Mortgage Rates Predictions and Analysis

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Mortgage Rates Near 2013 Highs to Start Week

Mortgage Rates Jump Back To Recent Highs, More Volatility Ahead

Mortgage Rates Move Convincingly Lower

Mortgage Rates Unchanged To Slightly Higher

Mortgage Rates Continue Barreling Toward 2013 Highs

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Housing Recovery and Price Appreciation to Continue; Mortgage Rates Near 12-mo Highs; MBA Suggests New Approach To Risk-Sharing

Published: 5/20/2013

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Consumer Borrowing Costs Decline

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by Victor Burek on May 12 2009, 11:51 AM

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) managed to have a decent rally yesterday following treasuries to lower yields. In total, MBS improved by over a half a point which allowed lenders to reprice for the better. Most lenders improved pricing by about .25 in...
The Week Ahead: Mortgage Rates Looking for Direction

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by Victor Burek on May 11 2009, 11:12 AM

Last week, mortgage backed securities (MBS) moved considerably lower in price moving par 30 year conventional rate mortgages higher by an .125 to .25 in rate. Mortgage rates are set by the trading of MBS. When demand is high for MBS, that moves their...
Mortgage Rates Make Move Higher

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by Victor Burek on May 08 2009, 12:46 PM

After yesterday’s trading, mortgage backed securities (MBS) felt like the New York Yankees after a series with the Boston Red Sox, they got beat up. In total they lost well over a half a point in price which increases consumer borrowing cost. All...
Mortgage Rates Higher After Better than Expected Data

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by Victor Burek on May 07 2009, 12:31 PM

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) moved above their recent range following a successful 10 year Treasury note auction yesterday. To remind the readers and for any new rate watchers, mortgage rates are generated by trading in MBS market. As investors buy...
Another Snoozer as Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

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by Victor Burek on May 06 2009, 12:44 PM

We had another snoozer of a day in the mortgage backed security (MBS) market yesterday. Other than a brief spike lower (as MBS move lower in price, mortgage rates move higher) following the 3 year treasury note auction, MBS traded again in a very tight...
Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower as Volatility Calms

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by Victor Burek on May 05 2009, 11:00 AM

After enduring a few days of selling in the mortgage backed securities (MBS) market (and higher mortgage rates ) , it was nice to see a quiet rally yesterday. In what can be described as a boring trading day in the fixed income market, MBS held steady...
Mortgage Rates Creep Higher as Markets Focus on Economic Optimism

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by Victor Burek on May 04 2009, 12:48 PM

Last week financial markets found economic optimism is better than expected data releases and some hopeful verbiage from the Fed. Mortgage rates reacted by moving higher as money flowed from the bond market to the stock market. For the week, lower MBS...
Mortgage Rates Continue to Move Higher after FOMC

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by Victor Burek on May 01 2009, 11:48 AM

Since the Fed statement on Wednesday, pressure on mortgage rates to move higher has grown. The main driving force is the recent rise in treasury yields, the benchmark 10 year treasury note has rose 50bps since early April and 20bps since Wednesday! The...
Mortgage Rates Rise After FOMC Meeting

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by Victor Burek on April 30 2009, 12:37 PM

Yesterday, prices of mortgage backed securities (MBS) moved lower increasing consumer borrowing costs by .125 to .375 in discount. Most lenders sent out reprices for the worse after bond market's were disappointed by the FOMC statement. First, the...
Mortgage Rates Increase after Consumer Confidence Spikes

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by Victor Burek on April 29 2009, 11:42 AM

Mortgage Rates moved higher yesterday following an exodus from bonds back to stocks. Much better than expected Consumer Confidence data sparked a rally in stock markets, unfortunately this came at the expense of fixed income securities like treasuries...
Rates Improve Marginally as MBS Prices Approach Record Highs

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by Victor Burek on April 28 2009, 12:15 PM

Swine Flu outbreaks, unannounced low flying planes in Manhattan, and a revised Viability Plan from General Motors were all reason for global investors to move their money from risky stocks to the safety of treasuries and MBS. This "flight to quality"...
Rates Still Looking for Direction, the Week Ahead

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by Victor Burek on April 27 2009, 12:39 PM

So far this morning, mortgage backed securities (MBS) are holding steady, slightly above Friday’s closing levels. For the past couple weeks, MBS have been trading in a sideways pattern looking for direction. There does not appear to be much motivation...
Rates Looking for Direction, TGIF!!!

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by Victor Burek on April 24 2009, 12:21 PM

Mortgage rates continue to hold steady while the broader market searches for new direction. So far this morning, mortgage backed securities (MBS) are trading near the same level of yesterday's close. The price behavior of MBS, like yesterday, is being...
Rates Stable and Looking for Direction

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by Victor Burek on April 23 2009, 12:06 PM

Yesterday, mortgage backed securities (MBS) started off a little choppy but managed to hold a stable price level in the afternoon. The direction mortgages are moving is being dictated by the stock market and its relation to money flows in the Treasury...
Mortgage Rates Rise as Stocks Find Optimism

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by Victor Burek on April 22 2009, 11:09 AM

Optimism in stock markets put selling pressure on fixed income investments yesterday. Prices of mortgage backed securities (MBS) moved down in price which increased consumer borrowing costs by 0.125 to 0.25 in discount. MBS started out in positive territory...

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