Americans are feeling better about the economy
according to results from Fannie Mae's December Housing Survey released by the
company this morning. Consumer
sentiment, while still very low, improved during the last months of 2011 and
the number of Americans who say the economy is on the right track has risen 6 percentage
points since November. While the number who gave the "wrong track" answer was
down 6 percent as well, 69 percent of respondents still feel that the direction
of the country is negative against only 22 percent who feel the right course
has been set.
The Housing Survey is a telephone poll
taken of a rolling panel of homeowners and renters each month to assess their
attitudes toward owning and renting a home, mortgage rates, homeownership
distress, the economy, household finances, and overall consumer confidence. The current survey, involving 100 questions
and 1000 respondents was conducted between December 1, 2011 and December 20,
2011.
When asked about housing, more
respondents expected home prices to increase over the next year than did so in
November and to increase an average of 0.8 percent. In November the average expectation was for a
0.2 percent uptick. On the personal finance side, for the first time since
February 2011 more respondents (40 percent) say their financial situation will
get better over the next year than say it will stay the same (39 percent) and the
share of consumers who state their income is significantly higher than it was a
year ago rose 5 percentage points to 21 percent since the last survey while 59
percent say it has stayed the same, a decrease of 5 points.
According to Doug Duncan, vice
president and chief economist for Fannie Mae, "December attitudes have
rebounded from the lows seen during the debt ceiling debate and economic
deterioration of Europe this past summer. There is marked improvement in
consumer sentiment regarding the direction of the economy, personal finances,
and future home price expectations. This improvement is in line with the modest
fourth-quarter pickup in the U.S. economy. However, while December
results show that more Americans think the economy is on the right track,
consumer attitudes are still at depressed levels, with more than two-thirds
saying that the economy is on the wrong track."
While 52 percent of respondents
expect that home prices will not change over the next 12 months, 26 percent are looking for an increase (up 4
points) and 18 percent expect prices to go down (a 4 point decrease).
Nearly three-quarters (71 percent)
of respondents feel that this is a good time to buy a home, an increase of 3
points since November but only 11 percent view it as a good time to sell. Thirty-one
percent of Americans say they would rent their next home, while 64% say they
would buy, a 1 point increase from last month. Mortgage
rates will increase over the next year according to 36 percent up respondents
compared to 33 percent who held this opinion in November .
Only 5 percent of Americans think
that rental prices will ease over the next year while 43 percent expect rents
to increase. The average expectation is for
an increase of 3.5 percent in rents compared to the 3.2 percent average
expressed in November.