30 Year Fixed
4.36%    +0.01
15 Year Fixed
4.06%    +0.01
10YR Treasury
2.57%    -0.0181
FNMA 30YR 3.5
100.69    +0.11
FNMA 15YR 2.5
100.33    +0.06
Mortgage Rates Move Up Despite Market Gains
April 23, 2019

When bonds make "gains," it means that bond prices are moving up.  The price of a bond is like the amount that a lender is willing to pay for the right to collect a certain amount of interest.  The more the lender is willing to pay, the lower that lender's "yield" will be.  Looked at another way, the lower your interest rate would be in the case of a lender making you a mortgage loan.  For that reason, we expect to see mortgage rates fall when bonds are making gains (mortgages are based primarily on bond prices/yields).  But in today's case, rates went a bit higher even though bonds improved.

As is often the case, the discrepancy results from the timing of bond market movement over the past few days.  Bonds weakened yesterday and rates logically moved higher.  The catch is that bonds continued to weaken after most lenders set mortgage rates for the day.  The move was big enough that today's bond market recovery wasn't quite enough to get bonds back to the better levels seen yesterday morning, thus leaving a small but logical gap between today's and yesterday's mortgage rates.  


Loan Originator Perspective

I'm still locking loans closing within 30 days.  There's no discernible trend, so time to play defense. -Ted Rood, Senior Originator

Clients and I continue to favor locking when within 30 days of closing. At this time, i just don't see much benefit with floating. There is more to risk than to gain. Until "something" happens to send rates one way or another, i will continue to lock. -Victor Burek, Churchill Mortgage


Today's Most Prevalent Rates

  • 30YR FIXED - 4.375%
  • FHA/VA - 4.0%
  • 15 YEAR FIXED - 4.00% 
  • 5 YEAR ARMS -  3.875-4.25% depending on the lender


Ongoing Lock/Float Considerations
 

  • Early 2019 saw a rapid reevaluation of big-picture trends in rates and in markets in general

  • The Federal Reserve has been a key player, and while they aren't the ones pulling the global economic strings, their response to the economy has helped rates fall more quickly than they otherwise might.

  • Based on the Fed's laundry list of concerns, their current outlook for rate hikes and economic growth, and their bond-buying policy shifts, we've all but certainly seen the highest rates of this economic cycle in late 2018.  
  • Rates discussed refer to the most frequently-quoted, conforming, conventional 30yr fixed rate for top tier borrowers among average to well-priced lenders.  The rates generally assume little-to-no origination or discount except as noted when applicable.  Rates appearing on this page are "effective rates" that take day-to-day changes in upfront costs into consideration.

30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
15 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage
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Today's Rates
Best Execution
Rate Change
30 Yr FRM 4.36% +0.01
15 Yr FRM 4.06% +0.01
FHA 30 Year Fixed 4.02% +0.02
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.27% +0.02
5/1 Yr ARM 4.12% +0.02
Average Mortgage Rates
Rate Points Change
FHFA *
15 Yr. Fixed 4.22% 1.43 -0.12
30 Yr. Fixed 4.78% 1.18 -0.20
MBA **
30 Yr. Fixed 4.67% 0.00 +0.02
15 Yr. Fixed 0.00% 0.00 -4.00
30 Yr. Jumbo 0.00% 0.00 -4.40
30 Yr. FHA 0.00% 0.00 -4.64
5/1 ARM 0.00% 0.00 -3.95
Freddie Mac **
30 Yr. Fixed 4.17% 0.50 +0.05
15 Yr. Fixed 3.62% 0.50 +0.02
1 Yr. ARM 2.68% 0.20 +0.01
5/1 Yr. ARM 3.78% 0.30 -0.02
* FHFA averages are updated monthly.
** Mortgage Bankers Association (each Wednesday) and Freddie Mac (each Thursday) averages are updated weekly.
Secondary Markets
MBS
Price Change
30YR FNMA 3.0 98.53 +0.13
30YR FNMA 3.5 100.69 +0.11
30YR GNMA 3.0 99.66 +0.39
30YR GNMA 3.5 101.47 +0.09
15YR FNMA 3.0 100.33 +0.06
15YR FNMA 2.5 98.69 +0.11
Treasuries
Yield Change
2 YR 2.3618% -0.0248
5 YR 2.3593% -0.0253
10 YR 2.5686% -0.0181
30 YR 2.9808% -0.0095
Prices as of: 4/23/2019 4:09PM EST
MBS and Treasury data provided by Thomson Reuters.
Mortgage News Daily and MBS Live! are exclusive re-distributors of Real Time Thomson Reuters Mortgage Information.
Secondary Marketing Managers:
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About This Report
Mortgage News Daily is a trusted source of mortgage rate market data and analysis, with over 1 million readers each month. Unlike many rate surveys, our survey is conducted on a daily basis and is designed to bring you the most current and accurate rate data available.  We use a proprietary formula to calculate averages based on best-execution rates from top lender's rate sheets, also taking into account feedback from hundreds of mortgage market professionals around the country.