|
27%
|
16%
|
56%
|
Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice
president and chief economist said "For
borrowers motivated to refinance by low fixed-rates, they could obtain even
lower rates by shortening their term. Compared to a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage,
the interest rate on 15-year fixed was about 0.7 percentage points lower during
the fourth quarter. And for borrowers who plan to remain in their current
home for only a few years, the hybrid ARM allows for even a greater
interest-rate savings. The initial interest rate on a 5/1 hybrid ARM was about
1.1 percentage points lower than on a 30-year fixed-rate loan."
Freddie Mac's transition estimates come
from a sample of properties on which it has funded at least two successive
loans and the latest loan is for refinance rather than for home purchase. Some
loan products, such as 1-year ARMs and balloons, are based on a small number of
transactions. During the fourth quarter of 2011, the refinance share of
applications averaged 81 percent in and the ARM share of applications was 7
percent according to data from Freddie Mac weekly and monthly surveys.